央视网消息：8月14日，国家邮政局发布数据，前7个月我国快递业务量同比增长18.7%。 定日县地处青藏高原，地广人稀，村镇间距离远且路况复杂，过去快递车辆每两天送一次，每月司机成本达7500元，遇上极端天 气，包裹延误是常有的事。 近日，西藏自治区首条常态化运行的快递无人配送线路"定日—扎果"正式运营，标志着高原末端物流配送迈入智慧化新阶段。 国家邮政局最新数据显示，前7个月，我国邮政行业寄递业务量累计完成1223.0亿件，同比增长16.2%。其中，快递业务量累计完成 1120.5亿件，同比增长18.7%。 前7个月，我国快递行业逐步拓展航空运输、陆空运输专线、高铁快运等寄递综合运输方式，服务时效持续改善，更多地区被纳 入"次日达"服务圈。同时，无人车、无人驿站应用范围逐步扩大，人工智能应用场景不断丰富。 如今，无人车每天进村送件，充一次电15元，就能完成3次60公里往返运输，降低运输成本的同时还解决了极端天气延误包裹的问 题。未来，快递企业还将开通更多无人车送件线路，覆盖定日县的长所乡、措果乡、曲洛乡、岗嘎镇、克玛乡等6个乡镇。 国家邮政局发展研究中心战略规划研究部主任刘江表示，行业着力稳基础、扩增量、提质 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company is a pioneer in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, with a solid industry position and a focus on large-scale, electric, and unmanned vehicles driving demand for mining truck replacements [6][7]. - The company has shown impressive revenue growth, with projected revenues of 6.145 billion yuan in 2024 and 6.961 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9% and 13.3% respectively [2][6]. - The report highlights the significant market potential for electric and unmanned mining trucks, with the market for new energy wide-body dump trucks expected to grow from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 45.7% [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2005, is the first in China to develop and manufacture non-road wide-body dump trucks, with products widely used in various mining and large engineering projects [6][16]. - The company has maintained a high revenue growth rate, with a CAGR of 22.4% for revenue and 24.15% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26]. 2. Market Trends - The trend towards larger, electric, and unmanned vehicles is reshaping the industry, driven by policy changes and economic efficiency [6][37]. - The report emphasizes that the demand for new energy and unmanned mining trucks is expected to increase, with the market for unmanned mining trucks projected to grow significantly from 2025 to 2030 [9][56]. 3. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 868 million yuan, 963 million yuan, and 1.087 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [2][7]. - The report anticipates that the company's revenue will reach 69.61 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 13.3% [7][8]. 4. Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong first-mover advantage in the non-road wide-body dump truck market, with a focus on R&D and collaboration with key partners [6][22]. - The report notes that the company's wide-body dump trucks have a lower unit weight cost compared to traditional mining trucks, making them a more economical choice for mining operations [46][48].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a pioneer in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, focusing on large-scale, electric, and unmanned vehicles, which are driving the demand for mining trucks [6][14]. - The company has a strong market position and is expected to benefit from the trends of large-scale, electrification, and automation in the mining industry, with significant growth in revenue and net profit projected for the coming years [6][7][22]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 6,145 in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9%. For 2025, the revenue is expected to reach 6,961, reflecting a growth rate of 13.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 793 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 29.0%. By 2025, it is expected to increase to 868 million yuan, a growth of 9.4% [2]. - Earnings per share are projected to be 1.79 yuan in 2024 and 1.88 yuan in 2025 [2]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 21.4% in 2024 to 23.1% in 2027 [2]. Market Data - As of August 13, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 23.20 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,064 million yuan [3]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 3.3 and a dividend yield of 3.02% [3]. Industry Trends - The demand for non-road wide-body dump trucks is expected to grow significantly, with the market size for electric wide-body dump trucks projected to increase from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.7% [6][9]. - The report highlights that the transition to electric and unmanned mining trucks is becoming a necessity due to economic benefits and policy support, with the market for unmanned mining trucks expected to grow significantly in the coming years [6][9][49]. Company Overview - The company was established in 2005 and is recognized as the first in China to develop and manufacture non-road wide-body dump trucks, with a strong focus on research and development [6][14]. - The company has established partnerships with key players in the industry, such as Yikong Zhijia, to enhance its product offerings and market reach [6][14].

Core Insights - The express delivery industry in China is experiencing steady growth, with the express development index reaching 414.3 in July, a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [1] - The volume of express delivery services is expected to grow by 14.7% year-on-year in July, while revenue is projected to increase by nearly 8% [1] - Customer satisfaction in the express delivery sector is anticipated to rise to 85.2 points, an increase of 1.5 points compared to the previous year [1] Industry Performance - The express delivery market is expanding due to policies like the trade-in program, which is contributing to increased business volume [1] - Key regions are seeing a 72-hour delivery rate of 86.3%, up by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Innovations in urban delivery models are being implemented, such as the "subway station connection across the sea" logistics model in Qingdao, enhancing transportation efficiency [1] Technological Advancements - The express delivery industry is enhancing its air freight capabilities with the launch of multiple international all-cargo flight routes [1] - The use of unmanned vehicles is being expanded, with major express companies collaborating with sectors like pharmaceuticals and snacks to improve delivery precision [1] - The industry is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in August, driven by ongoing improvements in user experience and advancements in automation [2]

"随着用户体验持续提升，智能化、无人化提速发展，预计8月，快递行业仍将保持稳中有进发展态 势。"国家邮政局有关负责人表示。 （文章来源：人民日报） 7月，快递服务公众满意度预计为85.2分，同比提升1.5分。重点地区72小时妥投率预计为86.3%，同比 提升1.5个百分点。在山东青岛探索"地铁站接驳跨海直达"物流新模式，大幅提高运输效率；与四川成 都、河南郑州等地公交合作，探索跨界融合新模式……今年以来，快递企业不断创新城市配送新模式， 持续改善行业服务质效，为消费者带来更加高效、便捷、专业的服务体验。 7月，快递行业自有航空公司开通多条国际全货机航线，航空寄递网络不断加密，航空运能持续提升。 同时，持续丰富无人车服务场景，主要快递企业联合医药、水饮、零食等企业，投用多类型无人车，探 索无人仓配、无人车长距离运输等服务，提升精准配送服务能力。 记者近日从国家邮政局获悉：经测算，7月中国快递发展指数为414.3，同比提升5.2%。数据表明，快递 行业保持良好运行，市场规模稳步扩大。 以旧换新政策持续为快递市场带来增量，7月快递业务量预计同比增长14.7%，快递业务收入同比增长 接近8%。此外，快递企业积极开展校 ...

《 人民日报 》（ 2025年08月13日 02 版） 本报北京8月12日电 （记者韩鑫）记者近日从国家邮政局获悉：经测算，7月中国快递发展指数为 414.3，同比提升5.2%。数据表明，快递行业保持良好运行，市场规模稳步扩大。 7月，快递行业自有航空公司开通多条国际全货机航线，航空寄递网络不断加密，航空运能持续提升。 同时，持续丰富无人车服务场景，主要快递企业联合医药、水饮、零食等企业，投用多类型无人车，探 索无人仓配、无人车长距离运输等服务，提升精准配送服务能力。 "随着用户体验持续提升，智能化、无人化提速发展，预计8月，快递行业仍将保持稳中有进发展态 势。"国家邮政局有关负责人表示。 以旧换新政策持续为快递市场带来增量，7月快递业务量预计同比增长14.7%，快递业务收入同比增长 接近8%。此外，快递企业积极开展校园包裹寄递，深耕特色农产品、文旅特产等市场，满足消费者消 暑家电寄递需求，市场规模稳步扩大。 7月，快递服务公众满意度预计为85.2分，同比提升1.5分。重点地区72小时妥投率预计为86.3%，同比 提升1.5个百分点。在山东青岛探索"地铁站接驳跨海直达"物流新模式，大幅提高运输效率；与四川成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The integration of intelligent driving and modern logistics is transforming the delivery industry, with unmanned logistics vehicles becoming a key force in reshaping express delivery through cost reduction, efficiency improvement, and value addition [1]. Cost Reduction: Restructuring the Logistics Chain - By the end of 2024, the scale application of unmanned logistics vehicles is expected to exceed 6,000 units, delivering over 100 million orders across various segments [2]. - The growth of unmanned logistics vehicles is supported by government policies, including the "Action Plan to Effectively Reduce Logistics Costs" and the "Special Action Plan for Accelerating Smart Supply Chain Development" [2]. - Unmanned logistics vehicles are particularly promising in last-mile delivery, with successful cases emerging in sectors like retail and pharmaceuticals [2]. - A mixed delivery model combining riders and unmanned vehicles has been implemented by companies like SF Express, enhancing efficiency during peak hours [3]. Efficiency Improvement: Collaborative Efforts in the Industry Chain - The unmanned logistics vehicle industry is transitioning from point optimization to systemic efficiency, with multi-party collaboration and innovative business models becoming the norm [4]. - Strategic partnerships, such as those between Zhongtong Express and New Stone Technology, are expanding the application of unmanned delivery [4]. - The collaboration between technology and platform companies is creating a closed-loop ecosystem for research and development, reducing operational risks and enhancing efficiency [5]. Value Addition: Breaking Through Commercialization Challenges - Despite rapid deployment, challenges remain, including regulatory inconsistencies and technological limitations in complex environments [7]. - Product homogeneity is increasing, with some manufacturers adopting low-price strategies, which may impact long-term industry health [8]. - Companies are focusing on differentiating their technology and service ecosystems to remain competitive in a crowded market [8]. - The establishment of a robust regulatory framework is crucial for high-quality industry development, with over 200 cities in China already opening road rights for unmanned vehicles [9].

Summary of the Conference Call on the Express Delivery Industry Industry Overview - The express delivery industry is experiencing intense price competition, with a price increase and volume increase ratio reaching 40% in the first half of 2025, surpassing the 34% and 32% seen in 2020 and 2021 respectively [5][1] - The government is implementing measures to combat "involution" in the industry, including price correction drafts and compliance guidelines from regulatory bodies [1][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Market Dynamics**: The express delivery market is expected to grow by 16.3% in 2025, with future growth projected at 6%-9% over the next two to three years. Companies are expected to manage this growth without excessive price competition [1][15][16] - **Company Performance**: - **SF Express**: Maintains healthy growth with cost reductions due to volume increases, showing no signs of involution [7] - **Yunda**: Focused on stable development, with price increases slightly above industry levels [7] - **YTO Express**: Achieved increases in volume, revenue, and prices, indicating high-quality development [8] - **Shentong**: Experienced a smaller price drop than the industry average, with a volume increase above the average [8] - **Postal Express**: Underperformed compared to YTO and Shentong, with lower pricing [9] - **Franchisee Issues**: Franchisees are facing intense competition, with a significant portion of the revenue being retained by them, leading to price wars [10] Government Measures - The government has taken steps to address involution, including: - Emphasizing political and economic correctness in central meetings [6] - Implementing price correction drafts for the first time since 1998 [6] - Enforcing compliance guidelines for online trading platforms [6][17] Future Trends - **Technological Advancements**: The industry is expected to benefit from digitalization and automation, leading to cost reductions and improved efficiency [19][22] - **New Revenue Streams**: New business avenues such as cross-border delivery, factory delivery, and emergency logistics are anticipated to enhance industry revenue and profits [19][22] - **Profit Projections**: The total profit for five major companies in the industry is expected to reach 30 billion in 2025, potentially increasing to 50-60 billion by 2030 [21][22] Regional Insights - **Jinhua**: Experienced a price drop of 0.09 yuan in the first half of 2025, with a projected annual decrease of 0.13 to 0.14 yuan [11] - **Linyi**: Saw a price reduction of 0.15 yuan, with an expected total decrease of 0.22 to 0.23 yuan for the year [12] - **Jieyang**: Noted significant price competition, with a drop of 0.37 yuan in the first half of 2025 [13] - **Baoding**: Experienced a price drop of 0.76 yuan, with an annual forecast of around 1 yuan [14] Conclusion - The express delivery industry is navigating a complex landscape of price competition, regulatory scrutiny, and technological advancements. The focus on maintaining healthy competition and exploring new revenue streams is expected to drive growth and profitability in the coming years.

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) is experiencing significant market activity, with substantial net subscriptions and a strong performance in the context of the growing military and aerospace sectors. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of August 12, 2025, the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) recorded a turnover of 13.12% with a transaction volume of 65.54 million yuan, indicating active market trading [3] - The fund has seen a net subscription of 15 million shares, ranking first among similar products [3] - Over the past week, the ETF has increased by 3.25%, leading in performance among comparable funds [3] - In the last three days, the ETF attracted a total net inflow of 35.52 million yuan [3] - The latest fund size reached 506 million yuan, marking a new high since its inception [3] - The total shares outstanding have reached 410 million, also a record high, with a year-to-date increase of 115% [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - The domestic and international unmanned/anti-unmanned sectors are showing continued improvement, with details of military drone training and deployment being disclosed [4] - The first export order for a 100-kilowatt high-energy laser weapon has been secured, indicating the practical deployment of laser anti-drone equipment [4] - The defense and military industry is benefiting from military trade orders and the upcoming military parade, which is expected to showcase new generation weaponry [4] - The missile and military electronics sectors are experiencing a surge in orders, while the aerospace engine supply chain is seeing fundamental improvements [4] - The pace of domestic satellite constellation deployment is accelerating, with 2025 projected as a key year for large-scale deployment of domestic satellites [4] Group 3: ETF Composition and Focus - The aerospace ETF Tianhong closely tracks the National Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index, focusing on key areas such as fighter jets and satellite supply chains [5] - The index has a high "military content," with 98.2% of its constituent stocks belonging to the defense and military industry, surpassing traditional military indices [6] - The index has the highest "drone content" in the market, with significant participation from companies involved in drone technology [7] - It covers the aerospace industry chain comprehensively, with over 69% weight in aerospace, aviation, and naval equipment [9] - The index constituents exhibit stronger technological attributes and clearer valuation logic, aligning with the trend of high-end development in the military and aerospace sectors [10] - The expected revenue growth rate for the index in 2025 is projected to exceed that of traditional military indices [11]

Core Insights - The China Express Development Index for July 2025 is reported at 414.3, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [1] Group 1: Index Breakdown - The development scale index stands at 570.5, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [1] - The service quality index is recorded at 566.5, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.3% [1] - The development capability index is at 220.7, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1% [1] - The development trend index is at 69.5, indicating a year-on-year increase of 11.2% [1] Group 2: Industry Performance - The industry is maintaining a good operational status, with a steady expansion of market scale and continuous improvement in service experience [1] - There is an enhancement in trunk transportation capacity, further strengthening its role in economic development [1] - The industry is focusing on retaining existing volume, expanding new volume, improving quality and efficiency, and ensuring safety [1] - The capital market is performing well, and user experience is continuously improving [1] - There is a rapid development in intelligence and automation, contributing positively to industrial collaboration and the expansion of domestic demand [1] - The industry is expected to maintain a steady and progressive development trend in August [1]