Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.86% during the week of September 8-12, while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.16% [2] - The carbon neutrality sector rose by 2.25%, the public utilities sector increased by 0.75%, the environmental protection sector grew by 1.31%, and the coal sector fell by 0.11% [2][3] New Energy Pricing Results - On September 11, the State Grid Shandong Electric Power Company announced the results of the new energy mechanism electricity price bidding for the year, attracting over 3,000 new energy projects, with 1,200 projects selected [3] - The total scale of the selected mechanism electricity was 9.467 billion kWh, including 5.967 billion kWh from wind power and 1.248 billion kWh from solar power [3] - The execution period for deep-sea wind power is set at 15 years, while other projects will have a 10-year execution period [3] Bidding Price Analysis - The bidding price for wind power was 0.319 yuan/kWh, which is 0.031 yuan/kWh or 8.9% lower than the bidding ceiling of 0.35 yuan/kWh [3] - The bidding price for solar power was 0.225 yuan/kWh, which is 0.125 yuan/kWh or 35.7% lower than the bidding ceiling [3] - The significant discount for solar power is attributed to its lower share of the mechanism electricity allocation at 13.2%, leading to intense competition among projects [3] Industry News - On September 12, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued guidelines for the construction of continuous operation regional electricity spot markets, supporting the exploration of market mechanisms for new energy [4] - A new action plan for large-scale construction of new energy storage was released, aiming for a national installed capacity of over 180 million kW by 2027, with direct investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [4] - A subsidiary of Daikin Heavy Industries signed its first specific contract under a long-term locked production agreement for an overseas offshore wind power project, with a total contract value of approximately 1.25 billion yuan [4] Investment Recommendations - For the thermal power sector, it is recommended to focus on companies with power generation assets in regions with tight supply and favorable competition, such as Sheneng Co. and Huadian International [5] - In the hydropower sector, attention is drawn to leading operators like Yangtze Power [5] - In the new energy generation sector, it is suggested to focus on leading companies like Longyuan Power [5] - For nuclear power, it is recommended to pay attention to leading enterprises like China National Nuclear Power, especially in the context of increasing market-oriented electricity pricing [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The global economy maintains an upward trend, with China implementing the AI+ initiative, the energy storage installed capacity set to double in three years, and significant capital inflows into Chinese bonds and stocks in August. The US may expand its interest rate cut in September, and the eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August exceeded the boom-bust line for the first time since June 2022. Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, accelerating AI infrastructure development [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Important Information - Citi believes the August CPI report provides more basis for the Fed to start a rate cut cycle, expecting a cumulative 125 basis points cut in the next five FOMC meetings, with the policy rate potentially dropping below 3% [1] - China's Ministry of Commerce announced an anti-discrimination investigation into US measures in the integrated circuit field against China, and will take corresponding measures against the US based on actual situations [1] - Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, driving demand explosion. B - end applications are shifting from technical verification to large - scale monetization, and opportunities in the cloud computing track are emerging [1] - Alibaba open - sourced the Qwen3 - Next - 80B - A3B new architecture model, with a 90% reduction in training cost compared to Qwen3 - 32B, a 10 - fold increase in inference efficiency, and excellent performance in scenarios over 32K [1] - China released the "Special Action Plan for Large - scale Construction of New Energy Storage (2025 - 2027)", aiming for a new energy storage installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, which means it will double in three years [1] - As AI extends from training to inference and edge devices, the demand for large - capacity memory is increasing, with supply tightening. Micron may raise product prices by 20% - 30%, and automotive electronics prices may rise by 70% [1] Global Economic Logic - China implements the AI+ initiative, and the energy storage installed capacity will double in three years. In August, a net inflow of $39 billion into Chinese bonds and stocks occurred. The US non - farm payrolls data was significantly revised down by 911,000 people, and the interest rate cut in September may be expanded. The US Court of Appeals ruled that "reciprocal tariffs" are illegal. US capital goods imports in July reached a record $95.8 billion, and the manufacturing industry is accelerating. The eurozone's manufacturing PMI in August exceeded the boom - bust line for the first time since June 2022. Tesla will start mass - producing Optimus robots in 2026. Global AI giants are in a "military race" of model + intelligent agent, accelerating AI infrastructure development [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a pullback after reaching new highs, with all three major indices closing lower. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.12%, the Shenzhen Component decreased by 0.43%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.09% [2][4][6] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.52 trillion yuan, an increase of 83.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [6] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals (up 1.96%), real estate (up 1.51%), steel (up 1.41%), electronics (up 1.14%), and construction decoration (up 0.96%) [3][4] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were telecommunications (down 2.13%), comprehensive (down 1.95%), beauty care (down 1.52%), banking (down 1.52%), and non-bank financials (down 1.46%) [3][4] Concept Indices - Among concept indices, zinc and lead metals, storage chips, cultivated diamonds, and gold concepts showed significant gains, while football concepts, PEEK materials, dairy, new and secondary stocks, and BC batteries faced declines [3][4] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its strong momentum due to multiple positive factors, despite recent fluctuations. It is suggested to focus on sectors such as technology growth, new energy, non-bank financials, and machinery equipment [6] - The recent policy from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aims to promote large-scale construction of new energy storage, which may benefit related sectors [5]

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a special action plan for the large-scale construction of new energy storage from 2025 to 2027, aiming for a total installed capacity of over 180 GW by 2027, with direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [1] - The energy storage industry is undergoing a transformation towards a more commercial and sustainable development path after a period of decline following the cancellation of mandatory storage requirements, with a market reshuffle highlighting the advantages of companies that can provide market returns [1] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities predicts that with the full market entry of renewable energy, electricity prices may decrease, and the peak-valley price difference may widen, potentially enhancing revenue through self-supplied storage [1] Group 2 - Tongli Risheng is engaged in energy storage system integration through its subsidiary Tianqi Hongyuan, with projects in Gansu and Tianjin, and possesses several core technologies related to energy storage [2] - Southern Power Grid Technology has made significant investments in the energy storage sector, including leading the establishment of a national new energy storage innovation center and developing key components such as megawatt-level energy storage inverters [2]

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on power generation assets in regions with tight supply-demand balance and favorable competition dynamics, particularly recommending companies like Sheneng Co. and Huadian International for thermal power, and Yangtze Power for hydropower [4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recent auction results for renewable energy pricing in Shandong, indicating a total of 94.67 billion kWh of selected projects, with wind power accounting for 59.67 billion kWh and solar power for 12.48 billion kWh [6][32] - It notes that the winning bid price for wind power was 0.319 yuan/kWh, which is an 8.9% discount from the auction ceiling, while solar power had a winning bid of 0.225 yuan/kWh, reflecting a 35.7% discount [6][33] - The report emphasizes the importance of the new market mechanisms being developed for renewable energy, including the support for a spot market for electricity [6][57] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.86% while the ChiNext Index increased by 2.16% during the week of September 8-12 [12] - The carbon neutrality sector rose by 2.25%, while the coal sector saw a slight decline of 0.11% [12] Industry News - The report discusses the new guidelines for the continuous operation of electricity spot markets, which aim to enhance market competition and system operation [57] - It also mentions the new action plan for large-scale construction of new energy storage, targeting an installed capacity of over 180 million kW by 2027, with direct investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [58] Investment Recommendations - For thermal power, the report recommends focusing on leading companies in regions with tight supply-demand dynamics, such as Anhui Energy and Huadian International [62] - In hydropower, it suggests monitoring Yangtze Power due to stable electricity prices and regional supply-demand tightness [62] - For nuclear power, it highlights China National Nuclear Power as a key player due to expected increases in electricity generation and stable pricing [62] - In the renewable energy sector, it recommends Longyuan Power as a leading wind power operator [63] - The report also suggests focusing on urban comprehensive operation management service providers like Yuhua Tian [63]

Group 1 - The three major indices in China saw significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.52%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 2.65%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.10% [1] - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on sectors with growth potential and the need for a turnaround in deflationary trends to attract foreign investment in Chinese assets [1] - China Merchants Securities highlights the introduction of new energy storage construction plans and anticipates upcoming discussions between China and the U.S. in Spain regarding various topics, including TikTok [1] Group 2 - Huajin Securities notes ongoing market volatility and discussions about asset allocation strategies, indicating a preference for technology and cyclical sectors [2] - China Galaxy Securities reports a global rise in risk appetite due to expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which are expected to lower capital costs and enhance corporate profit forecasts [2] - Dongwu Securities discusses the need for market volume to increase for a sustained upward trend, indicating that structural shifts may occur during periods of market consolidation [3] Group 3 - Pacific Securities anticipates sector rotation and is waiting for new highs in the market [4] - The bond market is expected to continue its downward trend, with predictions of new lows for government bond futures [5] - Xiangcai Securities reports a rebound in macro short-cycle composite indices and an upward trend in A-share indices, driven by strong performance in technology sectors [6] Group 4 - Kaisheng Securities highlights the "spindle strategy" focusing on sectors with growth potential and valuation recovery, particularly in Hong Kong and the ChiNext market [6] - Yongxing Securities notes a divergence in the market with an increase in margin trading balances, while overall turnover rates have declined [7] - The current investment environment in A-shares is characterized by high investment value, with the dividend yield of the CSI 300 index at 2.62% compared to a 10-year government bond yield of 1.90% [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in domestic and international energy storage system bidding and shipment volumes, with domestic bidding capacity reaching 47.2 GWh in August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2158% and a month-on-month increase of 1142% [1][19] - The new energy storage construction plan for 2025-2027 aims for an annual installed capacity of at least 85 GWh, driving direct project investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [2][32] - The establishment of energy storage as an independent market entity is expected to enhance its role in electricity balancing and pricing [35] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - Domestic energy storage system bidding has rapidly increased, with a cumulative bidding volume of 144.1 GWh from January to August 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 216% [1][19] - Internationally, Chinese companies secured 199 overseas energy storage orders in the first half of 2025, totaling over 160 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 220.28% [24][27] 2. Market Information Tracking - In September 2025, the average transaction price for electricity in Jiangsu was 319.48 yuan/MWh, down 18.29% from the benchmark price [51] - The average price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region was reported at 675 yuan/ton as of September 10, 2025, reflecting a slight increase [53] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on new energy storage-related companies such as Xizi Clean Energy, Lin Yang Energy, and Tongli Risen [2] - In the renewable energy sector, companies like Fuhua Energy and Zhongmin Energy are recommended due to improved cash flow from renewable energy subsidies [13] - For gas companies, China Gas is highlighted as a key player due to its significant residential gas consumption [13] 4. Industry Dynamics - The new energy storage construction plan aims for a cumulative installed capacity of over 180 million kW by 2027, with a focus on lithium-ion battery storage technology [32] - The report emphasizes the importance of establishing a reliable capacity compensation mechanism for energy storage to ensure its profitability [35]

Group 1 - The 2025 International New Energy Expo in Changzhou has commenced, featuring 33 key projects with a total investment exceeding 33.7 billion yuan, covering various fields such as talent, scientific innovation, and industry [1] - Changzhou has established a comprehensive industrial ecosystem focusing on five key areas: generation, storage, transmission, usage, and networks, showing significant development results [1] - In the first half of this year, Changzhou's production of new energy vehicles reached 391,000 units, marking a growth of 42.3% [1] - From January to July, the output value of large-scale enterprises in the new energy sector in Changzhou reached 507.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.3% [1] - Last year, the scale of Changzhou's new energy industry surpassed 850 billion yuan, with a target to reach one trillion yuan this year [1] - As a national carbon peak pilot city, Changzhou has innovatively established a chief carbon officer system for enterprises, promoting the construction of a new energy system and ESG framework [1] Group 2 - The second half of the new energy sector is characterized by the deep integration of "Watt Economy" and "Bit Economy" [2] - Changzhou aims to use artificial intelligence as a key driver for future industrial development, actively constructing a "6+X" future industrial system [2] - The focus will be on developing six growth-oriented future industries, including artificial intelligence, embodied intelligence, new energy storage, synthetic biology, advanced materials, and compound semiconductors [2]

Core Insights - The recent policy expectations for new energy storage have been favorable, with the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration announcing a plan for large-scale development by 2027, targeting an installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts and direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [1][2] - As of the end of 2024, China's installed capacity of new energy storage is expected to reach 73.76 million kilowatts, accounting for over 40% of the global total, with a projected doubling of capacity in less than three years [1][3] Policy and Market Mechanisms - The action plan includes measures to accelerate the improvement of market mechanisms to establish reasonable charging and discharging prices for new energy storage, allowing participation in various energy markets for revenue recovery [2][5] - Several provinces have introduced clear capacity compensation and pricing mechanisms, with Inner Mongolia setting a compensation standard of 0.35 yuan/kWh and Hebei proposing a capacity price of 100 yuan/kW [4][5] Industry Demand and Production - There is a significant demand for storage solutions, with many manufacturers reporting full production lines and a surge in orders, particularly from overseas markets, contributing to a 97% year-on-year increase in global storage cell shipments [3][4] - The domestic market has seen a shift in the growth rhythm of new energy storage installations, with a notable decline in the number of projects connected to the grid after the "531" policy [3][4] Economic Viability - The internal rate of return for independent storage projects under the new compensation mechanisms is projected to be 6.2% in Hebei and 14.8% in Inner Mongolia, exceeding the investment return requirements of large state-owned enterprises [4][5] - The action plan emphasizes the need for a reliable capacity compensation mechanism to stabilize investor confidence and ensure adequate system capacity [6][5] Application Scenarios - The action plan aims to expand the application of new energy storage across various sectors, including power generation and grid integration, to enhance system stability and absorb excess production capacity [7][8] - The focus on user-side "new energy + storage" configurations is expected to be a key development area, with several provinces implementing green electricity direct connection plans [8][9] Challenges and Future Directions - The current high system costs of storage may limit the scale of zero-carbon parks and green electricity connections, necessitating supportive pricing mechanisms from both central and local governments [9][8] - Provinces with strong manufacturing bases in new energy storage, such as Guangdong, are encouraged to innovate in pricing policies to stimulate local demand and support the industry [9]

Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued the "Special Action Plan for Large-Scale Construction of New Energy Storage (2025-2027)" aiming for significant advancements in energy storage by 2027 [1] Group 1: Development Goals - By 2027, the overall goal for new energy storage is to achieve large-scale and market-oriented development, with technological innovation and manufacturing capabilities ranking among the top globally [1] - The installed capacity of new energy storage nationwide is expected to exceed 180 million kilowatts, driving direct project investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Technological Focus - The primary technology route for new energy storage will continue to be lithium-ion battery storage, with a further diversification of technology routes and application scenarios [1] - The plan aims to cultivate a number of pilot application projects and create typical application scenarios [1] Group 3: Application Expansion - The plan outlines four major application expansion paths focusing on industrial parks, computing facilities, solar-storage charging stations, and communication base stations [2] - Innovative models such as direct green electricity connection, virtual power plants, integrated source-grid-load-storage systems, and vehicle-grid interaction will be developed [2] - The integration of big data and artificial intelligence technologies will create innovative scenarios for "AI + Energy Storage," fostering replicable pilot projects [2]