Core Points - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 outlines the economic work for 2025 and analyzes the current economic situation, setting specific policy arrangements and goals for 2026 [1] - The conference emphasizes the need for a "good start" to the 14th Five-Year Plan, with expectations for China's economic growth rate to be around 5% in 2026, as international organizations have raised their growth forecasts for China [1] Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy for the 14th Five-Year Plan will continue to adopt a "more proactive" approach, maintaining necessary fiscal deficits while optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditures [2][3] - The fiscal deficit rate is expected to remain at or above 4%, with a total debt scale projected to increase from 12 trillion yuan this year [2][3] - There is a clear focus on "investing in people," with an emphasis on improving human capital and enhancing social welfare expenditures [3] Monetary Policy - The macroeconomic policy will adopt a more proactive stance, with monetary policy expected to remain "appropriately loose" and maintain ample liquidity [4][5] - The use of various policy tools, including interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, will be implemented flexibly and efficiently to support economic stability [4][5] - Structural monetary policy tools will be enhanced to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation [5] Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with specific measures including the implementation of a plan to increase urban and rural residents' income and stabilize investment [6] - The focus on consumption and investment as key drivers for expanding domestic demand indicates a shift towards demand-side strategies [6] Innovation and Technology - The establishment of three international science and technology innovation centers in Beijing, Shanghai, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is highlighted as a core strategy for fostering innovation [7][9] - The centers aim to leverage existing resources and address global technological competition, enhancing China's position in the global market [7][9] Market Reforms - The conference emphasizes the need for reforms to optimize the market environment, stimulate enterprise vitality, and deepen financial system support [10] - A key reform initiative includes the establishment of a unified national market, with a focus on improving the regulatory framework to support this goal [10] Capital Market Development - Continuous deepening of capital market reforms is emphasized, with a focus on enhancing the market's ability to serve technological innovation and the real economy [11][12] - The reforms will aim to improve the inclusiveness and coverage of the multi-tiered market system, facilitating the entry of long-term capital [12] Trade and Investment - The conference stresses the importance of promoting regional and bilateral trade and investment agreements to enhance cooperation and trade facilitation [14][15] - The focus on maintaining a multilateral trade system and expanding high-standard free trade agreements is seen as crucial for China's trade strategy [14][15] Real Estate Market Stability - The meeting underscores the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, with a particular emphasis on "de-stocking" as a key measure [16][17] - Encouraging the acquisition of existing housing for affordable housing purposes is identified as a significant strategy to address market challenges [17]

定调来年中国经济政策走向的中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 这场重磅会议部署了哪些重点任务？房地产、投资消费、资本市场等领域将有哪些新动作？中新社国是 直通车第一时间采访多位专家，解读经济新机会。 田利辉："不变"，释放更为重要的三重信号 南开大学金融学教授田利辉：中央经济工作会议延续了"要继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的 货币政策"这一表述，这释放了比"不变"本身更为重要的三重深层信号： 第一，确认了当前经济复苏的根基仍需巩固，宏观政策不具备"急转弯"的条件，体现了对经济现实清 醒、务实的判断；第二，在不确定性交织的背景下，基调的连续性是信心与信用的基石，旨在稳定长期 投资和消费心理；第三，指明了政策演进的方向是"提质增效"，意味着未来的操作将从"有没有"的规模 考量，转向"好不好"的效率与精准性考量。 刘英：明年"双宽松"政策将延续并强化 中国人民大学重阳金融研究院研究员刘英：中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施更加积极的财政政策、 适度宽松的货币政策。这传递出"双宽松"政策将延续并强化的信号，为经济增长注入确定性。预计明年 财政赤字率有望继续保持在4%；货币政策适度宽松，其关键不在于降 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference outlines key tasks and policy arrangements for 2026, emphasizing the need for economic potential exploration, policy support, and reform innovation to achieve quality and reasonable growth in the economy [2][3]. Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy for 2026 will maintain a "more proactive" stance, with a fiscal deficit rate expected to be no lower than 4%, reflecting the need to stimulate economic growth and address local fiscal challenges [3][4]. - The fiscal deficit for this year is set at 5.66 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 1 percentage point from the previous year, indicating a strong commitment to using fiscal tools to boost demand [3][4]. - There is a clear trend towards increasing spending on healthcare, education, and social security, highlighting a focus on "investing in people" [4][5]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy will adopt a "more proactive" approach, with an emphasis on flexible and efficient use of tools like interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments to maintain liquidity [6][7]. - The expectation is for 1-2 instances of interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a stable financing environment [6][7]. - Structural monetary policy tools will be enhanced to support key areas such as domestic demand expansion and technological innovation [7]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with specific policies aimed at increasing residents' income and stabilizing investment [8]. - The conference emphasizes the need for a plan to boost urban and rural residents' income, aligning with the broader goal of enhancing consumption capacity [8]. - Investment strategies will focus on increasing central budget investments and optimizing project implementation to stabilize investment levels [8]. Real Estate Market - The conference stresses the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, with "de-stocking" identified as a key strategy for 2026 [10][11]. - Measures will include city-specific policies to control new supply and encourage the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [11][12]. Capital Market Reforms - The conference highlights the need for continuous deepening of capital market reforms, focusing on enhancing the market's ability to support technological innovation and the real economy [13][14]. - Reforms will include improving the adaptability of capital market systems and encouraging long-term investments [13][14]. Innovation and Technology - The establishment of three major international technology innovation centers in Beijing, Shanghai, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is emphasized as a core strategy for fostering new economic momentum [15][16]. - These centers will leverage existing research and development resources to enhance China's competitiveness in global technology [15][16][17]. Market Environment and Competition - The conference outlines plans to optimize the market environment and reduce "involution" competition, aiming to enhance economic vitality and support high-quality development [18][19]. - A nationwide unified market construction regulation is proposed to address existing regulatory gaps and improve market efficiency [18]. International Trade and Investment - The conference calls for promoting more regional and bilateral trade and investment agreements, reinforcing China's commitment to multilateral trade systems [20][21]. - The focus will be on expanding high-standard free trade agreements and enhancing trade relations with partners [20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the need for a dual approach of policy support and reform innovation to enhance economic potential and achieve a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a projected economic growth target of around 5% for 2026 [1][3]. Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy for 2026 will maintain a "more proactive" stance, with a fiscal deficit rate not lower than 4%, reflecting the need to stimulate economic growth and address local fiscal challenges [3][4]. - The fiscal deficit for this year is set at 5.66 trillion yuan, the highest in recent years, indicating a significant increase in fiscal spending to support economic stability [3][4]. - There is a clear trend towards increasing spending on healthcare, education, and social security, highlighting a focus on "investing in people" [5]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy will continue to be "appropriately loose," with an emphasis on flexible and efficient use of tools like reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [7][8]. - The expectation is for 1-2 instances of RRR cuts or interest rate reductions in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a stable liquidity environment [8]. - The conference aims to guide financial institutions to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation [8]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with specific policies to implement a plan for increasing urban and rural residents' income and stabilizing investment [10][11]. - The focus on consumer spending and investment as key drivers for domestic demand reflects a shift towards demand-side economic strategies [10]. Real Estate Market - The conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market, with "de-stocking" as a key strategy, particularly in light of high inventory levels in many cities [13][14]. - Measures include encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing, which aims to optimize market supply and meet housing needs [14]. Capital Market Reform - The conference highlights the need for continuous deepening of capital market reforms to enhance support for technological innovation and the real economy [15][17]. - There is a focus on improving the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems, with an emphasis on attracting long-term investment [15][17]. Innovation and Technology - The establishment of three major international technology innovation centers in Beijing, Shanghai, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is aimed at fostering innovation and addressing global technological competition [19][20]. - The centers will focus on leveraging existing resources and enhancing collaboration to drive technological advancements and economic transformation [19][20]. Market Environment and Competition - The conference outlines plans to optimize the market environment and stimulate enterprise vitality through reforms, including the establishment of a unified national market [22][23]. - There is a commitment to addressing "involution" in competition, with targeted policies to mitigate its negative effects on the economy [23]. International Trade and Investment - The conference stresses the importance of signing more regional and bilateral trade agreements to enhance cooperation and maintain a multilateral trade system [25][26]. - The goal is to expand high-standard free trade networks and facilitate trade and investment with partners, particularly in the context of the RCEP and other agreements [25][26].

新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 围绕持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革，近期监管部门还提出诸多举措，包括纵深推进板块改革，增强 多层次市场体系的包容性和覆盖面；进一步固本培元，夯实市场稳定内在基础；统筹两个市场、两种资 源，稳步扩大高水平制度型对外开放；筑牢防风险、强监管的坚固防线，大力提升投资者权益保护质效 等。 华创证券首席策略分析师姚佩认为，《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建 议》提出，健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能。"健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能"与"持续 深化资本市场投融资综合改革"相呼应，未来，资本市场"投融资一体化"生态系统的构建将成为重点， 融资端与投资端的改革将协同推进、相互赋能。 （文章来源：中国证券报） 中信证券认为，若再融资储架发行制度顺利推出，将极大增强上市公司融资的灵活性，提升上市公司业 务拓展与融资的协同效应。值得注意的是，证监会强调，要督促上市公司完善治理、加大分红回购增持 力度，以稳健业绩筑牢价值根基，用真金白银回报股东支持。始终把回馈股东作为再融资的前提条件， 有利于呵护二级市场的承载力，推动投融资平衡。 ...

中新社北京12月11日电 (记者 陈康亮)中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议提出，持续 深化资本市场投融资综合改革。这是中央经济工作会议连续两年部署"资本市场投融资综合改革"。 "中央经济工作会议连续两年作上述部署，其核心考量在于通过制度创新，进一步强化资本市场服务实 体经济的枢纽功能。"苏商银行特约研究员薛洪言在接受中新社记者采访时表示。 薛洪言指出，当前，中国经济转型步入关键阶段，培育新质生产力迫切需要资本的精准支持，而协同推 进投融资改革正是打通"科技—产业—资本"良性循环的关键举措。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉认为，中央经济工作会议的这一安排是顶层设计对资本市场功能定 位的战略性升级，其核心考量有三层。一是服务新质生产力的迫切要求。二是破解当前经济核心矛盾的 现实需要。三是夯实金融强国建设的制度基础。"连续两年聚焦，表明这不是短期刺激，而是构建安 全、规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性的现代资本市场体系的'持久战'，关乎国家金融竞争力的全 局。" 田利辉认为，过去一年的改革突出体现了"融资端激活"与"投资端筑基"的双向发力。但不足之处依然明 显，如投资端的改革深度仍落后于融资端， ...

证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2025 年 12 月 11 日 2025 年中央经济工作会议如何指引 A 股？ ——中央经济工作会议点评 中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行。会议整体延续政治局会议 相对积极的表态。短期来看，过去 10 年间，会后 7 天大盘风格往往相对占优。 行业表现上，从平均超额收益水平来看，近 5 年，社会服务、公用事业、煤炭、 传媒这五个行业会后 7 天平均超额水平相对更高。中长期来看，建议重点关注 会议"推动投资止跌回稳"下，明年重大项目的安排。 专题报告 相关报告 1、《如何理解 12 月政治局会 议？对资本市场意味着什么？ ———政策专题》2025-12-08 2、《今年以来服务消费政策部 署梳理，美政府结束停摆——国 内外产业政策周报（1116）》 2、《黄金税收政策调整，美国 与亚洲多国达成合作——国内 外产业政策周报（1103）》 3、《发布会召开介绍和解读四 中全会精神，有哪些增量信息？ — — 国 内 外 产 业 政 策 周 报 （1025）》 4、《整治内卷聚焦价格治理， 特朗普威胁对华大幅加征关税 — — 国 内 外 产 业 政 策 周 报 ...

据新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策 对于财政政策和货币政策，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币 政策。 在财政政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效， 发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。要继续实 施更加积极的财政政策。保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，加强财政科学管理，优化财政 支出结构，规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。 在货币政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促进经济稳定增长、物 价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保持流动性充裕，畅通 货币政策传导机制，引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。保持人民币 汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。 会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性，持续 扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大 ...

中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行，会议确定明年经济工作的重点任务。其中提出坚持改革 攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力。制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞争。制定和实施 进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业账款。推动平台 企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。深入推进中小金 融机构减量提质，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革。 （原标题：中央经济工作会议：制定全国统一大市场建设条例） ...

责任编辑：山上 据新华社消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议确定，明年经济工作抓好以下重点 任务。坚持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力。制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞 争。制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业 账款。推动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。 深入推进中小金融机构减量提质，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革。 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> ...