今日早参 2025 年 6 月 19 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：陆家嘴论坛：货币政策对内搞活市场，对外加快开放 6 月 18 日（周三），2025 年陆家嘴论坛在上海开幕。开幕式上，央行行长潘 功胜宣布 8 项金融开放措施，聚焦金融基础设施、数字金融、跨境贸易和监 管创新，显示央行搞活国内金融市场、加大对外开放的政策取向。 风险提示：国内金融开放进度不及预期；全球金融市场超预期波动。 研报发布日期：2025-06-19 研究员 常慧丽 SAC:S0570520110002 SFC:BJC906 易峘 SAC:S0570520100005 SFC:AMH263 宏观：6 月 FOMC：联储等待关税影响显现 北京时间 6 月 19 日（周四）凌晨，联储如期按兵不动，基准利率维持在 4.25%-4.5%，增长预测下调、通胀和失业率预测上调，2025 年维持 2 次降 息指引，但 2026 年降至 1 次。决议声明删除了委员会"认为失业率和通胀 上升风险增加"的表述；将经济前景不确定性的判断由"进一步上行 ...

让科技创新在资本沃土中破土而出，于产业潮头拔节生长，终成支撑高质量发展的参天大树。6月18日，证监 会主席吴清在陆家嘴论坛上宣布了一系列改革措施，通过资本赋能与制度创新的双轮驱动，以更大范围的政 策"及时雨"浇灌创新生态，推动科技创新与产业发展深度嫁接，为科技创新企业从幼苗到乔木的成长周期注入 全链条培育动能。 科技创新与产业融合亟须破壁攻坚，资本市场改革正逢其时。当前，全球技术演进步履迅猛，今日前沿，明日 或陈旧，资本支持若节奏迟滞，技术成果或将错失窗口期而凋零于实验室。面对"科技创新"的独特生命周期， 研发投入漫长、产业化前景不明朗、失败风险如影随形，传统金融体系风险规避的本能常于此望而却步。因 此，发挥多层次资本市场的枢纽功能，正是让创新要素奔腾交汇的关键钥匙。此次宣布的一系列改革措施将金 融活水精准"浇灌"于科技创新的核心领域，打通创新链与资金链间的"任督二脉"，是资本市场因时而动的锐利 回应。 改革构建完整创新循环机制，精心铺设科技要素通向产业疆场的多维路径。发挥科创板示范效应，加力推出进 一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施；创业板正式启用第三套标准，支持优质未盈利创新企业上市；加快推出科创 债ETF ...

在6月18日开幕的2025陆家嘴论坛上，中国证监会主席吴清宣布，更好发挥科创板改革"试验田"作用， 将加力推出进一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施，同时，将在创业板正式启用第三套标准，支持优质未盈 利创新企业上市。多位机构人士和专家表示，此次证监会提出一系列举措，将加快构建更有利于支持全 面创新的资本市场生态，更好发挥多层次资本市场枢纽功能，有力促进"科技-资本-产业"良性循环。 ...

Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a reverse repurchase operation of 156.3 billion yuan for 7 days at an interest rate of 1.40% on June 18, with 164 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day, resulting in a net withdrawal of 7.7 billion yuan [1]. Funding Conditions - The impact of the tax period is nearing its end, leading to a stable funding environment. The overnight pledged repo rate for deposit-taking institutions slightly decreased to around 1.37%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate saw a slight increase. In the overseas market, the latest overnight financing rate in the US is 4.32% [3]. Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.65%, showing little change from the previous day [6]. Government Bond Futures - The closing prices for government bond futures are as follows: the 30-year main contract increased by 0.09%, the 10-year main contract decreased by 0.01%, the 5-year main contract decreased by 0.01%, and the 2-year main contract increased by 0.01% [10]. Key Financial Policies - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial opening measures at the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, including the establishment of a trading report database for the interbank market and a digital RMB international operation center, among others [11]. - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system, focusing on deepening reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [11]. Bond Market Events - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum opened with announcements of major financial policies, including the development of Sci-Tech bonds and the acceleration of the launch of Sci-Tech bond ETFs [15]. - Recent negative events in the bond market include downgrades in ratings for several companies, indicating potential risks in the non-standard assets of local government financing vehicles [16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for capital market reforms to support technological innovation and industrial development, enabling a seamless growth cycle from early-stage startups to established enterprises [1][2] - A series of reform measures announced by the CSRC aims to enhance the integration of technology and industry, addressing the unique lifecycle challenges of technological innovation [1][2] - The reforms include the introduction of a third set of standards for the ChiNext board to support high-quality, unprofitable innovative companies in going public, and the acceleration of the launch of technology innovation bond ETFs [2] Group 2 - The reforms are designed to create a complete innovation cycle mechanism, enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the capital market to better support technological innovation [2] - Future efforts will focus on deepening collaboration across various market segments, ensuring seamless capital supply throughout the entire lifecycle of enterprises [2] - The goal is to establish a more open and inclusive capital market ecosystem that allows global investors to fully participate in China's innovation development opportunities [2]

科创板第五套上市标准跟随整个IPO市场收紧于2023年8月，2024年"科创板八条"、2025年全国两会均释放政策转向信号，在2025年陆家嘴论坛上 正式重启 文｜《财经》记者 张欣培 编辑 | 郭楠 陆玲 6月18日，在2025陆家嘴论坛上，证监会主席吴清在致辞中总结了中国资本市场发生的深刻结构性变化，并公布了推动科技创新和产业创新融合发 展的一系列重要举措。 吴清表示，推动科技创新和产业创新融合发展，需要更好发挥资本市场枢纽功能。在新的形势下，构建以资本市场为枢纽的创新生态、提升创新 资本形成效率，对于加快科技创新和产业创新融合发展意义重大。 实际上，经过近几年的发展，中国资本市场已经发生了深刻的结构性变化。吴清总结，一方面，中国证监会认真落实创新驱动发展战略，引导各 类要素资源加快向创新领域集聚，为支持科技创新和产业转型升级提供了重要支撑；另一方面，资本市场在有力服务科技创新和产业转型升级过 程中，也反过来促进了自身结构、效率和投资价值的不断改善，为强本强基、高质量发展注入了源头活水。 为加快构建更有利于支持全面创新的资本市场生态，吴清在论坛上透露，将推出科创板进一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施。"1" ...

■谢若琳 另一方面，科创成长层彰显资本市场支持科技创新的政策导向。2024年以来，监管部门聚焦服务实体经 济特别是支持科技创新，先后发布实施"科技十六条""科创板八条""并购六条"，以及《关于资本市场做 好金融"五篇大文章"的实施意见》等政策文件，不断完善支持科技创新的制度体系和市场生态，形成资 本市场支持科技型企业发展的良好氛围。 科创成长层为增量制度改革提供更可控的"试验空间"，覆盖科技企业"初创—成长—成熟"全生命周期的 资本市场服务体系日趋完善，市场内在稳定性和吸引力进一步增强。 当然，改革之路从无坦途。科创成长层的成功落地，仍需直面几重挑战，如企业分层标准的科学界定， 需兼顾成长性与科技成色的真实度量；不同层级间的转板机制设计，须确保灵活与稳定间的平衡；投资 者保护工作更需同步强化，谨防风险在层级间无序传导。这要求监管智慧与市场实践在动态磨合中不断 校准。 "试验田"精神正是破解挑战的密钥。以科创成长层为新的支点，撬动一场更具系统性的生态革新，从包 容性制度到适应性服务，从融资端优化到投资端保护。让资本市场的土壤养分更足、阳光更充沛，中国 科创企业"成长的烦恼"便能转化为"蜕变的动力"。我们有理由相 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market performance [22]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the introduction of the "1+6" policy measures by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aimed at deepening the reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market to better support technological innovation and industrial transformation [3][4]. - The policy includes the establishment of a Sci-Tech Growth Tier and the reintroduction of the fifth set of listing standards for unprofitable companies, which is expected to provide a more precise service to high-quality tech enterprises with significant R&D investments and promising commercial prospects [4][5]. - The report anticipates that the implementation of these reforms will accelerate the listing and financing of tech innovation companies, thereby restoring the financing scale of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, which is currently at its lowest level since 2019 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Policy Measures - The "1+6" policy includes six specific reform measures aimed at enhancing the capital market's support for innovative enterprises, such as introducing a pre-IPO review mechanism for quality tech companies and expanding the application scope of the fifth set of standards to more frontier technology sectors [4][6]. Market Impact - The report suggests that the reforms will enhance market inclusivity and adaptability, allowing more potential but unprofitable innovative companies to access capital markets, thus expanding the service range of the capital market [6]. - It is expected that these reforms will promote the deep integration of technological innovation and capital, providing sufficient funding support for tech innovation enterprises and accelerating the transformation of technological achievements into productive forces [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends three investment lines: 1. Strong comprehensive institutions benefiting from an optimized industry competitive landscape, such as GF Securities, CITIC Securities, and Guotai Junan [6]. 2. Brokerages with significant earnings elasticity, including Eastmoney and China Merchants Securities [6]. 3. Companies with strong international business competitiveness, such as China Galaxy and CICC [6].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·非银金融 ◼ 风险提示：宏观经济不及预期；政策趋紧抑制行业创新；市场竞争加剧。 2025 年 06 月 18 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 何婷 执业证书：S0600524120009 heting@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曹锟 执业证书：S0600524120004 caok@dwzq.com.cn 非银金融行业点评报告 金融开放与资本市场改革迈出新一步，推动 金融更好服务实体经济 增持（维持） [投资要点 Table_Summary] 行业走势 -11% -4% 3% 10% 17% 24% 31% 38% 45% 52% 2024/6/18 2024/10/17 2025/2/15 2025/6/16 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《广发中证港股通非银 ETF （513750.SH）：低估值筑基，高业绩 领航，稳健收益与优质配置并进 》 2025-06-17 《金融新基建的崛起，香港监管框架 下的机遇与挑战》 2025-06-16 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声 ...

一波利好政策来袭。6月18日，2025陆家嘴论坛在上海开幕，中国证监会主席吴清发表主旨演讲，并公布了中国证监会对于后续推动科技创新和产业创新融 合发展、强化股债联动服务科技创新相关举措。同日，中国证监会也火速响应，不仅发布了《关于在科创板设置科创成长层 增强制度包容性适应性的意 见》，还批复全国首批2只数据中心REITs注册，同时宣布2025年10月9日起允许QFII参与场内ETF期权交易。 "1+6"政策措施出台 6月18日，吴清在2025陆家嘴论坛重磅发声，公布了中国证监会对于后续推动科技创新和产业创新融合发展的相关举措。 吴清在论坛上表示，中国证监会将聚焦提升制度的包容性和适应性，以深化科创板、创业板改革为抓手，以发展多元股权融资为重点，着力打造更具吸引 力、竞争力的市场体系和产品服务矩阵，统筹推进投融资综合改革和投资者权益保护，加快构建更有利于支持全面创新的资本市场生态。 吴清指出，更好发挥科创板"试验田"作用，加力推出进一步深化改革的"1+6"政策措施。"1"即在科创板设置科创成长层，并且重启未盈利企业适用科创板第 五套标准上市，更加精准服务技术有较大突破、商业前景广阔、持续研发投入大的优质科技企业 ...