请务必阅读免责条款 2026 年 2 月 24 日星期二 【实时热点】 【美国债市】 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 1 证 券 研 究 报 告 特朗普释放美伊局势缓和信号：更倾向协议而非战争 欧洲议会暂停批准欧美贸易协议，特朗普警告称任何想"耍花 招"的国家将面临更高关税 美联储理事沃勒：3 月利率决议取决于 2 月劳动力数据 韩国出口创同期历史新高，半导体占比升至 34.7% 国家能源局：推动"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系 飞猪发布数据显示，春节假期国内游门票订单量同比去年增 长超 80% 阿斯麦披露技术突破，有望在 2030 年前大幅提升芯片产能 三星电子去年第四季度重夺全球 DRAM 市场榜首 蚂蚁集团：AI 付与蚂蚁阿福 APP 用户数双破亿 荣耀将推出首款人形机器人 2 年期美债收益率跌 2.75 个基点报 3.444% 5 年期美债收益率跌 6.26 个基点报 3.582% 10 年期美债收益率跌 4.98 个基点报 4.031% 【经济数据】 | 重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) | 海外市场重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) ...

| 五、宏观信息 | | | --- | --- | | 美国最高法院公布关税诉讼案裁决结果，判定美国政府依据《国际紧急经济权力法》对相关贸易伙伴加征的对等关税、芬太尼关税等相关关税违法。商务部对 | | | 此回应表示，正在对相关内容和影响进行全面评估。中方敦促美方取消对贸易伙伴加征的有关单边关税措施。注意到美方正在准备采取贸易调查等替代措施， | | | 以期维持对贸易伙伴加征的关税，中方将对此保持密切关注并坚定维护中方利益。 | | | 美国海关与边境保护局（CBP）宣布，将从美国东部时间2月24日起停止征收依据《国际紧急经济权力法》（IEEPA）开征的关税。欧洲议会国际贸易委员会主 | | | 席贝恩德·朗格表示，欧洲议会谈判团队决定暂停批准欧盟与美国贸易协议的相关工作，并推迟原定于2月24日举行的关于该协议的投票。美国总统特朗普警 | | | 告称，任何想利用最高法院裁决"玩花招"的国家将面临更高的关税、且后果更严重。 | | | 美国总统特朗普表示，所有关于可能对伊朗开战的报道都是错误的，而且是蓄意为之。自己是做决定的人，更愿意达成协议而不是打仗，但如果不能达成协 | | | 议，对伊朗及伊朗人民 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for deepening reforms in the energy sector to adapt to a new energy system, focusing on high-quality development, safety, and low-carbon transition amidst complex international energy dynamics [1][5]. Group 1: Achievements in Energy Reform - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant progress in energy system reforms, enhancing development momentum and optimizing resource allocation through policy measures [2]. - The energy market structure has improved, with nearly 80% of electricity prices determined by market competition and over 970,000 registered electricity market entities [2]. - The establishment of a unified national energy market is underway, with a preliminary national electricity market and a developing oil and gas market structure [3]. Group 2: Future Directions for Energy Reform - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to address systemic barriers in energy supply, consumption, and market mechanisms to achieve carbon peak and build a new energy system by 2030 [5][6]. - There is a need to accelerate the establishment of mechanisms for green transformation in energy supply, focusing on increasing renewable energy capacity and improving the flexibility of energy systems [6]. - Enhancing the resilience and safety of energy systems is crucial, requiring a shift from traditional energy balance methods to more flexible and collaborative approaches [8]. Group 3: Proposed Measures for Energy Reform - A resilient energy supply mechanism should be developed, integrating renewable and fossil energy sources while enhancing the capacity for resource optimization [9]. - A green consumption guidance mechanism is necessary to promote sustainable energy use, including the establishment of a green energy consumption incentive system [10]. - The market and pricing mechanisms must adapt to the new energy system, ensuring that prices reflect supply and demand dynamics and facilitating efficient resource allocation [11].

Core Viewpoint - The development of nuclear power in China has achieved significant results during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a focus on safe, orderly, and high-quality growth, positioning the country as a global leader in nuclear energy [1][3]. Group 1: Achievements in Nuclear Power Development - China has maintained a safe and stable operation of its nuclear power units, with no adverse effects on the public or environment, and has achieved a high level of safety that is internationally recognized [1]. - The total number of operational and approved nuclear power units in mainland China has reached 112, with a total installed capacity of 125 million kilowatts, making it the world's largest nuclear power country [1]. - By 2025, nuclear power generation is expected to reach approximately 480 billion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 4.8% of the total national power generation and 2% of total primary energy consumption [1]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The "Hualong One" technology has 38 units approved for operation and construction in China, making it the largest scale of third-generation nuclear technology globally [2]. - The successful operation of the high-temperature gas-cooled reactor demonstration project marks the world's first commercial demonstration of fourth-generation reactor technology [2]. - The domestic nuclear power equipment supply chain has become the most complete globally, with a domestic manufacturing rate exceeding 90% for key equipment and materials [2]. Group 3: Strategic Directions for Future Development - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for continued efforts in scaling up nuclear power construction, ensuring safety and quality, promoting technological innovation, and enhancing the supply chain [3][4]. - The plan includes a focus on maintaining a steady construction pace, promoting standardized and modular construction, and supporting private sector investment in nuclear power [6][7]. - There is a commitment to advancing nuclear technology, including small reactors and fusion energy, to drive innovation and maintain competitive advantages [4][6]. Group 4: Domestic and International Context - Internationally, over 30 countries have committed to increasing nuclear power, presenting new opportunities for China to enhance international cooperation and expand its nuclear power presence globally [5]. - Domestically, the demand for energy and electricity is expected to grow steadily, highlighting the strategic importance of nuclear power in the new energy system [5]. - Challenges include ensuring safety for a large number of operational and under-construction units, adapting to a unified national electricity market, and aligning long-term technological goals with current commercial realities [5].

推动"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系 国家能源局发展规划司司长 任育之 能源是经济社会发展的重要物质基础。党的二十大首次提出加快规划建设新型能源体系，二十届四中全 会进一步明确"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系、建设能源强国，这是党中央深刻把握全球能源发展大 势、立足我国能源发展方位作出的新部署新要求，为能源发展提供了根本遵循和行动纲领。过去一年， 我们全力推动"十四五"能源规划收官，谋划"十五五"能源发展方向路径，统筹推进《新型能源体系建 设"十五五"规划》研究编制工作。 扎实推进"十五五"新型能源体系建设 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，我们将发布实施新型能源体系和系列分领域能源规划，深入践行能源 安全新战略，加快建设新型能源体系，推进能源强国建设，为基本实现社会主义现代化取得决定性进展 提供坚强能源支撑。 回顾过去5年，我们着力完善定位准确、边界清晰、功能互补、统一衔接的能源规划体系，推动形成能 源规划"全国一盘棋"，更好发挥能源规划对能源发展的引领、指导和规范作用。推动出台《中华人民共 和国能源法》，修订出台《能源规划管理办法》，完善规划实施机制，开展规划实施动态监测和评估调 整，加强地方落实国家能源规 ...

1、2月16日出版的第4期《求是》杂志发表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要文章《当前经济工作 的重点任务》。文章强调，2026年经济工作头绪多，要抓住关键、纲举目张。坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场。统筹促消费 和扩投资，用好我国超大规模市场优势。深入实施提振消费专项行动，制定实施城乡居民增收计划，扩大优质商品和服务供 给，优化"两新"政策实施，清理消费领域不合理限制措施，释放文旅等服务消费潜力。 【隔夜外盘】 马年A股首个交易日，三大指数集体高开，沪指涨1.15%，报4129.13点，深成指涨1.52%，报14313.86点，创业板指涨 1.7%，报3331.79点，科创50指数涨1.57%，报1493.45点。沪深两市合计成交额303.15亿元，全市场近5000只个股上涨。 盘面上，黄金、石油板块领涨，宇树机器人、能源金属、CPO、特高压、消费电子、半导体概念股活跃；免税店、短剧游 戏、seedance题材走弱。 美股三大指数收盘均跌超1%，道指跌821点，跌幅达1.66%，纳指跌1.13%，标普500指数跌1.04%。 科技股普遍承压，微软跌超3%，特斯拉、META跌近3%，亚马逊跌超2 ...

"十四五"能源规划圆满收官 在"四个革命、一个合作"能源安全新战略指引下，我们统筹能源高质量发展和高水平安全，推动"十四 五"能源规划确定的14项主要指标、19项重大战略任务、34类重大工程如期完成，为新型能源体系建设 奠定坚实基础。 能源安全保障能力再上新台阶，一次能源生产总量突破50亿吨标准煤、自给率稳定保持在80%以上，西 电东送、西气东输、北煤南运大动脉不断巩固拓展，有力支撑了能源供应"量足价稳"。绿色低碳转型实 现跃升发展，构建了全球最大、发展最快的可再生能源体系，"十四五"能源需求增量的近一半由非化石 能源满足，非化石能源占能源消费总量比重超过20%。改革创新活力不断释放，白鹤滩水电站、全球首 座高温气冷堆、"深海一号"能源站等多个"大国重器"建成投运，新型储能、氢能产业规模化发展；全国 统一电力市场加快建设，绿证累计交易突破14亿个，绿电直连等新模式蓬勃发展。国际合作不断开创新 局面，能源多元进口保持稳定，与100多个国家和地区开展了绿色能源项目合作，在全球能源治理中的 影响力和话语权显著提升。 2月23日，"中国电力报"发表国家能源局规划司司长任育之署名文章《推动"十五五"初步建成新型能源 体 ...

国盛证券还提到，2026年预计新增光伏装机180 GW 至240GW，"十五五"期间年均新增238 GW至287GW，光伏行业需 从"比规模、拼价格"转向"价值竞争"，拓展融合化实践空间，光伏与商业航天、算力等多场景融合，与制氢氨醇等绿 色行业结合；深度参与电力市场、完善市场交易机制，探索"光储"一体化开发模式，加强电网光伏友好型能力建设。 【环球网财经综合报道】国家能源局规划司司长任育之日前表示，将发布实施新型能源体系和一系列分领域能源规 划。 任育之具体提到，一方面，扎实推进战略性标志性重大工程建设，安全有序推进雅下水电工程建设，布局建设"三 北"风电光伏基地、西南水风光一体化基地、沿海核电基地、海上风电基地，优化建设电力、油气等骨干通道；另一 方面，加快建设一批"小而美"项目，实施电动汽车充电网络提升工程，布局建设若干个风光氢氨醇一体化基地，建设 一批光热发电工程。 国盛证券近日发布研报认为，2月11日，国务院办公厅正式印发《关于完善全国统一电力市场体系的实施意见》，首 次以国办名义、从国家统一大市场高度、对电力市场体系进行的顶层设计，提出分品种有节奏推进气电、水电、核电 等电源进入电力市场。 对于资本 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for deepening reforms in the energy sector to adapt to a new energy system, focusing on high-quality development, safety, and low-carbon transition amidst complex international energy dynamics and geopolitical conflicts [2]. Group 1: Achievements in Energy Reform - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant progress in energy system reforms, enhancing development momentum and achieving high-quality energy development through a combination of policies [4]. - The energy market structure has been improved, with nearly 80% of electricity prices determined by market competition and over 970,000 registered electricity market entities [4]. - The establishment of a unified national energy market system is underway, with a preliminary national electricity market and a developing oil and gas market structure [5]. Group 2: Challenges Ahead - The next five years are critical for achieving carbon peak goals and accelerating the construction of a new energy system, requiring the resolution of four key systemic obstacles [8]. - The need for a green transition in energy supply mechanisms is urgent, with a target of 3.6 billion kilowatts of new energy capacity by 2035, necessitating a shift towards renewable energy while managing fossil fuel phase-out [9]. - The energy consumption side requires enhanced mechanisms to stimulate flexibility and innovation, as new business models and green energy consumption patterns emerge [10]. Group 3: Strategic Measures for Reform - The article outlines strategic measures to strengthen energy supply resilience, emphasizing the importance of integrating renewable and fossil energy sources and enhancing the operational capacity of energy systems [13]. - A green consumption guidance mechanism is proposed to promote sustainable energy use, including the establishment of a green energy consumption incentive system and the expansion of green certificate markets [14]. - The development of market and pricing mechanisms that reflect supply and demand dynamics is crucial, alongside the establishment of a modern energy governance system to ensure regulatory effectiveness and international cooperation [15].

国家能源局发展规划司司长 任育之 能源是经济社会发展的重要物质基础。党的二十大首次提出加快规划建设新型能源体系，二十届四中全 会进一步明确"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系、建设能源强国，这是党中央深刻把握全球能源发展大 势、立足我国能源发展方位作出的新部署新要求，为能源发展提供了根本遵循和行动纲领。过去一年， 我们全力推动"十四五"能源规划收官，谋划"十五五"能源发展方向路径，统筹推进《新型能源体系建 设"十五五"规划》研究编制工作。 "十四五"能源规划圆满收官 在"四个革命、一个合作"能源安全新战略指引下，我们统筹能源高质量发展和高水平安全，推动"十四 五"能源规划确定的14项主要指标、19项重大战略任务、34类重大工程如期完成，为新型能源体系建设 奠定坚实基础。 推动"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系 不确定因素增多对能源安全带来更大挑战。从国际看，世界变乱交织、动荡加剧，能源成为战略竞争焦 点。全球能源贸易阵营化趋势更加明显，围绕资源权、通道权和市场权的竞争日趋激烈，我国部分能源 资源进口面临更大不确定性。与此同时，国际油气供需总体宽松、价格下行，有利于我国更好统筹国内 国际两个市场两种资源。从国内看，经济社 ...