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恒玄科技(688608):低功耗计算 SoC 龙头,端侧新周期再出发
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-24 03:26
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 451.79 RMB based on a valuation of 75 times earnings for 2025, resulting in a market capitalization of 542.35 billion RMB [6]. Core Insights - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, achieving 3.263 billion RMB in revenue for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 49.9%, and a net profit of 460 million RMB, up 271.7% [3][6]. - The company is positioned as a leader in low-power computing SoC chips, with a strong focus on AIoT applications, particularly in smart wearables and smart home devices [16][24]. - The global market for headphones and smart wearables is experiencing steady growth, with the company gaining market share in these segments [4][60]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in low-power AIoT technology, focusing on smart audio and video SoC chips used in various low-power scenarios, including smart wearables and smart home devices [3][16]. - The company has established a diverse customer base, including major Android phone brands, professional audio manufacturers, internet companies, and home appliance manufacturers [3][24]. Investment Logic - The headphone and smartwatch markets are developing steadily, with the company increasing its market share. IDC forecasts a 9% year-on-year increase in global headphone shipments for 2024 [4][60]. - The company has introduced advanced 12nm and 6nm wearable control chips, positioning itself at the forefront of innovation in the smart wearable sector [4][16]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.60 billion RMB, 7.23 billion RMB, and 10.06 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.84 RMB, 6.02 RMB, and 8.38 RMB [6][10]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in profitability, with a net profit growth rate of 272.35% anticipated for 2024 [10][34]. Market Trends - The global headphone market is recovering, with a projected shipment of 340 million units in 2024, reflecting a 9% increase year-on-year [47][60]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the emerging AI glasses market, which is expected to become a significant growth driver [5][60].
晶晨股份(688099):25Q1利润高增 多条产品线有望保持高成长性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-24 00:28
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.53 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.98%, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 47.53% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.23% [1] - The smart home and Wi-Fi 6 segments are expected to maintain high growth momentum in 2025, with smart home chip sales increasing over 50% year-on-year and Wi-Fi 6 chip shipments growing by 35% [2] - The company has made significant R&D investments, totaling 1.352 billion yuan in 2024 and 359 million yuan in Q1 2025, leading to a competitive advantage across multiple product lines [3] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.53 billion yuan, a 10.98% increase year-on-year [1] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was 188 million yuan, reflecting a 47.53% year-on-year growth [1] - Gross margin stood at 36.23% [1] Product Performance - Smart home chip sales surged over 50% year-on-year, with over 10 million units shipped in a single quarter [2] - Wi-Fi 6 chip shipments increased by 35%, with 25% of shipments being Wi-Fi 6 2*2 chips, a significant rise from 1.5% in Q1 2024 [2] - The S series chips captured the largest share in domestic operator tenders, while the T series saw a 30% increase in sales [3] R&D Investment - The company invested 1.352 billion yuan in R&D in 2024 and 359 million yuan in Q1 2025 [1][3] - The focus on R&D has led to advancements in various product lines, including the S905X5 series and 8K chips, with expectations of significant sales growth [3] Investment Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the AI industry trend, with projected revenues of 7.408 billion yuan, 9.26 billion yuan, and 10.741 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are 1.019 billion yuan, 1.394 billion yuan, and 1.815 billion yuan [4] - A target price of 97.1 yuan is set, with a 40x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "Buy-A" investment rating [4]
广和通(300638):全年业绩实现稳健增长,坚持研发投入完善端侧AI、机器人领域部署
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-23 12:37
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a forecasted stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 8.189 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.13%. Excluding the impact of the sale of the wireless vehicle-mounted business, the revenue growth was 23.34%, primarily driven by the 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) business in the domestic automotive electronics and smart home sectors [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 668 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.53%, mainly due to revenue growth and investment income from the sale of the wireless vehicle-mounted business [2]. - The company invested 719 million yuan in R&D in 2024, focusing on enhancing its deployment in AI, edge computing, and intelligent robotics, while also expanding its traditional module business [2][3]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financial performance for 2025-2027 includes: - Net profit attributable to the parent company: 558 million yuan in 2025, 709 million yuan in 2026, and 871 million yuan in 2027 [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.73 yuan in 2025, 0.93 yuan in 2026, and 1.14 yuan in 2027 [9]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 33.3 in 2025, 26.2 in 2026, and 21.3 in 2027 [9].
瑞芯微(603893):端侧AI浪潮起 平台型SOC公司高端化升级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 12:31
2024 年业绩符合市场预期 注重研发投入,新品迭代驱动未来增长。公司持续保持高强度研发投入,2024 年研发费用达5.64 亿 元,占营业收入比例为18.0%。我们看好公司陆续推出新一代旗舰产品和NPU 边缘算力芯片,作为AIoT SoC 算力龙头,在端侧AI 浪潮中保持产品领先身位。我们看到公司盈利能力显著修复,2024 年全年毛 利率达37.59%,同比提升3.34ppt,我们认为在未来高端化进程中,公司毛利率有望稳中有升。 盈利预测与估值 由于端侧AI 行业需求增加,公司各下游客户拓展顺利、高端占比提升,我们上调25 年收入/净利润 22.4%/52.9%至44.36/9.42 亿元,首次引入26 年收入/净利润56.05/12.31 亿元。考虑到26 年高端占比更能 够代表公司产品结构,估值切换到2026 年,当前股价对应26 年54.2 倍市盈率。考虑到端侧AI 需求百花 齐放、行业估值中枢上移,我们维持跑赢行业评级,上调目标价150%至170 元,对应26 年57.8 倍市盈 率(6.7%上行空间)。 风险 需求/新产品导入不及预期,竞争加剧,贸易摩擦带来供应链不稳定性。 公司公布2024 年业 ...
广和通(300638):全年业绩实现稳健增长 坚持研发投入完善端侧AI、机器人领域部署
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 08:41
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.189 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 668 million yuan, up 18.53% year-on-year [1] - The revenue growth was primarily driven by the domestic automotive electronics and smart home sectors, particularly in the 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) business, with a 23.34% increase when excluding the impact of the sale of the wireless vehicle-mounted business [1] - The company invested 719 million yuan in R&D to enhance its deployment in emerging fields such as AI, edge computing, and intelligent robotics, while also establishing an AI research institute [1] Product Development and Market Position - The company is focusing on the Internet of Things (IoT) vertical industries and has enriched its product matrix, leading in the edge AI field with the launch of the Fibocom AI Stack technology platform [2] - The integration of various AI models, including machine vision and voice recognition, has significantly improved the market competitiveness of the company's AI module products [2] - The company has established strategic partnerships in the field of embodied intelligence and has received recognition for its RTK visual fusion positioning solution from leading manufacturers in the multi-legged robot sector [2] Financial Forecast and Investment Outlook - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 558 million, 709 million, and 871 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.73, 0.93, and 1.14 yuan, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance [3] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are forecasted to be 33, 26, and 21 times for the years 2025-2027, reflecting confidence in the company's future growth driven by new business initiatives such as robotic lawn mowers [3]
景顺长城的科技投资:走在产业里,买在叙事前
远川投资评论· 2025-04-15 04:40
科技股从来不是新故事,所有的声音大多来源于,有的人选择重新相信,还有的人始终在场。 作为资本市场中的宠儿,科技股投资往往离不开 " 高增长 " 给人带来的巨大想象空间:业绩的高速增长 可以消化企业的估值,进而能够让市场给予这些企业更高的估值,实现戴维斯双击。但在过去两年中, 这种螺旋上升随着部分科技细分产业进入成熟期而遭遇了业绩增速的放缓。 以新能源车行业为例,根据 Wind 数据显示,新能源汽车指数在 2023 年营收增速由前一年的 27.13% 放 缓为 14.76% ,归母净利润更是同比下降 7.76% 。 当曾经的高增长变得难以为继,投资者们也开始纷纷去寻找新兴的科技行业,以期寻找到下一个上升期 的科技产业。可对于体量庞大的基金经理们来说,这条寻找的道路却并不顺利。 且不说大多数处于 0-1 孵化过程的新兴科技产业,业绩的可持续性很难验证。如果退回到对短期消息面 的博弈,互联网与 AI 又极大地加速了信息传播的效率,行情的演绎也变得更为迅猛。 不论是 低空经 济、固态电池、还是人工智能,几乎都是在短短两个多月的时间里就完成了从小溪流到大赛道再到要切 换的全过程。 在这种 " 快餐式 " 的科技股行情下 ...
端侧AI高景气!炬芯科技Q1业绩创新高,股价3日飙涨34%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-04-11 03:20
近期,多家A股公司在市场剧烈波动之际自愿披露了一季报业绩预告。 其中,SoC相关公司一季度预报惊喜不断,有着淡季不淡的态势。 Q1业绩创新高 昨日晚间,炬芯科技披露了一季度业绩预告。 受此影响,炬芯科技股价今日大涨11%,最新报47.75元/股,总市值69.78亿元。 昨日,炬芯科技股价20CM涨停,近三个交易日累计涨超34%。 期间,净利率预计为21.62%,相比2024年的16.35%有明显提升;研发投入约5100万元,同比增长13.34%。 值得注意的是,炬芯科技今年一季度的销售额、净利润环比、 同比均增长,并创下了单季度的历史新高。 一季度虽是SoC行业的传统淡季,但炬芯科技却取得了历史上单季度最好的表现,甚至超过传统的销售旺季。 炬芯科技预计,今年一季度实现营收1.91亿元,同比增加61.23%;归母净利润为4130万元,同比增加383.91%;扣非净利润为3850万元,同比增加603.9%。 去年以来,得益于端侧AI的快速发展,炬芯科技的业绩出现高增长态势。 2024年全年,炬芯科技实现营业收入为6.52亿元,同比增加25.34%;归母净利润为1.07亿元,同比增长63.83%;扣非净利润为785 ...
东吴证券晨会纪要-20250410
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-10 13:04
Macro Strategy - The report suggests that the depreciation of the RMB against the USD may be a response to overseas risk events and a proactive measure to release risks in currency management, with a gradual approach expected in the depreciation process [1][12] - The expected range for USDCNY is projected to gradually rise to 7.40-7.50, indicating a controlled release of risks while maintaining a stable exchange rate [12] Fixed Income - The report on Weicai Convertible Bond indicates an expected listing price range of 112.72 to 125.13 RMB, with a subscription rate of 0.0046% and a conversion premium of approximately 35% [2][14] - The report on Anji Convertible Bond anticipates a listing price range of 109.63 to 122.00 RMB, with a subscription rate of 0.0037% and a conversion premium of around 28% [3][15] - The report on Qingyuan Convertible Bond expects a listing price range of 100.22 to 111.65 RMB, with a subscription rate of 0.0020% and a conversion premium of about 25% [3][17] Industry Analysis - The engineering machinery sector is entering an upward cycle, with a projected 2-3 years of growth ahead, supported by significant share buybacks from major companies like Sany Heavy Industry and XCMG [20][21] - The report highlights a 38% year-on-year increase in domestic excavator sales in Q1 2025, indicating strong market demand and potential for upward valuation adjustments [21] - The engineering machinery companies have low exposure to the US market, with Sany's exposure at approximately 3%, making the overall risk manageable [21] Company Insights - Pengding Holdings reported a revenue of 35.14 billion RMB and a net profit of 3.62 billion RMB for 2024, with significant growth in the automotive and server sectors [5][22] - The company is expanding its production capacity with a projected capital expenditure of 5 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting confidence in future market demand [6][22] - The report on Jerey Co. indicates a projected net profit of 3.03 billion RMB for 2025, with a focus on overseas expansion despite tariff risks [7][8]
对话时空壶田力:当AI遇上同传,建造跨语言沟通的巴别塔
乱翻书· 2025-04-01 04:35
电影 《银河系漫游指南》中的巴别鱼 科幻小说《银河系漫游指南》里面有种叫巴别鱼的生物,可以突破传统翻译工具的物理限制,通过解析脑电波实现跨物种语言的即时互译。这个看似遥不 可及的幻想,如今在深圳一家名为时空壶的公司手中,正逐步走向现实。 时空壶是全球首创AI同传翻译耳机的公司,他们正在用技术打破人类之间的语言壁垒,让跨语言交流变得如同说同一种母语一样自然。从2016年创立至 今,他们的产品已销往全球170多个国家,并且在北美市场占据了40%的份额,用户突破百万。今年初,中国海关总署甚至将时空湖的W4 Pro同传翻译耳 机作为中国从"制造"到"智造"转型的代表展示给全世界。 随着大模型技术的发展,AI翻译正从简单的"直译"进化为理解语境、把握情感的"意译"。年初在拉斯维加斯举办的消费电子展(CES)上,时空壶发布了 翻译行业的首个人工智能同声传译系统Timekettle Babel OS (The Road to Babel Fish 通往巴别鱼之路),首次将大语言模型作为AI翻译的底层能力,打造 逼近母语的自然交流体验,赋能时空壶各终端硬件和软件应用。 其中"Babel"在希伯来语中的原意是"混乱"。《圣经》 ...
全球黑色星期一,4月决断月看什么?
格隆汇APP· 2025-03-31 09:34
Core Viewpoint - The global equity markets are experiencing a downturn, with A-shares showing weak fluctuations amid concerns over tariffs and upcoming earnings reports [4][5][6]. Market Performance - The three major indices are in a weak fluctuation state, with a total trading volume exceeding 1.2 trillion, an increase of nearly 9% compared to the previous trading day. However, nearly 4,000 stocks declined, and over 30 stocks hit the daily limit down, indicating a pessimistic market atmosphere [1]. - The technology sector saw a significant pullback, particularly in robotics, while some segments like computing power and AI applications showed signs of recovery in the afternoon [1][2]. Sector Highlights - AI applications are gaining traction, with companies like Saiyi Information and others experiencing notable gains following the release of AutoGLM by Zhipu [2]. - The robotics sector faced substantial adjustments, with several previously popular stocks experiencing significant declines, although some segments like massage robots showed strong performance [2]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its weak trend due to liquidity pressures and the upcoming U.S. tariff policy on April 2, alongside the earnings season [5][6]. - Investors are advised to remain cautious and monitor key indicators such as the performance of U.S. stocks, the Hang Seng Index, and the Renminbi [4][6].