总之，市场整体氛围较好，题材轮动加速，短线情绪局部强势，黄金、消费、 AI 及机器人成为今日最强主线，虽然权重板块拖累指数表现，但 是题材热度说明游资量化在干活，市场的赚钱效应更能带动散户良性互动，当然题材持续性还得维持更高的成交量和市场活跃度。 | 黄金概念 | | | 工业软件 | 可燃冰 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | +1.44% | | +4.05% | | | +3.77% | -1.49亿 | | 33.647 | | | 9.19亿 | | | POE胶膜 | 基引概念 | 天然气 | 汽车芯片 | 生物质能 | | +1.43% | +1.43% | +1.42% | +1.42% | +1.42% | | 1.37亿 | -4178.48万 | | 2.274Z | 4112.51万 | | | | -1.23 Z | | | | 然図获展 | 地熱能 | 旅游概念 | SGDR | 盐湖提锂 | | +1.35% | +1.34% | +1.34% | +1.33% | +1.32% | | -1.06亿 | -5947.34万 | ...

值得注意的三点，首先是上周积极活跃的国家队今天休息了，其次据传今天大户 S 限制被解除了，再次今天科技成长方向迎来难得的资金活 跃。整体看来，今天游资量化和机构干活是更出力了，而作为重回交易正常化的首日表现当属利好。 一 、 GJD 休息，游资量化干活更出力 今天市场全天低开高走，三大指数集体收涨，沪指录得 7 连阳，逼近 3300 点关口，深成指、创业板指均涨超 1% 。两市成交额重回万亿级 别，达 1.04 万亿元，较上一交易日放量 1267 亿元，市场情绪明显回暖。周末翻车的机器人不弱反强，前面回调较多的 AI 应用和算力也十分 活跃，我们连推一周多的跨境支付也是持续走强。个股呈现普涨格局，沪深京三市超 4300 只个股上涨， 114 只个股涨停，仅 818 只个股下 跌，赚钱效应较强。 二、 行业板块与题材热度：黄金 & 大消费仍强， AI 与机器人齐飞 首先是黄金股才休息不到 3 天（美元指数盘中跌破 98 了）今天又全线爆发，受国际金价上涨及避险情绪推动，四川黄金、赤峰黄金、西部黄 金等近 10 股涨停，晓程科技更是 20cm 涨停，板块整体领涨市场。另一个中长期推荐配置的大消费持续活跃，国芳集团 ...

近日，跨境支付概念持续活跃，不少相关个股也迎来了市场的关注，事实上，近期与跨境支付相关的消 息不断。4月17日，中国人民银行等六部门联合印发《促进和规范金融业数据跨境流动合规指南》，为 金融数据跨境流动提供了明确规范，提升了市场对跨境支付相关业务增长的预期。此外，商务部印发的 《关于加快推进服务业扩大开放综合试点工作方案》提出，支持跨国公司以人民币开展跨境资金集中运 营业务，进一步推动了人民币跨境支付的发展。 跨境支付(Cross-border Payment)，即在两个或两个以上不同国家或地区间，由于开展国际贸易、进行国 际投资以及其他事务而产生国际债权债务关系时，凭借特定的结算工具与支付系统，完成资金跨国界及 跨区域转移的活动。在全球跨境支付市场的大格局下，银行电汇、专业汇款公司、国际信用卡组织以及 第三方支付这四大力量占据主导地位，它们主要依靠收取手续费、提供增值服务以及获取非服务性收入 等方式来实现盈利。 4、石基信息（002153）：旗下敏付科技有限公司具有互联网支付牌照，属于类金融机构，根据国家外 汇管理局的规定，具有互联网支付牌照的支付公司能发展线上跨境支付业务，包括跨境外汇支付业务， 跨境人民 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw all three major indices open lower but recover, with cross-border payment concept stocks showing significant activity, particularly the Zhongzheng Financial Technology Theme Index which rose over 2% [1] - The Financial Technology ETF (516860) increased by over 2% during trading, with a latest price of 1.17 yuan and a trading volume exceeding 37 million yuan, indicating a premium in intraday trading [1] - The People's Bank of China and six other departments recently issued guidelines to promote and regulate the cross-border flow of financial data, which is expected to create growth opportunities in the financial IT sector [1] Group 2 - The Financial Technology ETF closely tracks the Zhongzheng Financial Technology Theme Index, which includes 57 constituent stocks across the electronic and non-bank financial sectors, reflecting a comprehensive coverage of the financial technology industry [2] - The average R&D investment of the constituent stocks is over 15% for 2024, surpassing the average of the A-share technology sector, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [2] - As of April 2025, the index's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is 45 times, placing it in the top 30% historically, which provides a favorable valuation margin [2]

Important Market News - The Federal Reserve has issued a strong warning regarding the inflation effects of trade policies, indicating that tariffs are likely to temporarily raise inflation, with potential long-lasting impacts. This has led to significant declines in major stock indices, with the Dow Jones dropping nearly 700 points (1.73%), the Nasdaq falling 3.07%, and the S&P 500 decreasing by 2.24%. Major tech stocks also saw declines, with Nvidia down 6.9%, Tesla over 4%, and other tech giants like Apple, Meta, and Microsoft dropping more than 3% [1] Industry Insights - Zhongqing Robotics has officially launched its robot products, with the PM01 priced at 188,000 yuan and the SA01 at 42,000 yuan. The company has completed a Pre-A round financing led by Stone Venture, raising a total of 200 million yuan. The products target various sectors including research, education, industrial manufacturing, and home services. The humanoid robot industry is expected to transition from the "technology validation phase" to "scale commercialization" by 2025, with a projected market size exceeding 1 trillion yuan by 2026 [3][3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to discuss the management of intelligent connected vehicles, emphasizing the need for manufacturers to conduct thorough testing and adhere to safety standards. The development of cloud computing platforms for data labeling and model training is crucial for advancing autonomous driving technologies, particularly for L3 and above levels [4][4] - Stripe has deepened its global partnership with Tencent, integrating WeChat Pay into Stripe Terminal across 20 countries. This move allows businesses supported by Stripe to seamlessly accept WeChat Pay for online and offline transactions, with WeChat Pay expected to surpass 1.2 billion users by the end of 2024 [5] - Qingdao has introduced new policies to stimulate the real estate market, including financial support for families with multiple children purchasing homes. This initiative is part of broader efforts across various regions to reduce the cost of childbirth and potentially boost birth rates [6][6] Risk Alerts - Beiningmei has received an administrative regulatory decision from the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Bureau due to issues with revenue recognition and non-operational fund occupation by its controlling shareholder. The company will face supervisory measures as a result [8] - Dongfang Materials has reported unusual stock trading activity, with a price deviation exceeding 20%. The company’s main business includes traditional products, and its revenue from computing power is minimal [9] - Taimusi has also reported unusual trading activity, with a price deviation exceeding 20%. The company confirmed that there have been no significant changes in its operational environment [9]

跨境支付概念异动拉升，京北方（002987）、青岛金王（002094）涨停，飞天诚信（300386）、拉卡拉 （300773）、四方精创（300468）、中油资本（000617）等涨超5%。 暗盘资金一眼洞悉庄家意图>> ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the cross-border payment industry, highlighting significant growth potential driven by policy support and technological innovation [4][7]. Core Insights - The internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) is a key strategic move in the US-China rivalry, with a positive feedback loop beginning to form. The report notes that since 2024, there has been a surge in policies aimed at promoting cross-border e-commerce and payment systems, with 11 relevant policy documents issued compared to only two per year from 2021 to 2023 [5][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative payment systems such as CIPS, mBridge, and Brics Pay in facilitating RMB internationalization and improving payment efficiency compared to traditional systems like SWIFT [5][28]. - The cross-border payment industry is expected to see substantial growth as domestic payment institutions actively seek international expansion, with significant opportunities in both B2B and B2C segments [8][61]. Summary by Sections 1. Promoting RMB Internationalization - The report discusses the critical role of cross-border payments in RMB internationalization, highlighting the recent policy initiatives aimed at encouraging the development of cross-border e-commerce and payment systems [16][17]. - It outlines the strategic importance of RMB internationalization in mitigating the impacts of US dollar hegemony and enhancing China's global economic standing [21][22]. 2. Political and Technological Innovations Driving Payment System Reforms - The report compares existing systems like SWIFT with emerging Chinese systems (CIPS, mBridge, Brics Pay), noting the latter's advantages in transaction speed and cost [29][34]. - It details the operational frameworks of these new systems, emphasizing their potential to enhance the efficiency of cross-border payments [28][32]. 3. Industry Chain Expansion: Trends and Opportunities - The report identifies key players in the payment industry, including clearing institutions, banks, and third-party payment providers, and discusses their internationalization efforts [61][62]. - It highlights the competitive landscape, noting that while UnionPay has a strong global presence, there remains significant room for growth in overseas penetration [67]. 4. Listed Companies Related to the Payment Industry - The report provides insights into specific companies involved in the payment industry, such as Newland, which has obtained a rare European acquiring license, and Sifang Jingchuang, which is uniquely involved in the mBridge project [6][8]. - It also mentions companies like Lianlian and Feitian Chengxin, which are engaged in cross-border payment services and digital RMB initiatives [6][8].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Companies Involved - New大陆 (Newland) - 新国都 (Newland Payment) Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - Newland is expected to benefit from consumer policies and industry optimization, with a projected profit growth of over 20% in Q1, leading to an annual net profit of 1.3 to 1.4 billion yuan, with a current valuation of approximately 20 times earnings [2][3] - Newland Payment's Q1 performance may be slightly weaker, but an annual profit of at least 700 million yuan is anticipated, with a current valuation of only 17 times earnings, indicating high cost-effectiveness [2][3] - Newland's Q1 profit is projected to reach around 300 million yuan, while Newland Payment's actual profit last year was close to 700 million yuan, with expectations for a better performance in the second half of the year [3][5] Industry Dynamics - The payment industry is experiencing optimization, benefiting leading companies like Newland and Newland Payment, which are seeing improved bargaining power and significantly higher net fee rates [2][6] - The gross profit margins of leading acquiring institutions have increased, indicating a notable improvement in industry profitability quality [7] Payment Volume Projections - Newland's payment volume for 2024 is expected to be between 2.2 to 2.3 trillion yuan, while Newland Payment's is projected at 1.47 trillion yuan, with expectations for better performance in the second half of the year [2][8] International Expansion - Both companies are actively expanding into overseas payment device markets, focusing on high-end markets in Latin America, the Middle East, and Europe, with Newland's Latin American market growing at approximately 15% [2][10] - Newland Payment's overseas device revenue grew by 64% year-on-year, indicating strong international demand [10] Cross-Border Payment Growth - Cross-border payments and local acquiring services are becoming significant growth areas, with higher fee rates overseas compared to domestic markets, enhancing profitability [12][13] - Newland has established localized teams overseas and plans to significantly increase transaction volumes, while Newland Payment aims to expand its transaction scale tenfold this year [14] AI Applications - Both companies are leveraging AI for internal and merchant empowerment, with Newland focusing on customized marketing solutions and Newland Payment investing in an overseas AIGC subsidiary [15] Regulatory Impact - The 网中网号 policy is expected to create a substantial market for Newland, particularly in the QR code verification space, with potential revenue increases of 20-30% market share translating to 20-30 billion yuan in revenue growth [16] Valuation Insights - Newland's 2025 net profit is projected between 1.3 to 1.4 billion yuan, with a market cap of approximately 30 billion yuan, resulting in a valuation of 21 to 23 times earnings, while Newland Payment's valuation remains at 17 times earnings [5][16] Other Important Insights - The payment industry is seeing a consolidation of resources towards leading companies, enhancing their ability to expand merchant resources and pricing power [6] - The overall improvement in industry profitability quality is evidenced by rising net fee rates and gross profit margins across leading firms [7]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the current market sentiment score is 76, categorizing it as "relatively hot," suggesting a positive market outlook and potential for upward movement in stock prices [5][9]. - Key themes identified for investment opportunities include cross-border payments, duty-free shopping, and agriculture, driven by recent policy changes and economic strategies [6]. Cross-Border Payments - The cross-border payment theme is gaining traction due to increased trade uncertainties and costs from tariff policies, necessitating more efficient payment systems. The CIPS system is expanding its functionalities and business volume, providing secure and efficient RMB cross-border payment services [6]. - Related stocks include Cross-Border Communication (002640) and Qingdao Kingking (002094) [6]. Duty-Free Shopping - A recent announcement from the State Administration of Taxation promotes the "immediate purchase and refund" service for outbound travelers, which is expected to boost domestic consumption, particularly in the tourism retail sector [6]. - Beneficiaries of this trend may include China Duty Free Group (601888) and Gree Real Estate (600185) [6]. Agriculture - The Central Committee and State Council have released a plan to accelerate the construction of a strong agricultural nation from 2024 to 2035, emphasizing self-innovation in seed industry and resource protection [6]. - Key stocks in this sector include Dabeinong Technology Group (002385) and Fengle Seed Industry (000713) [6]. Market Capital Flow - The report highlights significant net inflows into various stocks, with Industrial Fulian (601138) leading at 802.79 million, followed by Shenghong Technology (300476) at 585.44 million [10]. - The report also notes the top ten stocks with net outflows, indicating investor sentiment and potential areas of concern [12]. Industry Performance - The report provides insights into the performance of different industries, with electronics, food and beverage, and retail showing strong net inflows, while sectors like telecommunications and steel are experiencing net outflows [16][17].

Group 1 - MIM (Metal Injection Molding) is an advanced manufacturing technology that produces complex precision parts with high efficiency and low cost, making it a key area supported by the state [1] - China has become the largest MIM market, with current applications primarily in consumer electronics, and the demand for high-precision and complex parts is expected to increase due to advancements in humanoid robots, AI devices, and high-end manufacturing [1] - The MIM process is anticipated to highlight its advantages in the production of precision, complex, and critical components, leading to a potential blue ocean market in these sectors [1] Group 2 - The U.S. CPI growth rate in March was lower than expected, indicating a cooling trend, while the impact of tariffs on inflation was not significant at that time [2] - Despite a 90-day tariff suspension announced by Trump, various tariff measures are still in effect, which may increase the PCE deflator index by approximately 1.2% [2] - The market is currently pricing in a potential for two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with an unclear outlook for U.S. stocks [2] Group 3 - A bullish trend was observed in the A-share market, with a record number of stocks hitting the daily limit up, particularly in the duty-free and cross-border payment sectors [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.61 trillion, a decrease of 90.1 billion from the previous day [3] - Participants in a simulated stock trading competition expressed interest in sectors like highways, nuclear power, and water supply, while also advising to lock in profits from the recent gains in duty-free and cross-border payment concepts [3]