多元资产配置
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2025第一财经金融价值年会与会嘉宾金句集锦
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 12:08
第一财经总经理汪钧:在这样一个复杂多变的环境中,世界迫切需要一种在丰富经验基础上形成的新的 全球金融方案,这对于中国来说,既是挑战更是机会。 中欧国际工商学院经济学与金融学教授、中国首席经济学家论坛研究院院长盛松成: 中国已进入"双向 投资"阶段,引进来和走出去同时发展,中国贸易伙伴也日趋多元化,人民币汇率中长期或稳中有升, 更有利于中国双向开放和对外经贸关系。 广开首席产业研究院院长兼首席经济学家、中国首席经济学家论坛理事长连平:在"十五五"期间,人民 币国际化应加快推进。过去16年来,人民币在贸易、支付、结算、储备等领域使用提升明显,但与中国 经济体量仍不匹配。当前国际环境复杂,贸易战、美元信用风险上升、去美元化加速,都使加快人民币 国际化更具必要性和现实条件。 清华大学国家金融研究院院长、清华大学五道口金融学院副院长田轩:发展新质生产力要有包容个性和 容忍失败的氛围,崭新的创投组织形式,"不太积极"的二级市场,完善健全的法治环境,稳定的宏观政 策导向。 粤开证券首席经济学家、研究院院长罗志恒:推动居民消费率明显提高,短期要构建支持名义经济增速 回升的宏观政策框架,中长期可改革制度,包括构建消费导向型的宏 ...
从不确定性中抓住机会
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-21 04:01
从昨夜到今晨,全球投资者都在屏息期待。 凌晨5点,某海外芯片巨头正式公布2026财年第三季度财报。财报显示营收与每股收益均超出华尔街预 期,同时对第四季度营收的指引也高于市场预期。业绩公布后,美股温和修复,道琼斯指数上涨 0.10%,纳斯达克指数上涨0.59%。 财报的超预期业绩在一定程度上缓和了近期市场对科技股估值泡沫的担忧,但压制市场风险偏好的因素 并未完全解除。 同样是今天凌晨,美联储最新公布的10月FOMC政策会议纪要显示,联储内部就12月是否降息存在"强 烈分歧",越来越多官员认为通胀下降的进展已陷入停滞,可能对继续宽松保持谨慎的观点。纪要发布 后,芝加哥商品交易所的美联储观察工具显示,12月10日降息概率跌至32.8%,较1个月前的90%大幅回 落。 从本质上来看,多元资产配置策略是通过同步配置股票、债券、现金及另类资产,投资者能够借助不同 资产间的低相关性,有效降低投资组合的整体波动,并优化风险收益比。 就好比一个人不仅有主业,还有副业,收入多元化,而且分散在不同领域,因此抗风险的能力自然就很 强了。 说起来简单,但在实际投资中,要熟练了解不同资产的投资逻辑和动态变化,这对绝大多数投资者来说 都 ...
【银行理财】理财公司密集“换帅”,股权投资探索新实践——银行理财周度跟踪(2025.11.10-2025.11.16)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-11-19 09:08
Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - Recent high-level management changes have occurred in several wealth management companies, including Zhaoyin Wealth Management, Xinyin Wealth Management, Jiaoyin Wealth Management, and Beiyin Wealth Management, attracting widespread industry attention [6] - The wealth management industry is facing dual structural challenges: low interest rates are pressuring traditional fixed-income asset yields, while regulatory measures are reinforcing the authenticity and standardization of net value management, pushing funds towards technology innovation and green development [6][7] Innovation in the Industry - Jianxin Wealth Management has successfully launched a non-standard equity investment business, utilizing a "customized wealth management product + non-standard equity investment" model to guide market funds towards supporting technology enterprises [8][9] - Jiaoyin Wealth Management participated in the China International Import Expo for the first time, launching a comprehensive upgrade of its "ten categories" wealth management product system, focusing on innovative products such as "Cash+" and "Pension Wealth Management" [10] Performance of Financial Products - Last week, cash management products recorded a 7-day annualized yield of 1.29%, remaining flat week-on-week, while money market funds saw a slight increase to 1.17% [11] - The bond market exhibited a narrow fluctuation pattern, with the 10-year government bond yield remaining stable at 1.81% [12] - The overall environment for the bond market in the fourth quarter remains favorable, but significant constraints persist, including low sensitivity to fundamental factors and ongoing market risk preferences [12] Net Value and Credit Spread Tracking - The net value ratio of bank wealth management products decreased to 0.56%, down 0.17 percentage points week-on-week, with credit spreads also contracting [16] - The current credit spread is at a historical low since September 2024, indicating limited cost-effectiveness, and future trends in credit spreads will be closely monitored as they may impact the net value ratio [16]
银行理财周度跟踪(2025.11.10-2025.11.16):理财公司密集“换帅”,股权投资探索新实践-20251119
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-11-19 08:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Recent leadership changes in multiple wealth management companies have drawn significant attention within the industry, indicating a response to structural challenges posed by low interest rates and regulatory pressures [2][10][11] - Wealth management firms are increasingly exploring alternative investment paths, such as customized financial products combined with non-standard equity investments, to support technology-driven enterprises [3][12] - The introduction of new product systems by wealth management companies, focusing on cash management, pension products, and diversified asset strategies, reflects a shift towards meeting diverse client needs in a low-yield environment [3][14] Summary by Sections Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - A wave of high-level executive changes has occurred in several wealth management firms, including 招银理财, 信银理财, 交银理财, and 北银理财, highlighting the industry's response to dual structural challenges [2][10] - The industry faces pressure from low interest rates and regulatory demands for enhanced risk management and compliance, prompting firms to seek leaders with cross-industry experience to improve investment capabilities [10][11] Innovation in the Industry - 建信理财 has successfully launched a non-standard equity investment business, utilizing a model that combines customized financial products with equity investments to channel funds into technology enterprises [3][12] - 交银理财 has unveiled a comprehensive upgrade of its product system, emphasizing three innovative product categories: "活钱+", pension products, and "多元精选" multi-asset strategies, aimed at addressing various client needs [3][14] Yield Performance - For the week of November 10-16, 2025, cash management products recorded a 7-day annualized yield of 1.29%, remaining stable compared to the previous week, while money market funds saw a slight increase to 1.17% [4][15] - The yield on pure fixed-income products generally declined across all maturities, while fixed-income plus products mostly saw increases, indicating a mixed performance in the bond market [4][18] Net Value Tracking - The net value ratio of bank wealth management products decreased to 0.56%, down 0.17 percentage points week-on-week, with credit spreads also tightening, suggesting limited value for investors [5][23][24]
美联储吹奏降息号角 亚洲资产配置正当时
中国基金报· 2025-11-16 23:57
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate, marking the second reduction this year and bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%, the lowest level in three years [1] - This decision is interpreted as a sign of renewed global liquidity, amidst a backdrop of slowing economic growth and declining interest rates, leading to a "search for yield" dilemma among investors [1][3] - Multi-asset allocation is increasingly viewed as a key strategy to hedge against market uncertainties, with Asian assets gaining prominence in this context [1][3] Group 2 - In a low-interest and high-uncertainty market, the logic of multi-asset allocation becomes clearer, allowing investors to reduce overall portfolio volatility and optimize risk-return profiles [3] - Historical market cycles demonstrate that no single asset can consistently outperform, reinforcing the importance of diversified asset allocation over timing and stock selection [3] - Diversified portfolios tend to exhibit stronger risk resilience and more attractive risk-adjusted returns compared to single-asset strategies [3] Group 3 - The acceleration of the Fed's rate-cutting cycle is reshaping global capital flows, with a weakening dollar likely to benefit emerging markets, particularly in Asia [5] - Historically, periods of dollar weakness have led to outperformance of emerging markets compared to developed markets, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit grow [5] - The dual environment of declining rates and a weaker dollar enhances the attractiveness of Asian bonds and equities, with Asian dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds becoming a focal point for investors [7][10] Group 4 - The Asia-Pacific region is projected to experience a GDP growth rate of 4.5% by 2025, significantly higher than the global average of 3.0%, driven by domestic demand in countries like China, India, and Indonesia [7][10] - The resilience of Asia is attributed to diverse industries and strong regional cooperation, with key players like Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea positioned well in global supply chains [7][10] - The low correlation of assets within the Asian market provides ample diversification opportunities for investors, enhancing portfolio resilience [8] Group 5 - HSBC's Asia Multi-Asset High Income Fund focuses on a diversified asset allocation strategy, investing primarily in high-yield stocks (42.24%), high-yield bonds (21.19%), and investment-grade bonds (11.64%) [12] - The fund aims to balance dividend income and capital appreciation, leveraging the significant role of dividends in total returns in the Asian market [12] - The current macroeconomic environment presents a new asset allocation window, with the fund positioned to capture growth opportunities in Asia while managing portfolio volatility [12][10]
五载深耕,行稳致远!汇华理财:首家合资理财公司的全球视野与本土实践之路
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-15 01:29
Core Viewpoint - 汇华理财, as the first joint venture wealth management company in China, has successfully navigated market fluctuations and industry transformations over the past five years, focusing on sustainable growth rather than rapid expansion [1][3][7] Group 1: Company Development - Established in 2020, 汇华理财 quickly gained traction in a favorable market environment, marked by high deposit rates and a booming stock market, leading to a "glorious start" [3] - The company faced a challenging market adjustment period from 2022 to September 2024, characterized by increased stock market volatility and declining interest rates, with the one-year interbank certificate of deposit rate dropping to around 1.6% [3][4] - To adapt to market changes, 汇华理财 implemented a new absolute return investment framework and diversified its product offerings, achieving a "transformation" and doubling its asset management scale by 2025 [4][5] Group 2: Investment Strategy - 汇华理财's core competitive advantage lies in its unique joint venture background and precise positioning, focusing on "global allocation, diversified enhancement, and professional standing" [4][6] - The company has expanded its product offerings from solely RMB to include USD, EUR, and HKD, with notable products like "Time Friend" and "Wealth Lighthouse" achieving significant performance metrics [4][5] - In a low-interest-rate environment, 汇华理财 has successfully enhanced returns and hedged risks through a multi-asset approach, achieving a domestic fixed income annualized return exceeding the index by over 100 basis points and an equity return of 32% [5][6] Group 3: Future Outlook - Looking ahead, 汇华理财 aims to prioritize steady returns and customer reputation, avoiding blind expansion and focusing on conservative strategies during unfavorable market conditions [1][6][7] - The company plans to strengthen its absolute return capabilities, deepen global allocation, and enhance investor engagement, reflecting a commitment to long-term wealth management principles [7] - 汇华理财 is positioned to leverage its international perspective and advanced foreign experiences to drive innovation in investment solutions and comprehensive services, contributing to the development of Shanghai as an international financial center [6][7]
力争严控回撤,景顺长城和熙稳进FOF打造稳健配置新体验
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-13 23:34
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recovery of Fund of Funds (FOF) in 2023, with a positive average return of 14.29% for 477 FOFs established for over six months as of October 31 [1] - The total market size of FOFs reached 187.147 billion yuan by the end of Q3, reflecting an increase of 57 billion yuan compared to the end of the previous year, indicating a trend towards diversified asset allocation for investors [1] - Historical data shows low correlation among various asset classes, which supports the strategy of multi-asset allocation in FOFs to enhance returns and reduce volatility [1] Group 2 - The proposed FOFs, such as the Invesco Great Wall and Xie Wenjin's three-month holding period FOF, aim to balance risk and return by employing a "fixed income + multi-asset" strategy, with a focus on 90% fixed income and 10% equity assets [1] - The fund manager Jiang Hong emphasizes a "stability first, then diversification" approach, with a focus on risk control and volatility management, leading to a 6.52% increase in the bond-oriented FOF index over the past year [2] - Jiang Hong maintains a positive outlook on the equity market, suggesting a focus on sectors like technology, high-dividend stocks, pharmaceuticals, and turnaround opportunities, while also advocating for leveraging strategies in the bond market [2]
罕见!FOF基金频出小爆款
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 10:45
Core Viewpoint - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market is experiencing unexpected popularity, with significant fundraising success for new products, indicating a shift in investor interest and market dynamics [3][5]. FOF Fundraising Success - The newly established FOF funds have seen impressive fundraising figures, with 富国智悦稳健90天持有 FOF raising 1.793 billion yuan in just 19 days, and 华泰柏瑞盈泰稳健 raising 5.577 billion yuan in one day [3][4]. - As of November 12, 2025, the total number of FOFs established has surpassed 60, with a cumulative fundraising scale exceeding 56 billion yuan, a significant increase of over 400% compared to the previous year [4]. Market Dynamics - The FOF market is characterized by a duality: while the overall scale has just crossed 200 billion yuan, it remains small compared to the total public fund scale of over 36 trillion yuan [4][8]. - More than 60% of FOF products have a scale of less than 200 million yuan, leading to operational challenges and limited bargaining power for smaller funds [8]. Performance and Strategy - FOF products have shown strong performance, with stock-type and mixed-type FOFs achieving average annual returns exceeding 26%, significantly outperforming the 18% increase of the CSI 300 index [5][7]. - The strategy of FOFs has evolved to better meet market demands, with a focus on mixed-asset allocation and the inclusion of diverse asset classes such as US dollar bonds and REITs [7]. Investment Recommendations - The top-performing stock-type FOFs have yielded returns over 30% this year, with 国泰优选领航一年持有 A achieving a remarkable 70% return [9][11]. - Investors are advised to align their investment choices with their risk profiles, selecting appropriate FOF types based on their investment goals [12]. Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite the recent success, the FOF market faces challenges such as limited asset allocation to international markets and a perception of double fees among investors [8][12]. - The potential for FOFs to transition from niche products to mainstream investment tools is contingent on improved investor education and enhanced cross-market allocation capabilities [12].
FOF基金再现小“爆款”年内募集规模增超4倍
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-12 22:23
Core Viewpoint - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market has seen significant growth in 2023, with a notable increase in both the number and scale of newly established funds, driven by a favorable stock market environment and diverse asset allocation strategies [1][2][6]. Group 1: FOF Market Growth - In 2023, the total scale of FOFs surpassed 200 billion yuan, with 17 funds raising over 1 billion yuan each [1][2]. - The number of newly established FOFs exceeded 60, significantly higher than the 35 established in the entirety of 2024, with total fundraising exceeding 56 billion yuan, marking an increase of over 400% compared to 2024 [2][3]. - Notable FOFs include the 富国智悦稳健90天持有FOF, which raised 17.93 billion yuan, and the 华泰柏瑞盈泰稳健3个月持有FOF, which raised 55.77 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Diversification and Asset Allocation - FOFs have expanded their investment scope from primarily active funds to include passive index funds and REITs, reflecting a trend towards multi-asset allocation [4][5]. - As of the end of Q3, the most favored index funds by FOFs included gold ETFs and bond ETFs, with significant increases in holdings compared to previous quarters [4][5]. - The top ten index funds held by FOFs are predominantly bond ETFs, indicating a strategic focus on fixed-income assets [5]. Group 3: Performance and Challenges - Despite the growth, FOFs still represent a small portion of the overall fund market, which exceeds 36 trillion yuan, with over 60% of FOFs having a scale of less than 200 million yuan [7][8]. - The performance of some FOFs has been underwhelming, leading to a high rate of fund closures, with 72 FOFs liquidated since 2017, 31 of which occurred in 2025 [7]. - Challenges include a lack of investor understanding of FOF structures, concerns over dual fee mechanisms, and a need for improved investment quality and research capabilities [7][8].
科技牛结束了?
表舅是养基大户· 2025-11-12 13:35
Group 1 - The article suggests that instead of implementing large-scale consumption subsidies, promoting spring and autumn holidays could serve as a long-term mechanism to stimulate consumption [2][3][4] - The implementation of spring and autumn holidays can alleviate psychological pressure on students and create a more conducive environment for parents to take leave without the stigma associated with it [3][4] - By staggering holiday schedules across different regions, the tourism experience can be improved, leading to a more balanced flow of visitors throughout the year [3][4] Group 2 - Recent market trends indicate a divergence in performance among major stock indices, with the U.S. market showing mixed results while Asian markets exhibit varied responses [6][7][9] - There is a notable increase in southbound capital investing in Hong Kong bank stocks, particularly Agricultural Bank of China, which has reached a new market capitalization high [11][13] - The price-to-book ratio of Agricultural Bank of China has risen to 1.1, indicating a significant premium compared to other major banks, suggesting potential overvaluation [17][18] Group 3 - The article discusses the weakening correlation between stocks and bonds in the domestic market, reflecting a broader trend observed since the 2008 financial crisis [26][28] - It emphasizes the importance of multi-asset allocation strategies as investors mature, suggesting that this approach will become increasingly popular among individual investors [28]