Core Insights - The U.S. is urging Thailand to address issues related to tax measures and non-tariff barriers [1] Group 1 - U.S. officials are focusing on Thailand's tax policies and non-tariff barriers as part of trade discussions [1]

日本政府讨论了非关税壁垒和贸易扩张问题。 ...

日本政府：日本首席谈判代表、经济再生大臣赤泽亮正和美国商务部长Lutnick于6月5日会面，双方会 谈了110分钟，赤泽亮正强烈要求重新研议美国关税；双方讨论了非关税壁垒和贸易扩张。 ...

Group 1: Trade Dynamics - Historical analysis indicates that exchange rates and non-tariff barriers may replace tariffs as key tools in trade conflicts[2] - The U.S. average effective tariff increased by nearly 9 percentage points from 1896 to 1899, highlighting the historical reliance on tariffs[2] - Since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, exchange rate manipulation has become a significant weapon in international trade competition[2] Group 2: U.S.-China Trade Relations - The U.S. international investment net gap is projected to reach 100% of GDP by 2025, indicating unsustainable trends in trade deficits[3][31] - In 2024, the U.S. goods and services trade deficit reached $917.83 billion, a significant increase of $132.95 billion from the previous year[30] - The proportion of the U.S. trade deficit attributed to China decreased from 47.48% in 2018 to 24.33% in 2024, reverting to levels seen in 2004[34] Group 3: Future Trade Policies - The U.S. government may implement more non-tariff barriers and currency interventions if trade tensions escalate, similar to measures taken during the U.S.-Japan trade competition from 1970 to 1993[4] - The U.S. federal deficit is projected to reach historical highs, complicating efforts to reduce the deficit and impacting trade policy[4] Group 4: Strategies for Domestic Enterprises - Domestic companies are encouraged to explore non-U.S. export markets and adapt production capacities to meet European trade regulations[7] - The key to "exporting to domestic sales" lies in managing payment terms, with potential improvements in the policy environment for accounts receivable[7] - The "going abroad" strategy should focus on cost management, particularly labor costs, as domestic industries face challenges in maintaining competitiveness[7]

必须努力重建自由贸易。 消除非关税壁垒的尝试会带来好处。 英国央行行长贝利：不要指望一直都能保持平衡的贸易状态。 ...

Core Points - The second round of tariff negotiations between South Korea and the United States began on June 20 in Washington, focusing on key issues such as "reciprocal tariffs," non-tariff barriers, and trade imbalances [1][2] - This round of talks is significant as it occurs under the backdrop of the Trump administration's "America First" strategy and is seen as a test of the new and old policy directions of both countries [1] - The negotiations are expected to cover six major areas, including balanced trade, non-tariff barriers, economic security, digital trade, rules of origin, and improvement of the business environment [1] South Korea's Position - South Korea is particularly concerned about the 25% tariffs imposed by the U.S. on imports of steel, aluminum, and certain automotive products, which are framed under the "reciprocal tariffs" policy [2] - The South Korean delegation aims to negotiate significant tariff reductions from the U.S. by leveraging strategic industry cooperation and increasing U.S. product imports as bargaining chips [2] - The South Korean government emphasizes the importance of strategic industry collaboration in sectors like shipbuilding and semiconductors within the Indo-Pacific region to persuade the U.S. [2] U.S. Position - The U.S. has expressed a desire for South Korea to eliminate various non-tariff barriers, including restrictions on beef imports lasting over 30 months [2] - U.S. Treasury Secretary has warned that trade partners lacking sincerity in tariff negotiations may face the reinstatement of previously announced "reciprocal tariffs" [2] - There is uncertainty regarding whether the U.S. will accept South Korea's proposed timeline for reaching a framework agreement before the July 8 tariff buffer period expires [2] Political Context - The upcoming South Korean presidential election on June 3 adds urgency to the negotiations, as achieving a favorable outcome in tariff discussions is viewed as a key measure of the current government's economic diplomacy effectiveness [2]

杜明认为，英美EPD协议可能标志着国际经济法从"硬法"向"软法"的转型。 英美EPD剖析 第一财经：英美EPD协议可能为其他国家与美国的贸易谈判提供哪些参考？ 杜明：美国的政策意图非常明确，即以对等关税为筹码扩大市场准入、削减数字税等非关税壁垒。这些 核心诉求不仅体现在英美协议中，也将成为未来美日、欧美等经济体谈判的基准框架。 英美协议细节可能不尽如人意，但具有较强示范意义。美国不会简单复制协议内容，毕竟各国国情存在 显著差异，且谈判成果也存在不确定性。但本质上，特朗普政府将新增关税作为谈判杠杆，实现利益最 大化的策略十分清晰——最保守估计，也可维持本届政府上台前的原有关税水平，而通过谈判，美方认 为有可能获取额外市场准入或其他利益。 近日，美国财政部长贝森特称，美国正与18个关键伙伴推进贸易协议。但报道显示，美国的贸易谈判推 进并不顺利。 欧盟委员会最高贸易官员欧委会贸易司总司长魏安德（Sabine Weyand）称，欧盟仍需冷静行事，不要 屈服于美国 "速战速决"的愿望。日本也明确表示，希望在与美方的贸易关税谈判中坚持立场，推动全 面取消其对日本汽车进口征收的25%关税，不要冒着国内政治反弹的风险而妥协。 ...

针对关税问题，欧盟突然强硬起来！ 来看详细报道！ 欧盟对美强硬表态 据参考消息援引西班牙《阿贝赛报》网站15日报道，欧盟成员国贸易部长已经排除接受与美国达成类似英国所 签署协议的可能性，英国已经承担了10%的基础关税，以避免对汽车和金属征收其他税费。 报道称，15日的欧盟贸易部长会议是在华盛顿决定"暂停"所谓"对等关税"90天之后的第37天召开的。根据"对 等关税"，美国将对欧盟产品征收20%的关税。布鲁塞尔已经威胁说，如果达不成协议，将以两个独立的一揽 子方案进行反击，而这两个方案可能会影响到总价值达1160亿欧元的美国商品。 欧盟理事会轮值主席国波兰的经济部长米哈乌·巴拉诺夫斯基表示，欧洲不会"满足于"与英国类似的协议。他 说："我认为我们可以取得比保持很高关税更好的结果。" 报道称，此前欧盟向美国提出相互取消任何工业产品的所有关税，但特朗普政府仍执迷不悟地要求欧盟对其在 欧洲销售的产品免征增值税。 另据观察者网援引《华尔街日报》15日报道，数名欧盟国家官员当天放风称，欧盟与美国的关税谈判正在取得 进展，欧盟寻求达成一项关税降幅大于美英、中美协议的贸易协定。有欧盟官员指出，美国给英国和中国开出 的条件不足 ...

文/珠玑说 无论是特朗普在国内推动药价改革却绑定国际汽车贸易的施压，还是盟友日本突然对美国展现出的贸易强硬姿态，都说明，这场博弈还未结束，此次会谈 中，美方最想要的中方没有给，日本会做出怎样的强硬举动呢？ (本文所有内容皆有官方可靠信源，具体资料赘述文章结尾) 中美贸易战关税刚迎来缓和，日内瓦谈判桌上达成了部分关税回调共识，然而，新的风向和对抗已悄然展开。 日内瓦的"休战符" 中美贸易战，刚透出一丝暖意就又寒风乍起？日内瓦谈判桌上的"实质性进展"，听着像那么回事，双方说好了，从5月14号起，关税大棒暂时收一收，退回 到4月2号以前的水平。 可就在大家以为能喘口气的时候，新的火药味儿已经悄然弥漫开来，这次握手，更像是一场复杂棋局中的暂停，而非终局的哨声。 表面上看，这次谈判成果显著，美国取消了清单里高达91%的加征关税，中国也投桃报李，撤了对等比例的反制关税。 具体数字更扎眼：美国对中国商品的关税税率，从先前吓人的145%，"大刀阔斧"砍到了30%，这里头还包含了那笔备受争议的20%"芬太尼税"，中国对美国 货的关税也降到了10%，双方似乎都拿出了不小的诚意。 但猫腻往往藏在细节里，美国那边有一项关键的24%对 ...

金十数据整理：5月12日欧盘美盘重要新闻汇总 国内新闻： 1. 中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布：中美各取消91%的关税，暂停实施24%的关税。 2. 商务部召开外贸企业圆桌会：全力为外贸企业纾困解难，提供更多支持。 3. 央行等部门：加大广州南沙海洋产业，商业航天、全域无人产业的支持力度。 4. 中国开展了打击战略矿产走私出口专项行动，近期还将组织一系列行动，而此前实施出口管制的中重 稀土就包含在其中。 2. 当地时间5月12日，库尔德工人党决定自行解散。 3. 据悉苹果将提高秋季iPhone价格，但避免归咎于关税。 4. 美国财长贝森特：我们将研究如何解决非关税壁垒的问题。 5. 美联储理事库格勒支持将利率维持在当前水平不变，仍认为关税会产生重大影响。 6. 受中美经贸会谈消息影响，现货黄金一度跌破3210美元/盎司，国际油价涨超3%。 7. 特朗普表示，药品价格降幅在59%到80%，甚至可能达到90%，将对那些拒绝降低药品价格的国家征 收关税。 国际新闻： 1. 花旗将下一次美联储降息的预测时间从六月推迟至七月。 ...