Core Insights - The introduction of new policy financial tools is approaching, with various regions conducting training sessions to prepare for their implementation [1][2][3] Group 1: Policy Financial Tools - New policy financial tools are expected to play a crucial role in stabilizing domestic investment, particularly in technology innovation and consumer infrastructure [3][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) aims to address capital shortages for project construction by establishing new policy financial tools by the end of June 2025 [2][4] - In 2022, policy development financial tools supported over 2,700 major projects across various sectors, with a total investment of 740 billion yuan [2][4] Group 2: Project Selection and Coordination - A coordinated mechanism for selecting and recommending projects for new policy financial tools is essential, focusing on projects that benefit both current and long-term goals [4][6] - The NDRC will lead the organization of project applications, ensuring that selected projects align with policy directions and are ready for implementation [4][6] - Local governments are encouraged to prepare projects that meet the criteria for new policy financial tools, ensuring quick execution once funding is available [6] Group 3: Expected Investment Impact - The new policy financial tools are projected to mobilize approximately 500 billion yuan, potentially leading to an effective investment of 6 trillion to 6.5 trillion yuan [6] - The People's Bank of China is expected to support policy banks through targeted liquidity tools, enhancing funding for key infrastructure projects [5][6]

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Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of stabilizing market expectations through timely and effective policy measures in response to changing domestic and international conditions [1] - In 2025, the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be advanced by about one month compared to 2024, aimed at accelerating the implementation of "two重" and "two新" policies to boost domestic investment demand [3] - The People's Bank of China announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, alongside a 0.1 percentage point interest rate cut [3] Group 2 - This year, the "two重" construction project list includes significant cross-regional and cross-basin projects such as large and medium-sized irrigation areas and intercity railways in key urban agglomerations, with increased funding support for major engineering projects totaling 1.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 300 billion yuan from last year [6] - Approximately 3 trillion yuan in quality projects will be introduced to private enterprises in key sectors such as transportation and energy, with private capital participation in nuclear power projects reaching up to 20% [6] - The negative list for market access has been reduced to 106 items, a 30% decrease from the first version, allowing for the relaxation of entry restrictions in various industries [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent press conference on May 7 highlighted a comprehensive set of financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, indicating a strong commitment from the authorities to support the economy amid increasing external pressures [1][2]. Monetary Policy - The conference signaled a clear shift towards further monetary easing, including measures such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [2]. - Starting May 15, the RRR will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, expected to inject approximately 1 trillion yuan into the market [2]. - The policy interest rates, including the 7-day reverse repurchase rate, will be reduced from 1.5% to 1.4%, with the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) anticipated to decrease by about 0.1 percentage points [2]. Structural Policies - New structural monetary policy tools will be introduced to support sectors like technology innovation, consumption expansion, and inclusive finance [3]. - The quota for technology innovation and technical transformation re-loans will increase from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan, and a new 500 billion yuan re-loan for service consumption and elderly care will be established [3]. Economic Context - The need for enhanced counter-cyclical adjustments is emphasized due to increasing economic downward pressure from external shocks, particularly in the context of trade tensions [3][4]. - The financial market's stability is crucial, especially following significant fluctuations in international markets due to tariff policies [3]. Future Expectations - There is anticipation for new policy tools to be introduced, particularly those aimed at supporting technology innovation and stabilizing foreign trade [5][6]. - The implementation of counter-cyclical measures will depend on the intensity of external shocks, with expectations for a gradual acceleration in fiscal policy [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The recent press conference by Chinese financial authorities introduced a comprehensive financial policy package aimed at stabilizing the market and economic expectations, with a focus on the significance of the "double reduction" policy [1] Group 1: Policy Timing and Strategy - The term "early" refers to the successful experience of releasing favorable policies before the market opening last year, indicating that the new financial policy package will have a more stable and lasting impact on the market [2] - The term "timely" highlights the importance of stabilizing market expectations ahead of the upcoming China-U.S. trade negotiations, which is crucial for gaining negotiation leverage [2] Group 2: Monetary Policy Adjustments - The market's initial reaction centered on the unexpected interest rate cut, while the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) reduction was anticipated. The interest rate cut opens up space for monetary policy due to increased economic downward pressure and external changes affecting exports [3] - The adjustment of housing provident fund rates and subsequent policies aimed at stimulating real estate demand signal a proactive approach to meet housing consumption needs, aligning with the directives from the April Politburo meeting [3] Group 3: Structural Monetary Policy - The new round of structural monetary policy tools aims to address challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and export shocks, featuring a "quantity expansion and price reduction" approach [4] - The introduction of multiple relending tools and a general reduction in relending and PSL rates by 0.25 percentage points will further lower financial institutions' funding costs, supporting the real economy [4] Group 4: Financial Policy and Fiscal Support - The establishment of relending tools for service consumption and elderly care represents a significant step in promoting service consumption, with monetary policy leading the way for potential fiscal support [5] - Current fiscal policies, including special bonds, have not been fully implemented, suggesting that new fiscal measures to support service consumption may be released mid-year [5] Group 5: Capital Market Stability and Growth - Capital market policies reflect a dual focus on stability and progress, with support from the Central Huijin Investment Company acting as a stabilizing force for the market [6] - The implementation of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" will enhance the focus on investor interests, further invigorating market dynamics [6]

昨晚我对今天发布会是否有重磅内容还是持怀疑态度的，毕竟那通知没点名说潘 行会来，哈哈哈，我还给网友留言，说大概率不来！ 结果，啪啪打脸，潘行不但来了，而且还不是空着手来的！ 一上来就宣布了三大类十项政策措施，其中就包括前期念叨的"择机"降准和降 息，而且降准幅度还是超过了彭博的预测！！降低公积金贷款利率更是超预期。 李云泽也带来了一些对A股重要的政策，比如再批复600亿保险资金长期投资试 点，将保险公司股票投资风险因子调降10%，强调类平准基金有力有效并全力支 持等。 不过这满满的诚意也没能阻止我们大A高开低走！ 不到十点，崩盘哥就在群里打卡了！ 正如群友所痛斥的：格局不了一点！！！ 说实话，既然假期的时候就在传这个会议，那肯定有人提前布局了！ 吴清主席都说了，A股就是"靠谱"！ 当然调侃归调侃，是不是就该转向看空了？ 那肯定不是，增量政策才开始，而且现在专项债和特别国债猛猛发，还没开始发 力呢！ A股复盘 | 收回一部分昨天的红包 / 2025.05.07 民生证券指出，新型政策性金融工具等增量政策"未完待续"。 4月25日政治局会 议和28日国新办发布会上，均就"设立新型政策性金融工具"做出部署。尽管5月 ...

当前，全球经济充满不确定性，经济碎片化和贸易紧张局势加剧，扰乱全球产业链和供应链，引发国际 金融市场动荡，削弱全球经济增长动能。潘功胜表示，人民银行将加大宏观调控强度，推出一揽子货币 政策措施，主要有三大类共十项措施。一是数量型政策，通过降准等措施，加大中长期流动性供给，保 持市场流动性充裕；二是价格型政策，下调政策利率，降低结构性货币政策工具利率，也就是中央银行 向商业银行提供再贷款的利率，同时调降公积金贷款利率；三是结构型政策，完善现有结构性货币政策 工具，并创设新的政策工具，支持科技创新、扩大消费、普惠金融等领域。 近期，一系列增量金融政策陆续出台，对促进经济金融平稳运行发挥了积极作用。日前召开的中央政治 局会议强调，要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，并对设立新型政策性金融工具，支持科技创新、扩 大消费、稳定外贸等作出部署。 "当前，银行保险机构各项业务有序开展，主要监管指标均处于健康区间。大型金融机构基本盘稳 固，'压舱石'作用明显。"金融监管总局局长李云泽介绍，将加力加劲推动既定政策落地见效，加快加 强增量政策储备，近期将推出进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围，支持小微企业、民营企业融资一 揽子政策 ...

金融发布会:"双降"之外的政策信号 2025 年 05 月 07 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：陶川 分析师：张云杰 研究助理：钟渝梅 执业证号：S0100524060005 执业证号：S0100525020002 执业证号：S0100124080017 邮箱：taochuan@mszq.com 邮箱：zhangyunjie@mszq.com 邮箱：zhongyumei@mszq.com ➢ 今天的国新办金融发布会"既赶早也赶巧"，可以说是为 4 月政治局会议后 一系列稳市场、稳经济的宏观政策拉开了序幕。 "赶早"无疑是借鉴了去年"924"在开盘前释放利好的成功经验，上证指数午 盘上涨 0.64%，我们认为这一次"一揽子金融政策"对市场的影响更偏细水长流。 "赶巧"则是因为中美经贸谈判在即，谁能在新一轮谈判中把握主动，背后比拼 的是双方的士气和耐心，首先就需要一个稳定的市场预期。 虽然市场对本次发布会第一反应的超预期是央行"双降"，但我们认为随着关税 冲击的显现，真正能让经济和市场行稳致远的关键因素仍在于货币金融政策和财 政政策的协同，预计随着"一揽子金融政策"在二季度的陆续落地，三季度增量 财政 ...

5月7日金融三部委新闻发布会前瞻 首先，盘前9点开会非常罕见，而且这个用的是"负责人"而没用"有关负责人"，可能指的是一把手。 上次这种规格，是2024年9月24新闻发布会，释放了降准降息、稳股市结构性货币政策工具、放松地产首付比例、 降低存量房贷利率等重磅政策。 结合这次的情况，可以预期至少降准是得有的，降息可能不太好说，因为之前我转发您一个央行专家的调研，表 示最优先的政策是降准。 第二，这次会议召开于4月PMI发布之后，经济初步出现走弱迹象，所以肯定得有总量性政策推出。 结合这次的情况， 5月7日金融三部委新闻发布会前瞻 另一方面，目前银行净息差也很紧张，可能会到1.35%以下，所以预计即使有降息，幅度大概率也会在10bps。 第三，发布会可能介绍新型政策性金融工具的细节，根据发改委主任上次的表述，应该是支持基建或产业投资 的，用于补充资本金，预计将带动固定资产投资增速走高。 第四，央行应该会介绍设立服务消费与养老再贷款有关举措，但是这个预计是支持服务类企业扩大经营，支持养 老基础设施或机构建设与发展，对宏观角度而言意义有限，有关行业可能会反映，但是行业层面的影响我不专 业。 首先，盘前9点开会非常罕见 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is focusing on stabilizing employment and the economy while promoting high-quality development through various policy measures [1] Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to finalize the project list for the "two heavy" constructions and all projects under the central budget by the end of June 2025 [1] - A new type of policy-based financial tool will be established to address the issue of insufficient capital for project construction [1]