狭义货币(M1)
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前8月社融存量保持高增 货币政策逆周期调节持续发力
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-12 19:00
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that in the first eight months, RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan, and the social financing scale increased by 26.56 trillion yuan, indicating strong financial support for the real economy [1] - Both the social financing stock growth rate and the broad money (M2) growth rate remained high at 8.8% as of the end of August, reflecting a relatively loose financial environment [1] - The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans in August was approximately 3.1%, down about 40 basis points year-on-year, while the rate for personal housing loans was also around 3.1%, down about 25 basis points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The analysis of financial support for the real economy should not rely solely on credit channels, as recent fluctuations in financial data are influenced by seasonal factors and hidden debt replacement [2] - The M2 growth rate remained stable, supported by accelerated fiscal spending and a decrease in fiscal deposits year-on-year [2] - The narrow money (M1) growth rate increased by 0.4 percentage points to 6%, serving as an important indicator of corporate investment willingness and consumer spending tendencies [2] Group 3 - The narrowing of the "scissors difference" between M1 and M2 in August reached its lowest level since June 2021, driven by the increase in M1 growth [3] - The liquidity absorption effect of fiscal policies weakened in August, and the pace of wealth management product expansion slowed compared to July, reducing the diversion of deposits [3] - Ongoing debt reduction policies have also contributed to the improvement of corporate funding conditions, supporting M1 growth [3]
【新华解读】社融保持较高增速 信贷支持力度稳固——透视8月金融数据
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-12 16:39
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China reported that the social financing scale grew by 8.8% year-on-year as of the end of August, indicating sustained financial support for the real economy [1] Group 1: Credit Supply and Growth - As of the end of August, the total social financing stock was 433.66 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%. The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 265.42 trillion yuan, growing by 6.6% year-on-year [1] - The growth in loans during August was significant, with strong internal momentum for credit supply. A combination of proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy has created a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery [1] - The broad money supply (M2) increased by 8.8% year-on-year, while the narrow money supply (M1) grew by 6%, indicating a narrowing "scissors difference" that suggests more funds are being converted into demand deposits for consumption and investment [1] Group 2: Bond Financing - In the first eight months, net financing from corporate bonds reached 1.56 trillion yuan, while government bonds net financing was 10.27 trillion yuan. The increase in government bond financing significantly supported social financing growth [2] Group 3: Loan Distribution and Quality - In the first eight months, RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan, with enterprise loans accounting for a significant portion. Long-term loans increased by 7.38 trillion yuan, making up over 60% of the total [3] - Notably, loans to the manufacturing sector and small and micro enterprises showed significant growth, with advanced manufacturing sectors experiencing high demand for financing [4] - By the end of August, the balance of medium- and long-term loans in the manufacturing sector was 14.87 trillion yuan, growing by 8.6% year-on-year, while loans to small and micro enterprises reached 35.2 trillion yuan, growing by 11.8% [4] Group 4: Consumer Loans and Housing Market - In August, short-term loans for residents increased by over 100 billion yuan, with a slight increase in medium- and long-term loans. Policies promoting consumption have further released consumer demand [5] - Recent housing market policies in major cities have led to a noticeable increase in mortgage loan inquiries and signings, supporting the growth of household loans [5] Group 5: Loan Interest Rates - In August, the weighted average interest rate for new corporate loans was approximately 3.1%, slightly lower than the previous month and down about 40 basis points year-on-year. The same rate for personal housing loans was also around 3.1%, down 25 basis points year-on-year [6] - The sustained low interest rates for loans help reduce the financial burden on enterprises and residents, facilitating consumption and investment potential [6] - Starting September 2024, the People's Bank of China will initiate a pilot program to enhance transparency in corporate loan financing costs, aiming to further reduce comprehensive financing costs [6]
中国8月末广义货币余额同比增8.8%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-12 12:47
Group 1 - As of the end of August, China's broad money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, maintaining a high level compared to the previous month [1] - Narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.23 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6%, while the currency in circulation (M0) was 13.34 trillion yuan, up 11.7% year-on-year [1] - In the first eight months, net cash injection amounted to 520.8 billion yuan, indicating a significant liquidity provision in the market [1] Group 2 - Total RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan in the first eight months, with household loans rising by 711 billion yuan, where short-term loans decreased by 372.5 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increased by 1.08 trillion yuan [1] - Corporate loans increased by 12.22 trillion yuan, with short-term loans up by 3.82 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans rising by 7.38 trillion yuan, alongside an increase of 877.8 billion yuan in bill financing [1] - The demand for preventive liquidity from enterprises has increased, contributing to the robust growth of short-term loans and supporting the M2 growth rate [1] Group 3 - The issuance of special refinancing bonds has accelerated this year, providing strong financial support for the prudent resolution of hidden debts [2] - After adjusting for the impact of local special bond replacements, the loan growth rate in August is estimated to be around 7.8%, indicating a solid level of credit support for the real economy [2]
央行发布最新金融数据!
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-12 12:24
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of August 2025, the broad money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.23 trillion yuan, growing by 6% year-on-year [1] - The cash in circulation (M0) was 13.34 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [1] Group 2 - The total amount of loans in both domestic and foreign currencies reached 273.02 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [1] - The balance of RMB loans was 269.1 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [1] - In the first eight months, RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 711 billion yuan [1] Group 3 - The social financing scale increment for the first eight months of 2025 totaled 26.56 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.66 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [2] - The issuance of RMB loans to the real economy increased by 12.93 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 4.85 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] - The net financing of government bonds reached 10.27 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.63 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 4 - As of the end of August 2025, the total social financing scale stood at 433.66 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [3] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 265.42 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [3] - The balance of government bonds grew by 21.1% year-on-year, reaching 91.36 trillion yuan [3]
金融总量增速保持高位,8月金融数据解读来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:24
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of August 2025, the broad money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The social financing scale stood at 433.66 trillion yuan, also showing a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, with the total new social financing for the first eight months amounting to 26.56 trillion yuan, which is 4.66 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - The loan growth to the real economy was supported by various factors including industry recovery, resilient exports, and consumption during the summer peak season [1][4] Monetary Policy and Financial Support - The financial system's support for the real economy remains strong, with new RMB loans totaling 13.46 trillion yuan from January to August 2025 [2] - The People's Bank of China has implemented multiple rate cuts since 2020, leading to a significant decrease in the comprehensive financing costs for the real economy [2] - As of August, the average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was approximately 3.1%, down about 40 basis points year-on-year [2] Consumer and Housing Loan Growth - August saw a rise in personal loans driven by traditional summer consumption and government policies promoting consumption [4] - Major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen introduced real estate policies to better meet housing demand, which is expected to further stimulate loan demand [4] Future Outlook - The fourth quarter is crucial for achieving annual economic targets, with expectations for new policies to support key sectors like infrastructure and real estate [4] - The continued growth in government bond issuance and seasonal factors are anticipated to stabilize financing scales, with financial data expected to improve [4][5] Structural Monetary Policy - Future monetary policy should focus on optimizing the structure while maintaining reasonable growth in total financial volume [5] - Structural monetary policy tools are expected to enhance financial institutions' ability to support key sectors effectively [5]
【金融街发布】人民银行:8月末广义货币(M2)余额331.98万亿元 同比增长8.8%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 11:58
Group 1: Monetary Statistics - As of the end of August, the broad money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1][2] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.23 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6% [1][2] - The currency in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.34 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.7% [1][2] - A net cash injection of 520.8 billion yuan occurred in the first eight months [2] Group 2: Loan Statistics - The total balance of RMB loans reached 269.1 trillion yuan by the end of August, with a year-on-year growth of 6.8% [3] - In the first eight months, RMB loans increased by 1.346 trillion yuan [3] - Household loans rose by 711 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 372.5 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.08 trillion yuan [3] - Corporate loans increased by 1.222 trillion yuan, with short-term loans up by 382 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans up by 738 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Deposit Statistics - The total balance of RMB deposits reached 322.73 trillion yuan by the end of August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.6% [4] - In the first eight months, RMB deposits increased by 2.05 trillion yuan [4] - Household deposits rose by 977 billion yuan, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 610.6 billion yuan [4] Group 4: Interbank Market Activity - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB lending in August was 1.4%, down 0.05 percentage points from the previous month and 0.37 percentage points from the same period last year [5] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 202.68 trillion yuan in August, with an average daily transaction of 9.65 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.8% [5] Group 5: Cross-Border RMB Settlement - In August, the cross-border RMB settlement amount for current account transactions was 1.47 trillion yuan, with goods trade accounting for 1.11 trillion yuan [6] - The direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amount was 0.61 trillion yuan, with outbound direct investment at 0.24 trillion yuan and foreign direct investment at 0.37 trillion yuan [6]
新华财经晚报:我国政府负债率处于合理区间 风险安全可控
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 11:50
Group 1 - The State Council issued the revised "Three North" project overall plan, which aims to guide regions in promoting high-quality development through three major battles from 2021 to 2030 and further phases until 2050 [1] - The People's Bank of China reported that the average interest rate for new corporate loans in August was approximately 3.1%, a decrease from the previous month and down about 40 basis points year-on-year, indicating a historical low [1] - The total government debt in China is projected to reach 92.6 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with a government debt ratio of 68.7%, which is considered reasonable and manageable [2] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China reported that the broad money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan at the end of August, growing by 8.8% year-on-year, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 111.23 trillion yuan, up 6% [2] - The total social financing scale in China reached 433.66 trillion yuan by the end of August, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission revised the classification supervision regulations for futures companies to enhance compliance and risk management [3] Group 3 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued guidelines for the construction of electricity spot markets, supporting the integration of renewable energy into the market [4] - The State Tobacco Monopoly Administration established management measures for the domestic duty-free tobacco market, requiring compliance with legal pricing regulations [5] - The International Monetary Fund warned Romania about the sustainability of its fiscal policy, predicting public debt could approach 70% of GDP by 2030 without further fiscal measures [7]
货币市场日报:9月12日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 11:42
Core Points - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 230 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on September 12, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [1] - A total of 1,961 billion yuan was net injected into the market this week, with 12,645 billion yuan in reverse repos conducted and 10,684 billion yuan maturing [1] - The overnight and 7-day Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) slightly decreased, while the 14-day Shibor saw a minor increase [1][2] Monetary Market Rates - In the interbank pledged repo market, most rates experienced slight declines, with R007 transaction share dropping to 9.5% [3] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreased by 0.6 basis points and 1.1 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes dropping significantly [3] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 also fell, while DR014 saw a slight increase [3] Funding Conditions - The funding environment was reported to be loose, with overnight and 7-day rates showing a downward trend [7] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 154.03 billion yuan on September 12, with a generally positive trading sentiment in the primary market [8] Financial Statistics - As of the end of August, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 331.98 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8% year-on-year [10] - The total social financing stock was reported at 433.66 trillion yuan, also reflecting an 8.8% year-on-year increase [11] - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first eight months was 26.56 trillion yuan, surpassing the previous year's figures [12]
前八个月人民币贷款增加13.46万亿元 社融同比多增4.66万亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 10:45
Group 1 - As of the end of August 2025, the total money supply (M2) reached 331.98 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.23 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6% [1] - The cash in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.34 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.7% [1] Group 2 - By the end of August 2025, the total social financing stock was 433.66 trillion yuan, which is an 8.8% increase year-on-year [2] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 265.42 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [2] - The balance of government bonds reached 91.36 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 21.1% [2] Group 3 - In the first eight months of 2025, the cumulative increase in social financing was 26.56 trillion yuan, which is 4.66 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [3] - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.93 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 4.85 trillion yuan compared to the previous year [3] - The net financing of government bonds was 10.27 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 4.63 trillion yuan year-on-year [3]
前8月新增社融26.56万亿元 8月末M2同比增长8.8%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-12 10:41
Core Insights - The total social financing increment for the first eight months of 2025 reached 26.56 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.66 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - The balance of social financing stock at the end of August 2025 was 433.66 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [2] - The broad money supply (M2) at the end of August 2025 was 331.98 trillion yuan, also showing a year-on-year increase of 8.8% [4][5] Social Financing Increment - The increment in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.93 trillion yuan, a decrease of 485.1 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - Foreign currency loans to the real economy decreased by 81.6 billion yuan, a reduction of 76.7 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - Corporate bond net financing was 1.56 trillion yuan, down 221.4 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Social Financing Stock - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 265.42 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [2] - The balance of foreign currency loans was 1.19 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 21% [2] - The balance of government bonds was 91.36 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.1% [2] Loan and Deposit Growth - RMB loans increased by 13.46 trillion yuan in the first eight months, with household loans rising by 711 billion yuan [6] - RMB deposits increased by 20.5 trillion yuan in the same period, with household deposits growing by 9.77 trillion yuan [8] - The balance of foreign currency deposits was 1.02 trillion USD, a year-on-year increase of 19.4% [9] Market Activity - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending was 1.4%, lower than the previous month and the same period last year [10] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 202.68 trillion yuan in August, with a daily average transaction growth of 16.8% year-on-year [10] - The cross-border RMB settlement amount for current accounts in August was 1.47 trillion yuan [10]