12月12日，中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜主持召开党委会议，传达学习中央经济工作会议精 神，落实全国金融系统工作会议要求，研究部署贯彻落实举措。中国人民银行各党委成员出席会议。 会议认为，习近平总书记在中央经济工作会议上的重要讲话，全面总结一年来和过去5年经济工 作，深化提出做好经济工作的规律性认识，深刻分析当前我国经济运行面临的国际国内形势，系统部署 明年经济工作的总体要求、主要目标、政策取向和重点任务，为"十五五"良好开局、做好明年经济工作 提供了战略指引。李强总理的总结讲话，对贯彻落实习近平总书记重要讲话精神提出要求。全国金融系 统工作会议对做好明年重点工作作出具体部署。中国人民银行系统要认真学习领会，切实把思想和行动 统一到党中央的分析判断和决策部署上来，扎实做好中央银行宏观调控和金融管理工作。 会议强调，做好明年中国人民银行工作，要以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，全面贯 彻党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神，认真贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，按照全国金融系统工作会议工 作部署，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，发 挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report comprehensively presents the overnight performance of the futures market, important macro - economic news, developments in various industries such as energy, metals, black - series, and agriculture, as well as the situation in the financial market including stocks, bonds, and international markets. It also lists upcoming economic indicators and events. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Market Trends - The main contract of US crude oil closed down 1.24% at $58.11 per barrel, and the main contract of Brent crude oil fell 1.2% to $61.97 per barrel [5] - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 0.78% at $4126.3 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 1.50% at $51.08 per ounce. London base metals showed mixed results [6] - As of December 12 at 23:00, domestic futures main contracts showed mixed trends, with coking coal and caustic soda up over 3%, and ethylene glycol up nearly 2%. Palm oil, rapeseed oil, iron ore, soybeans, and soybean oil fell nearly 1% [7] Important Information Macroeconomic Information - The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 10 - 11. The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy, and the Ministry of Finance will implement a more proactive fiscal policy [10] - As of December 12, the Shanghai Export Containerized Freight Index rose 108.83 points, and the China Export Containerized Freight Composite Index rose 0.3% [10] - The National Financial System Work Conference was held on December 12. The central bank will conduct a 600 - billion - yuan 6 - month repurchase operation on December 15 [11] - In the first eleven months of 2025, the cumulative increase in social financing scale was 33.39 trillion yuan, 3.99 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. The M2 balance at the end of November was 336.99 trillion yuan, up 8% year - on - year [13] - Ukraine has abandoned its ambition to join NATO to end the conflict with Russia. Relevant departments issued a notice to boost consumption [14] Energy and Chemical Futures - Russia's oil and gas revenue in December is expected to almost halve to $5.2 billion, the lowest monthly level since August 2020 [16] - Russia's seaborne refined oil exports in November decreased 0.8% from October to 7.494 million tons. Syria expects its natural gas daily output to increase to about 15 million cubic meters by the end of 2026 [18] Metal Futures - Several silicon material leading enterprises jointly established Beijing Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd. The planned silicon material production capacity will not exceed 1.5 million tons, and the company's registered capital is 3 billion yuan [20] - Shandong Province plans to make the copper industry's total output value exceed 200 billion yuan by 2027. A Guinea mining enterprise will resume production on December 13 [20] - From March 21 - November 20, 2025, Iran's aluminum ingot production increased 3% year - on - year. The Guangzhou Futures Exchange revised relevant rules for lithium carbonate futures and options [21][23] - The exchange imposed a 6 - month trading restriction on some clients for exceeding the position limit in polysilicon futures [23] Black - Series Futures - The total inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports increased by 120,360 tons, and the daily port clearance volume decreased by 60 tons. The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills decreased by 1.53 percentage points [25] - The purchase price of coke by mainstream steel mills in Shandong and Hebei decreased. The total inventory of steel products in cities decreased by 369,200 tons this week [26][28] Agricultural Product Futures - As of the week of December 12, the self - breeding and self - raising pig farming profit was a loss of 163.34 yuan per head, and the profit of purchasing piglets for farming was a loss of 240.69 yuan per head [30] - In 2025, the national grain sown area, unit yield, and total output all increased. Malaysia's palm oil exports from December 1 - 10 increased 46.98% compared with the same period last month [30][31] - US exporters sold soybeans, corn, and soybean meal to China, unknown destinations, and Mexico respectively [31] Financial Market Finance - Last week, the three major A - share indexes fluctuated, and the technology - growth sector performed well. The ChiNext Index rose nearly 3% [34] - As of December 11, the total scale of CSI A500 - linked ETFs reached 203.7 billion yuan. Many stocks were investigated by institutions, and there was a wave of new fund issuances [34][35] - Fund managers believe that technology stocks may continue to be the main line, but the market next year may be more balanced, and the investment opportunities of some sectors are emerging [35] - Zhongxin Securities believes that the stock market should focus on varieties with overseas exposure as the base and positive domestic demand changes [37] - Weilan New Energy is being guided by CSC to list on the ChiNext [37] Industry - China's artificial intelligence industry is accelerating, and the core industry scale is expected to exceed one trillion yuan in 2025. The added value of the machinery industry has been growing [38][39] - China's natural gas production is expected to reach 300 billion cubic meters in 2030. China is promoting the "aluminum for copper" in air - conditioners [39] - The steel industry is called on to combat "involution", and China's first deep - water oilfield has achieved a new production record [40] - The supply of traditional DDR4/5 DRAM memory is expected to be tight until 2028 [41] Overseas - Ukraine and the US are negotiating a "peace plan". South Korea's ICT product exports in November increased 24.3% year - on - year [42][43] International Stock Markets - SpaceX is preparing for a potential IPO in 2026, aiming to raise funds for three major projects. If successful, it may be the largest IPO in history [45] Commodities - The China Taiyuan Coal Trading Center and Tencent Cloud will jointly build a coal price index large - model. Institutions are more optimistic about gold next year [46] Bonds - Three Shenzhen enterprises completed green foreign debt registration, with a total contract amount exceeding 170 million yuan. Vanke's bond extension plan was not passed [47] - The issuance scale of green financial bonds and brokerage bonds has increased significantly this year [49] Upcoming Economic Indicators and Events - A series of economic indicators from countries such as Japan, the UK, China, Germany, and the US will be released, including industrial added value, consumer price index, and real estate - related data [51] - Events such as central bank open - market operations, press conferences on economic operations, and corporate earnings reports are scheduled to take place [53][58]

研究报告 铁矿周报 华龙期货投资咨询部 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2012】1087 号 黑色板块研究员：魏云 期货从业资格证号：F3024460 投资咨询资格证号：Z0013724 电话：17752110915 邮箱：497976013@qq.com 报告日期：2025 年 12 月 15 日星期一 本报告中所有观点仅供参 考，请投资者务必阅读正文之后 的免责声明。 摘要： 行情回顾：上周铁矿 2605 合约下跌 1.43%。 基本面：据 Mysteel，上周 247 家钢厂高炉开工率 78.63%，环比减少 1.53%，同比减少 1.92%；钢厂盈利率 35.93%，环比减少 0.43%，同比减少 12.12%；日均铁水产量 229.2 万吨，环比减少 3.10 万吨。全国 45 个港口进 口铁矿库存 15431.42 万吨，环比增 130.61 万吨。 操作策略：上周铁水产量继续下降，港铁矿石库存继续累库，终端负 反馈较强，铁矿目前预期偏弱，预计以偏弱震荡为主。 单边：逢高轻仓偏空对待 套利：观望 期权：观望 【投资评级：★★】 *特别声明：本报告基于公开信息编制而成，报告对这些信息的准确性及完整性 ...

重要的消息有哪些 新股提示 中央财办发声：将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策 12月13日，中国国际经济交流中心举办2025—2026中国经济年会。中央财经委员会办公室分管日常工作的副主任、中央农村工作领导小组办公室主任韩文秀表示， 2025年我国主要经济指标表现好于预期，经济总量预计达到140万亿元左右。2026年还将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策，要协同发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效 应，推动经济稳中向好。 央行：继续实施适度宽松的货币政策 坚定维护金融市场平稳运行 12月12日，中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜主持召开党委会议，传达学习中央经济工作会议精神，落实全国金融系统工作会议要求，研究部署贯彻落实举措。 会议强调，继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，加快推进金融供给侧结构性改革。把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降 息等多种货币政策工具，把握好政策实施的力度、节奏和时机，保持流动性充裕。 今日可申购健信超导，健信超导发行市盈率61.97倍，申购代码为：787805，申购价格：18.58元，单一账户申购上限1万股。 投资有风险，申购需谨慎。 A股多个指数调整生效 深圳证券交易所 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-banking financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it is expected to outperform the overall market in the coming months [66]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the central government's economic meetings have emphasized the need for structural reforms in the financial sector, aiming for a more efficient capital market and improved financial supply-side reforms [2][21]. - The insurance sector is expected to undergo a systematic revaluation, driven by the asset side's influence on company valuations, with a focus on sustainable business models and risk management [2][10]. - The brokerage sector is currently experiencing a mismatch between fundamentals and valuations, with potential catalysts including mergers and acquisitions and upcoming performance reports [2][5]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,580.95 with a slight decline of -0.08%, while the non-banking index rose by 0.81% to 1,991.97. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported respective changes of +0.31%, +2.36%, and -1.62% [5][6]. Non-Banking Industry Data - As of December 12, 2025, the average daily trading volume in the stock market was 18,247.40 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 14.23% from the previous month [15][44]. - The financing balance in the margin trading market reached 25,079.82 billion yuan, an increase of 34.5% compared to the end of 2024 [15][48]. Non-Banking Industry News - The central bank reported that in the first eleven months of 2025, RMB loans increased by 15.36 trillion yuan, and the total social financing scale reached 33.39 trillion yuan, exceeding last year's total [16]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is set to introduce new regulations on public fund sales to address long-standing issues in the industry [17]. Individual Stock Highlights - China Life Insurance reported total premiums exceeding 700 billion yuan as of November 30, 2025 [29]. - The brokerage sector saw significant stock performance, with Guotai Junan and CITIC Securities leading in gains [7][12].

行 业 及 产 业 非银金融 头部非银机构监管红利有望释放 2025 年 12 月 14 日 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/12/8-2025/12/12） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 - ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 0.31%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.39pct。1）中央政治局会议： 2025/12/8，中央政治局会议召开，分析研究 2026 年经济工作。会议指出明年经济工作要坚持 "稳中求进、提质增效"（2025 年表述为"稳中求进、以进促稳，守正创新、先立后破，系统集 成、协同配合"）。就证 ...

Core Insights - The central theme of the news is the emphasis on the importance of the "Five Musts" proposed during the Central Economic Work Conference, which aims to guide economic work in the new situation and ensure a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][3] Group 1: Economic Policy and Strategy - The "Five Musts" include fully tapping economic potential, combining policy support with reform and innovation, ensuring both flexibility and regulation, integrating investment in physical assets and human capital, and focusing on internal capabilities to face external challenges [2][3] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to implement the "Five Musts" into practical outcomes, focusing on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to achieve qualitative and reasonable quantitative economic growth [2][3] - The banking and insurance sectors are expected to align with macro policy directions, utilizing counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [2][3] Group 2: Industrial and Financial Development - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing, reinforcing the industrial sector's role in stabilizing the macroeconomic environment [3] - The People's Bank of China will implement more proactive macro policies, focusing on financial supply-side structural reforms and optimizing funding structures to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation [3] - The Ministry of Commerce is committed to enhancing foreign trade quality and efficiency, leveraging China's large market to create more development opportunities for countries worldwide [3] Group 3: Resource Management and Environmental Protection - The Ministry of Natural Resources will focus on innovative land and space planning, improving resource allocation efficiency, and promoting integrated protection and systematic governance of natural resources to ensure a strong start for the 14th Five-Year Plan [4]

12月12日，中国人民银行党委书记、行长潘功胜主持召开党委会议，传达学习中央经济工作会议精 神，落实全国金融系统工作会议要求，研究部署贯彻落实举措。会议强调，继续实施适度宽松的货币政 策。灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，把握好政策实施的力度、节奏和时机。防范化解重点 领域的金融风险。坚定维护金融市场平稳运行，综合平衡防范金融市场的道德风险。 会议强调，做好明年人民银行工作，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政策集 成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，着力扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，为经济稳定 增长、高质量发展和金融市场稳定运行营造良好的货币金融环境。 继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，加快推进金融供给侧结构性改革。把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理 回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，把握好政策实施的力度、 节奏和时机，保持流动性充裕，促进社会综合融资成本低位运行，加强对实体经济的金融支持。畅通货 币政策传导机制，优化结构性货币政策工具运用，加强与财政政策的协同。保持人民币汇率在合理均衡 水平上的基本稳定。 防范化解重点领域的金融风险，维护金融稳定。助力在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy and the acceleration of financial supply-side structural reforms to stabilize economic growth and ensure reasonable price recovery [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The meeting highlights the importance of using various monetary policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions flexibly and efficiently [1] - It stresses maintaining ample liquidity and promoting low financing costs for the real economy [1] - The central bank aims to ensure the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level [1] Group 2: Financial Support and Risk Management - The meeting calls for strengthening financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and medium-sized enterprises [1] - It emphasizes the need to prevent and resolve financial risks in key sectors to maintain financial stability [1] - The central bank plans to enhance the central banking system and promote high-level financial openness while ensuring national financial security [1]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is organizing the compilation of the "Metaverse Industry Comprehensive Standardization System Construction Guide (2026 Edition)" to establish a standard system supporting the innovative development of the metaverse industry by 2028 [2] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association announced the establishment of a "polysilicon production capacity integration acquisition platform," marking a significant development in the photovoltaic industry [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the People's Bank of China issued a notice to enhance green finance policies to support the construction of green factories, promoting financial institutions to develop financial products for green manufacturing [2] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced administrative penalties against Zhejiang Youce Investment Management Co., imposing fines totaling 21 million yuan and banning the actual controller from the securities market for life, marking a significant enforcement action in private equity regulation [1] - The National Market Supervision Administration released a draft guideline for compliance in the automotive industry, emphasizing the need for a pricing strategy based on production costs and market demand [1] - The China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association is seeking industry opinions on a draft regulation to standardize public fund sales behavior, aiming to protect investors' rights [1]