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金融“升维”:当好现代化产业体系的“增长伙伴”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-26 05:35
从一度因无传统抵押资产而陷入融资困境,到获得农业银行(601288)基于"技术流"评价体系精准投放 的千万元信贷,其6号厂房的拔地而起,正是中国制造根基日益坚实、金融血脉与产业肌理深度交融的 生动缩影。 北纬29°,山城重庆。在磐谷动力技术有限公司(下称"磐谷动力")展厅墙上,百余张专利证书无声诉 说着这家国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业在清洁大功率发动机以及燃气发动机领域33年的坚守。 "十四五"圆满收官在即,从高铁、新能源的全球领先,到集成电路、航空航天等关键领域的创新突破, 一条覆盖全产业链、持续向价值链高端攀升的发展路径已清晰可见。在这场波澜壮阔的产业升级进程 中,农业银行的金融活水从未缺席。 "十五五"新征程即将启航,"建设现代化产业体系,巩固壮大实体经济根基"被置于十二项战略任务首 位。中国正推动产业体系向智能化、绿色化、融合化方向纵深发展。这场深刻的产业"升维",呼唤一场 同样深刻的金融变革。金融不再仅是外部的"输血者",而是深度融入产业肌理,成为产业"增长伙伴"与 创新生态的共建者。 作为服务实体经济的主力银行,农业银行持续创新完善科技金融服务体系,加大先进制造业和新一轮重 点产业链高质量发展贷款 ...
人民币破6关口,美国押注国运,未来难回头?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 05:27
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts are seen as a response to political pressures and a means to support the economy, particularly in the technology and manufacturing sectors [1][3]. Economic Indicators - In August, the U.S. added only 22,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, highlighting economic challenges that influence decision-making [3]. - Some Federal Reserve members suggested a rare 50 basis point cut, indicating internal tensions and the influence of political factors on monetary policy [3]. Capital Flows - There is a noticeable shift in capital flows from U.S. equity and debt markets to perceived "stable and growing" RMB assets, reflecting changing investment strategies [3]. - Foreign investment teams are increasingly focusing on long-term RMB products, citing marketization and the stability of China's complete industrial chain as key reasons for their investments [3]. Trade and Supply Chain - Changes in customs clearance times and freight indices indicate a revaluation of supply chains, with a stronger RMB improving import costs and subtly shifting consumption structures [5]. - Tariff policies are increasing costs for businesses, and the Fed's rate cuts aim to mitigate these effects, although this approach may be seen as addressing weaknesses with further weaknesses [5]. Monetary Policy and Technology - The Fed's strategy includes using monetary easing to attract capital into the technology sector, representing a gamble on the future of industry [6]. - Venture capitalists express concerns that short-term liquidity may not translate into long-term innovation, fearing that market sentiment could drive funds into overvalued assets [6]. Global Currency Dynamics - The political use of interest rate cuts raises questions about the independence of the U.S. dollar in the international community, which could have long-term implications beyond immediate market fluctuations [8]. - The strengthening of the RMB is prompting international investors to reassess currency risk exposure in their asset portfolios, a process that takes time [8]. Structural Challenges - The U.S. dollar's status as a global reserve currency is at risk if institutional trust erodes, affecting cross-border contracts and central bank reserves [10]. - The Fed's rate cuts provide temporary relief but do not address fundamental structural issues such as declining labor participation, manufacturing offshoring, and persistent fiscal deficits [10]. Industry Adjustments - Chinese companies are adjusting their cost structures in response to RMB appreciation, with some export sectors shifting towards higher value-added areas, driven by market forces [11]. - In global supply chain hubs, managers prioritize delivery times, quality, and supplier stability, indicating a practical approach to currency fluctuations [13]. Long-term Implications - A potential weakening of U.S. dollar dominance could lead to a multipolar currency landscape, requiring adaptation from multinational corporations and policymakers [13]. - Historical shifts in currency systems often accompany long-term industrial adjustments and institutional innovations, suggesting that current market disruptions may signal the beginning of another gradual restructuring [15].
以更大开放诚意迎接全球资本,百瑞赢解读新版鼓励目录
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-26 03:28
Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Encouraging Foreign Investment Industry Catalog (2025 Edition)" marks a significant step in China's efforts to expand high-level openness and attract foreign investment, with a clear blueprint for future industrial upgrades and regional coordinated development [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Expansion and Optimization - The new catalog has increased the total number of entries by 205, reaching 1,679, with over 300 entries modified compared to the 2022 version [1][3]. - The nationwide "Encouraging Catalog" has added 100 new entries, while the "Advantage Industry Catalog" for specific regions has increased by 105 entries, reflecting a systematic response to the demands of China's economic development [1][3]. Industry Focus - The core direction of the revision emphasizes two dimensions: promoting industries towards mid-to-high-end and facilitating regional coordinated development [3]. - In the manufacturing sector, new areas of encouragement include nucleic acid drug development, zero-magnetic medical equipment, smart detection instruments, and underwater operation robots [3]. - In the service sector, the catalog has expanded to include modern high-end shipping, virtual power plant operations, pet medical services, sports tourism, and camping accommodation design, indicating a comprehensive approach to enhancing supply chains and meeting diverse high-quality living demands [3]. Regional Customization - The catalog tailors encouragement based on local characteristics, such as ice and snow equipment in Heilongjiang, computing power infrastructure in Guizhou, and wind power operation in Qinghai, showcasing the intent to guide foreign investment in China's internal gradient development [3]. Supporting Policies - To enhance the attractiveness of the new catalog, several supportive policies are outlined, including exemptions from import tariffs on self-used equipment, land transfer price discounts for intensive land use projects, and a reduced corporate income tax rate of 15% for investments in western regions and Hainan Province [4]. - These tangible benefits, combined with measures from the National Development and Reform Commission to support major foreign investment projects and create investment cooperation platforms, form a robust policy framework aimed at attracting and retaining foreign investment [4]. Strategic Implications - The release of the catalog transcends mere policy updates, representing China's proactive approach to shaping new advantages for attracting foreign investment and creating a transparent, stable, and predictable institutional environment [4]. - It signals to the world that China's doors for openness will continue to widen, offering multinational companies a broad platform to share in China's development opportunities with an optimized industrial structure and regional layout [4].
为产业“把脉” 为创新“搭桥”——山东化学化工学会服务聚烯烃产业发展
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-12-26 03:22
人才赋能,夯实产业发展根基。围绕聚烯烃产业共性关键问题,山东化学化工学会先后举办5次高质量 研讨会,邀请领域专家与企业共话前沿趋势。同时,通过组织化验质检人员提升班、功能安全工程师培 训和知识产权合规讲座等专项活动,累计培训技术人员200余人次,有效提升企业质量管控、本质安全 与科技创新能力。 近年来,山东化学化工学会组建跨领域专家团队,走进企业"把脉问诊",通过"企业出题、学会搭台、 专家解题"的精准机制,为区域聚烯烃产业升级注入强劲动能。截至目前,该学会已建设协同创新平台5 个,推介科技成果70余项,培养科技人才近500人次。 技术对接,破解企业"心头之患"。针对"提高产品抗冲击强度与耐热性"的共性难题,青岛科技大学、山 东理工大学等高校专家走进企业,提出引入特定改性剂的优化方案,有效提升材料性能;面对能耗问 题,专家基于智能算法,为企业量身定制反应参数优化路径,推动单位产品能耗下降。 平台共建,打造"家门口"的创新生态。为构建长效合作机制,山东化学化工学会推动建立"学会+企业 +高校"协同创新服务平台,在企业设立科技服务站,推动高校科研力量与区域经济深度融合,形成技 术创新、工艺优化、安全诊断、标准制定 ...
2025年版鼓励外商投资产业目录发布,锁定先进制造与现代服务
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-26 02:28
Core Viewpoint - The release of the new "Encouraged Foreign Investment Industry Catalog (2025 Edition)" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce signifies a new round of optimization and upgrading of China's foreign investment policies, aimed at enhancing high-level openness and providing clear, stable, and transparent investment expectations for global investors [1][2]. Group 1: Key Changes in the Catalog - The new catalog focuses on three core changes to optimize the structure of foreign investment. Firstly, it continues to prioritize advanced manufacturing, adding fields such as nucleic acid drug development, zero-magnetic medical equipment, smart detection equipment manufacturing, and key components for robots [3][4]. - Secondly, it emphasizes modern service industries, particularly productive services, with new entries including common technology platforms for new materials, modern high-end shipping services, and virtual power plant operations [3][4]. - Thirdly, it incorporates a wide range of service sectors to support consumer demand, including pet hospitals, sports tourism services, and internet-based healthcare services [3][4]. Group 2: Regional Policy Adjustments - The new catalog expands the encouraged investment scope based on the resource endowments and industrial advantages of the central and western regions, Northeast China, and Hainan Province. For example, new entries include cruise tourism services in Liaoning, ice and snow equipment development in Heilongjiang, and marine environmental governance in Hainan [4][5]. - This differentiated regional policy aims to guide foreign investment to align with local characteristics, promoting coordinated regional economic development [4][5]. Group 3: Policy Benefits and Support Measures - The new catalog not only specifies investment directions but also introduces tangible policy benefits. Foreign investors in encouraged sectors will enjoy multiple incentives, such as exemption from import tariffs on self-used equipment and priority land supply for intensive land-use industrial projects [4][5]. - Tax incentives include a reduced corporate income tax rate of 15% for investments in the western regions and Hainan, along with potential tax deferral or credits for foreign investors reinvesting profits through domestic enterprises [4][5]. Group 4: Implementation and Support for Foreign Investment - To ensure the effective implementation of policy benefits, relevant departments will enhance support services, including expediting major foreign investment projects and addressing challenges related to land use, environmental assessments, and energy consumption [5][6]. - A specialized action plan for foreign enterprises will be launched to facilitate investment cooperation and resolve operational challenges, fostering a market-oriented, legal, and international business environment [5][6]. Group 5: Industry Insights - Analysts view the new catalog as a pragmatic policy document with clear guidance. It aims to leverage global innovation elements and accelerate industrial upgrades through the integration of new technologies and business models [6]. - The inclusion of modern service sectors responds to domestic demands for improved living standards and opens up significant domestic market opportunities for foreign enterprises [6]. - The enhanced attractiveness of the central and western regions, combined with tax incentives, is expected to optimize China's foreign investment landscape and promote high-quality economic development [6].
人民币破7!打工人海淘狂省,出口厂却哭晕在厕所
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 02:27
Group 1 - The offshore RMB exchange rate broke the 7.0 mark for the first time in 15 months, reaching a high of 6.9965, causing mixed reactions among different sectors of the economy [1][3] - The appreciation of the RMB is attributed to the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a record trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion, and significant foreign capital inflows into A-shares, with net inflows exceeding 150 billion [3][6] - For ordinary citizens, the stronger RMB translates to lower costs for overseas expenses, with the cost of exchanging $10,000 decreasing by nearly 1,700 yuan compared to the beginning of the year [3][6] Group 2 - Export-oriented businesses, particularly in labor-intensive sectors like textiles and toys, are facing significant challenges, with profit margins severely impacted by the RMB's appreciation [6] - The shift in China's foreign trade structure indicates a move away from relying on currency devaluation to boost exports, focusing instead on technology, branding, and added value, with new energy vehicles and solar components showing growth [6][8] - The recent RMB appreciation reflects the resilience of the Chinese economy and serves as a push towards high-quality development, highlighting the need for industries to adapt and upgrade [8]
破七不够劲爆,什么时候一比四了再说话
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 01:02
如果你是在节点已经到了的时候惊呼的人,那这个节点对你也没啥价值。 大家好,我是孙少睡,这是我的第464篇楼市评论。 很多人对节点有着谜之追求。比如股票破4000点,比如关税战满1年,比如贸易顺差突破10000亿,比如 人民币汇率破7。 但节点也不过是按照趋势自然达成的而已,我们要做的是预测,不是庆贺。毕竟,也没在这样的节点里 拿到什么好处不是? 我们不做第一种人,还是聊聊这件事意味着什么吧。 美联储今年连续降息,累计降了75个基点。市场觉得他们太墨迹,预计2026年还得接着降。之前美元很 强势,但现在还是收缩了,美元指数跌了不少。 而且破七这种事也并不新鲜。2024年9月25日,人民币汇率破升破7.0重要关口,最高触及6.99515。 这次肯定是我们主动的。为什么? 因为过去如果人民币升值太快,央妈会出来踩刹车。比如通过设定中间价来引导预期等等。但这次没什 么动作还很淡定。 甚至在12月初,逆周期因子还调成了正值,这等于是在告诉市场说,这个升值方向是央妈认可的。 那么这个时候就只有两种人:一种人高喊人民币牛了,一种人盘算接下来会对我们有什么影响。 为了促使制造业回流,甚至明年美联储换帅,都影响着美元势头的减弱 ...
海南封关:轻工制造业的机遇
Xiao Fei Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-26 00:36
Core Insights - The "closure" policy in Hainan is transforming from a macro-level arrangement to a specific industry variable, presenting an opportunity for the light manufacturing industry to reshape its comparative advantages [1][4] - The regulatory model of "first line open, second line controlled" will significantly reduce import costs for raw materials, equipment, and components, providing a "systemic buffer" for cost-sensitive categories in light manufacturing [1][2] - Hainan's closure not only offers tax incentives and customs facilitation but also aligns with international rules, creating a conducive business environment for composite models like "manufacturing + design" and "manufacturing + branding" [2][3] Industry Summary - The light manufacturing sector has long been labeled as "low value-added" and "labor-intensive," with shortcomings in design, branding, channels, and services [2] - Hainan's free trade port has the potential to become an "international transit and brand incubation platform" for light manufacturing products, connecting domestic manufacturing with international markets [2][3] - Hainan's closure serves as a "systematic testing ground" for the national light industry, allowing for exploration in green manufacturing, digital supply chains, and intellectual property protection [3][4] - Overall, Hainan's closure is viewed as a proactive transformation window for the light manufacturing industry, where the ability to convert systemic benefits into structural advantages will determine competitive positioning in the new industrial adjustment [4][5]
滨州经济技术开发区绘就 “科创经开” 新图景
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-12-25 23:55
科技创新铸引擎 平台赋能激活力 科技创新是引领发展的第一动力,而高能级创新平台则是集聚创新要素、突破关键技术的核心载体。滨 州经济技术开发区深谙此道,全力构建高能级创新平台、高层次人才队伍、高融合创产集群、高品质创 新生态"四位一体"科创体系,让创新之花在这片热土上绚烂绽放。 滨州经济技术开发区全力推动"五区建设",依托现有产业基础,梳理"八大优势",聚焦新能源汽车零部件、 航空航天、生物医药等特色产业链精准招商,因诺科技等无人机项目落地投产,光刻胶、铝基复材等先进 材料产业健康发展,渤海公共实训基地入选国家高技能人才培训基地,2024年国家级开发区综合评价首次 进入前100名,实现了历史性突破,以产业高质量发展赋能城市活力提升。 滨州汇聚起全球规模最大的铝产业集群,而滨州经济技术开发区又是全市高端铝和装备制造业的重要承 载地。今年6月,滨州铝产业先进制造山东省实验室揭牌仪式在魏桥国科科技园举行,这是山东省首家由民 营企业承担建设的省实验室。该实验室揭牌不仅是滨州经济技术开发区科技创新领域的重要里程碑,同 时对推动铝产业绿色低碳、高质量发展意义重大,标志着滨州经济技术开发区在铝产业先进制造领域的 科研实力向前 ...
电力赋能菌菇飘香“鲜”上市
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 23:32
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the efforts of the State Grid Pinghu City Power Supply Company in ensuring reliable electricity supply for the Jieyun Edible Mushroom Cooperative, which is a model for agricultural industry upgrading in the region [3][4]. Group 1: Company Initiatives - The company conducted a safety inspection of the electricity supply for the cooperative, focusing on irrigation lines, ventilation systems, and lighting equipment to ensure stable power supply [4]. - The company actively engaged with the cooperative to understand their electricity needs and developed feasible plans to support peak electricity demand during mushroom production [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Development - The Jieyun Edible Mushroom Cooperative has transformed traditional mushroom cultivation into an intelligent system, increasing production efficiency and annual output value to 160,000 yuan per 5,000 square meters [3]. - The cooperative's shift to high-end mushroom varieties has led to a significant increase in annual output value from over 1 million yuan in 2019 to 12 million yuan in 2024, benefiting over 20 local farmers [4]. Group 3: Future Plans - The company plans to continue monitoring the electricity needs of local specialty industries and enhance the quality and efficiency of its power supply services to support agricultural development and improve farmers' livelihoods [5].