Report Summary 1. Overnight Night Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 1.24% at $3,768.5 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 1.11% at $44.115 per ounce [3]. - U.S. EIA crude oil inventories unexpectedly decreased by 607,000 barrels. WTI crude oil futures rose 2.21% to $64.81 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures rose 2.02% to $68.32 per barrel [4]. - London base metals all rose, with LME copper up 3.46% at $10,320 per ton, LME zinc up 1.18% at $2,922.5 per ton, LME aluminum up 0.63% at $2,654.5 per ton, and LME nickel up 0.53% at $15,435 per ton [4]. - As of 2:20, U.S. soybeans fell 0.35%, U.S. corn fell 0.53%, U.S. soybean oil fell 0.22%, U.S. soybean meal fell 0.50%, and U.S. wheat fell 0.19% [5]. - As of 23:00, most domestic futures contracts closed higher. Soybean No. 2, palm oil, soybean meal, low-sulfur fuel oil (LU), and fuel oil rose more than 1%, while cotton fell slightly [5]. 2. Important News Macroeconomic News - The People's Bank of China will conduct 600 billion yuan of MLF operations on September 25, 2025 [8]. - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange will adjust the trading margin and price limit of certain futures contracts from September 29, 2025 [8]. - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development announced that 25,000 old urban residential areas are planned to be renovated in 2025, and 21,700 have been started from January to August [8]. - U.S. Treasury Secretary Besent expressed disappointment that Fed Chair Powell did not set a clear agenda for interest rate cuts and called for a 100 - 150 basis point cut by the end of the year [8]. - The U.S. officially lowered tariffs on EU cars, effective August 1, 2025 [8]. - Fed's Daly fully supports the 25 - basis - point rate cut last week and said further policy adjustments may be needed [9]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Multiple departments issued the "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Building Materials Industry (2025 - 2026)", aiming to control cement and glass production capacity [12]. - As of the week of September 24, the capacity utilization rate of 92 asphalt refineries in China was 42.0%, up 5.7% week - on - week, and the weekly output was 701,000 tons, up 15.5% [12]. - As of September 24, 2025, China's methanol port inventory decreased by 65,600 tons to 1.4922 million tons [12]. - As of the week of September 22, the total refined oil inventory at the Fujairah Port in the UAE increased by 1.833 million barrels to 14.922 million barrels [12]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding strategic reserves) decreased by 607,000 barrels to 415 million barrels in the week ending September 19, 2025, while strategic petroleum reserve inventories increased by 230,000 barrels to 406 million barrels [13]. - Eight international oil companies in the Kurdistan region of Iraq reached a preliminary agreement to resume oil exports [13]. Metal Futures - Xinjiang Dongfang Hope New Energy Co., Ltd. started annual maintenance on its first - phase polysilicon production line, and the third - phase project is ready for maintenance [16]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange will adjust the trading margin and price limit of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, gold, and silver futures contracts from September 29, 2025 [16]. - The Antamina copper mine in Peru expects zinc production to increase by 67% this year, offsetting a 12% decline in copper production [16]. - From January to July 2025, the global copper market had a surplus of 101,000 tons, compared with a surplus of 401,000 tons in the same period last year [17]. - An accident at the Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia led to the suspension of operations, and the company lowered its copper and gold sales forecasts for the third quarter [17]. Black - Series Futures - In mid - September, the daily output of crude steel by key steel enterprises decreased by 0.6% month - on - month, while the daily output of iron and steel products increased [20]. - Beibu Gulf Port in Guangxi suspended manganese ore pick - up due to a typhoon, with limited impact on inventory [20]. - On September 24, the auction price of coking coal in Linfen market rose significantly, with an average increase of about 92 yuan per ton [20]. - Dalian Commodity Exchange will adjust the trading margin and price limit of iron ore, coke, and coking coal futures contracts from September 29, 2025 [21]. Agricultural Product Futures - The EU postponed the implementation of anti - deforestation regulations, providing a respite for palm oil exporters [23]. - As of September 20, the inventory of sugar in third - party warehouses in Guangxi decreased by about 300,000 tons compared with August [23]. - In August 2025, China's industrial feed output was 29.36 million tons, up 3.7% month - on - month and 3.8% year - on - year [25]. - Indonesia's palm oil exports in July were 3.54 million tons, with a production of 5.11 million tons and an inventory of 2.57 million tons [26]. - The CNF price of Argentine soybeans imported into China decreased, and the cost of imported soybeans declined [26]. - A senior analyst predicted that Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures may rise 27% in the first quarter of next year [26]. - The average pig - to - grain ratio in Guangdong Province entered the second - level early - warning range of excessive decline, and the province will conduct frozen pork reserve purchases [26]. - Brazil's ANEC lowered its September soybean export forecast to 7.15 million tons and raised its corn export forecast to 7.61 million tons [27]. 3. Financial Markets Stocks - A - shares rose, with the ChiNext Index and the Sci - Tech Innovation 50 Index hitting new highs. The semiconductor industry chain was strong, while AI hardware and the banking sector declined. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.83%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.8%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.28%, and the Sci - Tech Innovation 50 Index rose 3.49%. The total trading volume was 2.35 trillion yuan [30]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 1.37%, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 2.53%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 1.64%. Southbound funds had a net purchase of HK$13.7 billion [30]. - Chery Automobile's H - shares were listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange at a final offer price of HK$30.75 per share [31]. - Mercedes - Benz plans to acquire a minority stake in A - share listed Qianli Technology [32]. Industries - Six departments issued a work plan for stable growth in the building materials industry, aiming for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2026 [33]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation solicited opinions on a new standard for food delivery platform services [35]. - The National Press and Publication Administration approved 145 domestic and 11 imported game licenses in September [35]. - The transportation department issued a plan to promote the integrated development of container rail - water intermodal transport, aiming for a 15% annual growth in volume by 2027 [35]. - From January to August, China's railway passenger volume increased by 6.7% year - on - year, freight volume increased by 2.6%, and fixed - asset investment increased by 5.6% [35]. - The "Blue Book on the Development of the Beidou Industry (2025)" showed that the total output value of China's satellite navigation and location - based services industry reached 575.8 billion yuan in 2024, and the number of new Beidou - supported terminals is expected to exceed 400 million by the end of 2028 [36]. Overseas Markets - The U.S. and the EU finalized a tariff agreement, with the U.S. lowering tariffs on EU cars and the EU getting tariff exemptions for certain products [37]. - U.S. Treasury Secretary Besent criticized Fed Chair Powell for not setting a clear interest - rate - cut agenda and called for a 100 - 150 basis point cut by the end of the year. The Treasury is considering a $20 billion currency swap with Argentina [37]. - The U.S. government is negotiating to restructure a $2.3 billion energy department loan to Lithium Americas through equity investment [39]. - U.S. new home sales in August reached an annualized rate of 800,000 units, far exceeding expectations, and the inventory of new homes for sale decreased [39]. - Bank of England Governor Bailey said there is room for interest rate cuts, depending on inflation [40]. - Australia's CPI in August rose 3% year - on - year, reaching the upper limit of the RBA's inflation target range [40]. - Germany's September IFO business expectations and sentiment indices declined [41]. International Stock Markets - U.S. stocks fell slightly, with the Dow down 0.37%, the S&P 500 down 0.28%, and the Nasdaq down 0.33%. Chinese concept stocks generally rose [42]. - European stocks closed mixed, with the German DAX Index rising 0.23%, the French CAC40 Index falling 0.57%, and the UK FTSE 100 Index rising 0.29% [42]. - Saudi Arabia is considering relaxing foreign ownership restrictions on listed companies, leading to a 5% rise in the Saudi All - Share Index [44]. - The Japanese Nikkei 225 Index rose 0.3% to a new high, while the South Korean KOSPI Index fell 0.45% after hitting a new high [44]. - South Korean securities companies may resume U.S. stock trading services in early November [44]. Commodities - Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange and Shanghai Futures Exchange will adjust the trading margin and price limit of multiple futures contracts from September 29, 2025 [45]. - International precious metal futures fell, international oil prices rose, London base metals rose, and global steel production in August increased slightly year - on - year [45][46][47]. Bonds - Yields of major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market generally rose, and bond prices fell. The central bank conducted 401.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 1.7 billion yuan [48]. - Commercial banks can use certain bonds as collateral for treasury cash time deposits [48]. - The issuance scale of local government bonds from January to August reached 7.68 trillion yuan, a 41.9% year - on - year increase [48]. - U.S. Treasury yields rose, and the issuance of UK government bonds faced weak demand [48][50]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the U.S. dollar closed down 86 basis points at 7.1219, and the U.S. dollar index rose 0.65% [51]. 4. Upcoming Data Releases and Events Data Releases - A series of economic data from Germany, France, the UK, the U.S., and China Hong Kong will be released on September 25 [53]. Events - Multiple central bank meetings, policy announcements, corporate events, and international meetings are scheduled for September 25 [55].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index found support at the 3800-point level, while the ChiNext Index showed strong performance, indicating a continued market focus on growth sectors [4] - A broad-based rally was observed with a bullish sentiment, particularly in the semiconductor industry, where over 20 stocks hit the daily limit or rose more than 10% [5] Fund Flow and Market Sentiment - The net inflow of main funds reached 20.08 billion, with total trading volume across both markets at 2.33 trillion, reflecting a decrease of 6.27% [6] - The market displayed a "structural" trend, with funds concentrated in sectors with strong industrial logic and policy expectations, particularly in semiconductors, which played a crucial role in maintaining market activity [6] Retail and Institutional Investment Trends - Retail investors showed active participation in strong sectors like semiconductors, while institutional investors focused on adjusting their portfolios based on industry trends, significantly increasing their investments in semiconductors, photovoltaic equipment, batteries, and AI computing power [7] - Retail funds exhibited a net inflow in strong sectors but showed net outflows in automotive and certain technology sub-sectors [7] Investor Sentiment - The sentiment among retail investors indicated that 75.85% were optimistic, while 52.86% expressed a cautious outlook [8]

Market Overview - The three major stock indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3853.64 points, up 0.83% [1][2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14 points, up 1.8%, and the ChiNext Index closed at 3185.57 points, up 2.28% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.33 trillion yuan, a decrease of 167.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor industry chain, photovoltaic equipment, gaming, and BC battery concepts saw significant gains, while the tourism sector weakened slightly [6][7] - Notable sector performances included: - Semiconductor: +4.60% with a net inflow of 156.7 billion yuan [7] - BC Battery: +4.30% with a net inflow of 11.57 billion yuan [7] - Tourism and hotels: -0.71% with a net outflow of 5.08 billion yuan [7] Individual Stock Highlights - Key stocks in the semiconductor sector, such as ShenGong Co., Jiangfeng Electronics, and Changchuan Technology, hit the 20% limit up [8] - Lixun Precision saw a price increase of over 6%, reaching a historical high with a trading volume of nearly 30 billion yuan [8] - Major net inflows were observed in stocks like Sunshine Power, SMIC, and Tongfu Microelectronics, with net inflows of 1.342 billion yuan, 1.155 billion yuan, and 1.152 billion yuan respectively [9] Institutional Insights - Dexun Securities noted strong support for the Shanghai Index around 3800 points, with the semiconductor sector continuing to show activity, indicating bullish market sentiment [11] - Dongfang Securities highlighted potential volatility in global assets due to changes in overseas interest rates, while domestic liquidity remains loose, suggesting a focus on technology sectors for potential gains [11]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market showed a collective rise on September 24, with significant gains in major indices, indicating a positive market sentiment and active trading in specific sectors like semiconductors and renewable energy [3][4][12]. Market Performance - The three major indices closed higher: Shanghai Composite Index at 3853.64 points (+0.83%), Shenzhen Component Index at 13356.14 points (+1.80%), and ChiNext Index at 3185.57 points (+2.28%) [3][4]. - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.33 trillion yuan, a decrease of 167.6 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3]. Sector Performance - The semiconductor industry, photovoltaic equipment, gaming, and BC battery sectors saw the highest gains, while the tourism sector experienced a slight decline [6][8]. - Notable sector performances included: - Semiconductor sector up by 4.60% with significant inflows [7]. - Solid-state battery concept stocks also surged, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [8]. Individual Stock Highlights - Key stocks that performed well included: - Xiangcai Co. hitting the daily limit, and several securities firms like Guotou Capital and Changjiang Securities saw significant increases [8]. - Lixun Precision increased over 6%, reaching a historical high with a trading volume close to 30 billion yuan [8]. - Conversely, stocks like Heertai and Industrial Fulian faced significant sell-offs, with net outflows of 1.6 billion yuan and 1.386 billion yuan respectively [11]. Capital Flow - Main capital inflows were observed in the electronics, computer, and pharmaceutical sectors, while coal and construction sectors experienced net outflows [9][10]. - Specific stocks with notable net inflows included Sunshine Power and SMIC, attracting 1.342 billion yuan and 1.155 billion yuan respectively [10]. Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the Shanghai index is supported around the 3800-point level, with technology growth sectors like semiconductors remaining active, indicating a bullish market sentiment [12]. - There is an expectation of continued volatility in global markets due to changes in interest rates, while domestic liquidity remains ample, suggesting potential opportunities in technology sectors [12].

Market Overview - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets saw a total trading volume of 2.33 trillion yuan, a decrease of 167.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - All three major indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.83% to 3853.64 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.8% to 13356.14 points, and the ChiNext Index gaining 2.28% to 3185.57 points [1][2] Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector experienced significant gains, with a rise of 4.60% and a net inflow of 156.7 billion yuan [5] - Other sectors that performed well included photovoltaic equipment, gaming, and BC batteries, while the tourism sector showed slight weakness [4] - Notable stocks in the semiconductor industry included ShenGong Co., Jiangfeng Electronics, and Changchuan Technology, all reaching the daily limit of 20% increase [6] Individual Stock Highlights - Lixun Precision saw its stock price rise over 6%, reaching a historical high with a trading volume of nearly 30 billion yuan [6] - Major inflows were noted for stocks such as Yangguang Electric, SMIC, and Tongfu Microelectronics, with net inflows of 1.342 billion yuan, 1.155 billion yuan, and 1.152 billion yuan respectively [8] - Conversely, stocks like Heertai, Industrial Fulian, and Shenghong Technology faced significant sell-offs, with net outflows of 1.6 billion yuan, 1.386 billion yuan, and 1.151 billion yuan respectively [9] Institutional Insights - Dexun Securities noted strong support for the Shanghai Composite Index around the 3800-point level, with the semiconductor sector continuing to show activity, indicating a bullish market sentiment [10] - Dongfang Securities highlighted potential volatility in global assets due to changes in overseas interest rates, while domestic liquidity remains ample, suggesting a focus on technology sectors for potential gains [10]

Group 1 - Major semiconductor companies, including TSMC, Samsung, Micron, and SanDisk, have announced price increases for their products, reflecting the strong demand driven by the AI wave and data center construction [1][3] - TSMC plans to raise prices for its 3nm and 2nm process nodes, with the 2nm process expected to see a price increase of at least 50% compared to the 3nm process, significantly exceeding market expectations [2][3] - The price hikes in memory chips include a 30% increase for DRAM products and a 5% to 10% increase for NAND flash products from Samsung, driven by supply constraints and surging demand from cloud enterprises [3] Group 2 - TSMC's strong pricing strategy highlights its dominant position in the supply chain, with major clients like Apple and Nvidia relying on its advanced process technologies for their next-generation chips [3] - The stock prices of major memory chip manufacturers, including Samsung and SK Hynix, have risen in response to the price increases, indicating a positive market reaction [3] - The overall performance of the US stock market remains mixed, with major tech stocks experiencing declines, while semiconductor stocks show strength due to the price increase announcements [3]

Group 1: Price Increase in Semiconductor Industry - Major semiconductor companies, including TSMC, Samsung, Micron, and SanDisk, have announced price increases for their products, reflecting the impact of AI demand on the semiconductor supply chain [1][3]. - TSMC plans to raise prices for its 3nm and 2nm process nodes, with the 2nm process expected to see a price increase of at least 50% compared to the 3nm process, significantly exceeding market expectations [2][3]. - Samsung has raised prices for DRAM products by up to 30% and NAND flash prices by 5% to 10%, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from cloud enterprises [3]. Group 2: Market Reaction and Stock Performance - Following the price increase announcements, TSMC's ADR surged nearly 5% at the market open, reaching a historical high, while other semiconductor stocks like Intel and Micron also saw significant gains [1][2]. - The overall performance of the U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with major tech stocks experiencing declines, while semiconductor stocks remained strong [4][3]. Group 3: Advanced Technology Adoption - TSMC's advanced 3nm process is being utilized in Apple's latest iPhone 17 series, and the upcoming 2nm process will be adopted in future AI chips from Nvidia and AMD [3]. - The high costs and scarcity of advanced process technologies are contributing to the pricing power of semiconductor manufacturers [2][3].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market saw a significant increase on Wednesday, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.78% to 26,908.39 points, and the Hang Seng Technology Index up 4.22% to 6,334.24 points, both reaching new highs [1][5] - The total market turnover decreased to 827.99 billion, with net inflows of 4.84 billion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][5] U.S. Market Insights - The Federal Reserve announced a quarter-point rate cut, bringing the overnight rate to 4% to 4.25%, indicating a risk management approach rather than the start of a long-term easing cycle [2] - The Dow Jones reached a new high, closing up 0.6% at 46,018 points, while the S&P 500 dipped 0.1% and the Nasdaq fell 0.3% [2] Sector Performance - The technology sector in Hong Kong saw a strong performance, with Baidu Group surging over 15% and Alibaba rising more than 5% [1][3] - The semiconductor and lithium battery sectors also performed well, with companies like SMIC and CATL reaching historical highs [1][3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and industrial software, which are seen as new productivity drivers [3] - It also highlights the upstream non-ferrous metals sector, which is expected to benefit from the Fed's rate cut and strong mid-year performance [3] - Companies with low valuations and high dividends in various sub-sectors, particularly state-owned enterprises, are recommended for continued attention [3] Key Company Highlights - Baidu's self-developed Kunlun chip business is viewed as a potential growth engine, leading to a significant stock price increase [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic semiconductor companies, particularly in light of recent regulatory actions against Nvidia [9] - The real estate market shows signs of recovery, with new policies expected to boost demand, particularly for leading property companies [9]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index declined by 0.3%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.11% [1] - The financial and real estate sectors experienced a pullback, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [1] - The precious metals sector showed mixed performance, suggesting varying investor interest and market dynamics [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor industry chain demonstrated strength, highlighting potential growth opportunities within this sector [1]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext index rising by 2.11%, driven by strong performances in solid-state batteries and energy storage sectors, particularly with CATL surging by 10.15% [1][10][15] - The Hong Kong market also saw gains, with the Hang Seng Index up by 0.20% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.04% [3][24] - The bond market showed a positive trend, with government bond futures rising across the board [3][4] Sector Performance - The solid-state battery and energy storage sectors witnessed significant growth, with CATL's stock price increasing by 10.15% and a trading volume exceeding 10 billion yuan [10][12] - Semiconductor stocks were notably active, with several companies like Sanan Optoelectronics and Shanghai Belling hitting their daily price limits [20][21] - The pre-made food sector also saw a surge, with companies like DeLis and Huihua Foods reaching their daily price limits [6][7] Commodity Market - Domestic commodity futures mostly rose, with coking coal and coke prices increasing by over 2% [1][27] - Lithium carbonate prices also saw a rise, reflecting the ongoing demand in the battery sector [4][27] Financing and Investment Trends - As of September 12, the financing balance on the Shanghai Stock Exchange reached 1.183985 trillion yuan, an increase of 7.544 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5]