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上海银行间同业拆放利率(Shibor)
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中长期利率有望反弹
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-11-03 03:44
Group 1 - The domestic market interest rates showed a trend of short-term strength and long-term weakness last week, with short-term rates rising due to increased funding demand near the end of October, while overall financing demand growth declined, leading to a decrease in medium- and long-term rates [1] - As of October 31, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for overnight, 1-week, and 3-month periods were reported at 1.321%, 1.439%, and 1.596%, respectively, showing increases of 0.1, 2.5, and 0.2 basis points compared to October 24 [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased the amount of reverse repos to stabilize the peak funding demand at the end of the month, conducting a total of 20,680 billion yuan in reverse repos while 8,672 billion yuan matured, releasing 12,008 billion yuan in liquidity [1] Group 2 - For the upcoming week, domestic market interest rates are expected to show short-term weakness and long-term strength, as short-term funding demand is anticipated to decrease, leading to a potential drop in short-term rates [2] - The easing of China-U.S. trade tensions is expected to restore market confidence, and as the year-end approaches, medium- and long-term rates are likely to strengthen slightly [2]
货币市场日报:8月4日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 544.8 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 49 billion yuan into the market after accounting for 495.8 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1]. Interest Rates Summary - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) decreased by 0.10 basis points to 1.3140% [2][3]. - The 7-day Shibor fell by 1.00 basis points to 1.4360% [2][3]. - The 14-day Shibor decreased by 3.70 basis points to 1.5160% [2][3]. - Other Shibor rates remained stable or showed slight increases, with the 1-month rate at 1.5470% and the 3-month rate at 1.5590% [2]. Money Market Activity - In the interbank pledged repo market, short-term rates showed slight fluctuations, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates at 1.3146% and 1.3512%, respectively [5]. - The transaction volumes for DR001 and R001 decreased by 110.7 billion yuan and 83.8 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 were 1.4518% and 1.4755%, with transaction volumes increasing and decreasing by 62 billion yuan and 168 billion yuan, respectively [5]. Funding Conditions - The funding environment was reported as loose, with overnight lending rates fluctuating between 1.30% and 1.39% [10]. - A total of 96 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, amounting to 145.37 billion yuan, indicating a relatively active issuance environment [11]. - The overall trading sentiment for certificates of deposit improved compared to previous days, although the secondary market showed weaker trading sentiment [11].
近期利率全面上升
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-30 01:19
Core Viewpoint - The domestic funding market interest rates have risen across the board due to increased demand for funds and expectations of future funding needs driven by government infrastructure projects [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Movements - As of July 29, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for various terms has increased, with overnight, 1-week, 2-week, 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, 9-month, and 1-year rates reported at 1.366%, 1.545%, 1.631%, 1.55%, 1.56%, 1.613%, 1.632%, and 1.644% respectively, showing increases of 4.9, 8.3, 8, 2.1, 1.1, 2.2, 2, and 2.3 basis points compared to July 22 [1] Group 2: Central Bank Operations - The central bank has 16,563 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing this week and has conducted 9,450 billion yuan in reverse repo operations in the first two working days to inject liquidity into the market [1] - On July 25, the central bank had 2,000 billion yuan in Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) maturing and rolled over 4,000 billion yuan, injecting 2,000 billion yuan into the market [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The funding market interest rates are expected to exhibit a "short-term decline and long-term rise" trend, with short-term rates under pressure due to a decrease in demand at the beginning of the month [1] - The frequent introduction of proactive fiscal policies may lead to a continued slight increase in long-term rates [1]
货币市场日报:7月25日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 12:25
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 789.3 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation and a 400 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation on July 25, resulting in a net injection of 801.8 billion yuan into the market [1] - For the week, the PBOC executed a total of 1.6563 trillion yuan in reverse repurchase operations and 400 billion yuan in MLF operations, leading to a net injection of 129.5 billion yuan after accounting for maturing operations [1] - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) fell by over 11 basis points, while the 7-day and 14-day Shibor rates increased [1][2] Group 2 - The overnight Shibor rate decreased by 11.50 basis points to 1.5200%, while the 7-day Shibor rose by 7.50 basis points to 1.6200%, and the 14-day Shibor increased by 11.30 basis points to 1.7280% [2] - In the interbank pledged repo market, overnight rates decreased, and the 7-day and 14-day rates increased, with the R007 transaction share rising to 14.7% [6] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 fell by 13.4 basis points and 14.0 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 rates increased [6] Group 3 - The funding environment was reported to be loose on July 25, with overnight funding rates dropping to around 1.50% by the end of the day [11] - A total of 91 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on July 25, with an actual issuance amount of 74.54 billion yuan [11] - The secondary market for certificates of deposit showed a slight decline in overall yield levels compared to the previous day [12]
货币市场日报:7月24日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 13:40
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 3,310 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net withdrawal of 1,195 billion yuan due to 4,505 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1]. Group 1: Market Rates - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term products increased significantly, with the overnight Shibor rising by 26.80 basis points to 1.6350%, while the 7-day and 14-day Shibor rose by 8.20 basis points and 8.80 basis points, respectively, to 1.5450% and 1.6150% [1][2]. - In the interbank pledged repo market, rates for various products also increased, with the overnight and 7-day rates rising to 1.6515% and 1.5759%, respectively, while the transaction volumes for these products decreased [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - On July 24, the funding environment showed a trend of tightening followed by easing, with overnight funding rates initially high at 1.80%-1.85% before dropping to around 1.50% by the end of the day [9]. - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit saw 25 issues with a total issuance amount of 387.4 billion yuan by the end of the day [10]. Group 3: Monetary Policy - The PBOC announced plans to conduct a 4,000 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation on July 25, with a net injection of 1,000 billion yuan due to 3,000 billion yuan of MLF maturing, marking the fifth consecutive month of increased MLF operations [12]. - A joint opinion from the PBOC and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasized enhancing financial services for rural revitalization, focusing on food security and financial support for agricultural development [13].
货币市场日报:7月3日
Monetary Policy and Market Rates - The People's Bank of China conducted a 572 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,521 billion yuan due to 5,093 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments continued to decline, with the overnight Shibor falling by 5.00 basis points to 1.3150%, and the 7-day Shibor decreasing by 4.10 basis points to 1.4560% [1] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, various rates continued to trend downward, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreasing by 4.5 basis points and 4.8 basis points, respectively, to 1.315% and 1.3714%, while transaction volumes increased significantly [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 fell by 3.8 basis points and 5.2 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a decrease [4] Funding Conditions - Overall funding conditions were reported to be relaxed, with overnight rates trading in a range of 1.30% to 1.50% and 7-day rates around 1.50% [9] - As of 5:30 PM on July 3, 58 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with a total issuance amount of 240.1 billion yuan [9] Certificate of Deposit Market - In the primary market for certificates of deposit, yields showed slight declines across various maturities, with trading activity concentrated mainly in the 9-month and 1-year maturities [10] - The 1-year national bank stock ended at approximately 1.595, down about 0.5 basis points from the previous close, indicating a narrowing of yield spreads among different maturities [10] Banking Sector Developments - The Bank of Communications has closed nearly 30 credit card centers this year, with a focus on accelerating the transformation of credit card operations [12] - New policies supporting the conversion of commercial housing loans to housing provident fund loans have been introduced in multiple cities, aimed at reducing financial burdens for homebuyers [12] - China Merchants Bank received approval to establish a financial asset investment company with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, aimed at enhancing its comprehensive operational capabilities and supporting high-quality development [12][13]
货币市场日报:6月10日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 12:33
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 198.6 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate steady at 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 255.9 billion yuan due to 454.5 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments showed a slight decline, with overnight Shibor down by 1.60 basis points to 1.3620%, and 7-day Shibor down by 0.10 basis points to 1.4960% [1] - The overall rates in the interbank pledged repo market decreased slightly, with DR001 and R001 weighted average rates falling by 1.4 basis points and 0.8 basis points, respectively, while transaction volumes increased significantly [4] Group 2 - The funding market on June 10 exhibited a balanced state, with overnight pledged rates for certificates of deposit trading around 1.50% and 7-day terms around 1.52%, indicating stable funding prices throughout the day [8] - A total of 185 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on June 10, with an actual issuance volume of 365.1 billion yuan, reflecting active trading sentiment in the primary market [9] - The business revenue index released by the Hong Kong government showed a significant year-on-year increase of 32.5% in the financial sector (excluding banks) for the first quarter of 2025, indicating robust growth in this industry [11]
货币市场日报:5月19日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 12:57
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 135 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation at an interest rate of 1.40%, maintaining the previous rate, resulting in a net injection of 92 billion yuan after 43 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The overnight Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) fell by 11.7 basis points to 1.5370%, while the 7-day Shibor rose by 1.70 basis points to 1.5620% [1][2] - The 14-day Shibor increased by 5.30 basis points to 1.6540% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, the 14-day rate saw a slight increase, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreasing by 9.4 basis points and 7.0 basis points, respectively, while the rates for DR007 and R007 showed mixed movements [4] - The transaction volume for DR001 increased by 53.3 billion yuan, while R001's transaction volume decreased by 128.8 billion yuan [4] - The weighted average rates for DR014 and R014 rose by 2.3 basis points and 8.0 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a decrease for DR014 and an increase for R014 [4] Group 3 - As of May 19, 46 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with an actual issuance amount of 41.24 billion yuan [8] - The primary market for certificates of deposit remained balanced, with trading volumes concentrated in the 3-month and 6-month maturities [9] - The yield on 1-month and 9-month certificates remained stable, while the 3-month and 6-month yields showed slight declines [9] Group 4 - In April 2025, banks settled 1.5408 trillion yuan and sold 1.5715 trillion yuan in foreign exchange, with cumulative figures from January to April showing settlements of 5.3373 trillion yuan and sales of 5.7815 trillion yuan [11] - The Ministry of Finance and the Financial Regulatory Bureau issued a notice to accelerate the digital development of bank confirmations, emphasizing the need for improved platform construction and operational security [11]