盘前要闻 1、头部硅片企业大幅上调报价？硅片厂商：确有上调，受上游涨价影响 类型：行业 情绪影响：正面 据市场消息，12月25日头部硅片企业联合大幅上调报价，平均涨幅达到12%。隆基绿能相关负责人表 示，当日确有上调报价，与网传幅度一致。原因方面，硅业分会称本周硅片企业挺价推涨意愿较为强 烈，导致硅片价格大幅上涨，由于近期硅片厂商持积极乐观心态，12月硅片市场有望进一步走强。 2、现货白银突破73美元/盎司再创新高，国投白银LOF连发风险提示 类型：行业 情绪影响：正面 周五早间，现货白银再度上涨，突破73美元/盎司，创历史新高。另外，国投白银LOF发布公告称，将 于26日开盘起至10:30停牌后复牌，并警示二级市场交易价格存在明显溢价风险。专业人士分析，限购 不是为了制造稀缺，而是这只白银LOF已经达到可承载规模的物理极限。 3、商务部：做好岁末年初消费促进和市场保供工作，深入实施消费专项行动 类型：行业 情绪影响：正面 商务部举行例行新闻发布会，何咏前表示，商务部将推动"政策+活动"双轮驱动，创新打造多元化消费 场景，扩大优质商品和服务供给，更好满足城乡居民节日消费需求。鼓励重点商超，购物中心等适当延 长 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies, including Giant Network, Xindong Company, and Kyeing Network, among others [10]. Core Insights - The Chinese gaming industry is experiencing robust growth in overseas markets, with self-developed game revenues increasing by 5.6% year-on-year in Q1-Q3 2025, projected to rise from $11.6 billion in 2019 to $18.56 billion by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 9.1% [1][20]. - The global gaming market is shifting from a traffic-driven model to one focused on structural innovation, marking the entry of Chinese gaming companies into a "high-quality growth era" [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support and technological empowerment in driving overseas growth, with the gaming sector becoming a core vehicle for cultural export [2][16]. Summary by Sections Industry Growth Dynamics - The overseas revenue of self-developed games from China is expected to grow significantly, with mobile games maintaining a dominant share of around 90% since 2021 [20][25]. - Emerging markets like Southeast Asia and the Middle East show strong user engagement and growth potential, while mature markets like Europe and North America are focusing on premium content and localized operations [1][29]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is characterized by large companies like Tencent and NetEase leveraging global strategies and stable revenue from evergreen products, while mid-sized firms like Didi Interactive and Lemon Microfun are successfully carving out niches through focused strategies [4][18]. - The report highlights the success of SLG (Simulation and Strategy Games) genres, which accounted for 43.3% of overseas revenue in the first half of 2025, alongside the emergence of innovative gameplay that combines different genres [3][17]. Investment Opportunities - Future opportunities in the overseas market are identified in regional expansion and the evolution of gameplay and genres, with a recommendation for companies like Giant Network and Xindong Company [6][10]. - The report suggests that the market is not saturated, as there remains potential for growth in both mature and emerging markets through premium content and localized strategies [5][19].

Core Insights - The "revenue share dispute" between Apple and Tencent has reached a resolution, with Apple agreeing to a 15% revenue share for in-app purchases in Tencent's mini-games, significantly lower than the standard 30% [2] - This new agreement signals a positive shift for game developers, who have long struggled with high revenue share percentages imposed by both iOS and Android platforms [2][8] - The change in revenue share is expected to lead to a more optimized and restructured industry ecosystem, providing game companies with greater autonomy in revenue distribution [2][8] Group 1: Apple and Tencent Agreement - Apple will implement a 15% revenue share for Tencent's in-app purchases starting in 2024, down from the usual 30% [2] - This agreement is seen as a significant concession by Apple and may influence Android channels to follow suit in reducing their revenue share percentages [8] - The new revenue share model is anticipated to enhance the competitive environment for game developers, allowing for fairer competition [8] Group 2: Industry Context and Reactions - The high revenue share model has historically placed a heavy burden on game developers, with Android channels often charging up to 50% [2][5] - Companies like NetEase have begun to push back against these high fees, with CEO Ding Lei expressing dissatisfaction with the 50% share in the Chinese Android ecosystem [5][6] - The emergence of alternative distribution methods, such as direct downloads and partnerships with third-party platforms, is becoming more common among leading game developers [6][9] Group 3: Future Implications for Channels - The traditional high revenue share model is becoming increasingly outdated, as game developers gain more negotiating power [9][11] - Mobile channel providers must reassess their strategies, moving from a reliance on traffic to offering unique services to maintain partnerships with game developers [11][13] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards a new channel era focused on user experience and ecosystem services, driven by innovations like cloud gaming and AI [13]

Company Summary - Ice Glacier Network reported a revenue of 1.876 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 5.39% [1] - The net profit for the same period was 502 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - In Q3, the revenue was 619 million yuan, down 20.29% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 244.58% to 166 million yuan [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 590 million yuan, a significant increase of 369.48% year-on-year [1] - The company has optimized its investment strategy, focusing on return rates rather than just expanding the quantity of investments [1] - Sales expenses for the first three quarters were 911 million yuan, a decrease of 52.31% compared to the previous year [1] - Future performance will rely on the development and operational performance of new products, with increased investment in core R&D [1] Industry Summary - The gaming industry has shown signs of recovery, with record-high sales revenue and user numbers in the first half of 2025 [2] - The issuance of game licenses has normalized, leading to a rapid development pace in the domestic gaming sector [2] - Smaller game companies are focusing on product diversification and targeting younger users to differentiate from mainstream competitors [2] - Ice Glacier Network has a relatively low market share compared to major gaming firms, but the shift in competition from "full-scale competition" to "niche market focus" creates opportunities for mid-sized companies [2] - Analysts are optimistic about the industry's future, expecting continued growth in Q3 and new game releases during key holiday periods to drive performance [2] - The integration of AI technology is anticipated to transform the industry, with potential new growth areas in emotionally engaging and user-generated content games [2]

Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext Index surged past 3200 points, reaching a new three-year high with an annual increase of over 50% [1] - The ChiNext ETF (Guangfa) rose by 2.13%, marking its fourth consecutive increase, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Kunlun Wanwei (up 10.99%) and Aosheng Technology (up 9.49%) [3] Group 2: Energy Storage Sector - The U.S. is expected to see a new installed capacity of 5.5 GW/18.8 GWh in new energy storage for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35%-40% [1] - European and emerging markets are projected to experience growth rates of 1-2 times in the energy storage sector [1] - Citic Securities highlights that the acceleration of electricity reform will transform energy storage from a cost item to a profit item, with improved capacity compensation mechanisms providing a profit "safety net" [1] Group 3: Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with recent government actions aimed at capacity integration and price regulation in the silicon material segment [1] - The industry is expected to enter a phase of high-quality development, with technological upgrades and market structure optimization becoming core competitive factors [1] Group 4: Gaming Industry - In September, 156 games were approved, including 145 domestic and 11 imported titles, marking the third month this year with over 150 game approvals [2] - The gaming sector is experiencing a dual increase in supply and demand, leading to an overall rise in gaming hours and market expansion [2] - The trend indicates a more favorable competitive landscape, with major companies focusing on long-lasting games and mid-sized companies targeting niche markets [2] Group 5: ETF Overview - The ChiNext ETF (Guangfa) closely tracks the ChiNext Index, consisting of 100 stocks with high market capitalization and liquidity, focusing on strategic emerging industries [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the significant increase in the China Securities Media Index, driven by the approval of a large number of games, indicating a robust gaming market [1][2] - As of September 2025, the China Securities Media Index (399971) rose by 2.39%, with notable increases in stocks such as Kunlun Wanwei (300418) up 10.72% and Perfect World (002624) up 5.56% [1] - In September, a total of 156 games were approved, including 145 domestic and 11 imported titles, marking the third month this year with over 150 game approvals [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights that the current gaming market's growth is driven by both supply and demand, leading to increased gaming hours and market expansion [2] - The competitive landscape is becoming less intense, with leading companies focusing on evergreen games and mid-sized companies targeting niche markets [2] - The shift in marketing strategies towards content-driven approaches and changes in distribution channels are reducing sales and channel sharing pressures, benefiting gaming communities and live streaming platforms [2] Group 3 - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Media Index accounted for 50.47% of the index, with companies like Focus Media (002027) and Giant Network (002558) among the leaders [3]

Group 1 - The gaming sector is experiencing growth, with the approval of 145 domestic games and 11 imported games in September 2025, indicating a positive regulatory environment [4][5] - Major gaming companies like Tencent and NetEase received approvals for new games, which is expected to enhance their product lines in the ACG and social gaming sectors [5] - In the first half of 2025, 23 A-share gaming companies reported total revenue of 53.841 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.78%, with net profits reaching 8.027 billion yuan, significantly higher than previous years [5][6] Group 2 - The overseas revenue from self-developed games exceeded 9.5 billion USD in the first half of 2025, showing a growth of over 11%, highlighting the global expansion of Chinese gaming companies [6] - 32 Chinese companies ranked in the global top 100 mobile game publishers, collectively generating 2.04 billion USD, which accounted for 35.1% of the total revenue of the top 100 publishers [6] - The gaming industry is expected to maintain high prosperity due to three driving factors: AI empowerment, high growth from overseas markets, and favorable supply-side policies [6][7] Group 3 - The media sector is witnessing a rise in AI applications, which is expected to reshape the industry landscape and enhance cultural confidence through content output [7] - The gaming sector is anticipated to see continued high demand and supply resonance, with a focus on companies that show high growth potential in their upcoming quarterly reports [7]

Group 1 - The gaming ETF (516010) experienced a decline of over 3%, with a net inflow exceeding 500 million yuan in the past five days, indicating strong capital interest in the gaming sector [1] - Huafu Securities highlights that AI significantly enhances the game planning process, improving efficiency across the entire chain from creative generation to interactive design, gameplay optimization, and storyline production [1] - The gaming ETF tracks the anime and gaming index (930901), which selects listed companies involved in anime production, game development, platform operation, and related industries to reflect the overall performance of the anime and gaming sector [1] Group 2 - AI-generated content can quickly produce frameworks for worldviews, tasks, and dialogues, while NPC interactions enable open dialogues and scene adaptations, as demonstrated by AI characters in games like "Nirvana in Fire" and "Maggie's Garden" [1] - The index focuses on innovation and growth within the anime and gaming fields, covering the entire industry chain from content creation to distribution channels, showcasing significant industry representation and market vitality [1] - AI is utilized in storyline production, as seen in "Endless Winter," where a large amount of AI-generated content is optimized by humans, greatly enhancing content production efficiency [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth driven by the success of its self-developed game "Supernatural Action Team" and the ongoing expansion of its core IP "Journey" [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.47% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 777 million yuan, up 8.27% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 807 million yuan, a decrease of 8.79% year-on-year [1] User Growth and Product Performance - The launch of "Original Journey" led to significant user growth, with 5.86 million new users in the first month and over 20 million new users in the first half of 2025 - The average monthly revenue from "Original Journey" remained stable at 100 million yuan - "Supernatural Action Team" achieved a milestone of over 1 million concurrent users in July and ranked in the top 4 of the iOS best-seller list, with over 3 billion views of related videos [2] AI Integration and Innovation - The company is integrating AI into its core gaming business, with "Space Kill" launching a new mode "Endgame Duel" in 2025, featuring a mixed competition mechanism with AI - "Original Journey" has fully integrated the AI NPC "Little Sister" to enhance user experience through strategic assistance and emotional companionship [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.739 billion yuan, 6.563 billion yuan, and 7.618 billion yuan respectively - Projected net profits for the same years are 2.298 billion yuan, 3.187 billion yuan, and 3.551 billion yuan respectively - The company's price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 26.6, 19.2, and 17.2 times respectively [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from its strong IP development and operational capabilities, as well as a high-quality user base - The initial coverage rating is "Buy" based on the positive outlook for revenue and profit growth [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][12] Core Views - The company achieved a significant quarter-on-quarter revenue increase in Q2, driven by new game releases, indicating strong performance momentum [4][5] - The company's H1 revenue reached 1.662 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.47%, with a net profit of 777 million yuan, up 8.27% year-on-year [4] - The contract liabilities reached 889 million yuan by the end of Q2, reflecting a 79% year-on-year increase, indicating ongoing strong game performance [4][5] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 2.293 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 60.9% [4][9] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is set at 4.688 billion yuan, representing a 60.4% increase compared to the previous year [4][9] - The company's gross margin is expected to be 90.5% in 2025, with a net margin of 48.9% [9] Game Performance - The game "Supernatural Action Group" has shown exponential growth in user scale and revenue, ranking in the top 5 of iOS free games and top 4 in iOS revenue charts [5][6] - The game "Original Journey" has expanded its user base significantly, with over 20 million new users in the first half of the year [5] AI Integration - The company is exploring AI integration in gaming, enhancing user engagement and driving revenue growth through innovative gameplay [6]