A股复盘 | 人心散了，队伍不好带啊 标题是我替债市问的，哈哈哈 自从去年政治局会议提出货币政策回归适度宽松后，YM就一直强调择机降准降息。 今天又召开会议学习两会精神，再次提出择机降准降息。但是外围好像上半年不会降息哎。 择机到底是什么时候啊？ 今天A股这个盘啊，相当弱势，这不是之前那种弱，之前是大家看到低开非常兴奋，心想又可 以抄底了，又有机会了，一会就拉起来了。 现在部分资金已经跑路，大家都在观望，什么机器人啊、算力啊、AI应用啊早就炒得"滚瓜烂 熟"了，根本找不到新方向啊，资金只能观望， 盘中根本来不起来。 尾盘又出来个海洋经济，原来是 "深海科技首次被明确写入国家层面的政府工作报告，标志着 我 国深海探索正式上升为国家战略重点。" 总算找着一个口了！ 早上看到涨得好 的 是 "三桶油"、"四大行"啥的 ，我就知道，该干嘛干嘛了！ 兴业证券统计了近十年各类风格相对全A指数的胜率，发现存在明显的日历效应。每年2月到3 月上旬，小市值、高弹性风格的胜率最高，而大市值、低估值、绩优股往往较难跑赢。 3月 中下旬到4月上旬，市场将逐渐步入一个更加均衡、各类风格胜率基本相当、没有特别明确主 / 2025.03. ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing market adjustments, with a focus on the potential growth in the deep-sea technology sector, which is expected to significantly contribute to China's marine economy by 2025 [3]. Market Overview - The market continues to adjust, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing relative strength supported by blue-chip stocks, while the Shenzhen Composite Index and the ChiNext Index both declined by around 1% [1]. - Recent hot sectors, particularly robotics and AI computing stocks, have weakened, indicating a noticeable retreat in short-term market sentiment [2][6]. Deep-Sea Technology Sector - The government work report has introduced the direction to accelerate deep-sea technology research and industrialization, projecting a market potential of 3.25 trillion yuan by 2025, making it a key growth area within the 13 trillion yuan marine economy [3]. - Deep-sea technology encompasses advanced technologies and disciplines for exploring, developing, and utilizing deep-sea resources, including deep-sea detection, resource development, communication, navigation, and engineering technologies [3]. - The marine economy is expected to surpass 10 trillion yuan in 2024, with deep-sea technology being a significant growth driver [3]. Investment Opportunities in Deep-Sea Technology - Companies involved in deep-sea technology and equipment are highlighted, including: - Baose Co., Ltd. (19.73 billion yuan market cap) is engaged in national key deep-sea titanium alloy equipment projects [5]. - Baotai Co., Ltd. (82.00 billion yuan market cap) is the largest titanium and titanium alloy production and research base in China [5]. - Other notable companies include Jushi Co., Ltd., Haimeite Technology, and Zhongke Haixun, all of which are involved in various aspects of deep-sea technology and equipment [5]. Coal Sector Recovery - The coal sector has shown a recovery, with the sector index rising over 6% in six trading days, driven by increased industrial demand and a potential stabilization in coal prices [7]. - Factors contributing to this recovery include: - Economic recovery leading to higher industrial production and coal demand [7]. - Market funds shifting towards stable investment options, with coal being a traditional resource sector with risk resilience [7]. - The coal sector's high performance, cash flow, and dividend attributes, maintaining its appeal as a high-yield investment [7][8]. Conclusion - The article emphasizes the potential of the deep-sea technology sector as a significant growth area in China's marine economy, while also noting the recovery of the coal sector as a stable investment opportunity amidst market adjustments [3][7].

Summary of the Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call was held by Zhongqi Group to discuss its 2024 performance and future outlook. The company primarily operates in logistics equipment and services, as well as energy equipment and services. New business directions include renewable energy, such as hydrogen energy and offshore wind power [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a record high revenue of 177.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 39%. The net profit increased over sixfold to 2.97 billion [2]. - The container sales volume surged by 417% year-on-year, with the manufacturing segment achieving profitability for the first time [2]. - The financial and asset management segment also saw significant improvement, with net profit rising to 640 million [2]. - The company’s interest-bearing debt ratio decreased to 22%, and operating cash flow doubled to 9.3 billion by year-end [4]. Business Segments - Container manufacturing remains the largest revenue contributor, accounting for 35% of total revenue. The marine engineering segment contributed nearly 9% [5]. - Logistics services generated 31.3 billion, representing about 18% of the total revenue, with overseas operations exceeding 50% [5]. - The marine engineering sector showed significant improvement, nearing 900 million in profit [2]. Industry Dynamics - The global macroeconomic environment is recovering, with increased trade demand. The container shipping rates have rebounded significantly due to strong demand and tight supply [6]. - The container industry’s production is expected to exceed 8 million units in 2024, a 263% increase compared to 2023 [8]. - The logistics sector, particularly the international freight forwarding segment, has also seen substantial growth, with revenue reaching 31.4 billion, up 55.7% year-on-year [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the renewable energy sector, particularly in hydrogen energy and offshore wind power [3][12]. - The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio below 30% while continuing to optimize its debt structure and reduce financing costs [3][4]. - The company is also exploring modular construction and green methanol production as part of its strategic initiatives for future growth [25][49]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a stable demand for containers, although there may be fluctuations due to global trade dynamics [20][21]. - The management expressed confidence in the growth potential of the hydrogen energy sector, despite current challenges in the industry [50]. - The company plans to continue optimizing its debt structure and expects to reduce its interest-bearing debt further by the end of 2025 [46][48]. Key Risks and Considerations - The company faces uncertainties related to global economic conditions, including potential impacts from geopolitical tensions and trade policies [19][20]. - The management acknowledged the challenges in the hydrogen energy market and the need for further development of the industry [50]. Conclusion - Zhongqi Group demonstrated strong financial performance in 2024, with significant growth across various segments. The company is strategically positioning itself in the renewable energy sector while maintaining a focus on optimizing its financial structure and managing risks associated with global market dynamics.