南华期货（603093）分析称，从供应端看px的检修依旧在高位，国内的px开工在73%，亚洲开工也在 68%附近，5月浙石化和盛虹等有计划检修，国外五月也仍有降负和检修计划，总体供应不多，但与其 同时，pta的检修也较多，总体px供需仍能保持紧平衡预期，但节日期间原油跌幅明显，单边价格估计 低开，pxn逢低做扩。 5月7日，国内期市能化板块多数飘红。其中，对二甲苯期货主力合约开盘报6142.0元/吨，今日盘中高 位震荡运行；截至午间收盘，对二甲苯主力最高触及6362.0元，下方探低6134.0元，涨幅达2.39%。 目前来看，对二甲苯行情呈现震荡上行走势，盘面表现偏强。对于对二甲苯后市行情将如何运行，相关 机构观点汇总如下： 银河期货表示，由于供应方面存在多重变动因素，包括日本装置的意外停车和计划检修，以及国内部分 装置的重启和检修计划，导致PX供需驱动减弱。此外，中东局势紧张增加了供应压力，PX价格预计将 宽幅震荡。 瑞达期货（002961）指出，中东局势急剧升温，国际原油上涨，影响聚酯走势。供应方面，本周国内 PX产量为64.94万吨，环比上周+0.35%。国内PX周均产能利用率77.44%，环比上周+0 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Soybean (Bean 1): Neutral (indicated by 'ななな') [1] - Soybean Meal: Bullish (indicated by '☆☆☆') [1] - Soybean Oil: Bullish (indicated by '☆☆☆') [1] - Palm Oil: Neutral (indicated by 'ななな') [1] - Rapeseed Meal: Neutral (indicated by 'ななな') [1] - Rapeseed Oil: Bullish (indicated by '☆☆☆') [1] - Corn: Bullish (indicated by '☆☆☆') [1] - Live Pigs: Bearish (indicated by '★☆☆') [1] - Eggs: Bearish (indicated by '★☆★') [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply pattern of imported soybeans will shift from tight to loose in the short term, and attention should be paid to policy and supply - demand changes [2][3][4] - The price of soybean meal futures will be relatively strong in the short - term, but its upward momentum will weaken when the procurement of Brazilian soybeans accelerates and North American weather risks decrease [3] - The price of edible oils will fluctuate repeatedly due to factors such as low procurement progress of third - quarter soybean shipments in China and the palm oil production cycle [4] - The downward space of rapeseed meal is limited, and it will mainly fluctuate, and attention should be paid to Sino - US - Canada trade policies [6] - Corn futures may oscillate downward after the release of grain sources, and it is advisable to wait and see for now [7] - The supply of live pigs will increase in the future, and attention should be paid to the decline space of spot prices [8] - Egg prices are expected to be bearish in the long - term due to factors such as seasonal weakness and increasing production capacity [9] Summary by Related Catalogs Soybean - The price of domestic soybean futures main contract is falling, and there is a short - term supply pattern shift of imported soybeans from tight to loose. Pay attention to policy and supply - demand changes [2] Soybean & Soybean Meal - Soybean meal is reducing positions and prices are falling. The supply pattern will shift from tight to loose after May Day. The futures price of soybean meal will be relatively strong in the short - term [3] Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - Before the May Day holiday, domestic soybean and cotton oil are reducing positions and prices are falling. The supply pattern of imported soybeans will change, and the price of edible oils will fluctuate repeatedly [4] Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil - After the May Day holiday, the soybean shortage situation will ease. The downward space of rapeseed meal is limited, and it will mainly fluctuate. Pay attention to Sino - US - Canada trade policies [6] Corn - The supply of corn at Shandong deep - processing enterprises is low, and the port inventory pressure has decreased. Corn futures may oscillate downward after the release of grain sources, and it is advisable to wait and see [7] Live Pigs - The price of live pig futures has fallen significantly. The supply of live pigs will increase in the future, and attention should be paid to the decline space of spot prices [8] Eggs - The spot price of eggs is falling steadily, and the futures price is adjusting. Egg prices are expected to be bearish in the long - term due to seasonal and production - capacity factors [9]

Group 1: Rubber Market - Domestic rubber futures 2509 contract decreased by 0.27% to 14,730 CNY/ton, with the 5-9 month spread widening to 180 CNY/ton [1] - Supply expectations are rising as the new cutting season approaches, while tire manufacturers face operational pressure ahead of the May Day holiday [1] Group 2: Methanol Market - Domestic methanol futures 2509 contract increased by 0.96% to 2,310 CNY/ton, with the 5-9 month spread narrowing to 79 CNY/ton [1] - Methanol production is on the rise, with weekly output averaging 1.899 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 210,100 tons [1] Group 3: Oil Market - Domestic crude oil futures 2506 contract rose by 0.83% to 498.0 CNY/barrel, with market sentiment showing mixed signals [1] - U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.46 million barrels per day, a year-on-year increase of 360,000 barrels per day [1] Group 4: Tire Industry - The operating load of domestic tire manufacturers for all-steel tires was 65.79%, a week-on-week decrease of 1.65% [1] - The operating load for semi-steel tires was 72.36%, down 1.84 percentage points week-on-week and significantly down 8.64 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 5: Automotive Industry - In March, China's automobile production and sales reached 3.006 million and 2.915 million units, respectively, with month-on-month growth of 42.9% and 37% [1] - In Q1, cumulative automobile production and sales were 7.561 million and 7.470 million units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.5% and 11.2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The palm oil futures prices have risen for two consecutive days, raising questions about whether India's resumption of purchases will further boost prices [1] Group 1: Price Movement - Palm oil futures prices have shown an upward trend, indicating a potential recovery in the market [1] - The current key support level for palm oil prices is being closely monitored by institutions [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - India's decision to restart palm oil purchases could play a significant role in influencing future price movements [1]