Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange are committed to advancing deep reforms and high-level opening in the foreign exchange sector to support high-quality economic development in China [1][2]. Group 1: Current Economic Situation - The foreign exchange market has been operating smoothly despite complex challenges, with the RMB appreciating by 1.6% against the USD and maintaining stability against a basket of currencies [1]. - China's foreign trade shows strong resilience, with a reasonable balance in the current account and increased foreign investment in domestic bonds and stocks [1]. Group 2: Future Policy Directions - The focus will be on developing a more convenient, open, secure, and intelligent foreign exchange management system to support high-quality economic development [2]. - Specific measures include enhancing foreign exchange services for the real economy, particularly for technology and small enterprises, and improving the evaluation mechanisms for foreign exchange policies [2]. Group 3: Policy Initiatives - A series of trade facilitation policies will be introduced, including expanding cross-border trade pilot programs and optimizing foreign exchange fund settlement for foreign trade service enterprises [4]. - Cross-border investment and financing policies will be implemented to support research institutions in attracting foreign investment and facilitating cross-border financing for technology companies [4]. - A package of innovative foreign exchange policies will be rolled out in free trade pilot zones, including optimizing international trade settlement and expanding pilot programs for qualified foreign limited partners [4]. Group 4: Support for Shanghai International Financial Center - Continuous support will be provided for the construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center, enhancing its competitiveness and influence in international cooperation [5][6].

贝森特"化债"的招靠谱吗？（二） [Table_Author] 分析师：陶川 分析师：邵翔 分析师：林彦 执业证号：S0100524060005 执业证号：S0100524080007 执业证号：S0100525030001 邮箱：taochuan@mszq.com 邮箱：shaoxiang@mszq.com 邮箱：linyan@mszq.com ➢ 在解决美元信用问题上美国确实玩出了"新花样"。如果说我们在上一篇中 讨论的修改监管规则、释放商业银行需求的还属于常规操作，那么深度捆绑稳定 币则是另辟蹊径的一笔——是解不了"近渴"的"远水"，但所谋甚大。 ➢ 利用加密货币这个与传统资产相对独立的新资金池来化债确实称得上 GENIUS（天才，恰巧是稳定币法案的名字） ，不得不承认在金融创新方面美国 确实走在前列。 ➢ 稳定币能不能解决美债的问题？我们认为这背后有两个维度：一个是短期内 比较直接的逻辑，除了在监管上最直接的要求外，还有把自己和"对手"绑在一 起的意味；另一个则是偏中长期、且更间接，通过巩固全球美元体系来支撑美元 信用，进而稳定美债，同时应对人民币国际化的挑战。 ➢ 对于第一个维度，市面上讨论的已经比 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the CIPS international letter of credit service marks a significant step in facilitating cross-border trade settlements in RMB, enhancing bilateral trade settlement between China and global regions [1] Group 1: CIPS International Letter of Credit Service - The CIPS international letter of credit service was officially launched during a special event on June 18, attended by major state-owned banks, foreign banks, and enterprises [1] - This service aims to optimize RMB trade settlements between China and various global regions, highlighting its importance in international trade [1] - The service is designed to provide information services for market participants to conduct international trade settlements in RMB [1]

Core Viewpoint - The signing of the "Shanghai-Hong Kong International Financial Center Collaborative Development Action Plan" aims to enhance Shanghai's competitiveness as an international financial center and consolidate Hong Kong's position, deepening cooperation between the two regions to support the national financial power strategy [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Cooperation Mechanisms - The action plan focuses on optimizing mechanisms such as "Bond Connect" and "Swap Connect" to create a global center for RMB asset allocation and risk management, supporting high-quality development of the Belt and Road Initiative and facilitating enterprises' international expansion [4]. - The plan emphasizes the importance of financial market connectivity and cross-border financial service innovation, including new initiatives for cross-border clearing cooperation and the application of digital RMB in cross-border payments [6][8]. Group 2: Innovation and Development - The action plan promotes innovation in financial services, particularly in green finance, digital finance, and technology finance, to support key national strategic areas and the real economy [5][7]. - It encourages the application of technologies such as AI and blockchain in asset management, insurance, and settlement, while also supporting financial policies that benefit technology innovation enterprises [7]. Group 3: Regulatory and Institutional Framework - The plan outlines the need for regular communication among financial regulatory bodies, cooperation among financial institutions, information sharing, standard alignment, and talent mobility to create a market-oriented, rule-of-law, and international business environment [6]. - It includes measures to enhance the financial infrastructure and service systems between Shanghai and Hong Kong, such as facilitating the establishment of non-resident accounts and promoting the use of RMB for trade settlements [8]. Group 4: Future Directions - The next steps involve leveraging the action plan as a new starting point to promote the complementary development of the Shanghai and Hong Kong financial centers, enhancing China's influence and voice in the global financial system [8].

智通财经6月18日电，央行行长潘功胜在2025陆家嘴论坛上表示，人民币已成为全球第二大贸易融资货 币，按全口径计算，人民币已成为全球第三大支付货币；在国际货币基金组织(IMF)特别提款权(SDR) 货币篮子中的权重位列全球。未来，无论是单一主权货币还是少数几个主权货币作为国际主导货币，主 权货币国都需要承担相应责任，强化国内财政纪律和金融监管，推进经济结构性改革。 (证券时报) 央行行长潘功胜：人民币已成为全球第二大贸易融资货币 ...

Core Viewpoint - The key to promoting the broader international use of the Renminbi is to provide a financial market environment with sufficient liquidity and comprehensive risk hedging tools for global Renminbi holders [1][5]. Group 1: Shanghai International Financial Center Development - Vice Premier He Lifeng emphasized the importance of implementing Xi Jinping's directives on accelerating the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center [1]. - The construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center has been a national strategy since the 14th National Congress of the Communist Party in 1992, receiving high attention from successive leaders [2]. - Shanghai has achieved significant progress in its international financial center construction, ranking third or fourth in global financial center rankings multiple times [2]. Group 2: International Economic and Financial Landscape - The current international situation is undergoing significant changes, with the post-World War II economic and financial order centered around the U.S. facing major transformations [3]. - The competition between major powers, particularly between China and the U.S., is entering a strategic stalemate phase, which may be prolonged [3]. - The U.S. dollar remains the dominant international currency, but concerns about its stability are growing due to the U.S. national debt and fiscal deficits [4]. Group 3: Renminbi Internationalization - Since the initiation of Renminbi cross-border trade settlement in July 2009, the internationalization of the Renminbi has made significant progress but has not yet achieved a breakthrough [5]. - The Renminbi's share in SWIFT settlements has stabilized around 4%, ranking between fourth and fifth [5]. - To promote broader international use of the Renminbi, it is essential to create a financial market environment that offers sufficient liquidity and risk hedging tools [5]. Group 4: Strategic Opportunities - Shanghai's international financial center construction has successfully seized opportunities presented by changes in the international economic and financial landscape over the past 30 years [6]. - The current situation presents a new opportunity for Shanghai to enhance its international influence [6].

Group 1: Core Views - The demand for RMB investments is expected to increase as central banks and market investment institutions expand their holdings of RMB, presenting opportunities for the development of Shanghai as a global RMB investment market [1][13][14] - The ongoing "de-dollarization" trend is reshaping the international monetary system, leading to a higher demand for RMB and necessitating the construction of the Shanghai International Financial Center [1][4][5] Group 2: Historical Context of the International Monetary System - The Bretton Woods system established a dollar-centered international monetary system, which collapsed in 1971, leading to the emergence of a purely fiat currency system [2][3] - The Jamaica Agreement in 1976 confirmed the transition to a system where currencies float against the dollar, with the dollar remaining the central currency despite the shift to a fiat basis [3][4] Group 3: Current Trends and Challenges - The decline of the US economy and the increasing trade and fiscal deficits have weakened the dollar's creditworthiness, contributing to the "de-dollarization" trend [4][6][8] - The rise of emerging markets and the push for international monetary reform are evident as countries seek to reduce reliance on the dollar through bilateral currency settlements and other strategies [8][9] Group 4: Opportunities for RMB Internationalization - The shift in the international monetary landscape and the diversification of global asset allocation will enhance the attractiveness of RMB assets, necessitating proactive measures to expand RMB's cross-border use [13][14][16] - Enhancing the global supply and appeal of RMB assets is crucial for attracting foreign investment and improving the quality of RMB financial products [16][17] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives for RMB - Developing a domestic offshore financial system and promoting RMB internationalization are essential for increasing RMB's share in global payments and reserves [17][18] - The introduction of RMB stablecoins could serve as a strategic tool for enhancing RMB's international presence and facilitating cross-border transactions [19][12]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the opportunities and challenges for the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB), emphasizing the need for a more market-oriented floating exchange rate system and the potential for RMB to become a more significant international currency amidst the declining credibility of the US dollar [1][4]. Group 1: Opportunities for RMB Internationalization - Since the pilot program for cross-border trade settlement in RMB began in 2009, the currency has transitioned from "non-internationalization" to "internationalization," becoming the third-largest currency in the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights (SDR) [1]. - As of December 2024, RMB accounts for 6.0% of cross-border trade financing, closely trailing the euro at 6.5%, but significantly lower than the US dollar's 81.9% [2]. - The RMB is the fourth-largest international payment currency, with a share of 3.8%, again lower than the dollar and euro, which hold 50.2% and 22.0%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Challenges for RMB Internationalization - The RMB's share in foreign exchange reserves was 2.2% at the end of 2024, down 0.7 percentage points from its historical high in early 2022, indicating a significant gap compared to the dollar and euro [2]. - The RMB is not yet fully convertible, and its exchange rate remains influenced by concerns over domestic financial stability and export competitiveness, complicating the process of capital account opening [9]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade conflicts, particularly with the US, pose additional risks to the RMB's internationalization efforts, potentially leading to a reconfiguration of global supply chains [8][9]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations for RMB Internationalization - To enhance the RMB's international status, it is crucial to implement proactive economic policies and deepen reforms that stimulate market vitality and improve the investment environment for foreign investors [10]. - Strengthening financial market infrastructure and aligning domestic regulations with international standards will facilitate greater foreign participation in RMB-denominated assets [11][12]. - Accelerating the construction of Shanghai as an international financial center will support the RMB's internationalization by enhancing its competitiveness and service capabilities in global markets [14].

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong as international financial centers is crucial for China's financial globalization, serving as a "dual engine" for global financial development and governance [1]. Group 1: Shanghai's Financial Market - Shanghai has established itself as an international financial center that aligns with China's economic strength and the international status of the RMB, with a total financial market transaction volume reaching 36.503 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% [2]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange ranks third globally in market capitalization and fifth in trading volume, while its bond market is the second largest worldwide [2]. - Shanghai is a core hub for RMB asset allocation, with RMB accounting for 70% of cross-border receipts and nearly 50% of national cross-border RMB settlements [2]. Group 2: Hong Kong's Financial Market - Hong Kong is highly internationalized, with a significant number of foreign banks and being the largest offshore RMB hub globally, holding approximately 1.1 trillion yuan in RMB deposits by the end of 2024 [3]. - The daily average transaction volume of Hong Kong's RMB instant payment settlement system reached 30.975 trillion yuan in 2024, marking a 50% year-on-year increase [3]. - Hong Kong processes about 75% of global offshore RMB payment transactions, maintaining the largest offshore RMB liquidity pool and foreign exchange market [3]. Group 3: Collaborative Development - The collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong is built on a solid foundation, with Hong Kong being the largest source of foreign investment for Shanghai and a key partner in service trade [4]. - There are established financial infrastructure connections, including the CIPS and RTGS systems, and various investment products such as "Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect" and "Bond Connect" [4]. - The cooperation has deepened in areas like risk management for the Belt and Road Initiative and green finance product development [4]. Group 4: Advantages of Collaboration - Shanghai's strong resource allocation capabilities and efficient financial infrastructure position it as a crucial player in China's onshore financial market, while Hong Kong serves as a vital link to international markets [5]. - The collaboration helps both cities address challenges posed by international political changes and competition in technological innovation [5]. - The partnership enhances Shanghai's offshore financial system and increases foreign financial institutions' participation in its market [5]. Group 5: Enhancing RMB Market - The synergy between onshore and offshore markets is essential for improving the pricing mechanisms of RMB assets, enhancing market efficiency, and establishing a more transparent RMB exchange rate formation mechanism [6]. - Strengthening regulatory cooperation and exploring innovative financial systems will facilitate integration into the global economic and financial landscape [7]. - The collaboration will lead to the development of more financial products and services, increasing market liquidity and attracting more international financial institutions [8]. Group 6: Future Prospects - The cooperation aims to achieve a "chemical fusion" beyond mere physical connections, establishing a dual circulation model for RMB and enhancing the internationalization of the currency [9]. - Historical experiences from the collaboration between London and New York provide a reference for Shanghai and Hong Kong's financial integration [10]. - Leveraging Shanghai's pilot experiences and regulatory cooperation can yield significant institutional innovations and enhance market stability [11].

作者：金融业资深人士杨峻 当前，全球地缘冲突频发、科技突飞猛进，原先固若金汤的世界似乎正处于巨大的变革中。而稳定币的 崛起，更是加剧了这种不确定性。既有可能重构国际金融格局，也有可能成为大国博弈的新战场。秩序 重建的背景下，真正的赢家，必将属于那些愿意拥抱创新，但仍然立足合规经营，在效率与稳定之间找 到平衡的先行者。 美国积极推动稳定币立法的深层逻辑在于构建"美元-稳定币-美债"的闭环。当前，USDT发行方持有超 800亿美债，位列全球第七大美债持有者。在高通胀国家（如阿根廷、土耳其），稳定币正演变为新 型"美元化"形式，逐步替代当地货币。可以预计，未来随着稳定币的规模逐渐扩大，美债也会迎来源源 不断的买家。这种机制既巩固了美元地位，又为美国财政赤字提供了低成本融资渠道，形成美元霸权在 加密货币市场的延伸。 为避免美元稳定币垄断加密货币市场，香港近期通过的《稳定币条例草案》，成为全球首个对法币稳定 币实施全面监管的司法管辖区。其"价值锚定监管"原则（无论发行地在哪，只要锚定港元即受监管）扩 展了监管辐射范围，严格的牌照制度（如2500万港元最低资本要求、100%储备资产支撑）和反洗钱机 制，也提升了投资者保护 ...