意大利一季度失业率 6.1%，预期 6%，前值 6.1%。 ...

Group 1 - The employment report for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, surpassing the market consensus of 125,000, but significant downward revisions to previous months overshadow this positive signal [1] - The initial estimate for March's job growth was revised down from 224,000 to 120,000, indicating a trend of downward adjustments in employment data [1] - The average downward revision of initial estimates to third estimates for non-farm employment data since January 2023 has been approximately 30,000 jobs per month [1] Group 2 - The rising frequency of employment data revisions may be attributed to small businesses delaying data submissions, which are most affected by high interest rates and tariff costs [3] - Small businesses are described as "canaries in the coal mine," facing significant financial challenges that lead to cautious hiring and capital expenditure decisions [3] - Employment in retail, wholesale, and transportation logistics is expected to decline by 50,000 by the end of the year due to the fading "front-loading" effect of tariffs [3] Group 3 - The NFIB small business hiring intentions index has dropped to its lowest level since May 2020, indicating a slowdown in hiring intentions [3][6] - A regional Federal Reserve survey shows that hiring intentions are below the average levels from 2015 to 2024, suggesting a correlation between hiring intentions and actual employment growth [7] - The government sector is also expected to see a reduction in jobs, with a decrease of 59,000 positions this year, including a drop of 22,000 in May [10] Group 4 - The unemployment rate is projected to peak at 4.8% by December, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the labor market [10] - Despite the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rate cuts, the underlying weakness in the labor market suggests that a shift towards easing policies may be necessary to support businesses [11]

韩国5月失业率 2.7%，预期2.7%，前值2.70%。 ...

Group 1 - The UK job market shows signs of distress, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.6%, the highest in nearly four years, but this may not prompt the Bank of England to cut interest rates in the upcoming policy meeting due to persistent inflation above target levels [1] - Average regular wages in the UK increased by 5.2% over the three months to April, which, despite a slowdown, remains above inflation levels, causing concern for the Bank of England regarding potential inflationary effects [2] - The Bank of Japan faces significant obstacles to raising interest rates this year, including the impact of US tariffs on the domestic economy and price levels, as well as government economic stimulus measures [3] Group 2 - The Bank of Japan's Governor, Kazuo Ueda, indicated that Japan is still some distance from achieving the 2% inflation target, which has led to a depreciation of the yen, although he denied the possibility of rate cuts [3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its current stance and not lower interest rates in the short term, as uncertainties related to tariffs and the labor market persist [2] - Analysts suggest that the worst effects of US tariffs may end by January 2026, with expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise rates in that timeframe while keeping rates unchanged in the fiscal year 2026 [3]

智通财经6月10日电，英国2-4月ILO失业率4.6%，预期4.6%。 ...

英国5月失业率 4.50%，前值4.50%。 ...

英国5月失业率 4.52%，前值 4.5%。 ...

Group 1: Currency Market Overview - The euro attracted some dip-buying, rising to around 1.1450 during the European session [1] - The British pound gained traction above 1.3550 due to a weaker dollar [1] - The Japanese yen maintained slight gains, with USD/JPY dropping to the 144.20 area, marking a new daily low [1] - The Australian dollar slightly recovered from previous losses, while the New Zealand dollar traded around 0.6040, recovering recent declines [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - U.S. non-farm payrolls for May slightly exceeded expectations, with previous months' data significantly revised down [2] - The unemployment rate remained stable, and average hourly earnings were better than expected, leading to reduced bets on Fed rate cuts [2][3] Group 3: Central Bank Insights - Federal Reserve officials emphasized the need for patience, indicating that it is not yet time for preemptive measures [3] - The Fed is expected to propose changes to the regulatory ratings for large banks to enhance the supplementary leverage ratio [3] - The European Central Bank's officials expressed differing opinions on interest rate decisions, with the neutral nominal rate estimated at around 3% [6][9] - The Bank of Japan is reportedly considering slowing the pace of its bond purchase reductions [7] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The GBP/USD is trading near the 20-period simple moving average, indicating a retreat of buyers, with resistance levels identified at 1.3590-1.3600 and 1.3700 [14] - The AUD/USD is consolidating between support at 0.6400 and resistance at 0.6500, with the RSI indicating a balance of power between bulls and bears [14] - For USD/JPY, failure to hold the support near 144.25/50 could lead to further declines, with key support at 142.37 [15]

周一（6月9日）欧市盘中，COMEX黄金价格反弹上涨，截至目前报3343.60美元/盎司，涨幅0.38%，今 日开盘于3333.40美元/盎司，最高上探3346.20美元/盎司，最低触及3313.10美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 上周五公布的美国5月失业率录得4.2%，符合市场预期，前值为4.2%；美国5月季调后非农就业人口录 得13.9万人，高于市场预期13万人，前值为14.7万人。 "美联储传声筒"Nick Timiraos发文称，美联储官员表示，在评估劳动力需求是否放缓上，他们可能更关 注失业率而非就业增长。原因在于，他们预计，随着边境管控收紧导致可供工作的人数减少，就业增长 自然将放缓。当就业增长放缓而失业率保持稳定时，可能表明劳动力供给下降的速度快于需求下降的速 度。美联储的底线是：只要失业率保持在当前水平，美联储不会必然对就业增长放缓感到担忧。 华尔街交易员在周五强于预期的5月非农就业报告公布后，缩减了对降息的押注。根据CME的数据，利 率期货显示，今年有三次及以上0.25个百分点的降息可能性从周四的36%下降至25%。一次或零次降息 的可能性从25%上升至34%。 本周市场聚焦大国贸易磋商与美国通 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. added 139,000 jobs in May, exceeding market expectations of 126,000, but previous months' data was revised down by 95,000 jobs, with March's figures cut from 185,000 to 120,000 [1] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, but this stability was due to a decrease of nearly 600,000 in the labor force, indicating a discrepancy between employer hiring intentions and household employment reports [3] - Average hourly wages increased by 0.4% in May, with a year-over-year rise of 3.9%, attributed to a tighter labor market rather than employer generosity, as full-time positions decreased by 620,000 [3][5] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector lost 8,000 jobs in May, signaling potential economic concerns, while the federal government cut 22,000 jobs, totaling nearly 60,000 cuts since January [5] - Some sectors, such as healthcare, added 62,000 jobs, and hospitality industries also saw growth, but the sustainability of these positions under economic pressure is questionable [5] - There was a notable decrease in both native-born and foreign-born workers, with 440,000 and 220,000 fewer workers respectively, highlighting the challenges in the job market [7] Group 3 - The overall employment data presents a façade of growth, but underlying issues suggest instability, with the labor market showing signs of weakening despite reported job increases [8]