Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved a significant turnaround in performance driven by its pig farming business, with effective cost control and capacity expansion contributing to growth momentum [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of 6.078 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.43%, and a net profit of 519 million yuan, reversing a loss of 645 million yuan from the previous year [1]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.123 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 105.14%, with a net profit of 259 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [1]. Group 2: Pig Farming Business - The company’s pig output reached 2.7552 million heads in 2024, with 2.6838 million heads being market pigs, representing a 50.76% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The average selling price of pigs in 2024 was approximately 16.8 yuan/kg, up 12% from the 15.0 yuan/kg average in 2023 [1]. - The company has effectively reduced breeding costs, with the total cost of market pigs maintained below 6.75 yuan/lb, and the breeding cost at 6.13 yuan/lb, down from 7.34 yuan/lb in 2023 [2]. Group 3: Future Plans and Capacity Expansion - The company plans to achieve a pig output of over 4 million heads by 2025, supported by existing breeding capacity of over 180,000 breeding pigs and 260,000 pigs in stock [2]. - The company’s integrated pig breeding project has completed the planned breeding of sows and is expected to start providing market pigs in the first half of 2025 [2]. - A feed factory project in Yucheng District, Ya'an City, with a total planned investment of 150 million yuan, is currently in the preparatory stage [2]. Group 4: Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 1.57 yuan, 2.17 yuan, and 2.83 yuan, corresponding to dynamic PE ratios of 12, 9, and 7 times respectively [3]. - The company is given a target PE of 15 times for 2025, with a target price set at 23.55 yuan [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 240.06 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.4%, with a net profit of 38.41 billion yuan, up 20.01% year-on-year [5] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a significant increase in order volume and new customer acquisition, entering a new expansion cycle [6] - The company has started a collaboration with Adidas in 2024, which is expected to contribute to stable order growth in 2025 [6] - The net profit margin is projected to remain high, with estimates of 16.0% for 2024 and 15.4% for Q4 2024, despite a slight decline due to capacity expansion [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 44.6 billion yuan and 51.7 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17x and 15x [7] Financial Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 64.61 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 754 billion yuan [4] - The company reported a total revenue of 20.11 billion yuan in 2023, with projections of 24.00 billion yuan in 2024, 27.67 billion yuan in 2025, and 31.89 billion yuan in 2026, indicating a growth rate of 19.35% in 2024 [10] - The company's net profit for 2023 was 3.20 billion yuan, with forecasts of 3.84 billion yuan in 2024, 4.46 billion yuan in 2025, and 5.17 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 20.03% in 2024 [10] - The company's asset-liability ratio is 22.3%, indicating a strong financial position [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 240.06 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.4%, with a net profit of 38.41 billion yuan, up 20.01% year-on-year [5] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with a significant increase in order volume and new customer acquisition, entering a new expansion cycle [6] - The company has started a partnership with Adidas in 2024, which is expected to contribute to stable order growth in 2025 [6] - The net profit margin is projected to be 16.0% for 2024, with a slight decrease in Q4 due to capacity expansion effects [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 44.6 billion yuan and 51.7 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17 times and 15 times [7] Financial Summary - The latest closing price is 64.61 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 754 billion yuan [4] - The company forecasts revenue growth rates of 19.35% in 2024, 15.26% in 2025, and 15.26% in 2026 [10] - The projected net profit for 2024 is 38.41 billion yuan, with an expected increase to 44.57 billion yuan in 2025 and 51.73 billion yuan in 2026 [10][12] - The company maintains a low debt-to-asset ratio of 22.3% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [10][11]. Core Views - The company's 2024 performance report shows revenue of 24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, and a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from new orders from Adidas, which began production in September 2024, contributing to revenue growth [6]. - The report highlights the company's stable partnerships with major brands like Nike and Converse, alongside successful new customer acquisition [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit margin of 16.0% for 2024, with a proposed dividend of 20 yuan per 10 shares, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 61% [4][5]. - In Q4 2024, revenue was 6.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.9% increase, while the net profit was 1 billion yuan, a 9.3% increase [5]. Market Position and Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity with four new factories launched in 2024, including three in Vietnam and one in Indonesia [6]. - The report anticipates that the new factory in China and the new site in Indonesia will begin production in early 2025, aligning with order growth [6]. Profitability Forecast - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3.84 billion yuan, 4.43 billion yuan, and 5.17 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20, 17, and 15 [7][8]. - The company is expected to maintain steady growth driven by a combination of stable existing customers and rapid growth from new clients [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [10][11]. Core Views - The company's 2024 performance report shows revenue of 24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, and a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% [4]. - The company has successfully expanded its customer base, including a new partnership with Adidas, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth in 2025 [6]. - The report highlights that the company is experiencing a temporary impact on profit margins due to the launch of new factories, but this is expected to stabilize as production ramps up [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 24 billion yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 3.84 billion yuan, resulting in a net profit margin of 16.0% [4]. - The fourth quarter revenue was 6.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.9% increase, while the net profit for the same period was 1 billion yuan, up 9.3% [5]. Customer and Production Expansion - The company has established stable partnerships with major international sports brands, including Nike and Converse, and has begun collaboration with Adidas, which is expected to ramp up production in September 2024 [6]. - Four new factories were launched in 2024, with additional facilities planned for 2025, aimed at meeting increasing order volumes and diversifying production locations to mitigate international trade risks [6]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.84 billion yuan in 2024, 4.43 billion yuan in 2025, and 5.17 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 17, and 15 [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong growth potential driven by a combination of stable existing customers and rapid growth from new clients, alongside orderly capacity expansion [7].

2025 年 03 月 13 日 公司点评 买入/维持 华利集团(300979) 目标价: 昨收盘:64.61 24 年业绩快报点评：业绩符合预期，期待 Adidas 订单新增量 ◼ 走势比较 (20%) (6%) 8% 22% 36% 50% 24/3/13 24/5/24 24/8/4 24/10/15 24/12/26 25/3/8 华利集团 沪深300 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 11.67/11.67 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 754/753.99 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 85/55.31 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<24Q3 财报点评：量增驱动稳健增 长，积极扩产、期待新客放量>>-- 2024-11-03 <<华利集团 24H1 财报点评：业绩表 现亮眼，订单饱满扩产提速>>-- 2024-08-26 <<华利集团 24Q1 财报点评：表现超 预期，看好全年弹性释放>>--2024- 04-28 证券分析师：郭彬 E-MAIL：guobin@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190519090001 证券分析师 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [2][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a 20% year-on-year growth in net profit for 2024, with a significant increase in cash dividends, reflecting a robust cash flow business model [7]. - The company achieved a record high revenue of 240.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 19.35% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 38.4 billion yuan, also a 20% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, and is set to begin operations in a new facility in mainland China [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 240.32 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.5% [6]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 38.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 20% increase compared to the previous year [6]. - The company anticipates a gradual increase in earnings per share, with projections of 3.29 yuan for 2024 and 3.73 yuan for 2025 [6]. Sales and Profitability - The company reported a net profit margin of 16% for 2024, maintaining a high level of profitability despite slight fluctuations due to new factory investments [7]. - The average selling price (ASP) for 2024 is estimated at approximately 107 yuan, showing a 1.6% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company’s sales volume reached 223 million pairs in 2024, marking a 17.5% increase year-on-year [7]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is recognized as a leading manufacturer of sports shoes, with significant growth potential from new client partnerships, particularly with Adidas [7]. - The company is positioned to benefit from increased orders from major clients, with expectations of substantial order volume growth in the coming years [7]. - The expansion into new production bases is aimed at diversifying supply chains and meeting customer demands for varied production locations [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company expects a revenue of 24 billion and a net profit of 3.84 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.35% and 20.0% respectively, primarily driven by the new factory's production and improving worker efficiency [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 20 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 61%, which is an increase of 17 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has initiated cooperation with Adidas, with mass production expected to start in September 2024, and has opened three new factories in Vietnam and another in Indonesia [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a Q4 revenue of 6.495 billion and a net profit of 999 million, with year-on-year growth of 11.9% and 9.2% respectively [2] - The sales volume for 2024 is projected to be 223 million pairs, with an average selling price (ASP) of 107 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 18% in volume and 2% in price [3] - The capacity utilization rate for Q4 was approximately 100%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year [3] Investment Recommendations - Concerns in the market include high inventory levels, slowing growth from DECKERS, and the impact of new factory production on profit margins. However, there is still potential for market share growth with brands like Adidas, ON, NB, and REEBOK contributing additional revenue [4] - The company is expected to experience a capital expenditure peak in 2025 and 2026 due to new factory openings, which may temporarily affect profit margins but is anticipated to enhance long-term revenue and profit elasticity [4] Adjustments to Forecasts - The revenue forecast for 2024 has been adjusted from 23.5 billion to 24 billion, while the net profit forecast has been revised from 3.893 billion to 3.841 billion [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024 has been adjusted from 3.34 to 3.29 yuan, with 2025 and 2026 EPS forecasts maintained at 3.89 and 4.48 yuan respectively [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 20, 17, and 14 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation given the potential for market share growth and rapid expansion [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its investment potential [4][56]. Core Viewpoints - The company is considered a high-quality asset capable of growing through cycles, with strong financial and operational performance [2][4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity for cylindrical batteries, which is expected to create a differentiated competitive advantage [3][40]. - The overseas energy storage market is anticipated to maintain high growth, while the consumer battery segment is showing upward trends in demand [4][45]. Summary by Sections Financial and Operational Stability - The company has a solid financial and operational foundation, with its consumer battery segment leading in several niche markets. The energy storage battery segment is now the primary revenue source, surpassing consumer batteries [2][10]. - The gross margin for energy storage batteries is in the top tier, while the consumer battery segment maintains a leading industry margin of over 30% [14][18]. - The company has a strong cash flow situation, with cash and cash equivalents significantly increasing, and a collection rate of over 70% of revenue [24][27]. Expansion and Competitive Advantage - The company is actively expanding its production capacity for large cylindrical batteries, with significant projects underway, including a 23GWh lithium iron phosphate energy storage battery project and a 21GWh passenger vehicle battery project [3][35]. - The company has received strong demand signals, with over 286GWh of future orders for large cylindrical batteries, indicating a robust order book and market confidence [38][39]. Market Growth and Demand - The energy storage business is expected to see high growth due to favorable economic conditions, with a projected shipment of 20.95GWh in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 133.18% [45]. - The consumer battery segment is also experiencing a recovery in demand, driven by the growth of the IoT industry and the introduction of new products [50]. Investment Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 454.99 billion, 530.11 billion, and 679.72 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 37.91 billion, 52.01 billion, and 82.99 billion yuan [4][56]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are 1.85, 2.54, and 4.06 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 24.07, 17.54, and 10.99 [56][58].