有分析认为，俄罗斯通胀率回落显示俄央行抑制物价增长的努力正取得成效。 编辑：王姝睿 数据显示，相对近年来的数字，俄年化通胀率处于相对较低水平。2023年，俄罗斯通胀率为7.42%，2022年为11.94%。 俄罗斯经济发展部此前预测，2025年俄年化通胀率约为6.8%。俄央行则预测该指标将介于6.5%至7%之间。 新华财经莫斯科1月17日电（记者 赵冰）俄罗斯国家统计局16日发布最新报告显示，2025年俄罗斯通胀率为5.59%，低于此前俄罗斯经济发展部和中央银 行的预测，也低于2024年的9.52%。 ...

俄罗斯经济发展部此前预测，2025年俄年化通胀率约为6.8%。俄央行则预测该指标将介于6.5%至7%之 间。 有分析认为，俄罗斯通胀率回落显示俄央行抑制物价增长的努力正取得成效。（完） 数据显示，相对近年来的数字，俄年化通胀率处于相对较低水平。2023年，俄罗斯通胀率为7.42%， 2022年为11.94%。 新华社莫斯科1月16日电（记者赵冰）俄罗斯国家统计局16日发布最新报告显示，2025年俄罗斯通胀率 为5.59%，低于此前俄罗斯经济发展部和中央银行的预测，也低于2024年的9.52%。 ...

来源：金融界AI电报 美联储理事鲍曼：工资增长与2%的通胀率相符。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Chile is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate from 4.5% to 4.25% in March, maintaining this level for nearly three years, with inflation projected to stabilize at 3% by the end of 2026 and 2027 [1] Economic Growth Projections - The GDP growth for 2026 is forecasted to be 2.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates [1] - Household consumption and fixed asset investment are both expected to grow by 2.5% and 4% respectively [1] - Economic growth expectations for 2027 and 2028 are also maintained at 2.5% [1] Currency Exchange Rate Expectations - The exchange rate for the US dollar against the Chilean peso is anticipated to reach 895 within two months, with a slight decline to 890 over the next eleven months [1]

Group 1 - The current trading price of spot silver is around $90.68 per ounce, down 1.83% from the opening price of $92.38, with a high of $92.78 and a low of $90.21, indicating a bearish short-term trend [1] - Strong economic data released on Thursday, including a decrease in initial jobless claims and a 0.4% increase in import prices, led to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield increasing by 1.6 basis points to 4.156% [2] - The market's optimistic outlook on the economy is reflected in the positive spread of 59.6 basis points between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields, suggesting a cooling of expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [2] Group 2 - The recent price action in silver shows a critical resistance level between $93 and $94, with a potential for significant pullback if this level is not breached [2] - Key support for silver is identified in the $86 to $87 range, with further potential declines expected if this support fails, possibly leading to prices dropping below $80 [2] - The market is advised to monitor support levels at $78 and $74-$73 for potential stabilization before any upward movement [2]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) will not discuss any interest rate adjustments in the short term as long as the economy remains on its current trajectory, but potential shocks, such as deviations from the Federal Reserve's mission, could complicate the outlook [1][2] Group 1 - ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane expressed confidence in the Federal Reserve's policies, stating that the inflation rate in the Eurozone is likely to remain around 2% according to December forecasts [1][2] - Lane warned that if U.S. inflation does not return to target levels or if financial conditions in the U.S. lead to increased term premiums, it could create economic difficulties for the Eurozone [1][2] - A reassessment of the future role of the U.S. dollar could also pose financial shocks to the Euro, indicating that deviations from the Federal Reserve's mission could lead to problems [1][2] Group 2 - Lane emphasized that current interest rate levels set a benchmark for the coming years, indicating no immediate discussions around rate hikes [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The actions of the Trump administration, including a criminal investigation into the Federal Reserve and attempts to remove Governor Lisa Cook, are viewed as an "attack" on the independence of monetary policy [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Independence - Federal Reserve Governor Barr stated that the recent actions against the Fed, including the investigation and attacks on Governor Cook, represent an infringement on the Fed's independence [1][3]. - Barr emphasized that Chairman Powell's recent statement clearly addresses this viewpoint, reinforcing the idea that these actions are detrimental to the Fed's autonomy [1][3]. Group 2: Investigation Details - The U.S. Department of Justice has issued a subpoena to the Federal Reserve, focusing on the renovation project of its headquarters and Powell's testimony to Congress regarding this project last year [1][3]. - Powell described the renovation issue as a "pretext" and indicated that the investigation aims to pressure the central bank into lowering interest rates [1][3]. Group 3: Economic Context - Barr noted that inflation remains at a "high level," while signs of stability are emerging in the labor market [1][3]. - In this context, Barr believes that policymakers can afford to "wait and see," as current interest rates are near neutral levels, neither stimulating nor suppressing the economy [1][3].

Core Insights - The Brazilian Central Bank's first 2026 Focus Bulletin indicates stable market expectations regarding inflation, exchange rates, benchmark interest rates, and GDP growth [1] Group 1: Inflation and Exchange Rate - The inflation forecast for the end of 2026 has been slightly adjusted upwards to 4.06% [1] - The expected exchange rate for the US dollar against the Brazilian real at the end of 2026 is set at 5.50 BRL [1] Group 2: Benchmark Interest Rate - The benchmark interest rate (Selic) is projected to decrease from 15% at the end of 2025 to 12.25% by the end of 2026 [1]

据巴西地理统计局发布的数据，2025年巴西年度通胀率降至4.26%，自2019年来首次回落至政策目 标区间（1.5%—4.5%）。媒体预计2026年通胀率将继续走低，卢拉第三任期的累计通胀率或将低于 1994年雷亚尔推行以来的历届政府表现。 （原标题：巴西年度通胀率跌破4.5%） ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve official Paulson indicated that the inflation rate should maintain around 2% by the end of the year; if this forecast holds true, further interest rate cuts are expected later this year [1] Group 1 - The inflation rate is projected to stabilize at approximately 2% by year-end [1] - Anticipation of additional interest rate cuts later in the year if inflation predictions are accurate [1]