新华社法兰克福1月31日电 题：欧洲经济缓慢增长背后的内忧外患 新华社记者单玮怡 康逸 欧盟统计局1月30日公布的初步数据显示，2025年欧元区国内生产总值（GDP）增长1.5%，欧盟 GDP增长1.6%，略高于市场预期。市场分析人士认为，在全球地缘冲突不断与贸易摩擦持续背景下， 欧盟如何应对外部不确定性冲击和内部结构性挑战，挖掘经济长期增长潜力，努力在成员国中消除分 歧、形成有效合力，仍面临严峻考验。 分析人士指出，美国贸易壁垒抬高、全球需求放缓、产业竞争加剧等多重挑战，将欧盟内部生产率 偏低、能源成本高企、技术革新缓慢、监管合规复杂等结构性问题进一步放大。 许多欧洲制造业企业正采取停产、裁员或去库存的方式自救，涉及钢铁、汽车、化工、机械设备制 造等广泛行业。欧洲钢铁工业联盟、欧洲化学工业协会等行业组织认为，企业产能关闭与裁员压力源于 欧洲能源成本劣势、官僚主义严重和竞争力下降等。 "经济复苏相当疲弱" 数据显示，经季节调整后，去年第四季度欧元区和欧盟经济环比均增长0.3%，同比分别增长1.3% 和1.4%；欧盟主要经济体德国、法国、意大利分别环比增长0.3%、0.2%和0.3%。 西班牙和葡萄牙两国经济去 ...

宏观与产业形成共振，铜的战略价值持续提升。全球地缘政治冲突加剧，铜作为关键矿产的战略属性凸 显，各国对资源的掌控力度持续加强。美元信用削弱趋势下，铜与贵金属的联动性增强，在避险情绪与 通胀预期的双重作用下，资金对铜的配置需求提升。中长期来看，AI数据中心、新能源汽车、储能等 新兴领域快速发展，将持续打开铜的需求天花板，而供给端的刚性约束难以短期缓解，供需紧平衡格局 将长期维持，铜价中枢有望逐步上移。 据新华社报道，国际黄金期货价格和现货价格29日再创新高，盘中突破每盎司5500美元。 近期工业金属板块表现亮眼，资金关注度持续提升。作为工业金属的核心品种，铜正从传统工业金属升 级为战略资产，这会如何定义其未来的价值？请看机构最新研判。 近期，有色板块中铜品种表现亮眼，资金关注度显著提升。这轮行情的核心支撑，主要来自供需两端的 共振。供给端，全球铜矿资本开支不足，矿端扰动频发，铜精矿供需格局由紧平衡转向短缺；需求端， 国内经济复苏带动下游补库，海外降息周期打开流动性宽松空间，铜的金融属性与商品属性形成正向循 环。 具体来看，供给端约束持续强化，成为铜价的核心支撑。全球铜矿长期资本开支不足，叠加矿山品位下 降、地缘 ...

联合国贸易和发展会议(以下简称"贸发会议")日前发布最新一期《全球投资趋势监测》报告指出，2025 年全球外国直接投资(FDI)同比增长14%，达到1.6万亿美元，但增长主要是由于技术性反弹，并不意味 着实体投资全面复苏。 报告指出，2025年全球外国直接投资中，有超过1400亿美元的增量来自英国、卢森堡、瑞士、爱尔兰等 金融中转中心，剔除此类通道型FDI后，真实增幅仅约5%。跨国公司通过金融中心进行内部资金调拨、 税务结构安排、并购资金过账，形成大量账面FDI流动，但不对应实体投资。资金在流动的同时，项目 并没有落地，增长更多是资金路径变化，不是新增工厂、基础设施或项目投资。 报告预计，2026年FDI存在温和回升可能，但下行风险明显，复苏基础不稳。其中，有利因素是通胀和 融资成本预计下降、并购活动可能回暖，不利因素是地缘政治冲突、政策不确定性增加，经济碎片化加 剧，资本支出可能进一步向少数国家和战略行业收缩聚集。 (责任编辑：朱赫) 2025年，基础设施等领域的国际项目融资连续第4年下降，降幅高达16%；新建绿地项目数量减少 16%；跨境并购金额减少10%。这些数据表明，企业不愿作长期资本承诺。报告分析指 ...

本文来自彭博终端，终端用户可运行NSN T98JZ6KIP3LA 阅读原文。非终端用户可点击文末 "阅读原文" 预约演示。 伴随行业飞速发展、地缘政治博弈、供需天平摇摆…全球能源市场时刻处于动荡之中。彭博行 业研究（Bloomberg Intelligence）为您及时传递行业动态，并基于高质量数据、模型与分析 助您解读市场变化，看见全局、看向前景。 扫描二维码 立即订阅 彭博能源行业研究双周报 本期主题： 石油交易员预计油价短期内触底 部分由于美国对伊朗采取军事行动 （彭博行业研究）——尽管OPEC+尚未完全解除减产措施，但在全球地缘政治冲突的背景 下，石油市场充满不确定性。美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据显示，WTI原油期货净 多头头寸触底，美元净空头头寸持续收窄，表明市场对避险资产的需求正在上升。短期内， WTI原油价格可能在每桶6 0美元附近触底。 CFTC数据显示WTI原油期货净多头头寸在15年低点附近见底 CFTC数据显示，截至1月1 6日当周，纽约商品交易所WTI原油期货非商业净多头合约降至 5 8 , 1 2 8张，较7月4日减少7 5 . 3%。受OPEC+增产预期及全球需求疲软影响， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that global foreign direct investment (FDI) is expected to grow by 14% in 2025, reaching $1.6 trillion, primarily due to a technical rebound rather than a comprehensive recovery in physical investments [2] - The report highlights that over $140 billion of the FDI increase in 2025 will come from financial hubs like the UK, Luxembourg, Switzerland, and Ireland, but when excluding this type of FDI, the real growth is only about 5% [2] - There is a significant disparity in global investment distribution, with developed economies experiencing a 43% increase in FDI to $728 billion, while developing economies saw a 2% decrease to $877 billion, and low-income economies faced a 5% decline [2] Group 2 - International project financing in infrastructure and other sectors has declined for the fourth consecutive year, with a drop of 16%, and the number of new greenfield projects has also decreased by 16% [3] - The report attributes the weakening of corporate investment intentions to structural reasons, as companies are more inclined to manage funds rather than commit to physical investments due to increased uncertainty in trade, industry, and investment policies [3] - Global FDI is increasingly concentrated in data centers and semiconductors, with data centers accounting for about 20% of global greenfield investment, while traditional manufacturing and renewable energy sectors are experiencing a notable decline [4] Group 3 - The report anticipates a modest recovery in FDI in 2026, but the risks of decline are significant, with unstable recovery foundations [4] - Favorable factors for potential recovery include expected decreases in inflation and financing costs, as well as a possible rebound in merger and acquisition activities [4] - Adverse factors include escalating geopolitical conflicts, increased policy uncertainty, and heightened economic fragmentation, which may lead to capital expenditures concentrating further in a few countries and strategic industries [4]

格隆汇1月27日丨康众医疗(688607.SH)公布，经财务部门初步测算，公司2025年年度实现归属于母公司 所有者的净利润与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将减少2,265.27万元到2,665.27万元，同比减少 128.32%到150.98%。实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-900万元到-500万元。预计公司2025年年度实现 归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将减少1,794.42 万元到2,394.42万元，同比减少301.88%到402.82%。归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润-1,800万元到-1,200万元。 2025年度，受宏观经济形势下行、地缘政治冲突影响，关税剧烈波动，使得公司产品毛利下降；同时新 产品及新业务新产品及新业务处于市场导入期，前期必要的研发与市场投入较大，相关费用短期内对利 润形成压力。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Kangzhong Medical (688607.SH) is expected to report a significant decline in net profit for the year 2025, with projections indicating a decrease of 22.65 million to 26.65 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 128.32% to 150.98% [1] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company ranging from -9 million to -5 million yuan for 2025 [1] - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to decrease by 17.94 million to 23.94 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 301.88% to 402.82% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is forecasted to be between -18 million and -12 million yuan [1] Influencing Factors - The decline in profitability is attributed to the downturn in the macroeconomic environment and geopolitical conflicts, which have led to significant fluctuations in tariffs, adversely affecting product gross margins [1] - The introduction of new products and business lines is still in the market penetration phase, requiring substantial upfront research and market investment, which is exerting short-term pressure on profits [1]

【环球网报道】"因担忧美国发起贸易战，德国企业2025年对华投资激增。"路透社当地时间27日以此为 题独家报道称，该媒体获得的数据显示，2025年德国企业在华投资额达到四年来的最高水平，这凸显了 特朗普政府发起的贸易战正推动产业界和各国政府加强与其他地区的商业联系。 路透社援引来自德国经济研究所（IW）此前未曾公开的数据称，2025年1月至11月期间，德国对华投资 攀升至超过70亿欧元（约合人民币577.8亿元），较2023年及2024年同期水准增长了55.5%。 路透社还提到，在这一趋势出现之际，英国政府正率领代表团前往中国，希望在汽车、制药等领域达成 更多商业协议；加拿大则寻求扩大与中国和印度的贸易合作；欧盟也正与南美洲接近达成协议。 报道称，这些投资数据表明，美国总统特朗普在第二任期第一年推行的激进贸易政策，包括对欧盟进口 产品征收广泛关税，已经促使德国这一欧洲最大经济体的企业将目光转向中国。报道还提到，在特朗普 第二任期的第一年里，德国企业对美国的投资额几乎减半。 报道提到，从化工巨头巴斯夫、芯片制造商英飞凌，到大众和梅赛德斯-奔驰等车企，德国企业仍然高 度依赖中国市场——全球绝大部分汽车和化工产品都 ...

Report Overview - Report Title: Gold, Silver Futures Weekly Report [2] - Report Period: January 26 - 30, 2026 [1] 1. Gold Futures 1.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 1.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in a strong upward phase, possibly at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support, but short - term risks of high - level corrections exist [7]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [8]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 1.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is strongly rising, possibly at the end of the trend [7]. - Driving Factors: Last week's strong rise was driven by geopolitical conflicts, central bank gold purchases, a weak dollar, and interest - rate cut expectations [7]. - Support: Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support [7]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators and policy uncertainties [7]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy path and global macroeconomic data [7]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. 1.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it was recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a resistance level of 1045 - 1050 yuan/gram and a support level of 1020 - 1025 yuan/gram. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [10]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it is recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a support level of 1085 - 1095 yuan/gram. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [11]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, at a sensitive position in the head. There is a possibility of trend reversal. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, and there is a certain risk of a market turn [12]. 1.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Gold and COMEX gold, SPDR gold ETF holdings, COMEX gold inventory, US 10 - year Treasury yields, the US dollar index, the US dollar against the offshore RMB, the gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and the gold price difference between domestic and foreign markets [18][21][23][25][28] 2. Silver Futures 2.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward phase, currently at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds drive the price up. In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up, but short - term correction risks exist [32]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [32]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 2.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is strongly rising, currently at the end of the trend [32]. - Driving Factors: Last week's price increase was driven by geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds [32]. - Support: In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up due to the growth of green industry demand, continuous supply - demand gaps, and asset allocation diversification [32]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators, ETF reductions, and policy uncertainties [32]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy and global manufacturing PMI [32]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [32]. 2.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The silver contract 2604 was trading at a high level, with a resistance level of 23,200 - 23,700 yuan and a support level of 21,000 - 21,500 yuan/kg. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [35]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The silver contract 2604 is trading at a high level, with a support level of 22,500 - 23,000 yuan/kg. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [36]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, possibly near the end of the trend. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, with large capital inflows and increased attention. The external market had a significant pre - opening increase [37]. 2.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Silver and COMEX silver, SLV silver ETF holdings, COMEX silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and the silver price difference between domestic and foreign markets [43][46][48]

人民币升值期间大类资产复盘 ——全球资产配置每周聚焦 (20260116-20260123) 本期投资提示： 全球资本市场回顾： 本周 (20260116-20260123)全球地缘政治冲突加剧，贵金属继续上 行。1）固收方面， 10Y美债收益率维持在4.2%的水平，美元指数下行1.88%； 2）权益 方面， 本周上证指数整体上行，中证1000和科创50涨幅靠前，上证50跌幅较大；全球市 场中巴西、阿根廷股价涨幅较大，其中A股行业中建筑材料，石油石化、钢铁涨幅靠前， 银行跌幅较大，港股耐用消费品领涨； 3）商品方面， 本周黄金上涨8.3%，主要是因为 地缘政治冲突集中爆发。 聚焦热点：人民币升值期间大类资产表现复盘 ：2000年以来，人民币汇率共经历了6轮升 值与4轮贬值，人民币汇率变化主要受到汇率制度改革、全球贸易周期以及中美货币政策 周期变化的影响。 国内大类资产方面，人民币升值期间，股票稳定的胜率更高，债券和 商品表现规律并不统一。 股票方面 ，创业板整体跑赢沪深300（除2017年），小盘整体 跑赢大盘（除2017年）。 债券方面， 2017、2023、2025年升值期间，国债指数录得负收 益，其他几 ...