Core Insights - Recent bank wealth management products have shown significant yield increases, with many offering annualized returns above 5% and even 6% in some cases [1][3] - The rise in yields is closely linked to the performance of the capital markets, particularly the stock market, which has seen a small bull market recently [1][4] - Investors are advised to carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment strategies before investing in high-yield products, as these often involve higher volatility compared to pure fixed-income products [2][8] Group 1: Performance of Wealth Management Products - Many recent wealth management products have annualized returns exceeding 6%, with specific examples including a mixed product from China Post Wealth Management at 6.73% and another from Everbright Wealth Management at 6.49% [3] - The performance of these products is highly correlated with the stock market, indicating a significant allocation to equities within their underlying assets [3][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 9.03% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 11.12% over the past 60 days, contributing to the improved yields of these products [1] Group 2: Market Trends and Investor Behavior - There has been a notable increase in the allocation of wealth management products to equity assets, with mixed products seeing a growth in scale [5][6] - The overall scale of bank wealth management has been increasing, driven by a favorable capital market environment and a low-interest-rate backdrop [6][7] - The risk appetite among wealth management clients remains low, with 96.6% of products falling into the PR1 and PR2 risk categories, indicating a cautious approach to investment [8] Group 3: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Experts suggest that the configuration value of equity-linked "fixed income+" products will become more prominent in the second half of the year, potentially driving growth in wealth management scales [9] - Investors are encouraged to choose products that align with their risk tolerance and investment horizon, considering the inherent volatility of these products [9] - Strategies such as "target win" products, which lock in returns upon reaching specific goals, may be beneficial for investors looking to manage risk while pursuing higher yields [9]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The rhythm of macro - policies may change in the second half of the year. The downward trend of treasury bond yields remains the general direction. The equity market is expected to have a long - bull market. The core of bond market trading lies in controlling the rhythm of band trading, and it is maintained that the third quarter is the window for going long in the bond market in the second half of the year [1][7]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 730 Politburo Meeting Six Key Points of Concern 1. **Affirming the achievements of economic development in the first half of the year and a potentially stable and improving external environment** - In the first two quarters of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.4% and 5.2% year - on - year respectively, with a cumulative growth of 5.3% in the first half of the year. To achieve the 5% growth target, the GDP growth rate in the second half only needs to reach 4.7%, so the economic work pressure is relatively small [14]. - Compared with the April meeting, the external environment uncertainty has significantly decreased. The overall trend of the equal - tariff policy is clear, and Sino - US relations have continued to ease [15]. 2. **Macro - policies should be both continuous, stable and flexible** - Continuity and stability mean maintaining an actively expanding macro - policy to support the overall trend of the marginal improvement of the macro - economy [16]. - Flexibility and predictability aim to guide market expectations, and the possibility of policy discretion in the second half of the year may increase [16]. 3. **From "intensifying implementation" to "timely boosting", the policy rhythm may change** - In terms of rhythm, "timely boosting" reflects the difference in the macro - environment between April and July, and the flexibility of macro - policies will increase. The policy strength depends on the economic operation [18]. - In terms of quality, from "making full use" to "implementing in detail", the policy will shift from "expanding quantity" to "improving quality". Fiscal policy focuses on improving capital use efficiency, and monetary policy aims to promote the decline of social comprehensive financing costs [18][19]. 4. **Defining three major anti - involution tasks** - The tasks are to "govern the disorderly competition of enterprises in accordance with laws and regulations, promote the capacity governance of key industries, and standardize local investment promotion behaviors". The policy determination of anti - involution should not be underestimated [4][20]. 5. **More positive statements about the capital market** - The meeting proposed to "enhance the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market and consolidate the momentum of the capital market's recovery and improvement". The equity market is expected to have a long - bull market [5][21]. 6. **Focusing on urban renewal in the real estate field** - The meeting only mentioned "implementing the spirit of the Central Urban Work Conference and carrying out high - quality urban renewal". The real estate market may still need further policy support [6][22]. Mapping to the Bond Market - In the process of promoting the decline of social comprehensive financing costs, the downward trend of treasury bond yields remains the general direction. With the increase in macro - policy flexibility, bond market fluctuations may expand. The core of bond market trading in the second half of the year lies in controlling the rhythm of band trading, and it is maintained that the third quarter is the window for going long in the bond market in the second half of the year [7][25].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core View of the Report - Although China's economic fundamentals were still under pressure in June, financial data showed that the effects of loose monetary policy had emerged and might be reflected in subsequent economic indicators. The third trade negotiation provided more flexibility for the market. However, after the Politburo meeting, without any unexpected policies, market bulls might take profit, and stock index futures were expected to enter a wide - range shock. It was recommended to wait and see [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Disk - IF main contract (2509) closed at 4136.4, up 1.8; IF sub - main contract (2508) closed at 4147.0, up 1.6. IH main contract (2509) closed at 2820.0, up 7.8; IH sub - main contract (2508) closed at 2821.4, up 9.0. IC main contract (2509) closed at 6215.4, down 26.2; IC sub - main contract (2508) closed at 6271.2, down 26.8. IM main contract (2509) closed at 6604.2, down 28.8; IM sub - main contract (2508) closed at 6675.6, down 29.8 [2] - IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1325.6, down 14.6; IC - IF current - month contract spread was 2124.2, down 40.8. IM - IC current - month contract spread was 404.4, down 8.8; IC - IH current - month contract spread was 3449.8, down 55.4. IM - IF current - month contract spread was 2528.6, down 49.6; IM - IH current - month contract spread was 3854.2, down 64.2 [2] - IF current - quarter minus current - month was - 41.8, up 1.0; IF next - quarter minus current - month was - 72.6, up 1.6. IH current - quarter minus current - month was - 1.2, down 3.6; IH next - quarter minus current - month was 0.2, down 3.2. IC current - quarter minus current - month was - 192.2, up 2.8; IC next - quarter minus current - month was - 316, up 5.4. IM current - quarter minus current - month was - 260.4, down 1.2; IM next - quarter minus current - month was - 425.8, down 0.8 [2] Futures Position - IF top 20 net positions were - 26,574.00, down 2773.0; IH top 20 net positions were - 14,691.00, down 262.0. IC top 20 net positions were - 11,447.00, down 1360.0; IM top 20 net positions were - 37,384.00, down 2167.0 [2] Spot Price - CSI 300 was at 4151.24, down 0.8; IF main contract basis was - 14.8, down 4.2. SSE 50 was at 2819.35, up 10.8; IH main contract basis was 0.7, down 4.8. CSI 500 was at 6314.69, down 41.5; IC main contract basis was - 99.3, down 6.2. CSI 1000 was at 6718.48, down 55.4; IM main contract basis was - 114.3, down 2.4 [2] Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume (daily, billion yuan) was 18,709.76, up 416.67; margin trading balance (previous trading day, billion yuan) was 19,826.41, up 156.08. Northbound trading volume (previous trading day, billion yuan) was 2334.31, up 67.60; reverse repurchase (maturity, operation volume, billion yuan) was - 1505.0, up 3090.0. Main funds (yesterday, today, billion yuan) were - 399.83 and - 792.11 respectively [2] - The proportion of rising stocks (daily, %) was 31.62, down 9.75; Shibor (daily, %) was 1.317, down 0.049. IO at - the - money call option closing price (2508) was 52.00, down 9.60; IO at - the - money call option implied volatility (%) was 14.42, down 1.22. IO at - the - money put option closing price (2508) was 54.00, down 4.20; IO at - the - money put option implied volatility (%) was 14.42, down 1.22. CSI 300 index 20 - day volatility (%) was 6.52, up 0.02; trading volume PCR (%) was 63.76, up 5.52; open interest PCR (%) was 75.91, up 3.25 [2] Wind Market Strength and Weakness Analysis - All A - shares were at 3.80, down 1.60; technical aspect was at 3.20, down 0.90; capital aspect was at 4.40, down 2.20 [2] Industry News - The Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee decided to hold the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, and emphasized that macro - policies should continue to exert force and increase force in due course. It was necessary to implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, release domestic demand potential, boost consumption, promote "two major" construction, expand high - level opening - up, and resolve local government debt risks [2] - From July 28th to 29th, Chinese and US economic and trade leaders held talks in Stockholm. The two sides agreed to extend the suspension of 24% of the US reciprocal tariffs and China's counter - measures for 90 days [2] Key Data to Focus On - On July 30th at 20:15, focus on US ADP employment in July; at 20:30, focus on US Q2 GDP; at 21:45, focus on Bank of Canada interest rate decision. On July 31st at 2:00, focus on Fed interest rate decision; at 9:30, focus on China's July manufacturing, non - manufacturing, and composite PMI; at 10:47, focus on Bank of Japan interest rate decision; at 20:30, focus on US June PCE and core PCE. On August 1st at 9:45, focus on China's July Caixin manufacturing PMI; at 20:30, focus on US July non - farm payrolls report; at 22:00, focus on US July ISM manufacturing PMI [3]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" as a critical period for achieving socialist modernization, focusing on "consolidating the foundation and making comprehensive efforts" [1][6][7] - The overall economic outlook is positive, with key economic indicators performing well and a strong emphasis on maintaining economic recovery momentum [1][9][10] Economic Policy - The meeting highlights the need for macroeconomic policies to be "continuous, stable, flexible, and predictable," aiming for sustained growth and maximizing policy effects [2][10][11] - Emphasis is placed on implementing proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to support economic stability [11][12] Consumption and Investment - The meeting stresses the importance of expanding service consumption and stimulating effective investment, particularly in the context of weak fixed asset investment growth [3][12] - The "old-for-new" policy has already released some elasticity in durable goods consumption, and there is a call to cultivate new growth points in service consumption [3][12] Supply-Side Policies - The meeting calls for deepening the construction of a unified national market and optimizing market competition order, while also addressing issues of local government debt and hidden debts [4][13] - Policies will focus on promoting high-quality development and addressing overcapacity in key industries [4][12] Capital Market - The meeting emphasizes enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, aiming to consolidate the positive momentum in capital market recovery [5][14] - There is a focus on ensuring that the capital market functions effectively and supports long-term investment [5][14] Transition from 14th to 15th Five-Year Plan - The meeting outlines the need for a smooth transition from the "14th Five-Year Plan" to the "15th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on urban renewal and managing hidden debts [5][14] - The importance of maintaining strategic determination and confidence in achieving long-term economic goals is highlighted [7][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hanhigh Group has successfully completed its IPO, marking a significant milestone as it becomes the first listed company in the functional hardware sector in China and the first mainboard listed company in Foshan in 2025 [1][3][5] - Hanhigh Group, established in 2004, has become a leader in the Chinese home hardware industry, holding over 1,100 patents and having developed multiple national standards [3] - The company plans to issue 40.01 million shares at a price of 15.43 yuan per share, raising approximately 617 million yuan, which will be invested in smart home hardware automation manufacturing bases, R&D centers, and information technology projects [3] Group 2 - The successful listing of Hanhigh Group reflects the manufacturing strength of Shunde in the capital market, with Shunde accounting for 52% of the total listed companies in Foshan [5] - Shunde has established a structured approach to support technology companies in utilizing multi-level capital markets, with a total of 44 listed companies in the district [5] - The district government is committed to enhancing capital market services and supporting mergers and acquisitions to further expand and improve the "Shunde sector" in the capital market [5]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasizes the need to continuously prevent and resolve risks in key areas, particularly focusing on urban renewal and local government debt management [1] Group 1: Risk Management - The meeting highlights the importance of actively and prudently addressing local government debt risks, with a strict prohibition on the creation of new hidden debts [1] - There is a call for effective and orderly advancement in the clearing of local financing platforms [1] Group 2: Capital Market - The meeting stresses the need to enhance the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market [1] - It aims to consolidate the positive momentum of the capital market's recovery [1]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) reported that the average daily trading volume of its subsidiary, Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKSE), reached HKD 240.2 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 118% [1] - As of June 30, 2023, the market capitalization of Hong Kong was HKD 42.7 trillion, up 33% from HKD 32.1 trillion in the same period last year [1] - The strong performance of the Hong Kong market highlights its resilience and vitality as a global financial center [1] Trading Performance - The secondary market of HKEX showed significant improvement, with a continuous rebound in stock market trading volume and a substantial increase in derivatives trading volume [1] - The average daily trading volume of leveraged and inverse products rose to HKD 4.2 billion in the first half of 2025, a 75% increase from HKD 2.4 billion in the same period last year [1] - Hong Kong has established itself as a leading diversified ecosystem for leveraged and inverse products in Asia, being the first to launch individual stock leveraged and inverse products this year [1] Market Dynamics - The first half of 2025 is characterized as a breakthrough period for Hong Kong's capital markets [1] - The combination of strong securities market trading volume and the growing derivatives market demonstrates the resilience and innovative momentum of Hong Kong's secondary market [1] - This environment is expected to continue attracting international capital and providing investors with a diverse range of investment tools [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the China Securities Regulatory Commission's (CSRC) mid-year work meeting, which highlights the need to stimulate the vitality of a multi-tiered market and the introduction of a comprehensive package of measures to deepen the reform of the ChiNext board [1] - The reform includes the official launch of a third set of standards to support high-quality, unprofitable innovative companies in listing on the ChiNext board, enhancing the inclusiveness of the capital market and better supporting the financing needs of early-stage growth companies [1] - The trend of stabilization and improvement in the capital market is reinforced, with a significant year-on-year increase in the average daily trading volume of A-shares in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, and a rise in the margin trading balance, indicating a gradual recovery of market confidence [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159375) tracks the ChiNext 50 Index (399673), which can experience daily fluctuations of up to 20%. This index selects 50 securities from the ChiNext market based on size and liquidity to reflect the overall performance of leading companies in the ChiNext board [1] - The index components cover multiple industries, focusing on high-growth sectors such as information technology and healthcare, characterized by significant innovation-driven and growth-oriented features [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai ChiNext 50 ETF Initiated Link A (023371) and Guotai ChiNext 50 ETF Initiated Link C (023372) [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The futures index is in a volatile pattern with support at the bottom [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Futures Index Data Tracking - On July 26, 2025, the current - month contracts of the four major futures indices showed mixed performance. IF fell 0.48%, IH fell 0.58%, IC fell 0.02%, and IM rose 0.03% [1]. - In terms of closing prices, index values were as follows: CSI 300 was 4127.16, SSE 50 was 2795.51, CSI 500 was 6299.59, and CSI 1000 was 6706.61 [1]. - In terms of trading volume, the total trading volume of futures indices declined, indicating a decrease in investors' trading enthusiasm. IF's total trading volume decreased by 21687 lots, IH's by 6615 lots, IC's by 18535 lots, and IM's by 45693 lots [2]. - In terms of positions, IF's total position decreased by 11192 lots, IH's by 3451 lots, IC's by 4233 lots, and IM's by 11290 lots [2]. 3.2. Futures Index Member Position Changes - For IF contracts, the long - order changes of IF2508, IF2509, and IF2512 were - 3625, - 5795, and 532 respectively; the short - order changes were - 4398, - 6036, and 881 respectively [5]. - For IH contracts, the long - order changes of IH2508, IH2509, and IH2512 were - 8, - 2468, and - 154 respectively; the short - order changes were - 508, - 2599, and - 51 respectively [5]. - For IC contracts, the long - order changes of IC2508, IC2509, and IC2512 were - 2215, - 1875, and - 182 respectively; the short - order changes were - 2087, - 2628, and 298 respectively [5]. - For IM contracts, the long - order changes of IM2508, IM2509, and IM2512 were - 2637, - 6387, and - 540 respectively; the short - order changes were - 3420, - 7360, and 142 respectively [5]. 3.3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with different levels of strength classification [6]. - The CSRC held a mid - year work meeting, emphasizing the basis and conditions for maintaining the stable and healthy operation of the capital market [6]. - In the first half of 2025, the national general public budget expenditure was 1.41271 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. Expenditures in key areas such as social security and employment, science and technology, education, and health increased [6]. - The US Secretary of Commerce said that the tariff increase deadline on August 1 would not be extended [6]. - A high - level US business delegation is set to visit China [6]. 3.4. Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.22%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.23%. The A - share market's full - day trading volume was 1.82 trillion yuan, down from 1.87 trillion yuan the previous day [7]. - Last week, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.67%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.33%, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.76%, with all three major indices rising for five consecutive weeks [7]. - In the afternoon session, funds flowed out of cyclical stocks and back into the technology sector. Lithography machines and STAR Market chip stocks were in high demand, and Cambricon once rose 16%. The film and television and rare earth sectors were also active [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report forecasts the trends of various futures on July 28, 2025. Stock index futures are expected to oscillate strongly, while futures such as coking coal, glass, soda ash, polysilicon, lithium carbonate, alumina, industrial silicon, ferrosilicon, silicomanganese, silver, nickel, rebar, crude oil, PTA, PVC, methanol, and natural rubber are expected to oscillate weakly [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Forecast - **Stock Index Futures**: On July 28, 2025, stock index futures are expected to oscillate strongly. For example, IF2509 has resistance levels at 4147 and 4168 points and support levels at 4100 and 4080 points; IH2509 has resistance levels at 2817 and 2828 points and support levels at 2786 and 2771 points; IC2509 has resistance levels at 6260 and 6300 points and support levels at 6190 and 6150 points; IM2509 has resistance levels at 6663 and 6700 points and support levels at 6561 and 6521 points [2]. - **Bond Futures**: The ten - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2509 and the thirty - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2509 are likely to oscillate strongly on July 28, 2025. T2509 has resistance levels at 108.32 and 108.46 yuan and support levels at 108.01 and 107.91 yuan; TL2509 has resistance levels at 118.3 and 118.6 yuan and support levels at 117.6 and 117.3 yuan [2]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: The gold futures main contract AU2510 is likely to oscillate weakly on July 28, 2025, with support levels at 768.6 and 766.8 yuan/gram and resistance levels at 776.8 and 778.7 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2510 is likely to oscillate weakly and test support levels at 9055 and 9008 yuan/kg, with resistance levels at 9392 and 9447 yuan/kg [2][3]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Copper, aluminum, alumina, zinc, and nickel futures are expected to oscillate weakly on July 28, 2025. For example, the copper futures main contract CU2509 will test support levels at 78500 and 78000 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 79300 and 79700 yuan/ton [3]. - **Industrial and Energy Futures**: Industrial silicon, polysilicon, lithium carbonate, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, ferrosilicon, silicomanganese, glass, soda ash, caustic soda, crude oil, PTA, PVC, methanol, natural rubber, and 20 - grade rubber futures are expected to oscillate weakly on July 28, 2025. For instance, the coking coal futures main contract JM2509 will test support levels at 1115 and the limit - down price of 1100.5 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 1290 and 1294 yuan/ton [1][3]. 3.2 Macro - news and Trading Tips - **Domestic News**: The Chinese government has taken a series of measures, including promoting free pre - school education, initiating the establishment of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization, and the release of the "Artificial Intelligence Global Governance Action Plan". From January to June, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 3436.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.8% [9][10]. - **International News**: The US and the EU have reached a 15% tariff agreement, but the European Parliament's International Trade Committee is dissatisfied with the agreement. The US June durable goods orders preliminary value decreased by 9.3% month - on - month [14][15]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - related Information - The CSRC has approved the registration of linear low - density polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, and polypropylene monthly average price futures on the DCE. The DCE and GQEX have introduced trading limit measures for coking coal and lithium carbonate futures, which are expected to cool down the over - heated market [15][16]. - The GQEX is promoting the research and development of photovoltaic module futures, platinum, palladium futures, and lithium hydroxide futures, which are expected to be launched this year [16]. 3.4 Futures Market Analysis and Forecast - **Stock Index Futures**: On July 25, 2025, the main contracts of stock index futures generally declined slightly. The four major indexes (CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000) have risen for 5 consecutive weeks. The Chinese capital market has established the China Capital Market Society, and the CSRC plans to revise the "Corporate Governance Guidelines for Listed Companies" [22][24][25]. - **Bond Futures**: On July 25, 2025, the main contracts of bond futures mostly declined. The central bank carried out a large - scale reverse repurchase operation and MLF operation, with a net investment of 6018 billion yuan and 1000 billion yuan respectively [50]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On July 25, 2025, the gold futures main contract AU2510 declined slightly, and the silver futures main contract AG2510 rebounded weakly [58][63]. - **Base Metal Futures**: On July 25, 2025, base metal futures such as copper, aluminum, and zinc generally declined slightly [69][73][81]. - **Industrial and Energy Futures**: On July 25, 2025, coking coal, ferrosilicon, silicomanganese, and other futures rose strongly, while crude oil futures rebounded slightly [106][107][118].