Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the EU and the US regarding digital regulations, particularly focusing on the EU's Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act, which are seen as a challenge to US tech companies operating in Europe [5][6][12]. Group 1: EU Digital Regulations - The EU's Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act are described as "sovereign legislation" that applies to all online platforms operating within the EU, regardless of their headquarters [5][6]. - The EU has designated major tech companies like Google, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft as "gatekeepers," subjecting them to strict regulations and potential fines of up to 10% of global revenue for violations [11]. - The EU's approach contrasts with the US's preference for low tax rates and minimal regulation, highlighting a fundamental ideological divide between the two regions [12]. Group 2: US Response and Trade Implications - Former President Trump threatened to impose high tariffs on countries implementing digital taxes against US companies, indicating a potential trade conflict [9][10]. - The EU is urged to stand firm against US pressure and prepare to abandon trade agreements if necessary to protect its regulatory framework [7][8]. - The article suggests that the ongoing digital regulation disputes could complicate the already challenging negotiations for a US-EU trade framework [8]. Group 3: Economic Context and Future Outlook - The article notes that the EU's economy is lagging behind the US, with projections indicating that by 2024, the EU's GDP will be less than two-thirds of the US's [22]. - The EU is increasing investments in its AI sector, aiming to establish a stronger foothold in the digital economy and reduce reliance on US tech giants [23]. - Despite these efforts, the article expresses skepticism about the EU's ability to effectively implement its plans and compete with the US in the tech space [23].

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the escalating tensions between the EU and the US regarding digital regulations, particularly the EU's Digital Services Act and Digital Markets Act, which the EU claims apply to all online platforms operating within its jurisdiction regardless of their headquarters [1][2][3] - The EU's stance is reinforced by its assertion that these regulations do not have extraterritorial effects, but will regulate services provided within the EU [1][2] - The US, under Trump's administration, is considering sanctions against EU officials promoting the Digital Markets Act, indicating a potential trade conflict linked to digital regulation [2][3] Group 2 - Trump's comments on digital service taxes highlight a broader economic ideological divide between the US and Europe, with the US favoring low tax rates and minimal regulation, while the EU advocates for data sovereignty and high standards of protection [6][7] - The Digital Services Tax, which has been implemented by several European countries, aims to address the perceived unfair tax distribution from US tech giants operating in Europe [4][12] - The EU's Digital Markets Act identifies major US tech companies as "gatekeepers," subjecting them to stringent regulations and potential fines of up to 10% of global revenue for violations [5][12] Group 3 - The EU's efforts to impose digital service taxes are seen as a way to reclaim economic benefits from US tech companies that have historically paid lower taxes due to their European headquarters in low-tax jurisdictions like Ireland [12][13] - Despite the EU's ambitions to reshape the digital economy, the lack of substantial European tech companies undermines its enforcement capabilities, leading to skepticism about the effectiveness of these regulations [13][14] - The EU is increasing investments in AI and aims to establish a stronger presence in the digital economy, with plans for significant funding and initiatives to support local AI industries [13][14]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 index surpassing 6500 points, setting a new closing record [1] - The Dow Jones increased by 71.67 points (0.16%) to 45636.9 points, while the Nasdaq rose by 115.02 points (0.53%) to 21705.16 points [1] - In European markets, the DAX30 index fell by 14.66 points (0.06%), while the CAC40 index rose by 18.67 points (0.24%) [1] Commodity Prices - Light crude oil futures for October delivery rose by $0.45 to $64.60 per barrel (0.70% increase) [2] - Gold prices increased by 0.57%, reaching $3416.55 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures rose by 0.83% to $3477.20 per ounce [3] - LME copper prices rose by $62 to $9818 per ton, while LME nickel increased by $132 to $15263 per ton [3] Macro News - The IMF's Gita Gopinath warned about the fragile state of the global bond market, highlighting rising debt levels [4] - The U.S. government has begun publishing GDP data on public blockchains, indicating a recognition of blockchain technology [4] Corporate News - Boeing is seeking EU approval for a $4.7 billion buyback of Spirit AeroSystems, with a decision expected by September 30 [6] - Trump threatened to impose significant tariffs on countries that implement digital taxes, following discussions with Meta Platforms' CEO Mark Zuckerberg [6]

Core Points - The European Union (EU) has officially proposed legislation to implement the trade agreement framework with the United States, focusing on reducing tariffs on EU automotive products [1][2] - The proposals include the cancellation of certain tariffs on U.S. industrial goods and preferential market access for specific seafood and non-sensitive agricultural products [1][2] - The U.S. has committed to reducing tariffs on EU automobiles and parts from 27.5% to 15%, effective retroactively from August 1, contingent upon the EU's legislative actions [1][3] Group 1: Legislative Proposals - The EU's two legislative proposals aim to fulfill commitments from the EU-U.S. joint statement, including the cancellation of U.S. industrial goods tariffs and extending zero-tariff treatment for lobster [2] - Specific agricultural measures include zero tariffs on potatoes, reduced tariffs on tomatoes, and low tariff quotas for pork, cocoa, and pizza, while excluding beef, poultry, rice, and ethanol [2] Group 2: Impact on Automotive Industry - The reduction of automotive tariffs is significant for the EU, particularly for Germany, which exported $34.9 billion worth of cars and parts to the U.S. in 2024 [3] - Major German automakers have reported substantial declines in revenue and profit, with potential cash flow reductions of €10 billion due to U.S. tariffs [3] - The tariff reduction is expected to save automotive manufacturers over €500 million in duties within a month [3] Group 3: Trade Agreement Dynamics - The trade agreement is viewed as asymmetric, with the EU required to cut tariffs and purchase more U.S. energy products, while the U.S. retains tariffs on 70% of EU exports [4] - EU officials express acceptance of the agreement as a necessary compromise to avoid a trade war [4] Group 4: Digital Services Tax Controversy - The trade agreement has made progress in tariff reductions but lacks provisions for digital services, which may lead to future trade tensions [5] - U.S. threats regarding additional tariffs on countries imposing digital taxes could prompt the EU to reassess the trade agreement [5] - The proposed legislation requires approval from the European Parliament and the Council of the EU, which may take several weeks [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided in the report. Report's Core View - Gold is expected to decline in a fluctuating manner, while silver is expected to break through and rise. Copper lacks driving forces and its price will fluctuate. Zinc will have a narrow - range fluctuation. Lead prices are under pressure due to the increase in overseas inventories. Tin and aluminum will fluctuate within a range. Alumina is driven by short - term sentiment, and cast aluminum alloy follows electrolytic aluminum. Nickel's direction is determined by macro - expectations, and its elasticity is limited by fundamentals. Stainless steel is dominated by macro - sentiment, and the real - world situation still needs to be repaired [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - **Price and Trend**: The price of gold is expected to decline in a fluctuating manner, with a trend strength of - 1. The closing price of Shanghai Gold 2510 was 771.44, down 0.43%, and the night - session closing price was 774.32, up 0.49% [2][5]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of Shanghai Gold 2510 decreased by 36,087 compared to the previous day, and the position increased by 2,732. The SPDR Gold ETF's position remained unchanged at 956.23 [5]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Sino - US economic and trade talks were held in Stockholm, Sweden, and both sides will continue to extend the suspension of 24% of the US's reciprocal tariffs and China's counter - measures for 90 days. The US court started oral arguments on Thursday, and the "reciprocal tariffs" face the "risk of cancellation" [5][9]. Silver - **Price and Trend**: Silver is expected to break through and rise, with a trend strength of 0. The closing price of Shanghai Silver 2510 was 9195, down 0.18%, and the night - session closing price was 9234.00, up 0.46% [2][5]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of Shanghai Silver 2510 decreased by 611,380 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 5,678. The SLV Silver ETF's position increased by 14 to 15,173.92 [5]. Copper - **Price and Trend**: Copper lacks driving forces and its price will fluctuate, with a trend strength of 0. The closing price of the Shanghai Copper main contract was 78,840, down 0.20%, and the night - session closing price was 79090, up 0.32% [2][10]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Copper main contract decreased by 10,226 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 2,348. The inventory of Shanghai Copper increased by 251 [10]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Sino - US will continue to extend the suspension of 24% of the US's reciprocal tariffs and China's counter - measures for 90 days. India is delaying new trade concessions. The US is considering a 50% tariff on copper imports starting next week [10][12]. Zinc - **Price and Trend**: Zinc will have a narrow - range fluctuation, with a trend strength of 0. The closing price of the Shanghai Zinc main contract was 22655, up 0.04%, and the closing price of LME Zinc 3M was 2805.5, down 0.83% [2][13]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Zinc main contract decreased by 65,890 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 6,845. The LME Zinc inventory decreased by 3,350 [13]. - **News**: Sino - US economic and trade talks were held in Stockholm, Sweden, and both sides will continue to extend relevant tariffs and counter - measures for 90 days [14]. Lead - **Price and Trend**: Lead prices are under pressure due to the increase in overseas inventories, with a trend strength of 0. The closing price of the Shanghai Lead main contract was 16900, down 0.09%, and the closing price of LME Lead 3M was 2017.5, down 0.15% [2][17]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Lead main contract decreased by 24,548 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 6,012. The LME Lead inventory increased by 6,700 [17]. - **News**: Sino - US will continue to extend relevant tariffs and counter - measures for 90 days. The US job vacancies in June were 7.437 million, less than expected [18]. Tin - **Price and Trend**: Tin will fluctuate within a range, with a trend strength of - 1. The closing price of the Shanghai Tin main contract was 266,660, down 0.46%, and the night - session closing price was 268,050, up 0.26% [2][21]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Tin main contract decreased by 26,514 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 2,387. The inventory of Shanghai Tin increased by 160 [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Similar to other metals, Sino - US tariff - related issues and other macro - events are mentioned [21][22]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Trend**: Aluminum and alumina will fluctuate within a range, and cast aluminum alloy follows electrolytic aluminum. The trend strengths of aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy are all 0. The closing price of the Shanghai Aluminum main contract was 20605, down 10. The closing price of the Shanghai Alumina main contract was 3307, up 64 [2][26]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Aluminum main contract decreased by 68,337 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 12,465. The inventory of domestic aluminum ingots remained unchanged at 51.40 million tons [26]. - **News**: Trump set a new deadline for Russia to reach a Russia - Ukraine agreement, and the price of crude oil rose by more than 4% during the session. Trump and Bessent stated that the US will issue long - term bonds after the interest rate drops [28]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price and Trend**: Nickel's direction is determined by macro - expectations, and its elasticity is limited by fundamentals. Stainless steel is dominated by macro - sentiment, and the real - world situation still needs to be repaired. The trend strengths of nickel and stainless steel are both 0. The closing price of the Shanghai Nickel main contract was 121,800, up 180. The closing price of the stainless steel main contract was 12,920, up 80 [2][30]. - **Market Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Nickel main contract decreased by 177,969 compared to the previous day, and the position decreased by 2,420. The trading volume of the stainless steel main contract decreased by 211,230 compared to the previous day [30]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The governor of Ontario, Canada, threatened to stop exporting nickel to the US. An Indonesian nickel - iron project entered the trial - production stage. Environmental violations were found in an Indonesian industrial park [30][31].

Core Points - The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, discussed U.S.-EU trade agreements with EU officials, highlighting that digital services tax and perceived attacks on U.S. tech companies will be key topics in future negotiations [1] - Steel and aluminum, which were not included in the initial agreement, will also be part of the discussions [1] - The pharmaceutical and automotive industries are identified as critical sectors for reaching a trade agreement with the EU, with significant tariffs expected if pharmaceuticals are not produced in the U.S. [1] - Trump is expected to announce his pharmaceutical policy within the next two weeks [1]

Group 1 - The S&P 500 index ended a six-day winning streak, while European stocks rose [1] - Novo Nordisk's stock dropped by 28% after the appointment of a new CEO and a downward revision of its annual guidance, with sales of the weight-loss drug Wegovy falling short of expectations [1] - Crude oil prices surged over 3%, with a peak increase of more than 4% during intraday trading [1] Group 2 - The U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing in Stockholm, with both sides aiming to extend the paused 24% tariffs and corresponding countermeasures for an additional 90 days [1] - The U.S. Commerce Secretary indicated that there is still much "bargaining" to be done with the EU, focusing on digital services tax and steel and aluminum tariffs [1] - The IMF has slightly raised its global economic growth forecast, along with improved economic outlooks for both the U.S. and China [1]

Group 1 - The US and EU trade negotiations are ongoing, with key areas such as digital services tax and steel and aluminum trade still requiring extensive discussions [1][2] - A preliminary framework agreement was reached, where the US will impose a 15% tariff on EU products, and the EU will increase investments in the US by $600 billion and purchase $750 billion worth of US energy [1][3] - The pharmaceutical and automotive industries are identified as critical sectors for the trade agreement, with significant tariffs expected on non-US produced pharmaceuticals [3] Group 2 - The EU is pushing for a quota system on metal exports to reduce the 50% tariffs currently imposed by the US on specific EU metal products [2] - A non-legally binding joint statement is sought by August 1 to clarify parts of the agreement, which will lead to the US beginning to lower tariffs on certain EU industries [3] - There is skepticism in the market regarding the EU's ability to fulfill its commitment to purchase $750 billion worth of US energy within three years, given that last year's imports were less than $80 billion [5] Group 3 - The US aims to finalize all equivalent tariffs by August 1, with different timelines for negotiations with China [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the US-EU trade negotiations are ongoing, with significant issues such as digital services tax and steel and aluminum trade still needing resolution [1][2] - US Secretary of Commerce, Wilbur Ross, emphasized that there is still much negotiation to be done, particularly regarding the digital services tax and the inclusion of steel and aluminum in the discussions [2][3] - The pharmaceutical and automotive industries are identified as key areas for the trade agreement, with the US planning to impose substantial tariffs on non-US produced pharmaceuticals [3][4] Group 2 - A non-binding joint statement is sought by August 1 to clarify parts of the agreement reached, which would lead to the US beginning to lower tariffs on specific EU industries [3][4] - The EU's commitment to purchase $750 billion worth of US energy over three years is met with skepticism, as last year's imports were less than $80 billion [4] - The deadline of August 1 is set for establishing all equivalent tariffs globally, with different timelines for negotiations with China [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo has indicated that the European Union's digital services tax will be brought to the forefront of discussions [1] Group 2 - The potential implications of the EU digital services tax could affect U.S. tech companies operating in Europe, as it aims to impose taxes on revenues generated from digital services [1] - The announcement suggests a shift in focus towards international tax regulations, which may lead to increased scrutiny and potential changes in tax strategies for companies in the tech sector [1]