● 刘英杰 谭丁豪 日前，中信建投证券在北京成功举办了2026年资本市场峰会暨中国-沙特投资合作论坛。本次会议以"革 故鼎新、质赢未来"为主题，吸引了来自沙特资本市场管理局、交易所及全球多个国家和地区的企业 家、投资者参与。 在会上，中信建投证券研究团队发表了对2026年的展望。与会分析师普遍认为，2026年作为"十五五"规 划的开局之年，中国经济将在深化改革和扩大开放中实现质的提升，A股市场有望在政策支持和基本面 改善的双重驱动下延续慢牛格局，新质生产力、科技创新与战略资源等领域将孕育丰富的结构性投资机 会。 肩负建设金融强国重要使命 五大变革引领2026年新发展 中信建投证券首席经济学家黄文涛在分享2026年宏观经济与投资展望时表示，"十五五"期间是中国发展 历史上非常重要的阶段，2026年将是夯实基础、全面发力的高起步之年。 黄文涛认为，未来五年中国将经历五个方面的革故鼎新：一是经济增长动力从传统要素驱动向创新驱动 转变；二是产业升级过程中传统产业逐步转型，现代化产业体系建设加速；三是投资于人与投资于物之 间寻求新平衡，投资于人越来越重要；四是供给与需求关系优化，内需成为更大看点；五是全球化进程 中中国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has issued a notification aimed at accelerating the systematic layout and high-level construction of pilot test platforms in the manufacturing industry, facilitating the transformation of technology into practical applications, referred to as bridging the "last mile" of technology transfer [1][3]. Group 1: Notification Objectives - The notification focuses on advancing key tasks of new industrialization, with a goal to strengthen pilot test platforms by the end of 2027, establishing a modern pilot test platform system and forming a national manufacturing pilot test service network with multi-entity participation, multi-field layout, and multi-level services [3]. - Pilot testing is identified as a critical link between laboratory innovation and industrial production, with a reported success rate of over 80% for technology commercialization after pilot testing, compared to only 30% for those that do not undergo this process [3]. Group 2: Key Tasks - The notification outlines three main tasks: "strengthening a batch," "activating a batch," and "filling gaps in a batch." The approach emphasizes a tiered advancement strategy to guide pilot test platforms towards higher levels of development [3][4]. - In the "strengthening" aspect, the notification encourages the development of pilot test platforms through a structured path from reserve platforms to key cultivated platforms and ultimately to national-level pilot test platforms, aiming to build foundational, core, and backbone forces for the national manufacturing pilot test service network [3]. - The "activating" strategy focuses on targeted support and quality enhancement for pilot test platforms that possess public service attributes but require improvement in capabilities and effectiveness [4]. Group 3: Focus Areas for Development - The notification emphasizes the need to address key industry sectors such as artificial intelligence, humanoid robots, quantum technology, clean low-carbon hydrogen, biomedicine, major technical equipment, new materials, and information technology, which are crucial for future development and industrial security [4]. - Local industrial and information authorities are encouraged to select specific areas for development based on regional strengths, with priority given to pilot test platforms in these critical sectors for inclusion in the MIIT's key cultivation management [4]. - Additionally, the notification includes guidelines for the construction of manufacturing pilot test platforms and key direction points for 2025, aimed at assisting localities in establishing urgently needed pilot test platforms across six key areas and 37 industry focus directions [4].

Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index hovering around 4000 points while the ChiNext and STAR Market continue to adjust [4][5] - The divergence in index performance reflects a shift in market preference from "technology + new energy" to "insurance + banking," indicating a focus on defensive sectors [5][7] - The insurance and banking sectors showed strength, with the insurance index rising by 1.81% and the banking index by 0.46%, likely benefiting from the central bank's indication of a moderately loose monetary policy [7][8] Bond Market - The bond market saw a slight increase, with the 30-year bond contract rising by 0.09% and the 10-year bond by 0.02%, indicating a stable interest rate environment [9] - The central bank's actions, including a net injection of 1300 billion yuan into the market, signal a commitment to maintaining liquidity [9][10] Commodity Market - The commodity index increased by 0.63%, with precious metals continuing to perform strongly, particularly silver, which rose by over 2% [9][10] - Multi-crystalline silicon prices experienced significant volatility, with a peak drop of nearly 4% before recovering due to clarifications from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association [9][10] Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a balanced allocation strategy across dividend stocks, micro-cap stocks, and technology sectors, while being cautious of high valuation pressures [8][11] - The focus on consumer sectors may present further investment opportunities if domestic policies continue to support market recovery [8][11] Hotspot Tracking - Key investment themes include artificial intelligence, nuclear fusion, domestic chip production, quantum technology, and precious metals, with a focus on capital expenditure trends and policy support [12][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring developments in the photovoltaic sector and related policies, particularly regarding supply and demand dynamics [9][12]

Group 1 - The Computer ETF (159998) has seen a trading volume of 67.08 million yuan as of November 12, 2025, with mixed performance among its constituent stocks, including Jiangbolong (301308) up by 4.29% and Runhe Software (300339) up by 1.14% [1] - The Robot ETF (159770) recorded a turnover of 264 million yuan, with its constituent stocks also showing mixed results, led by Bojie Co., Ltd. (002975) up by 4.68% [1] - The Robot ETF (159770) has experienced a significant growth of 330 million yuan in scale over the past week, reaching a new high of 9.681 billion shares [2] Group 2 - The Computer ETF (159998) covers a wide range of sectors within the information technology industry, including AI application leaders and hardware manufacturers, providing a comprehensive investment opportunity [3] - The Robot ETF (159770) is positioned to benefit from domestic substitution and technological expansion, capitalizing on the growth in high-end manufacturing [3] - Meta has announced a substantial investment of 600 billion yuan in AI, emphasizing the long-term commitment of major tech companies to AI technology development [6] Group 3 - The "Intelligent Computing Hub" was unveiled at the China Humanoid Robot Industry Development Conference, showcasing advancements in AI control systems for humanoid robots [7] - CITIC Securities highlights the low penetration rate of AI large models, indicating significant potential for investment in AI computing power [8] - The report suggests monitoring the AI application sector and related industries, including quantum technology, which are gaining attention from major global players [9]

Group 1 - The global first 2nm mobile chip, Exynos 2600, will debut in Samsung's Galaxy S26 series, marking a significant advancement in mobile technology [2] - Samsung has decided to restart the S26+ model due to disappointing sales of the Galaxy S25 and iPhone Air, indicating a strategic shift in product offerings [2] - The new Galaxy S26+ features a minimalist design with dimensions of 158.4 x 75.7 x 7.35mm and a 4900mAh battery [2] Group 2 - A new compact short-pulse laser developed by a research team from the University of Stuttgart achieves an energy conversion efficiency of over 80%, opening new applications in medicine and quantum technology [2] - This breakthrough in laser technology could lead to the development of portable and cost-effective laser devices [2] Group 3 - Yushu Technology has received authorization for a patent on a robotic finger design that features a continuous gripping surface, enhancing its ability to grasp objects without gaps [2] - The design includes a linkage mechanism that allows for improved functionality in robotic applications [2] Group 4 - China's largest "artificial sun" project has made significant progress with the successful design review of key diagnostic systems for the ITER project, laying a solid foundation for future system manufacturing and delivery [2] - This advancement highlights China's commitment to nuclear fusion research and development [2]

Market News - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 1.18%, S&P 500 up 0.21%, and Nasdaq down 0.25% [1] - International gold prices continued to rise, with spot gold up 0.34% at $4129.75 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures up 0.36% at $4136.7 per ounce [1] - International oil prices increased, with WTI crude oil up 1.33% at $60.93 per barrel, and Brent crude oil up 1.56% at $65.06 per barrel [1] - European stock indices all closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.53%, France's CAC40 up 1.25%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 1.15% [1] Industry Insights - Tesla is preparing to expand its Texas Gigafactory to build a dedicated facility for mass production of its humanoid robot, Optimus, aiming for an annual production capacity of 10 million units by 2027 [2] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth starting in 2025, driven by advancements in component performance and cost reduction [2] - Key beneficiaries in the humanoid robot sector include core supply chains and application scenarios, with concept stocks such as Hanyu Group, Haoshi Electromechanical, and Hanwei Technology [2] - Anhui Province is advancing in quantum technology, with plans to implement nearly 300 application scenarios by the end of this year and 1,000 by 2027 [3] - Recent breakthroughs in quantum computing have been achieved, particularly in atomic quantum computing, which could enhance the stability and speed of operations [3] - The MEMS optical switch market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 25% from 2024 to 2025, with concept stocks including Keda Technology, Saiwei Electronics, and Puyuan Precision [4] - Shanghai Ladder Medical Technology's implantable wireless brain-machine interface system has entered the special review process for innovative medical devices, marking a significant step in the commercialization of this technology [3][6] - The global brain-machine interface medical application market is expected to reach $40 billion by 2030 and $145 billion by 2040, indicating substantial growth potential [5][6] - Key concept stocks in the brain-machine interface sector include Zhongke Information, Guanhao Biological, and Aipeng Medical [6]

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a one-year suspension of the export control penetration rule, which will prevent sanctions on companies with over 50% ownership by entities on the U.S. export control list during the specified period [1] - The Chinese government expressed willingness to engage in dialogue with the U.S. to manage differences and promote mutual cooperation between enterprises [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for a balanced approach in monetary policy, focusing on both short-term and long-term goals, while enhancing macroeconomic governance effectiveness [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission highlighted the importance of integrating innovation and industry, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced plans to establish a systematic layout for pilot testing platforms in key industries, including AI, quantum technology, and clean energy [3] - The Ministry of Commerce is set to implement detailed measures to boost consumption and expand trade and investment cooperation [5] Group 4 - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported that from January to October, the production and sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) saw significant growth, with NEV sales surpassing 50% of total vehicle sales in October [7] - NEV exports reached 2.014 million units from January to October, marking a 90.4% year-on-year increase [7] Group 5 - The China Securities Index Company announced the launch of the China Securities New Exchange Asia Select 100 Index and the Asia Select 100 Dividend Focus Index, aimed at providing investment benchmarks for major Asian markets [8] Group 6 - Investment firms are focusing on the recovery of the domestic market driven by policy support, particularly in the medical equipment sector, which is expected to see a performance turnaround [9] - Companies like Moen Electric and Furi Shares reported no significant changes in their operating environments, while others are planning stock buybacks and fundraising initiatives [10]

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a one-year suspension of the export control penetration rules, allowing companies on the U.S. export control "entity list" to avoid additional sanctions for their subsidiaries with over 50% ownership during this period [2] - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for a balanced approach in monetary policy, focusing on steady growth, risk prevention, and supporting the real economy while maintaining the health of the banking system [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission highlighted the importance of integrating innovation and industry, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan, to enhance the role of pilot testing in the innovation chain [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced plans to systematically build pilot testing platforms in key industries such as AI, quantum technology, and clean energy, focusing on demand-driven strategies [4] - The Ministry of Commerce is set to implement detailed measures to boost consumption, expand open policies, and promote trade innovation, aligning with the spirit of the 20th National Congress [5] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau stressed the importance of centralized leadership in financial work, aiming to prevent risks and promote high-quality development in the financial sector [6] Group 3 - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported that from January to October, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 13.015 million and 12.947 million units, respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 33.1% and 32.7% [7] - In October, the monthly sales of new energy vehicles exceeded 50% of total vehicle sales for the first time, reaching 51.6% [7] - The export of new energy vehicles from January to October was 2.014 million units, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 90.4% [7] Group 4 - The China Securities Index Company announced the launch of the China Securities New Exchange Asia Select 100 Index and the Asia Select 100 Dividend Focus Index, aimed at providing benchmarks for investors in major Asian markets [8] - Companies like Anker Innovations plan to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating a trend of companies seeking to expand their market presence [12] - The stock of Huayuan Communication is suspended due to a planned change in control, reflecting ongoing corporate restructuring activities [13]

Core Insights - The quantum technology sector is experiencing significant advancements, with both policy support and technological breakthroughs driving growth [2][3][4] - The global quantum computing industry is projected to grow from $4.7 billion in 2023 to over $800 billion by 2035, indicating substantial market potential [4] - A total of over 60 A-share companies are involved in quantum technology, with significant R&D investments, particularly in quantum security chips and modules [4][5] Policy Developments - Anhui Province is focusing on scaling quantum technology applications, aiming to implement nearly 300 application scenarios by the end of this year and 1,000 by 2027 [2] Technological Breakthroughs - Domestic advancements include a new architecture for atomic quantum computing that addresses challenges in high parallelism, speed, and stability [3] - Internationally, a team from the University of Chicago has theoretically extended the connection distance between quantum computers to 2,000 kilometers [3] Industry Growth and Investment - In the first three quarters of this year, A-share companies involved in quantum technology reported a total R&D expenditure of 69.47 billion yuan, accounting for 3.86% of total revenue [4] - Notable companies with high R&D expenditure include China Mobile, ZTE, and China Telecom, with 国芯科技 leading at 89.03% of revenue spent on R&D [4][5] Market Opportunities - Quantum communication, particularly quantum key distribution (QKD), is identified as the most mature and commercially viable area within quantum technology [3] - Quantum measurement is also highlighted as an early revenue-generating sector, akin to "hidden champions" in niche markets [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a notice to accelerate the systematic layout and high-level construction of manufacturing pilot platforms, aiming to establish a modern pilot platform system by the end of 2027, with a focus on multi-entity participation and multi-field layout [2]. Group 1: Manufacturing Pilot Platforms - The notice outlines the construction guidelines for manufacturing pilot platforms, which include five major categories: raw materials industry, equipment manufacturing, consumer goods industry, information technology, and emerging and future industries [2]. - By 2027, the goal is to enhance the capabilities of high-level pilot platforms and establish a nationwide manufacturing pilot service network [2]. Group 2: Key Focus Areas - **Petrochemical and Chemical Industry**: Emphasis on low-carbon hydrogen-rich raw material utilization, high-end polymer synthesis, and green low-carbon technologies [4]. - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Focus on green and efficient extraction and smelting processes for metals like copper, aluminum, and rare metals, aiming for high-quality raw material preparation [5]. - **Inorganic Non-metallic Materials**: Development of high-performance ceramics, functional crystals, and green low-carbon materials [6]. - **Frontier Materials**: Concentration on micro-nano processing technologies and advanced materials like graphene and superconductors [7]. - **Light Industry**: Innovations in smart home appliances, battery materials, and green technologies for various consumer products [8]. - **Integrated Circuits**: Addressing reliability issues in complex applications and enhancing the verification capabilities of new technologies [9]. - **Energy Electronics**: Advancements in photovoltaic technologies and new battery systems, focusing on efficiency and reliability [10]. - **New Displays**: Development of next-generation display technologies and materials, enhancing performance and stability [11]. - **Brain-Computer Interfaces**: Focus on key technologies for brain-computer interface components and signal processing [12]. - **Metaverse**: Promotion of VR/AR technologies and related components, enhancing user interaction and content production [13]. - **Humanoid Robots and Embodied Intelligence**: Development of intelligent decision-making technologies and key components for humanoid robots [14]. - **Quantum Technology**: Focus on critical materials and technologies for quantum computing and communication [15]. - **Clean Low-Carbon Hydrogen**: Development of hydrogen production, storage, and application technologies across various industries [16].