Workflow
个人消费支出价格指数(PCE)
icon
Search documents
美国6月PPI意外降温!更大危机正在逼近?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-16 14:47
Group 1 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat in June, with a revised increase of 0.3% in May, indicating the mildest annual increase since September last year at 2.3% year-on-year [1] - Core PPI, excluding food, energy, and trade services, also remained flat, with a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, marking the smallest increase since the end of 2023 [1] - Service costs played a crucial role in suppressing inflation, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.1%, largely driven by a 4.1% drop in travel accommodation prices and a 2.7% decline in air passenger service prices, the largest drop since May of last year [1] Group 2 - The report is significant for the Federal Reserve as some components of the PPI are directly used to calculate the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which is a key inflation indicator for the Fed [2] - Current market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in the July meeting to observe the actual impact of trade policies [2] - There are signs of tariff-related inflation in the PPI, with durable goods costs rising significantly for two consecutive months, marking the largest cumulative increase in three years [2]
美国6月PPI环比持平 旅游服务成本骤降抵消商品涨价
智通财经网· 2025-07-16 13:20
Core Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in the U.S. showed no change month-over-month in June, with a year-over-year increase of 2.3%, the smallest since September of the previous year [1][2] - Core PPI, excluding food and energy, remained flat month-over-month and increased by 2.6% year-over-year, marking the lowest annual growth rate since the end of 2023 [1][2] Inflation Trends - The decline in travel-related service costs offset the rise in goods prices, indicating a mixed inflationary environment [1] - Economists expect inflation to gradually rise as more companies attempt to pass on increased trade costs to consumers, despite current moderate inflation levels [2] Price Movements - Core commodity prices, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3%, while energy costs rose significantly, particularly natural gas prices for electricity generation, which saw the largest increase in three years [3] - Service costs decreased by 0.1%, primarily due to a 4.1% drop in travel accommodation prices and a 2.7% decline in airline passenger service prices, the largest drop since May 2024 [3] Future Indicators - The PCE report, which is closely monitored as it includes components used to calculate the inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to be released later this month [4]
美国住房价格增速放缓 生产者价格报告将提供更多参考
news flash· 2025-07-15 12:59
Core Insights - The growth rate of housing prices in the U.S. is slowing down, primarily due to a decline in hotel prices [1] - Housing prices are a significant factor in assessing overall inflation, but the Federal Reserve uses a different index, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), which has a lower weight for housing compared to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [1] - The upcoming Producer Price Report is expected to provide additional reference information for categories directly included in the PCE, with the PCE report to be released later this month [1]
美国5月个人消费支出价格指数环比上升0.1%
news flash· 2025-06-27 13:03
Core Insights - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index in the U.S. increased by 0.1% month-over-month in May, indicating a slight rise in inflation [1] - The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 0.2% month-over-month, suggesting underlying inflation pressures [1] - The PCE price index is a key inflation measure closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for monetary policy decisions, highlighting its significance in the economic landscape [1]
美债收益率涨跌不一黄金期货温和上涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-31 03:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the mild increase in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which rose by only 0.1% for the month, resulting in an annual inflation rate of 2.1%, aligning with Dow Jones' previous forecast but 0.1 percentage points lower than the estimated annual inflation rate [3] - The core PCE price index, excluding food and energy, showed stable monthly and annual growth rates of 0.1% and 2.5% respectively, slightly below market expectations of 0.1% and 2.6%, indicating a further easing of inflationary pressures [3] - Economists express concerns about potential inflation risks triggered by tariffs, despite historical evidence suggesting limited direct impact of tariffs on inflation [3] Group 2 - The bond market reflects complex sentiments regarding long-term economic prospects, with the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield adjusting by 0.2 basis points to 3.937%, the 10-year yield nearly unchanged at 4.416%, and the 30-year yield rising by 0.6 basis points to 4.929% [3] - The gold futures market is currently showing a bullish trend, with prices trading around 771.80 yuan per gram, up by 0.98%, and reaching a high of 776.16 yuan per gram [1]