| 申万期货品种策略日报——股指 | 2025/9/23 星期二 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 申银万国期货研究所 贾婷婷（从业资格号：F3056905；交易咨询号：Z0016232 ）jiatt@sywgqh.com.cn;15921620356 | | | | | 申银万国期货研究所 柴玉荣 （从业资格号：F03111639；交易咨询号：Z0018586）chaiyr@sywgqh.com.cn;18802979529 | | | | | 一、股指期货市场 | | | | | IF当月 | IF下月 IF下季 | IF隔季 | | | 前两日收盘价 | 4510.00 4487.00 4464.40 | 4440.40 | | | 前日收盘价 | 4506.40 4493.40 4484.00 | 4459.00 | | | 沪深300 | 涨跌 -3.38 -1.60 13.60 | 12.40 | | | 涨跌幅 | -0.07 -0.04 0.30 | 0.28 | | | 成交量 | 33705.00 2045.00 65934.00 | 8437.00 | ...

Group 1 - Luo Yonghao responded to debt issues, stating that his frozen equity totals approximately 17.58 million yuan [9] - The company "Taier Suancaiyu" and other prepared dishes have been launched at Sam's Club, with prices for dishes like Taier Suancaiyu at 119.9 yuan per serving [10] - Baiguoyuan plans to raise about 300 million yuan to repay debts, reporting a loss of over 300 million yuan in six months and closing more than 1,600 stores in a year [10] Group 2 - Guizhou Moutai denied rumors of lowering its annual performance targets, confirming that it has completed its target progress for the first half of the year as planned [15] - OpenAI has confirmed collaboration with domestic supply chains for related projects, indicating ongoing partnerships with companies like Luxshare Precision [16] - Nvidia announced an intention to invest up to 100 billion dollars in OpenAI to support data center and infrastructure development [3]

大多数在大城市里生活的打工人，每天似乎都会经历这样的日常。 傍晚的地铁口，人流被推着往前走，外卖骑手的保温箱和白领的电脑包擦肩而过，谁也没空打量谁，便利店的灯把即食区照得亮堂，货架上摆着关东煮、 烤肠和各种微波餐，俨然一个深夜食堂。 大多数人都想吃到小时候那碗锅气十足的热饭，可城市的生存手册教会大家精打细算，时间要留给工位、地铁、会议和加班，厨房成了奢侈的场所，一部 分学会精致生活的年轻人，开始囤预制菜了。 图源：@静静上班吃什么 人们的理由十分现实，也很充分，"买什么都感觉贵，钱要花在刀刃上。" "轻食外卖减脂，还健康，自己买来囤就好了。" 西贝和罗永浩的那场争论，已经告一段落，如今，关于"如何吃饭"的焦虑，却摆到了桌面上。 年轻人开始重新打量自己的饭碗，社区小饭桌、便利店即热餐、外卖平台的"健康套餐"，这些成了都市人续航的工具。真正的炉火味道，反而慢慢淡出了 生活。 他们追求平衡，不想浪费力气，属于想让生活看起来有点仪式感的那类。 在很多人的印象里，预制菜像是"科技与狠活"的代名词，跟转基因油站在同一个角落。国家标准虽然还没出，但对它的定义其实挺规矩：没有防腐剂和奇 怪添加物，常见做法是冷链锁鲜、巴氏杀菌 ...

证券研究报告 食品饮料 报告日期：2025 年 09 月 22 日 白酒深度调整，大众品关注低估值的行业龙头 ——食品饮料行业周报 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 分析师：王芳 执业证书编号：S0230520050001 邮箱：wangf@hlzq.com 相关阅读 饮料行业周报》2025.09.09 《中报圆满收官，关注基本面稳健的标 的—食品饮料行业周报》2025.09.01 《白酒持续出清，关注成长板块估值修 复—食品饮料行业周报》2025.08.26 华龙证券研究所 摘要： 盐津铺子、百润股份、海天味业、安琪酵母。 风险提示：食品安全风险；消费复苏不及预期；成本上行；业绩 增速不及预期；行业竞争加剧；宏观经济政策出台和落地不及预 期的风险；第三方数据统计偏差风险。 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 2025/09/19 | | | EPS（元） | | | | PE | | 投资 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 股价（元） | 2024A | 2025E | 2026 ...

瑞财经 刘治颖 9月22日，罗永浩转发"绿茶餐厅拆掉现做招牌"博文，并表示:"哈哈，这种行为确实很'绿茶'，很Bitch。我为什么认为应该立法强制餐饮店标 注是否使用了预制菜呢？如果不标注，偷偷使用了预制菜的餐厅，在竞争中就会获得成本和效率方面的优势，迫使那些不想使用预制菜的餐厅为了生存也要 跟进使用，最终剩下的大部分都是劣币，会毁了整个行业。" 消息面上，据媒体报道，近日，绿茶餐厅已经悄悄撤下了门店外"本店无预制菜，现点现做"的广告语。同时，绿茶餐厅外卖的一次性餐具上，原本印有 的"无预制菜"字样被涂黑。餐厅工作人员称不清楚是什么时候撤下的。但问及餐厅餐品是否是预制菜时，对方强调烤鸡等招牌菜式是现做的。 8月25日，绿茶集团发布了上市以来首份半年报。半年报显示，绿茶集团上半年营收22.9亿元，同比增长23.1%；股东应占利润2.34亿，同比增长34%。 从收入结构来看，绿茶集团上半年餐厅经营收入17.58亿元，同比增长13.2%；外卖业务收入5.24亿元，同比增长74.2%，占总营收比重从2024年6月末的 16.2%提升至22.9%。 | | | 截至6月30日止六個月 | | | | --- | --- ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the downfall of the ice cream brand Zhong Xuegao, which has officially filed for bankruptcy after previously achieving remarkable sales of 1 billion yuan and a valuation nearing 4 billion yuan just four years ago [1] - The article discusses the rise of the spicy hot pot dish, which has transformed from an affordable meal option to a luxury fast food item, reflecting a significant price increase and changing consumer perceptions [5][9] - The spicy hot pot market has seen rapid growth, with over 30,000 stores nationwide and a market size reaching 20 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [9][22] Group 2 - The article notes that the spicy hot pot has become a popular choice among consumers, despite its rising prices, due to its unique flavor and social dining experience [37][40] - It emphasizes the psychological tactics used by restaurants to create a perception of affordability, such as misleading pricing units that can lead to unexpectedly high bills [17][19] - The article points out the lack of a leading brand in the spicy hot pot sector, despite the proliferation of stores, indicating a need for a standout product to enhance brand recognition [34][36]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing controversy surrounding the "pre-made dishes" market, particularly involving Luo Yonghao and Xibei, has led to increased attention on Jiumaojiu's strategic moves in this sector, especially with its brand Taier's entry into retail channels like Sam's Club [1][8]. Group 1: Jiumaojiu's Product Launches - Jiumaojiu's Taier brand has introduced pre-made dishes, including its signature sour fish, into Sam's Club, with earlier entries dating back to January 2024 [1]. - The company has launched multiple pre-made products this year, including squirrel fish and lamb chops, indicating a strong push into retail channels [3]. - In addition to these, Jiumaojiu has also introduced a Northwest-style marinated beef dish in April, showcasing its commitment to expanding its product offerings in membership-based supermarkets [3]. Group 2: E-commerce and Brand Performance - Taier has expanded its retail presence on e-commerce platforms, offering a variety of products, which has helped it accumulate nearly 160,000 followers on its Tmall flagship store [7]. - The brand's marketing slogan, "sour cabbage is tastier than fish," has significantly contributed to Jiumaojiu's successful IPO, with the company reaching a peak market value of nearly HKD 55 billion in early 2021 [7]. - Despite the popularity of Taier and other core brands, Jiumaojiu has faced challenges, with a reported revenue decline of 10% year-on-year to CNY 2.753 billion in the first half of the year [7]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Position - Jiumaojiu's revenue from product sales, including pre-made dishes, has seen a substantial increase of 140% year-on-year, rising from CNY 54.96 million to CNY 132 million, now accounting for 4.8% of total revenue [7]. - The company has been removed from the Hong Kong Stock Connect list, raising concerns about liquidity and investor confidence amid a backdrop of sluggish dine-in business growth [8]. - The rapid growth of the pre-made dish retail business is viewed as a critical opportunity for Jiumaojiu to transform and adapt to market challenges [8].

日本消费者对中华料理的喜爱也推动了预制中餐市场的发展。王宏鑫表示，不少日本品牌已经研发了青 椒肉丝、麻婆豆腐等经典中华料理的预制食品。用小龙虾产品打开销售渠道后，近几年，他也持续向日 本市场引进其他预制技术成熟的产品，如虾饺以及烤鱼、剁椒鱼、酸菜鱼等调味鱼片。 据日本冷冻协会最新数据，日本2024年冷冻食品消费额达1.3万亿日元（折合人民币约625亿元），再创 历史新高。全球统计数据库Statista以即热、即食类预制食品为统计口径，2022年，日本人均消费量为 23.2千克，中国、美国和英国的人均消费量分别为9.1千克、16.1千克和16.8千克。 格隆汇9月22日｜据中国新闻周刊，在日本，预制菜是消费者食用小龙虾最常见的方式。麻辣、蒜香、 十三香等调味小龙虾，通过速冻锁鲜、真空包装成为冷冻食品。消费者从超市买回家后，先进行解冻， 小龙虾也在这一过程中吸收调料入味，加热后即可食用。 时行株式会社的负责人王宏鑫，每年会出口6个货柜约150吨的预制小龙虾到日本，除了调味小龙虾，还 有清水虾、虾尾、纯虾肉等产品。产品主要供给东京、大阪等华人聚集城市的超市。"以往主要给中华 物产店供货，从去年开始，日系超市也开始采 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Guangbai Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and financial performance, indicating potential challenges in the retail sector [1][2]. - As of September 22, Guangbai's stock price was 6.57 yuan per share, down 2.09%, with a market capitalization of 4.605 billion yuan [1]. - The company has seen a net outflow of main funds amounting to 2.7362 million yuan, with significant selling pressure [1]. Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, Guangbai reported a revenue of 2.248 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -15.3537 million yuan, down 176.66% [2]. - The company has a total of 40,100 shareholders as of June 30, which is a decrease of 10.08% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 11.21% to 12,897 shares [2]. - Guangbai has distributed a total of 1.358 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 49.2827 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Group 3 - Guangbai's main business revenue composition includes 88.10% from retail services, 7.34% from leasing, and 4.57% from other supplementary services [1]. - The company is categorized under the Shenwan industry classification of retail trade, specifically general retail and department stores, and is associated with concepts such as prepared dishes, rural e-commerce, state-owned enterprise reform, new retail, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [1].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Shengnong Development has shown fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 19.16% but a recent decline in the last five trading days by 4.39% [2] Company Overview - Shengnong Development, established on December 21, 1999, and listed on October 21, 2009, is primarily engaged in the breeding and processing of meat chickens, with main business revenue composition being 52.77% from chicken, 41.70% from meat products, and 5.53% from other sources [2] - The company is classified under the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, specifically in the poultry farming sector [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengnong Development achieved an operating income of 8.856 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 910 million yuan, marking a significant increase of 791.93% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.860 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.113 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shengnong Development was 35,700, a decrease of 8.03% from the previous period, with an average of 34,843 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 8.73% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 13.3849 million shares, and Southern CSI 500 ETF, which increased its holdings by 1.278 million shares [3]