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除了3国,190多国无一投降!特朗普已经犯下大错,美国“关税战”输了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 09:51
Core Viewpoint - The recent tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration have backfired, leading to widespread global resistance and negative impacts on the U.S. economy [1][4][6]. Group 1: Economic Impact - The tariffs imposed on various goods, including steel, automobiles, and agricultural products, were intended to bring manufacturing back to the U.S. and reduce trade deficits, but resulted in increased production costs and layoffs in the automotive sector [3][4]. - U.S. farmers faced significant losses, with soybean prices dropping by 30% due to China's shift to Brazilian imports, leading to bankruptcies among many farmers [3][4]. - The tariffs prompted retaliatory measures from other countries, with China and the EU imposing equivalent tariffs on U.S. products, directly affecting key industries such as agriculture and manufacturing [3][4]. Group 2: Global Trade Dynamics - The interconnectedness of the global economy has made it difficult for the U.S. to isolate itself; for instance, U.S. reliance on imported parts for automotive production led to production halts and increased costs [4][6]. - Trade agreements among RCEP countries have resulted in reduced tariffs and increased trade, highlighting the diminishing influence of U.S. trade policies [4][8]. - The establishment of alternative trade systems, such as currency-based trade among BRICS nations, further undermines the U.S. dollar's dominance in global trade [4][8]. Group 3: Political Ramifications - The tariff policies have led to political backlash, with multiple states suing the federal government and a decline in Trump's approval ratings as workers protest against job losses [6][8]. - Business organizations, including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, have publicly opposed the tariffs, citing annual losses of $200 billion for companies [6][8]. - The overall sentiment indicates that unilateral trade policies are becoming increasingly untenable, with a shift towards multilateral cooperation among nations [8].
中美第三轮谈判定了?特朗普很清楚一件事:美国已落入下风,为了和中方谈妥不惜下“血本”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 04:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant shift in the U.S. stance towards China, moving from a confrontational approach to a more conciliatory one, indicating a desire for negotiations [1][10] - The U.S. has faced challenges in its tariff strategy, with only three agreements reached out of 75 countries during a 90-day grace period, leading to a realization of the ineffectiveness of its previous hardline tactics [2][4] - The U.S. is showing flexibility in negotiations, with Treasury Secretary Yellen expressing a willingness to discuss cooperation beyond trade, marking a notable change from the previous "America First" rhetoric [6][7] Group 2 - In the semiconductor sector, the U.S. has recently eased restrictions on exports to China, allowing companies like AMD and NVIDIA to resume shipments, which suggests a strategic shift in leveraging chip cooperation for broader trade negotiations [4][9] - The U.S. is also considering imposing tariffs on over 100 smaller countries, indicating a strategy to exert pressure elsewhere while appearing to soften its approach towards China [8][10] - China's response to the U.S. overtures has been measured, emphasizing the need for genuine concessions from the U.S. before committing to negotiations, reflecting China's strong position in the global market [9][10]
美国这次“退群”理由是什么?
第一财经· 2025-07-23 02:25
Core Viewpoint - The United States has announced its withdrawal from UNESCO for the third time, citing that the organization does not align with its "America First" policy and has been accused of promoting divisive social and cultural initiatives [2][4]. Group 1: Reasons for Withdrawal - The U.S. State Department's statement indicated that UNESCO's focus on sustainable development goals and its acceptance of Palestine as a member are problematic and contribute to anti-Israel sentiments within the organization [2][4]. - The withdrawal will officially take effect on December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO regulations [3]. Group 2: Historical Context - The U.S. previously withdrew from UNESCO in 1984 due to issues of corruption and mismanagement, rejoining in 2003. It withdrew again in 2017, citing increasing arrears and concerns over perceived bias against Israel, with the exit effective at the end of 2018. The U.S. rejoined the organization in 2023 [4]. Group 3: Reactions from UNESCO and Other Nations - UNESCO's Director-General, Audrey Azoulay, expressed regret over the U.S. decision, stating it contradicts the principles of multilateralism. She noted that the organization had prepared for this outcome by implementing structural reforms and diversifying funding sources since 2018 [5][6]. - Various international leaders, including UN Secretary-General António Guterres and French President Emmanuel Macron, expressed their disappointment regarding the U.S. withdrawal, emphasizing the importance of UNESCO in global cultural and educational preservation [7].
又一国家决定反华?美国享受零关税,中国却为何被无故加税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 23:18
Group 1 - Canada imposed significant tariffs and quotas on Chinese steel imports, including a 25% tariff, a 50% quota reduction, and a 50% penalty tax [1][4][9] - The U.S. steel imports account for 50% of Canada's steel imports and enjoy zero tariffs, while Chinese steel, which only accounts for 10%, is targeted for harsh penalties [11][24] - The Canadian government, facing a trade deficit of CAD 7.1 billion and a 15.7% drop in steel exports, is under pressure to find a scapegoat for its economic troubles [6][4][24] Group 2 - The Canadian government's digital services tax has negatively impacted U.S. tech giants, leading to a backlash from the U.S. and forcing Canada to navigate a delicate trade relationship [4][20] - The steel industry in Canada is struggling, with over 40,000 jobs at risk, prompting the government to shift blame to China rather than addressing U.S. trade policies [7][24] - The Canadian steel producers' association supports the government's actions against China, believing it will help regain market share [9][24] Group 3 - China's response to Canada's tariffs included imposing a 100% tariff on Canadian canola and halting large-scale imports, significantly impacting Canadian farmers [33][31] - Canada is heavily reliant on China for its canola exports, with 70% of its canola being sold to China, making the agricultural sector vulnerable to trade disputes [29][31] - The crisis in the canola industry has led to financial distress for farmers, with unsold products and plummeting prices [35][33] Group 4 - The trade tensions have resulted in a mixed impact on Canadian stock markets, with steel stocks rising while agricultural sectors face declines [54][52] - The Canadian government's approach to trade, particularly its targeting of China, is seen as shortsighted and detrimental to its own economic interests [51][56] - The overall economic landscape in Canada is shifting, with potential long-term consequences for both the steel and agricultural industries due to the ongoing trade disputes [58][56]
中美关税暂停快到期,美国财长说出实话,中国有我们想要的东西
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 23:07
Group 1 - The core issue of the US-China trade conflict revolves around tariffs and the strategic importance of rare earth elements, with the US seeking unfair trade advantages while China insists on equal and mutually beneficial negotiations [1][4] - The US has acknowledged its dependency on China for critical resources, particularly rare earths, which are essential for various technologies and military applications, indicating a shift in the US's previously unilateral stance [2][4] - The ongoing trade negotiations are complicated by the US's previous tariff actions, which have strained relationships with allies and limited its ability to effectively pressure China [4][6] Group 2 - The US is likely to adopt a strategy of delaying conflict while seeking to extend the "ceasefire" period, aiming to extract more concessions from China without immediate escalation [4][6] - China's control over rare earth resources provides it with significant leverage in negotiations, allowing it to respond firmly to US actions while maintaining a stance of fairness and reciprocity [4][6] - Ultimately, the balance of power in international negotiations is heavily influenced by national strength, with both countries recognizing that their respective capabilities will dictate the outcomes of their trade discussions [6]
欧美关系进入垃圾时间,但不能全怪特朗普
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-22 10:09
Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of Trump's return to power on transatlantic relations, highlighting the challenges and adjustments faced by the EU in maintaining its alliance with the US while addressing issues related to security, trade, and international order [2][22][36] - The EU has adopted a multi-faceted approach to cope with Trump's policies, utilizing cultural ties and institutional channels to maintain communication and cooperation with the US [4][5][22] - The article emphasizes that the EU has refrained from retaliating against US tariffs, opting instead for negotiations, reflecting a strategic choice to avoid direct confrontation with Trump [7][8][19] Group 2 - The EU's response to the Ukraine conflict illustrates its ability to adapt to Trump's stance, as it continues to support Ukraine while also aligning with Trump's calls for peace negotiations [9][10][22] - The article notes that the EU has shifted its approach towards China, moving from criticism to cooperation, which serves as a bargaining chip in negotiations with the US [14][16][22] - The historical context of transatlantic relations is explored, indicating that the relationship has entered a phase of decline due to the absence of a common enemy and changing geopolitical dynamics [25][36][36]
谁给俄罗斯订单,就加500%关税?莫迪这次没忍住,局势乱成一锅粥
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 09:10
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. President Trump's announcement of potential 100% tariffs on Russia and secondary sanctions on countries purchasing Russian energy has raised significant international concern, particularly from India, which relies heavily on Russian oil imports [1][3]. Group 1: U.S. Tariff Policy - The proposed 100% tariffs on Russian goods are unlikely to have a substantial direct impact on the Russian economy, as the total U.S.-Russia trade is only about $3.5 billion, with over 85% of U.S. imports from Russia consisting of fertilizers and inorganic chemicals [1]. - The real threat lies in the secondary sanctions targeting countries that buy Russian energy, which could impose tariffs as high as 100% or more [1][3]. Group 2: India's Response - India, as the third-largest oil consumer globally, imports 85% of its oil, with approximately 35% sourced from Russia. The Indian government emphasizes the importance of securing its energy needs and is wary of double standards in trade [3]. - Indian officials have indicated that they can diversify their oil imports, increasing the number of sourcing countries from 27 to 40, thus mitigating the impact of potential U.S. sanctions [3]. Group 3: Geopolitical Implications - The U.S. tariff threats may inadvertently strengthen cooperation between China and India, as both countries face similar trade pressures from the U.S. [5]. - India's strategic autonomy is challenged by U.S. actions, leading to discussions about reviving trilateral cooperation with Russia and China [3][5]. Group 4: Criticism of U.S. Policy - Critics in the U.S. argue that secondary tariffs will not deter countries from purchasing Russian energy and may damage the U.S.'s reputation as a reliable trade partner [5][7]. - Research indicates that imposing such tariffs could result in significant economic losses for the U.S., potentially up to $30 trillion, and increase the likelihood of a recession [5][7]. Group 5: Global Trade Dynamics - The unilateral approach of the U.S. is seen as damaging to multilateral trade systems and could accelerate the shift towards a multipolar international order [7]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes highlight the complexities of global interdependence, suggesting that dialogue and cooperation are essential for resolving conflicts [7].
特朗普关税步步紧逼,德国这次不忍了:如果美国想打仗,美会得偿所愿
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 04:51
Core Points - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the United States and the European Union, particularly focusing on the U.S. decision to increase tariffs on EU goods, which has sparked a potential trade war [1][3][9] Group 1: U.S. Tariff Actions - The U.S. has proposed raising tariffs on most European goods to 15% or higher, exceeding the EU's previous compromise target of 10% [1] - The U.S. maintains a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum and a 25% tariff on automobiles from the EU, which has put significant pressure on European economies, especially Germany [3] - Trump's recent letter indicated that the new 30% tariff would take effect on August 1, marking a 10 percentage point increase from the previously proposed 20% [3] Group 2: EU's Response - Germany has shifted from a conciliatory stance to a more aggressive position, indicating readiness to implement retaliatory tariffs and other countermeasures against U.S. actions [4] - The EU is preparing a first round of counter-tariffs valued at €21 billion, with a second round of €72 billion already on the agenda [7] - The EU is considering measures such as limiting U.S. companies' access to public procurement markets and introducing a digital services tax [7] Group 3: Internal EU Dynamics - There are divisions within the EU regarding the response to U.S. tariffs, with countries like France advocating for immediate retaliation, while export-oriented nations like Germany prefer negotiation [9] - The EU's strategy includes sincere negotiations, preparation for countermeasures, coordination with other countries, and enhancing competitiveness [7] - The deadline of August 1 is approaching, and if the U.S. maintains its stringent demands, a global trade war seems inevitable [9] Group 4: Broader Implications - The article suggests that the U.S. tariff policies are reshaping global trade dynamics, with Germany's newfound assertiveness reflecting a broader resistance to unilateralism and protectionism [9] - Strengthening cooperation between China and the EU is seen as a strategic move to counter U.S. tariffs, with significant trade volumes between the two regions [6] - The evolving situation indicates a potential shift towards a new multilateral trade order, as countries seek to resist unequal trade rules imposed by the U.S. [9]
与美国斗了整整七年,中国总结出4句话,想看美国是否吸取了教训
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-21 17:26
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has summarized the past seven years of Sino-U.S. economic relations into four key statements, reflecting on the ups and downs of the relationship and emphasizing the importance of cooperation despite challenges [3][9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Economic Relationship Overview - The Sino-U.S. economic relationship has been described as "turbulent," with both countries remaining important economic partners despite the challenges posed by U.S. unilateralism and protectionism since 2018 [3][9]. - Despite the trade tensions, there has been considerable growth in both goods and services trade compared to seven years ago, indicating resilience in the economic interactions [3][9]. Key Statements from China 1. **Mutual Importance**: The first statement emphasizes that Sino-U.S. economic relations have weathered storms, and both countries are still significant economic partners [3][5]. 2. **Cooperation is Essential**: The second statement reiterates that the essence of Sino-U.S. economic relations is mutual benefit and cooperation, highlighting that attempts at unilateral advantage will lead to losses for both sides [5][9]. 3. **Dialogue as a Solution**: The third statement advocates for dialogue and negotiation as the best means to resolve issues, acknowledging that differences and frictions are inevitable in any cooperative relationship [6][9]. 4. **Commitment to Principles**: The final statement asserts China's commitment to defending its national interests and international fairness, indicating that cooperation is possible but must be based on mutual respect and principles [8][9]. Future Implications - The four statements serve as a significant summary of the current state of Sino-U.S. economic relations and are expected to remain relevant in the longer historical context, largely due to China's stable policy towards the U.S. [9][10]. - The U.S. may need to reassess its approach to Sino-U.S. relations, especially in light of past misjudgments regarding tariffs and trade policies [10][12].
特朗普最近瞎折腾,美国媒体看不下去,让中国贸易影响力大大加强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-21 09:57
Group 1 - The article highlights the shift in global trade dynamics, with China becoming the largest bilateral trading partner for almost all countries, surpassing the US [3][5][17] - The US's unilateral tariff policies, particularly under the Trump administration, have led to significant trade disruptions, with tariffs as high as 35% imposed on allies, while China has opened its market to 53 African countries with zero tariffs [5][13][19] - The imposition of tariffs has resulted in a decline in exports from US allies, such as Japan and South Korea, with Japan's exports to the US dropping by 11.4% and South Korea's by 8.1% [9][11][17] Group 2 - China's strategic response to US tariffs includes implementing zero tariffs for African nations, significantly boosting imports of African goods, such as coffee, which saw a 129.5% increase in the first half of the year [13][15][21] - The US's trade policies have adversely affected American companies, with Tesla facing increased costs due to tariffs on Chinese auto parts, leading to price hikes and job cuts [19][25] - European nations are reevaluating their security frameworks and trade relationships with the US, as seen in the coordination of nuclear arsenals between the UK and France, indicating a shift towards independent security strategies [11][25]