Group 1 - Ethereum ecosystem is experiencing multiple positive developments, with the RWA tokenization market expected to reach $100 trillion, further solidifying Ethereum's position as a core infrastructure [1][5] - Institutional funds are significantly driving market sentiment, with Ethereum's correlation to the US stock market surpassing that of Bitcoin, indicating a shift towards structural demand from asset management firms and sovereign entities [3][5] - The decentralized exchange platform XBIT.Exchange is gaining traction due to its unique operational model that emphasizes user control over private keys and eliminates risks associated with asset freezing and transaction audits [3][5][7] Group 2 - The anticipated growth of the RWA tokenization market to $100 trillion highlights Ethereum's role as a neutral, decentralized, and reliable ecosystem for various asset classes [5] - The return of projects like Ronin Network to Ethereum's Layer 2 solutions showcases the strong appeal of Ethereum as a blockchain infrastructure [5] - Coinbase's optimistic outlook for the third quarter suggests a potential surge in altcoin activity, driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions and the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts [7]

8月18日，沪金主力暂报776.64元/克，涨幅达0.19%，今日沪金主力开盘价775.92元/克，截至目前最高 776.72元/克，最低774.52元/克。 【黄金期货行情表现】 中国实物金需求明显上升，央行从去年11月重启增持黄金，已连续增持八个月。 【机构观点】 在高利率环境和全球化重构的大背景下，黄金的定价机制正在由传统的以实际利率为核心向以央行购金 为核心，央行购金的行为是关键，背后是"去中心化"、避险需求的集中体现。目前来看，推升本轮金价 上涨的逻辑没有完全逆转，美联储的利率政策和关税政策可能是短期扰动因素，预计今年的利率政策会 更加谨，关税政策和地缘政治冲突的演变主导着市场避险情绪变化。根据美国最新数据，非农数据显示 劳动力市场意外疲软，非农就业人口不及市场预期，失业率上升至4.2%。6月PCE数据显示通胀数据放 缓，核心PCE同比上涨2.8%，超过市场预期，PCE同比上涨2.6%，超过市场预期;7月CPI同比涨2.7%， 低于预期的2.8%，与上月一致。短期来看，美最新PPI远超预期，市场对美联储9月降息预期下降，降 息预期已被充分计价，市场押注俄乌达成停火协议，打压黄金避险需求，预计金价维持 ...

Core Viewpoint - The traditional philately industry is facing unprecedented challenges due to the digital wave, prompting China Post to recruit channel sales partners to expand its market reach and attract younger consumers [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The traditional philately market is shrinking, with a significant decline in interest among younger generations, leading to a generational gap in philatelic culture [3][4]. - The market for stamps has diminished, with only 25% of stalls in the Beijing coin and stamp market dedicated to stamps, reflecting a shift towards coin collecting [3][4]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - China Post's recruitment of channel partners marks its first move to open social channel cooperation, aiming to decentralize cultural dissemination and attract young users through diverse sales channels [4][5]. - The company offers three cooperation paths: traditional distribution, product customization, and referral partnerships, allowing for a broader range of products including cultural derivatives [5][6]. Group 3: Market Adaptation - The introduction of philatelic cultural products into various consumer environments, such as tourist shops, is expected to enhance the visibility and appeal of stamps [6][7]. - Collaborations with popular brands and IPs are suggested to make philatelic products more appealing to younger audiences, potentially revitalizing interest in the hobby [7][8]. Group 4: Future Considerations - While expanding sales channels is a crucial first step, challenges remain in maintaining product uniqueness and sustaining interest among younger consumers [7][8]. - The transformation of China Post's strategy is viewed as a race against time, with the need to balance trendy marketing with the preservation of stamps' cultural significance [8].

Core Insights - The GENIUS Act is driving unprecedented changes in the traditional banking sector by allowing non-bank entities to hold user deposits in stablecoin form, creating significant opportunities for emerging financial platforms [1][2] - The legislation is dismantling the regulatory barriers that have historically protected traditional banks, enabling a new era where virtually anything can function as a bank, contingent on robust technological support [2][9] Financial Landscape Transformation - Stablecoins are revolutionizing traditional transfer economics, with USDC transfers on platforms like Solana costing less than $0.2, compared to traditional credit card fees of 2.1%-2.4%, which have remained unchanged for a decade [2] - The transparency of digital dollars (stablecoins) surpasses that of traditional finance, as blockchain allows real-time verification of asset movements, including ETF holdings and national Bitcoin reserves [2] Shifts in Cryptocurrency Exchange Dynamics - Recent data indicates a shift in investor preferences among centralized exchanges, with 194,400 ETH flowing into platforms like Binance and Bybit, while Coinbase Pro and Kraken experienced outflows of 218,300 ETH and 57,400 ETH respectively [4] - Traditional financial institutions, such as Mango Financial and RYVYL, are pivoting towards cryptocurrency strategies, validating the immense potential of the cryptocurrency exchange market [4] Regulatory and Technological Developments - The Federal Reserve's decision to eliminate specific regulations on banks' cryptocurrency activities is fostering a more favorable environment for virtual currency exchanges [6] - Innovations in blockchain technology are transforming compliance from a document-heavy process to a real-time system, enhancing regulatory oversight while maintaining user privacy [6] Decentralization and Market Restructuring - The financial technology sector is undergoing profound changes, with traditional banks currently capturing 97% of industry revenue, but this is expected to shift as the GENIUS Act progresses [9] - The market size for blockchain and cryptocurrency services is projected to grow from $17 billion to $65 billion by 2032, with new companies leveraging programming languages like Rust and Solidity poised to emerge as winners [9][10]

Core Insights - Xunlei's Q2 net profit saw a significant year-on-year increase, primarily due to investments in YingShi Innovation [1][2] - The company reported total revenue of $104 million for Q2, marking a 30.6% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The growth in revenue was driven by increases in core business income, including overseas voice live streaming, membership services, and advertising [1][2] Financial Performance - Q2 gross profit reached $51.2 million, up 25.9% year-on-year [1] - Net profit based on GAAP was $727.4 million, a staggering increase of 28,996% from $2.5 million in the same period last year [1] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q2 was $8.3 million, up 159% from $3.2 million year-on-year [1] Business Segments - Membership services revenue was $36.4 million, reflecting a 10.5% increase, driven by growth in membership numbers and average revenue per member [2] - Live streaming and other services revenue surged to $37.6 million, an 85.5% increase, attributed to the development of overseas voice live streaming and growth in advertising post-acquisition of Hupu [2] - Cloud computing services revenue reached $30 million, up 13.6%, due to increased demand from major clients [2] Strategic Investments - The successful investment in YingShi Innovation, which went public on June 11, 2024, generated a pre-tax gain of $720 million for the company [2][3] - YingShi Innovation's stock price increased significantly, closing at $224.42 per share as of August 15, 2024, with a market capitalization of 90 billion [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates Q3 total revenue to be between $116 million and $124 million, indicating a projected quarter-on-quarter growth of approximately 15.4% [4] - The company plans to focus on business transformation and the adoption of decentralized and AI-driven technologies to enhance operations and user experience [3] R&D Investment - R&D expenses increased to $18.4 million, accounting for 17.7% of total revenue, compared to $17.5 million in the same period last year [3]

去年秋天的一个周五，加州都灵联邦监狱的大门缓缓打开，一个穿着普通灰色夹克的男人走了出来，脸上没什么表情，也没跟任何人打招呼，径直上了停在 门口的车。 这个人就是赵长鹏，前华人首富，刚服完四个月的刑期，比原计划还早了两天出来。 你敢信吗？ 就短短四个月，他和他一手创办的币安，砸出去了超过530亿人民币——71亿美元的天价罚款，外加辞职、认罪、放弃控制权，几乎把能给的都给了。 可最魔幻的是，这家伙一出来，兜里还揣着三百亿美元，照样是全球顶级富豪俱乐部的常客。你说这事儿离不离谱？ 这哪是坐牢，简直像去度假回来。 但你要是以为他就是靠运气撞上比特币暴富的暴发户，那可就太小看他了。 赵长鹏的故事，得从三十多年前说起。 12岁那年，他跟着父母从江苏搬到加拿大温哥华，一家子穷得叮当响。 他爸在工地打零工，他妈在家缝衣服贴补家用，他自己呢？ 他老婆气得三个月不跟他说话，结果半年后比特币翻倍，这波操作直接让他从技术宅变身资本玩家。 可人一有钱，内部就开始撕。 放学就去加油站、麦当劳打工，挣点零花钱。 可这小子有个怪癖——特别爱捣鼓电脑，晚上别人都睡了，他还窝在角落里啃编程书。 有天他爸半夜起来，看见儿子还在那鼓捣代码，心疼得不 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Oscillation [2] - Coking coal and coke: High-level oscillation [2] - Rebar and hot-rolled coil: High-level oscillation [2] - Glass: Oscillation [2] - Soda ash: Oscillation with a bullish bias [2] - CSI 50 Index Futures/Options: Rebound [2] - CSI 300 Index Futures/Options: Oscillation [4] - CSI 500 Index Futures/Options: Oscillation [4] - CSI 1000 Index Futures/Options: Downward movement [4] - 2-year Treasury bonds: Oscillation [4] - 5-year Treasury bonds: Oscillation [4] - 10-year Treasury bonds: Weakening [4] - Gold: High-level oscillation [4] - Silver: High-level oscillation [7] - Pulp: Consolidation [7] - Logs: Oscillation [7] - Edible oils: Oscillation with a bullish bias [7] - Oilseeds and meals: Stronger oscillation [8] - Agricultural products: Oscillation with a bearish bias [8] - Soft commodities: Oscillation [10] - PX: Wait-and-see [10] - PTA: Oscillation [10] - MEG: Buy on dips [10] - PR: Wait-and-see [10] - PF: Wait-and-see [11] Core Views - The short-term recovery of the manufacturing industry has been interrupted, and the expectations from the Politburo meeting were not met. The expected domestic supply policies have been temporarily disproven, leading to intensified capital-level gaming and market corrections due to expectation deviations [2]. - The Fed's September rate cut expectations have been frustrated again. The US July PPI soared year-on-year to 3.3%, the highest since February this year, far exceeding the expected 2.5%, and the month-on-month increase was 0.9%, the largest since June 2022 [4]. - The pricing mechanism of gold is shifting from being centered around real interest rates to central bank gold purchases, which are driven by "decentralization" and hedging needs [4]. - USDA significantly lowered the planting area, and the US soybean production decreased by 1.08 million tons month-on-month, which is bullish for the market [8]. Summary by Category Ferrous Metals - **Iron ore**: Global iron ore shipments decreased slightly month-on-month but were stronger year-on-year. Domestic arrivals decreased month-on-month, and port inventories increased slightly. Terminal demand was weak, and blast furnace hot metal production decreased slightly. Steel mills' profitability was high, and they had little incentive to cut production actively. There are expectations of production cuts in northern regions in late August. The short-term fundamentals have limited contradictions, and the futures price is expected to oscillate at a high level [2]. - **Coking coal and coke**: The Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the trading limit for the main coking coal futures contract. Real estate and infrastructure demand were weak, causing coking coal prices to decline slightly. Coal mine production recovery was slow, and the inventory of clean coal reached the lowest level since March 2024 last week. Downstream coke and steel enterprises maintained high operating rates. Some coal mines had full pre-sales orders, providing short-term support for coal prices. Supply-side factors are supporting the market, and prices are expected to oscillate at a high level. To break through the previous high, a continuous reduction in supply leading to a shortage in the spot market is required. It is recommended to buy on dips [2]. - **Rebar and hot-rolled coil**: There were news of production restrictions for independent steel rolling enterprises in Tangshan, leading to expectations of supply cuts. Building material demand decreased month-on-month, and external demand exports were overdrawn in advance. Real estate investment continued to decline, and total demand was unlikely to show counter-seasonal performance. With no increase in annual total demand, a pattern of high in the first half and low in the second half is expected. The profits of the five major steel products were decent, production increased slightly, apparent demand decreased, and steel mill inventories accelerated their accumulation last week. Social inventories increased at a faster pace. There are expectations of production restrictions during the military parade in mid-August, and the overall inventory pressure in the steel market is not significant. There are still expectations of stable growth in the steel industry in the short term. With the arrival of the traditional peak season and environmental protection production restrictions in northern regions during the military parade for at least two weeks, finished steel products are supported by macro and policy factors in the short term. It is advisable to try to go long on RB2601 at low levels [2]. - **Glass**: Glass prices were in a downward channel. New real estate relaxation policies were introduced, but they had little short-term impact on glass demand. There are expectations of glass factory shutdowns during the military parade, but it is unlikely due to high costs. The operating rate has remained stable recently. Market sentiment has been volatile. The inventory of glass downstream and midstream is low, providing room for restocking, but rigid demand has not recovered. In the long term, the real estate industry is still in an adjustment period, and glass demand is unlikely to rebound significantly. The trading focus is on "anti-competition and stable growth." After the short-term sentiment is released and the futures price adjusts again, attention should be paid to whether real demand can improve [2]. Financial Products - **Stock index futures/options**: The previous trading day, the CSI 300 Index fell 0.08%, the SSE 50 Index rose 0.59%, the CSI 500 Index fell 1.20%, and the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.24%. Funds flowed into the insurance and home appliance sectors and out of the aerospace and defense and communication equipment sectors. The Fed's September rate cut expectations were frustrated again. The implied volatility rebounded, increasing the probability of short-term consolidation. It is recommended to hold long positions in stock index futures lightly [4]. - **Treasury bonds**: The yield of the 10-year Chinese government bond rose 1bp, while FR007 and SHIBOR3M remained unchanged. The central bank conducted 128.7 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations on August 14, with an operating rate of 1.40%. There were 160.7 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 32 billion yuan. Market interest rates rebounded, and the Treasury bond market declined. It is recommended to hold long positions in Treasury bonds lightly [4]. - **Gold and silver**: Gold's pricing mechanism is changing, and central bank gold purchases are the key. The US debt problem may worsen, weakening the US dollar's credit and highlighting gold's de-fiat currency attribute. Geopolitical risks have decreased marginally, but market hedging needs remain due to Trump's tariff policies. China's physical gold demand has increased significantly, and the central bank has been increasing its gold holdings for eight consecutive months. The short-term factors that drove up the gold price have not completely reversed. The Fed's interest rate and tariff policies may cause short-term fluctuations. The market's expectation of a Fed rate cut in September remains above 90%, and the expectation of further monetary policy easing within the year has increased, supporting the gold price. Gold and silver prices are expected to oscillate at a high level [4][7]. Light Industry - **Paper pulp**: The spot market price was mainly consolidating. The latest FOB prices of softwood and hardwood pulp decreased, weakening the cost support for pulp prices. The profitability of the paper industry was low, and paper mills had high inventory pressure and low acceptance of high-priced pulp. Demand was in the off-season, and only rigid demand purchases were made, which was bearish for pulp prices. The pulp market has a pattern of weak supply and demand, and the price is expected to consolidate [7]. - **Logs**: The average daily shipment volume at log ports last week was 64,200 cubic meters, unchanged from the previous week. Demand was in the seasonal off-season, but as the peak seasons of September and October approached, the willingness of processors to stock up increased. The average daily outbound volume remained at 64,000 cubic meters. The volume of logs shipped from New Zealand to China in July was 1.476 million cubic meters, a 5% increase from the previous month. The shipment volume in July was low, and arrivals in August are expected to remain low. The expected arrivals this week were 190,000 cubic meters, a 60% decrease from the previous week. The supply center has shifted downwards, and the supply pressure is not significant. As of last week, the log port inventory was 3.08 million cubic meters, a decrease of 90,000 cubic meters from the previous week. The spot market price was stable, and the cost support has strengthened. In the short term, the spot market price is expected to remain stable. With the expected decrease in log arrivals this week, the supply pressure is generally not significant. Processors' willingness to stock up has increased, and the average daily outbound volume remains at 64,000 cubic meters. Log prices are expected to oscillate within a range [7]. Agricultural Products - **Edible oils**: In July, Malaysian palm oil production and inventory continued to increase, but the end-of-period inventory of 2.1133 million tons was far lower than the market expectation of 2.25 million tons. The production increase was lower than expected but still at a relatively high level. High-frequency data from shipping agencies showed that palm oil export demand has been strong since August, and the expectation of Indonesian biodiesel production at the end of the year is gradually fermenting. The volume of imported soybeans to China in August remains high, and oil mills' operating rates are high. The increase in soybean oil exports to India has alleviated the oversupply pressure. Palm oil inventory may increase, while rapeseed oil inventory continues to decline. Double festival stocking may gradually start, and demand is recovering. The preliminary anti-dumping ruling on Canadian rapeseed by the Ministry of Commerce has boosted rapeseed oil prices. With the support of soybean raw material costs, external palm oil prices, and recovering demand, edible oil prices are expected to oscillate with a bullish bias. However, after the previous sharp increase, attention should be paid to the risk of a correction. Focus on the weather in US soybean-growing areas and the production and sales of Malaysian palm oil [7]. - **Oilseeds and meals**: USDA significantly lowered the US soybean planting area, and production decreased by 1.08 million tons month-on-month, which is bullish for the market. The improvement in US soybean export demand expectations and concerns about the hot and dry weather in some agricultural areas in the US Midwest have boosted US soybean prices. Brazilian soybeans have high premiums due to concentrated demand, increasing the cost of imported soybeans. The Ministry of Commerce's anti-dumping measures against Canadian rapeseed, including a 75.8% deposit, have increased import costs and raised concerns about supply shortages. However, Brazil has a bumper soybean harvest, and the US soybean production outlook is strong, ensuring sufficient supply. The volume of imported soybeans to China in August is large, and oil mills' operating rates are high. Soybean meal inventory is at a high level and may continue to accumulate. With the addition of low-priced Argentine soybean meal, the supply is very abundant. Downstream buyers are worried about future supply disruptions or higher purchase prices, so they are purchasing in advance and restocking on a rolling basis, driving the trading volume of soybean meal by oil mills to a record high. The main trading volume is for forward basis contracts. Soybean meal prices are expected to oscillate strongly in the short term. Focus on the weather in US soybean-growing areas and the arrival of soybeans [8]. - **Agricultural products (Pigs)**: On the supply side, the average trading weight of pigs across the country continued to decline, with a slight decrease of 0.19% to 124.04 kg. The average trading weights in different provinces varied, but the overall trend was downward. High temperatures have slowed down pig growth, and slaughterhouses have increased their purchases of low-priced standard pigs to ease the procurement pressure, leading to a decline in the overall procurement weight. It is expected that the average trading weight of pigs in most areas will continue to decline. On the demand side, the average settlement price of pigs at key slaughterhouses across the country last week was 14.45 yuan/kg, a 0.11% decrease from the previous week. The price has been on a downward trend. Due to factors such as the accelerated slaughter of pigs by farmers and the impact of high temperatures on terminal consumption, slaughterhouses have pressured prices during procurement, causing the price to fall from a high level. The average operating rate of key slaughterhouses was 32.49%, a 0.31 percentage point increase from the previous week. The price difference between fat and standard pigs has been oscillating, and the overall average has remained stable. At the beginning of the week, the tight supply of large pigs in some areas supported the price of fat pigs, widening the price difference. As the supply of large pigs increased in some regions and demand was weak, the price difference narrowed. Near the weekend, the increased enthusiasm of farmers to slaughter pigs led to a concentrated release of standard pig supply, causing the price to drop rapidly and widening the price difference again. With the continuous increase in pig supply and the continued restriction of consumption demand by high temperatures, the average weekly price of pigs may decline in the coming week [8]. Soft Commodities - **Rubber**: The impact of weather factors on natural rubber production areas has weakened, but the geopolitical conflict has not been effectively resolved, slightly interfering with rubber tapping. The profit from rubber tapping in Yunnan has increased slightly, and the tight supply of raw materials has supported the purchase price at a high level. The weather in Hainan is good, but the overall latex production is lower than the same period last year and below expectations. Driven by the futures market, local processing factories have increased their procurement enthusiasm, driving up the raw material purchase price. In Thailand, the cup lump price has continued to rise, but the profit has continued to narrow, and the rubber tapping progress in some areas has been restricted by geopolitical factors. The weather in Vietnam is good, and the raw material price has also increased. On the demand side, the capacity utilization rate of China's semi-steel tire sample enterprises was 69.71%, a 0.27 percentage point decrease from the previous week and a 9.93 percentage point decrease year-on-year. The capacity utilization rate of full-steel tire sample enterprises was 60.06%, a 0.80 percentage point increase from the previous week and a 0.73 percentage point increase year-on-year. In terms of production, the overall capacity of semi-steel tire enterprises has been dragged down by the shutdown and production cuts of some factories, while the capacity utilization rate of full-steel tire enterprises has increased due to the resumption of production by some maintenance enterprises and moderate production increases by enterprises with shortages. The capacity utilization rate of semi-steel tires may show a differentiated trend. On the one hand, the resumption of production by maintenance enterprises will provide support, but on the other hand, the maintenance plans of large-scale enterprises may lead to a slight decline in the overall utilization rate. For full-steel tires, as more enterprises resume production, the utilization rate will recover, but the overall increase may be limited due to the production recovery progress. The inventory of natural rubber at Qingdao ports has been decreasing, with a decline in both bonded and general trade warehouse inventories. Due to the continuous low arrival and warehousing of overseas supplies, the overall warehousing rate has further declined compared to the previous period. The decline in the spot price of natural rubber has prompted downstream tire enterprises to replenish their stocks at low prices, significantly increasing the market procurement enthusiasm compared to the previous period and driving up the overall outbound volume at the port. The total spot inventory at Qingdao ports has decreased. The natural rubber market still has a pattern of oversupply, but the gap between supply and demand has narrowed. As the geopolitical situation is expected to ease and rainfall in domestic and foreign main production areas increases in the next period, the expectation of a tight supply of raw materials will drive up rubber prices. The domestic spot inventory is expected to continue to decline. With the concentrated release of positive factors on the supply side and relatively stable demand, the natural rubber price is expected to maintain a relatively strong upward trend in the short term [10]. Chemicals - **PX**: Sanctions risks have supported oil prices, causing oil prices to rise. The PTA load has oscillated, and the polyester load has rebounded. The short-term supply and demand of near-month PX have slightly weakened, but it is still in short supply in the short term. The PXN spread is relatively strong, and PX prices will fluctuate with oil prices. It is advisable to wait and see [10]. - **PTA**: Oil prices have fluctuated significantly. Although the PXN spread is strong, the cost support is average. PTA supply is slowly recovering, and the load of downstream polyester factories has started to rebound, improving the supply and demand situation of PTA. In the short term, PTA prices will mainly fluctuate with costs [10]. - **MEG**: Port inventory increased slightly last week, and future arrivals may be lower than expected. Terminal demand is weak, domestic production is slowly recovering, and imports are oscillating, increasing supply pressure. In the medium term, the supply and demand of MEG are expected to be in a balanced state. Short-term cost fluctuations are large, and low inventory supports the MEG futures price. It is advisable to buy on dips [10]. - **PR**: Oil prices have risen, and the procurement of polyester bottle chips on the demand side has maintained low-price rigid replenishment, with cautious buying on rallies. It is expected that the polyester bottle chip market will fluctuate with polyester costs and show a relatively strong upward trend today [11]. - **PF**: The overnight increase in crude oil prices has provided some support, but the lack of positive factors in the supply and demand expectations of the industrial chain has limited the increase in short fiber prices. It is advisable to wait and see [11].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Black Metal Industry**: Iron ore - oscillate strongly; Coal and coke - oscillate upward; Rolled steel and rebar - oscillate at a high level; Glass - adjust; Soda ash - oscillate [2] - **Financial Industry**: CSI 50 - rebound; CSI 300 - oscillate; CSI 500 - oscillate; CSI 1000 - upward; 2 - year Treasury bond - oscillate; 5 - year Treasury bond - oscillate; 10 - year Treasury bond - weaken; Gold - oscillate at a high level; Silver - oscillate at a high level [3][4] - **Light Industry**: Pulp - consolidate; Logs - oscillate [5][6] - **Oil and Fat Industry**: Soybean oil - oscillate upward; Palm oil - oscillate upward; Rapeseed oil - oscillate upward; Bean meal - oscillate strongly; Rapeseed meal - oscillate strongly; Bean No. 2 - oscillate strongly; Bean No. 1 - oscillate weakly [6][7] - **Agricultural Products**: Live pigs - oscillate weakly [7] - **Soft Commodities**: Rubber - oscillate; PX - wait - and - see; PTA - oscillate; MEG - buy on dips; PR - wait - and - see; PF - wait - and - see [9][10][11] 2. Core Views of the Report - The report provides investment ratings and market trend analyses for various industries including black metal, financial, light industry, oil and fat, agricultural products, and soft commodities. It analyzes factors such as supply - demand relationships, policy impacts, and geopolitical situations in each industry to guide investment decisions [2][3][4] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Black Metal Industry - **Iron ore**: Short - term manufacturing recovery is interrupted, policy expectations are falsified, and supply is seasonally decreasing. Steel mills' production drive is strong, and iron ore is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term [2] - **Coal and coke**: Supply - side concerns lead to limited production capacity release, and supply - demand expectations support prices [2] - **Rolled steel and rebar**: There are supply reduction expectations due to production restrictions. Demand is weak, and it is recommended to buy on dips [2] - **Glass**: Market speculation cools, and the industry is in an adjustment cycle with low downstream inventory and un - recovered demand [2] - **Soda ash**: The market is affected by sentiment, and the price is expected to oscillate [2] Financial Industry - **Stock index futures/options**: Market rebounds, risk preference recovers, and it is recommended to hold long positions lightly [3][4] - **Treasury bonds**: Market interest rates rebound, and bond prices fall. It is recommended to hold long positions lightly [3][4] - **Gold and silver**: Gold is affected by multiple factors and is expected to oscillate at a high level. Silver is also expected to oscillate at a high level [3][4][6] Light Industry - **Pulp**: Supply - demand is weak, and prices are expected to consolidate [6] - **Logs**: Supply pressure is small, and prices are expected to oscillate [6] Oil and Fat Industry - **Oils**: Supply - demand fundamentals are strong, and prices are expected to oscillate upward [6][7] - **Meals**: Supply is abundant globally, but there are short - term bullish factors, and prices are expected to oscillate strongly [7] Agricultural Products - **Live pigs**: Supply increases, and consumption is restricted by high temperatures. Prices are expected to oscillate weakly [7] Soft Commodities - **Rubber**: Supply - demand gap narrows, and prices are expected to be strong in the short term [9][10] - **PX, PTA, MEG, PR, PF**: Affected by factors such as oil prices, supply - demand, and costs, prices show different trends [9][10][11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenues of $25,100,000, representing a 12% increase year over year, driven by a $1,700,000 increase in audience monetization revenues and a $900,000 increase in other initiatives [21][22] - Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $20,500,000 compared to a loss of $28,700,000 last year, an $8,200,000 improvement primarily related to the increase in revenue and expiration of programming and content agreements [22] - The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of $306,400,000, including $283,800,000 in cash and cash equivalents and $22,600,000 in Bitcoin holdings [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Audience monetization revenue increased due to Rumble Premium and local subscriptions, licensing, and tipping, offset by a decline in advertising revenue [21] - ARPU increased to $0.42, up 24% sequentially, indicating enhanced monetization strategy attributable to higher subscription and licensing revenue [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained 51,000,000 MAUs, marking the eighth consecutive quarter above the 50,000,000 mark, and showing growth compared to the post-midterm elections number in Q2 2023 [9] - The company is seeing increased interest in its cloud business, entering RFP processes with multiple governments and corporate entities, competing with major players like Amazon and Google [50] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on M&A strategy and evaluating strategic opportunities, including a potential acquisition of AI company Northern Data [5][6] - The launch of Rumble Wallet is anticipated to drive growth for Rumble's video platform, both domestically and internationally, with a focus on onboarding new creators [15][19] - The company aims for aggressive growth while protecting a free and open Internet, leveraging partnerships, particularly with Tether [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth of advertising revenue, indicating that CPMs are expected to rise in future quarters [28] - The company is optimistic about the impact of Rumble Wallet on MAU growth, especially in international markets [45][46] - Management highlighted the importance of partnerships in driving future growth and the positive momentum in building out these partnerships [12][16] Other Important Information - The company is experiencing a shift in corporate America, which is seen as a potential tailwind for growth, with notable partnerships being formed [10][11] - The company is actively working on integrating AI into its cloud business, which is viewed as a significant growth opportunity [17][18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on advertising growth and RAC - Management confirmed that advertising remains a high priority and is seeing increased publisher inventory coming into RAC, indicating potential growth opportunities [28][29] Question: Onboarding new creators - The company plans to onboard creators using Rumble Studio, which allows multi-streaming across platforms, incentivizing them to promote Rumble Wallet [30][31] Question: Path to positive gross profit and EBITDA - Management indicated that with current financial resources and partnerships, the company is moving towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven, though aggressive growth remains a priority [34][35] Question: MAU evolution and ARPU growth - Management expressed satisfaction with MAU growth, especially without the presence of a major creator, and attributed ARPU growth to successful execution of Rumble Premium [39][40] Question: Marketing initiatives for Rumble Wallet - The marketing strategy will involve both Rumble creators and off-platform initiatives to drive growth for both Rumble Wallet and the video platform [42][43]

【黄金期货最新行情】 上周五，美国总统特朗普宣布，他将于8月15日在阿拉斯加会见俄罗斯总统普京，商讨结束俄乌冲突的 相关事宜。这一消息令市场对地缘政治风险的担忧有所缓解。 近期美国就业数据表现不及预期，市场对美联储9月降息的预期显著升温。根据市场定价，美联储在9月 放宽货币政策的概率高达90%，并且预计到2025年底还将至少再降息一次。 与此同时，中美贸易谈判的进展也为市场增添了不确定性。特朗普要求华盛顿与北京在8月12日之前达 成协议，这一最后期限的临近让投资者保持高度警惕。 【机构观点】 | 8月11日 | 收盘价（元/克） | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量（手） | 持仓量（手） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 779.48 | -0.81% | 278074 | 211644 | 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【基本面消息】 数据显示，8月11日上海黄金现货价格报价778.50元/克，相较于期货主力价格（779.48元/克）贴水0.98 元/克。 新世纪期货：在高利率环境和全球化重构的大背景下，黄金的定价机制正在由传统的以实际利率为核心 向以央行购金 ...