证券研究报告 业绩符合预期，动储市场持续扩张 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 2025年03月16日 证券研究报告 |报告要点 公司发布 2024 年年度报告，2024 年实现营业收入 3620 亿元，同比减小 9.7%，主要系碳酸锂 等原材料价格下降带动公司产品价格下降；实现归母净利润 507 亿元，同比增长 15.0%；实现 扣非归母净利 450 亿元，同比增长 12.2%。 公司 2024Q4 实现营业收入 1030 亿元，同比-3%， 环比+12%，归母净利润为 147 亿元，同比+14%，环比+12%，符合预期，公司净利稳步增长。 |分析师及联系人 SAC：S0590524110005 非金融公司|公司点评|宁德时代（300750） 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 5 张磊 瞿学迁 非金融公司|公司点评 glzqdatemark2 2025年03月16日 宁德时代(300750) 业绩符合预期，动储市场持续扩张 | 行 业： | 电力设备/电池 | | --- | --- | | 投资评级： | 买入（维持） | | 当前价格： | 262.00 元 | | 基本数据 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leapmotor (09863.HK) [1] Core Insights - Leapmotor's Q4 2024 performance turned profitable with a net profit of 0.8 million yuan, a significant improvement from a net loss of 9.5 million yuan in Q4 2023 [7] - The company achieved a total revenue of 13.455 billion yuan in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 154.9% [7] - The strong sales performance in Q4, with 121,000 vehicles sold, represents a year-on-year growth of 118.4% [7] - The gross margin for Q4 was 13.3%, exceeding expectations due to scale effects and cost management [7] - Leapmotor's overseas expansion is progressing, with 13,726 vehicles exported and plans to establish over 550 overseas sales and service outlets by 2025 [7] - The launch of the B10 model received over 31,688 orders within 48 hours, indicating strong market demand [7] - The report projects a significant increase in net profit for 2025 and 2026, with estimates of 2.0 billion yuan and 25.4 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 16.747 billion yuan, with projections of 32.164 billion yuan for 2024, representing a growth rate of 92.06% [1] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be a loss of 2.821 billion yuan, but a profit of 204.24 million yuan is projected for 2025 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from a loss of 3.15 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 2.72 yuan by 2027 [1] - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 73.25%, indicating a relatively high level of debt [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leapmotor (09863.HK) [1] Core Insights - Leapmotor's Q4 2024 performance turned profitable with a net profit of 0.8 million yuan, a significant improvement from a loss of 9.5 billion yuan in Q4 2023 [7] - The company achieved a total revenue of 13.455 billion yuan in Q4 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 154.9% [7] - The sales volume in Q4 reached 121,000 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 118.4% [7] - The gross margin for Q4 was reported at 13.3%, exceeding expectations due to scale effects and cost management [7] - Leapmotor's B10 model received over 31,688 orders within 48 hours of its launch, indicating strong market demand [7] - The company plans to expand its overseas channels to over 550 by 2025, having already established 400 sales and service points [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 32.164 billion yuan in 2024 to 101.817 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49.03% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 204.24 million yuan, and further increasing to 3.630 billion yuan by 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -2.11 yuan in 2024 to 2.72 yuan in 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.43 CNY [2][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 59.47 billion CNY, 82.68 billion CNY, and 101.25 billion CNY for the years 2024 to 2026 respectively, with a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times [2] - The report highlights the sustained high growth in new energy vehicle sales and the deepening cooperation between the company and Huawei [1][7] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 121.25 billion CNY in 2022 to 213.01 billion CNY in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.5% [4] - Operating profit is expected to fluctuate, with a significant drop in 2024 to 6.25 billion CNY, followed by recovery in subsequent years [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline to 5.95 billion CNY in 2024, before rebounding to 10.13 billion CNY by 2026 [4] - The report indicates a decrease in gross margin from 20.5% in 2022 to a low of 16.1% in 2024, with a slight recovery thereafter [4] - The net profit margin is projected to decrease to 3.4% in 2024, with gradual improvement expected in the following years [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to drop to 8.1% in 2024, before rising to 11.5% by 2026 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.43 CNY [2][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 59.47 billion CNY, 82.68 billion CNY, and 101.25 billion CNY for the years 2024 to 2026 respectively, with a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times [2] - The report highlights the sustained high growth in new energy vehicle sales and the deepening collaboration between the company and Huawei [1][7] Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 121.25 billion CNY in 2022 to 213.01 billion CNY in 2026, with a CAGR of approximately 15.5% from 2024 to 2026 [4][10] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline from 11.33 billion CNY in 2023 to 5.95 billion CNY in 2024, before recovering to 8.27 billion CNY in 2025 and 10.13 billion CNY in 2026 [4][10] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to decrease to 0.60 CNY in 2024, then rise to 0.83 CNY in 2025 and 1.02 CNY in 2026 [4][10] - **Profitability Ratios**: The gross margin is projected to decline from 20.5% in 2022 to 16.1% in 2024, before slightly improving to 18.0% by 2026 [4][10] - **Valuation Ratios**: The company’s PE ratio is expected to be 21.9 in 2024, decreasing to 12.9 by 2026 [4][10]

今晚约了个高中同学局，肯定要喝酒的，我下午先写点。 倒是初中和小学同学......我了解到的情况是方差挺大的，从事的职业五花八门什么都有，所以人生路上 第一道分水岭我觉得可能是中考，毕竟一半的人会被淘汰上不了普高，分流后的人生大概就是天南地 北，各奔东西。 之前有读者问我和所有同学都有联系吗，分情况，小学同学就有1-2个在联系，初中同学稍微多点，3-4 个，高中同学联系的多，只要是在临海本地发展的7-8个男同学每年都会聚的，女同学联系的少，毕竟 婚后大都以家庭为重，不合适约出来喝酒 大学同学里当初一起打cs的五六个队友关系最好，每年都要聚的，包括我每晚夜报写完下钟了，就约他 们去5e打天梯，一般打到12点半才下线。其余同学没怎么联系了。 之前读者说同学里都是混的好的还会联系，混的不好的就逐渐失联了。这其实也是人之常情，毕业后在 社会浮浮沉沉尝尽世态炎凉，如果自己中年失意其实是不太想让老同学知道的。这种约个几次，都以没 时间或者生病推脱，渐渐的也就不约了。 我之前和你们说过，我大学的哥们要么富二代，要么自己奋斗事业有成，都过得挺好的。高中同学留在 本地的都在体制内发展，好差也是中产保底，彼此相处的时候没有隔阂。 ...