| | 特定对象调研 | 分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | 媒体采访 | 业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | 新闻发布会 | 路演活动  | | | 现场参观 | 其他（电话会议） | | | 1、中泰证券：陈鼎如、马梦泽、张丽婷、李鑫、周兴贞、李佳 | | | | 宸 | | | | 2、国投瑞银：李轩 | | | | 3、银华基金：郭澄 | | | | 4、交银施罗德：魏玉敏、张三维 | | | | 5、上银基金：黄颢 | | | | 6、易方达：鲍昀骁 | | | | 7、平安养老：陈晓光、陈良源 | | | 参与单位名称及 | 8、华夏未来资本：丁鑫 | | | 人员姓名 | 9、海通资管：董山青 | | | | 10、复熙资产：乐涵聃 | | | | 11、远信投资：周阳 | | | | 12、中泰资本：于鑫淼 | | | | 13、上海证券：赵军伟 | | | | 14、西部利得：毛振强 | | | | 15、昱奕资产：林雪峰 | | | | 16、汇丰晋信：胡连明 | | | | 17、山西金控：习宇 | | | | 18、博普资产：章腾飞 ...

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The June CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, reversing from a previous decline of -0.1%, while the PPI fell by 3.6%, worse than the expected -3.2% [3][8][12] - Core CPI has remained above seasonal levels for three consecutive months, indicating a slight recovery in consumer prices [9][11] - The PPI is expected to have reached its bottom, with projections indicating a potential recovery in the latter half of 2025 [13] Group 2: Chemical Industry Insights - The BOPET film industry has faced profitability challenges since 2022, leading to a slowdown in planned capacity expansion, but industry self-discipline is expected to improve profitability [4][18] - From 2014 to 2024, domestic BOPET capacity grew from 2.47 million tons to 6.95 million tons, with a CAGR of 10.9%, but consumption growth has not kept pace, leading to an oversupply of low-end products [16][17] - Recommended stocks in the BOPET sector include Dongcai Technology, Hengli Petrochemical, and Rongsheng Petrochemical, with beneficiaries including Shuangxing New Materials and Yuxing Co [18] Group 3: Low Altitude Economy Insights - The establishment of a leadership group by the Civil Aviation Administration of China aims to enhance the organization and coordination of low-altitude economy initiatives [20][21] - Local governments are implementing policies to support low-altitude operations, including subsidies for operational enterprises [20][21] - Recommended stocks in the low-altitude economy sector include Wolong Electric Drive and Green Energy Huichong, with beneficiaries across manufacturing, infrastructure, and operations [20][22] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industry Insights - The solid-state battery sector is transitioning from experimental stages to mass production, with several companies making significant advancements in technology and production capabilities [25][27] - Recommended stocks in the solid-state battery sector include CATL, with beneficiaries across various components such as conductive agents and electrolyte membranes [25][27] - The solid-state battery index showed a decline of 0.8% recently, but the sector has seen a cumulative increase of 18.2% in 2025 [26][27]

西安低空经济的崛起，得益于其扎实的产业基础和创新能力。 目前，西安已形成了以西安高新区、西安航天基地、西安阎良航空基地等为核心的多个产业集聚区。其中，西安阎良航空基地是全国唯一、亚洲最大的航 空产业聚集区，从螺母到大飞机，航空产业链在这里"一条龙"搞定，为西安经济发展提供了强劲支撑。 西安入围前十 7月8日，每日经济新闻·每经智库、城市进化论联合火石创造发布《城市低空经济"链接力"指数（2025）》（以下简称《报告》），并发布低空经济"链接 力"指数50强及企业聚集度、资本活跃度、创新聚集度和环境友好度四大细分指数50强的评价结果。 评价结果显示，全国城市低空经济"链接力"指数十强城市分别为：北京、深圳、上海、广州、成都、南京、苏州、杭州、西安及沈阳，十城共同构成全国 低空经济头部阵营。 值得关注的是，西安也是西北地区唯一入选十强的城市。 继2024年发布首份全国城市低空经济报告后，最新出炉的《报告》对产业链图谱和评价体系进行了迭代优化，并据此对全国近300座城市的低空经济发展 水平进行了更为全面的综合评价。 评价结果显示，北京、深圳、上海三城持续"领飞"，不仅位次与上年保持一致，更呈现出"强者恒强"的发展态 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of weekly announcements from Sunday to Thursday, which include significant stock market updates such as suspensions, increases or decreases in holdings, investment wins, acquisitions, earnings reports, unlocks, and high transfers [1] - It emphasizes the identification of investment hotspots and the prevention of potential black swan events, providing investors with ample time to analyze and find suitable listed companies [1] Group 2 - A company is making progress in high-speed copper cable AEC-related products and has various offerings in the field of embodied intelligent robots [1] - Another company is collaborating with Zhejiang University to develop embodied intelligent handling robots and is actively researching solid-state battery technology [1] - A third company is expected to see its net profit double year-on-year in the first half of the year, focusing on innovative drugs, weight loss medications, smart healthcare, and virtual digital humans [1]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index (CN5082.CNI) **Model Construction Idea**: The index is designed to reflect the market performance of aerospace and aviation industry companies listed on the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Stock Exchanges [41][42] **Model Construction Process**: 1. **Sample Space**: Select A-shares and red-chip enterprises' depositary receipts that meet the following conditions: - Non-ST/*ST securities - Listed for over 1 year (for STAR Market and Beijing Stock Exchange securities) or over 6 months (for other securities) - No major violations or financial reporting issues in the past year - No abnormal price fluctuations during the observation period - Belong to the aerospace and aviation industry under Guozheng's tertiary industry classification [43] 2. **Candidate Pool**: - Calculate the average daily free-float market capitalization and average daily trading volume over the past six months for eligible securities - Exclude the bottom 10% of securities ranked by trading volume if the pool exceeds 10 securities [43] 3. **Sample Selection**: - If the candidate pool contains ≤30 securities, all are included - If the pool contains 30<N≤50 securities, select securities covering 85% of free-float market capitalization, rounded to the nearest multiple of 10 [43] - If the pool contains >50 securities, select securities covering 85% of free-float market capitalization, rounded to the nearest multiple of 10, capped at 50 securities [43] 4. **Weighting**: Free-float market capitalization weighting [43] 5. **Adjustment**: Regular adjustments occur semi-annually, with temporary adjustments for special cases like delisting or corporate actions [44] **Model Evaluation**: The index is highly focused on the aerospace and aviation sector, with a strong representation of small-cap stocks and high exposure to the defense industry [44][47] Model Backtesting Results - **Guozheng Aerospace and Aviation Industry Index**: - **Annualized Return**: 6.26% (past five years) [61][62] - **Sharpe Ratio**: 0.33 (past five years) [61][62] - **Maximum Drawdown**: -55.93% (past five years) [61][62] - **Annualized Volatility**: 34.13% (past five years) [61][62] - **Recent Performance**: 33.78% return in the past year, outperforming other broad-based indices and military-themed indices [64][66] - **Bull Market Elasticity**: Demonstrated strong performance during bull market periods, with gains of 40.56%, 50.90%, and 38.36% in specific intervals [65] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: "Military Exposure" **Factor Construction Idea**: Focus on stocks with high exposure to the defense industry, particularly aerospace and aviation [47][55] **Factor Construction Process**: - Select stocks with significant involvement in defense-related activities, such as aircraft manufacturing, satellite technology, and unmanned systems [47][55] - Weight stocks based on their free-float market capitalization [43][55] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor achieves high representation of military-related stocks, with 97% of the index's components belonging to the defense industry [47][55] - **Factor Name**: "Aerospace Exposure" **Factor Construction Idea**: Emphasize stocks within the aerospace and aviation sub-sector [47][60] **Factor Construction Process**: - Identify stocks classified under the aerospace and aviation sub-sector [47][60] - Weight stocks based on their free-float market capitalization [43][60] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor has a high concentration in aerospace stocks, with 51% of the index's weight allocated to this sub-sector [47][60] Factor Backtesting Results - **Military Exposure Factor**: - **Representation**: 97% of index components belong to the defense industry [47][55] - **Aerospace Exposure Factor**: - **Representation**: 51% of index weight allocated to aerospace stocks [47][60] - **Unmanned Systems Factor**: - **Representation**: Over 12% of index weight allocated to stocks involved in unmanned systems, such as drones [60]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen China’s economy grow steadily despite challenges, with emerging fields like digital economy, artificial intelligence, and low-altitude economy becoming core drivers of high-quality development [1] Digital Economy - The digital economy has achieved a dual leap in scale and quality during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with its size reaching 50.2 trillion yuan by 2024, accounting for 41.5% of GDP, an increase of approximately 20 trillion yuan and 6.5 percentage points from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The online retail scale is projected to reach 15.3 trillion yuan in 2024, growing by 11.8% year-on-year, with leading companies like Alibaba and JD.com innovating to evolve from simple transactions to a "consumption + service" ecosystem [2] - The integration of digital economy with the real economy is crucial, exemplified by SANY Heavy Industry's "lighthouse factory," which improved production efficiency by 30% and reduced unit costs by 20% through smart production decisions [4] Artificial Intelligence - Breakthroughs in AI, particularly large models, are a hallmark of technological innovation during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with significant advancements in natural language processing and knowledge question answering [6][8] - AI large models have shown strong capabilities in various sectors, enhancing medical diagnosis accuracy by 10%-20%, improving risk assessment in finance, and personalizing education [8] - The "three new" economy, driven by AI, has generated over 24 trillion yuan in added value by 2024, indicating a shift towards high-end, intelligent industrial structures [9] Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy has emerged as a new growth area, supported by favorable policies and technological innovations, with 380 general airports established by the end of 2024, an increase of 120 from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [10][12] - Innovations in drone technology have positioned China as a global leader, with applications in agriculture that enhance efficiency by over 30 times compared to manual methods [12] - The low-altitude economy's applications are expanding, with drone delivery improving logistics efficiency and low-altitude tourism projects boosting related industries [13] Conclusion - The "new quality productivity" demonstrated during the "14th Five-Year Plan" showcases the strong driving force of technological innovation and application scenarios, which are expected to release greater potential in the future [13]

Group 1 - The Chinese e-commerce logistics index reached a new high of 111.8 points in June, marking a 0.2 point increase from the previous month and continuing a four-month upward trend [5][16] - The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development warned that U.S. tariff measures are exacerbating global trade risks, with potential further unilateral actions from the U.S. likely to escalate trade tensions and disrupt global supply chains [7][21][22] Group 2 - The State Council Information Office held the first press conference on "high-quality completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan," highlighting historical achievements in economic and social development during this period [4][15] - The first Shanghai Cooperation Organization standardization cooperation mechanism was established to enhance regional trade facilitation, focusing on key areas such as artificial intelligence and low-altitude economy [18]

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue growth of 19.06% year-on-year in Q1 2025, but net profit decreased due to intense industry competition and rising raw material costs [1] - The company plans to actively explore markets to increase revenue and implement cost-reduction measures to enhance gross profit [1] Group 2: Production Capacity - The company currently operates 5 large die-casting machines, with a capacity utilization rate that is relatively high [1] - Plans to purchase an additional 1-2 large die-casting machines in the Guangzhou factory based on customer orders and R&D needs [1] Group 3: Customer Structure - The revenue growth in Q1 2025 was primarily driven by the increase in sales from domestic independent brand customers, reflecting the rising penetration rate of new energy vehicles [2] Group 4: Investment Directions - Future investments will focus on die-casting and interior/exterior trim sectors, including overseas capacity expansion and new technology development [3] - The company established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Zhengzhou and acquired assets from a related company to enhance market and capacity layout in Central China [3] Group 5: Magnesium Alloy Business - The company has existing technical reserves for magnesium alloy processes and is currently developing related business, benefiting from a decrease in raw material prices [4] Group 6: Low-altitude Economy - The company has secured project designations in the low-altitude economy sector, including projects with Xiaopeng Huitian and agricultural drone clients [5] Group 7: Overseas Business - Overseas business accounts for approximately 18% of total revenue, primarily from exports to North America [6] - The company is planning to establish overseas production facilities, focusing on die-casting and interior/exterior trim sectors in regions like Southeast Asia and North America [6] Group 8: Industry Changes - The die-casting industry in China is experiencing increased competition and is in a phase of consolidation, which may lead to higher market concentration and improved profitability in the future [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of the first low-altitude economy asset-backed securities (ABS) in China, with a total issuance scale of 584 million yuan, marks a significant financial innovation aimed at supporting the development of the low-altitude economy and aerospace industry in Guangzhou [1][3][5]. Group 1: Financial Innovation and Market Impact - The ABS, named "Jinyuan-Guojun-Science City Leasing Greater Bay Area Intelligent Manufacturing Integration (Phase II)," is the first of its kind in the low-altitude economy sector, with securities codes 146523, 146524, and 146525 [3][5]. - The underlying assets of the ABS primarily consist of helicopters and related leasing equipment, providing a strong foundation for regional low-altitude economic development [5][10]. - The issuance achieved a record low interest rate for the priority A1 tranche at 1.9%, with a total subscription multiple of 4.17, indicating strong investor confidence [10][12]. Group 2: Strategic Development and Future Prospects - The chairman of Science City (Guangzhou) Leasing emphasized the company's rapid growth in the general aviation sector, with a fleet exceeding 20 aircraft and a comprehensive service model covering various applications [7][8]. - The low-altitude economy is projected to exceed 580 billion yuan by March 2025 and potentially reach 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, highlighting the sector's growth potential [8][14]. - The establishment of the ABS is seen as a new paradigm for financing in the low-altitude industry, providing a replicable model for future financial innovations [14][15]. Group 3: Regional Development and Collaboration - Guangzhou Development Zone and Huangpu District are becoming key areas for low-altitude economic development, with a current industry scale of approximately 15 billion yuan and over 50 related enterprises [14][15]. - The local government has introduced supportive policies, such as the "Low Altitude 11 Articles," to enhance financial support and services for the low-altitude economy [14][15]. - Science City Leasing is actively fostering regional economic growth through an "investment-leasing-recruitment" service mechanism, successfully attracting general aviation companies to the Huangpu area [15].

Group 1: Asset Acquisition and Financial Performance - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of Guangzhou Metro Engineering Consulting Company for approximately CNY 5.11 billion to enhance its engineering consulting capabilities [1] - The first quarter performance showed fluctuations due to long project cycles in rail transit design, leading to a decline compared to previous years [2] - Asset impairment provisions increased in the first quarter, influenced by macroeconomic factors and slower payment progress [2] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for surveying and design business improved in 2024, attributed to project completion and effective cost control measures [2] - The company aims to strengthen production operations and control costs to achieve stable performance and return value to investors [2] Group 3: Business Expansion and Innovation - The company is exploring innovative integration of rail transit and low-altitude economy, successfully obtaining feasibility studies and contracts for related projects [3][4] - An overseas division has been established to expand into markets in Vietnam, Singapore, and other regions, with recent contracts signed for projects in Serbia and Hong Kong [4] Group 4: Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute at least 30% of its distributable profits as cash dividends annually from 2024 to 2026, considering operational conditions and future development plans [4]