Core Viewpoint - The ongoing conflict between Elon Musk and Donald Trump highlights significant political and economic implications, particularly regarding electric vehicle subsidies and their impact on the future of American industries and employment [1][3]. Group 1: Musk's Criticism of Trump's Policies - Musk criticized the recent tax reform bill proposed by the Trump administration, arguing that cuts to electric vehicle and clean energy subsidies would harm the future of American industries and lead to millions of job losses [1][3]. - He expressed that supporting such a bill would be political suicide for the Republican Party and accused the government of favoring outdated traditional industries [1][3]. - Musk's statements indicate a shift in his political strategy, as he previously invested $250 million to support Trump during the 2024 election cycle [3]. Group 2: Trump's Response - Trump responded to Musk's criticisms by stating that without subsidies, Musk's companies would likely fail, suggesting that Musk might return to South Africa [4][5]. - He emphasized that he has always opposed forced electric vehicle policies, framing them as absurd and a key issue in his campaign [4][5]. - Trump claimed that Musk has received more subsidies than anyone in history and suggested that the government should investigate the subsidies Musk's companies have received [5]. Group 3: Political Implications - Musk's comments may disrupt the internal dynamics of the Republican Party and introduce uncertainty into the party's primary elections for the 2026 midterms [1]. - The record increase in the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, as criticized by Musk, reflects broader concerns about government spending and its implications for future political landscapes [2].

Group 1 - Elon Musk criticized the "Big Beautiful Bill," targeting Republican lawmakers who supported the tax bill, vowing to ensure their defeat in the upcoming midterm elections [1] - Musk's statements may disrupt the internal dynamics of the Republican Party and add uncertainty to the party's primary elections in 2026 [1] - The bill raised the debt ceiling by a record $5 trillion, prompting Musk to call for the establishment of a new political party that genuinely cares for the people [1] Group 2 - Musk condemned the latest version of the "Big Beautiful Bill," arguing that cuts to electric vehicle and clean energy subsidies would harm the future of American industries and lead to significant job losses [2] - On June 29, the Senate passed an updated version of the bill with a vote of 51 to 49, which eliminated the $7,500 tax credit for consumers purchasing electric vehicles [2] Group 3 - Musk's recent threats indicate a significant shift in his political strategy, moving from supporting Trump to criticizing Republican colleagues who back Trump's tax policies [3] - Previously, Musk had invested $250 million in the 2024 election cycle to support Trump, but he has now expressed a desire to reduce political spending [3] - In response to Musk's criticism, Trump attempted to downplay their differences, acknowledging Musk's capabilities while suggesting that his behavior was inappropriate [3]

工人阶级选民越来越多地呼吁支持让他们保留更多收入的政策 2025 年 4 月 10 日，人们在华盛顿特区的美国国会大厦附近参加支持公平税收的新闻发布会和集会。 本专栏的老读者会记得俄亥俄州哥伦比亚市的煤矿工人，他告诉我，"税收正在杀死工人"，或者印第安纳州杰斐逊维尔的道格和丹尼，他们是钢铁清洁厂的 老板和他的工头，他们也参与了进来。 道格告诉我，这将"鼓励 [年轻工人] 放弃他们的时间，远离亲人，为我们的客户生产他们需要钢材的客户，他们想要我们周一至周五没有生产的东西，然后 完成它。 从俄亥俄州到德克萨斯州，再到西弗吉尼亚州，不征收加班税给新闻媒体似乎从来没有抽出时间与之交谈的人们带来了兴奋。 与其更受欢迎的表亲不征收小费税相比，不征收加班税的一个主要原因是，几乎没有人从事过包括传统加班在内的工作，而许多人可能在大学时从事过小费 工作。 随着共和党的"美丽大法案"下个月提交参议院，两党立法者都应该把目光放在不征收加班税上，因为在我与美国工薪阶层交谈的旅行中，没有比这更频繁地 提出政策了。 毫不夸张地说，如果成功实施，大幅降低美国工人的加班税将是该法案中最具政治意义的措施，并且很容易帮助共和党人横扫中期选举。 ...

Group 1 - Trump discussed potential deals with Iran during a conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, expressing optimism about the direction of negotiations [1] - Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Shobo held a 45-minute phone call discussing tariffs and security matters, agreeing to meet face-to-face during the G7 summit in Canada [1] - Trump has raised at least $600 million for the midterm elections, with a goal of $1 billion or more to gain control of both houses of Congress by November [1] Group 2 - The Trump administration has notified Harvard University to stop enrolling international students, revoking its SEVP certification, which affects current international students [2] - Trump's trade representatives are pressuring the EU to unilaterally reduce tariffs on U.S. goods, indicating potential for increased tariffs if no concessions are made [2] - The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the Federal Reserve is unique among government agencies, alleviating concerns about Trump's ability to dismiss Fed Chairman Powell [2] Group 3 - The "Trump Gold Card" website, allowing for the purchase of U.S. permanent residency for $5 million, is set to launch soon, with significant interest from potential investors [3]

美媒：特朗普携6亿美元巨款入场 誓要在中期选举中拿下参众两院 金十数据5月23日讯，据美联社报道，三位知情人士透露，美国总统特朗普为中期选举筹集了至少6亿美 元的政治捐款。在现代政治中，这是一个前所未有的数字，尤其是对于一位被美国宪法禁止再次竞选 的"跛脚鸭"总统来说。据知情人士透露，特朗普最终目标是筹集10亿美元或以上，并在明年11月控制参 众两院。特朗普急于扭转共和党候选人经常被民主党超越的趋势，并希望最大限度地发挥总统影响力。 任期结束后剩下的资金可以帮助他保持对共和党的巨大影响力，巩固其在2028年及以后作为最有影响力 的决定者和潜在赞助人的地位。 订阅特朗普动态 +订阅 共和党目前控制两院 共和党目前控制两院 目前美国参议院100个议员席位中，有53席为共和党人；众议院435名议员席位中，有220席为共和党 人，共和党在两院均为多数党。美国国会大部分成员皆会在中期选举中改选，包括两年任期的众议院的 435个全部席位，以及在参议院100个席位里33或34个、新议员将有完整六年任期，以及补选完成余下任 期。中期选举一般在选举年11月的第一个星期二举行。 共和党目前控制两院 ...

Macroeconomic Overview - Trump's administration has significantly impacted both the US and global situations, with economic turbulence reflected in the decline of the S&P 500 index and the US dollar index, alongside volatility in the US bond market [1] - The US economy shows weakness across multiple sectors, with Trump attributing these issues to Biden's term, asserting that economic recovery is forthcoming [1] - Domestic challenges include calls for new tax reform and a looming trade war, with the Republican Party facing difficulties ahead of the midterm elections [1] - Internationally, trade negotiations with Europe and Japan are progressing slowly, while discussions with China regarding tariffs are ongoing, with China demanding sincerity from the US [1] - Geopolitical tensions include a potential ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a mineral agreement between the US and Ukraine, strained US-Iran relations, and a shift in Saudi policies [1] - Upcoming decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are anticipated, with expectations for the Fed to maintain interest rates and the Bank of England to cut rates, contributing to uncertainty in the US economic outlook [1] US Dollar Index - The US dollar index experienced a downward trend, with a high of 100.304 and a low of 99.364, closing at 99.996 [2] - The weekly analysis indicates resistance at the 103.30 level, suggesting a bearish outlook for the dollar index in the medium term [2] - On the daily chart, the price has broken above the 99.30 resistance, indicating potential for further upward movement if it maintains above this support level [2] Gold Market - Gold prices showed volatility, reaching a high of 3269.13 and a low of 3222.59, closing at 3240.53 [4] - The monthly analysis indicates a correction after three months of gains, with a focus on market risks as May approaches [4] - The weekly support level is identified at 3070, while the key resistance level is at 3310, which will determine future price movements [4] Euro and USD Exchange Rate - The EUR/USD pair exhibited fluctuations, with a low of 1.1273 and a high of 1.1380, closing at 1.1298 [6] - Long-term analysis suggests support at 1.0800, with a continued bullish outlook despite recent price corrections [7] - Short-term trading strategies indicate a focus on the 1.1300-1.1000 support area, with potential for upward movement if this support holds [7]

Core Viewpoint - The tariff war initiated by Trump has become a significant political burden for the Republican Party, with many members secretly opposing the tariffs but hesitant to publicly criticize the president [1][5][10]. Group 1: Republican Concerns - Republican strategists express that many members are reluctant to oppose Trump openly due to the political costs involved, hoping instead for the Supreme Court to intervene and uphold the constitutional authority of Congress over taxation [5][10]. - Polls indicate that the tariff policy is unpopular, and its prolonged existence could jeopardize the re-election prospects of these members [5][10]. - Concerns are widespread among Republican senators about the potential for Trump's tariff policies to become permanent, which could lead to significant political ramifications in the upcoming midterm elections [10][12]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Senator Ron Johnson describes tariffs as a "blunt instrument" that harms both the economy and consumers, questioning the true purpose of the tariff war [7][8]. - The fear of economic recession due to the tariffs is causing anxiety among Republican members regarding their electoral futures, with some drawing parallels to the 1982 midterm elections when the party lost numerous seats due to economic issues [12][10]. Group 3: Legislative Actions - A group of seven Republican senators is advocating for legislation that would require congressional approval for tariff policies, countering Trump's desire for unilateral presidential authority [14][16]. - Prominent Republican figures, including Ted Cruz and Rand Paul, have publicly criticized the tariff policies, emphasizing the need for Congress to reclaim its constitutional power over trade and tariffs [16][12].