北上广深的"失色"与新兴城市的"崛起"：一场悄然进行的人口迁徙浪潮 这并非仅仅是我表弟一人的个人选择，它更深刻地折射出当下中国城市发展的新趋势。长期以来，北 京、上海、广州、深圳这四座中国的一线城市，宛如磁石般吸引着无数年轻人的目光，渴望在这里挥洒 汗水，成就梦想。然而，近几年，这种一往无前的集聚态势正悄然发生着微妙的改变。根据国家统计局 于2025年7月发布的《中国城市人口流动报告》数据显示，2025年上半年，这四大一线城市的人口净增 长合计仅为56.3万人，与2020年同期相比，锐减了近四成。 这一数据无疑令人惊诧，却也在情理之中。我们不禁要深思：那些曾经熠熠生辉、光芒万丈的北上广 深，为何渐渐失去了往日的魅力？又有哪些城市正乘势崛起，成为新的吸纳人口的沃土？在这场人口迁 徙的背后，又隐藏着哪些更深层次的社会经济动因？ 一线城市吸引力减弱的"三宗罪" 从细致的人口流动数据中，我们可以窥见北上广深吸引力下降的根源，主要可以归结为以下三点： 过高的生活成本，压垮年轻人的梦想： 《中国城市居住成本指数》（贝壳研究院，2025年6月）的报告 显示，北京、上海、深圳的房价收入比分别高达23.5、21.8和20.6， ...

Core Insights - The population dynamics in China are shifting, with a notable trend of university graduates returning to their hometowns instead of migrating to major cities for employment [1][3][4] - In 2024, eight provinces experienced positive population growth, a decrease from eleven in 2023, while twenty provinces saw a total population decline of 3.04 million [1][5] - The attractiveness of provincial capitals is increasing, with 23 out of 25 reporting population growth in 2024 [11][12] Group 1: Population Trends - In 2024, over 80,000 net population inflow is expected in Chongqing, despite a slight overall population decline [1][9] - From 2020 to 2024, Zhejiang and Guangdong led in population growth, with increases of over 2 million and 1.56 million respectively [4][5] - The number of provinces with positive population growth has decreased from 15 in 2021 to only 8 in 2024 [5][6] Group 2: Employment Preferences - Many university graduates prefer to work in their hometowns due to perceived advantages over larger cities [3][4] - The report indicates that the talent attraction in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions remains strong, with significant numbers of graduates choosing these areas [4][5] - The employment landscape is changing, with a growing number of graduates considering second and third-tier cities due to lower living costs and better quality of life [17][18] Group 3: Migrant Worker Dynamics - The total number of migrant workers in China reached approximately 29.97 million in 2024, with a 0.7% increase from the previous year [7][8] - A significant shift is observed in the movement of migrant workers, with a higher proportion opting for intra-provincial migration rather than inter-provincial [8][9] - Policies aimed at improving local employment opportunities are encouraging migrant workers to return to their hometowns [9][10] Group 4: Urban Preferences - Provincial capitals are becoming more appealing due to better infrastructure and job opportunities compared to first-tier cities [11][12] - In 2024, major cities like Beijing and Shanghai experienced population declines, while Guangzhou and Shenzhen saw increases [14][18] - The trend indicates a more balanced distribution of talent across cities, with many graduates considering the trade-offs between high salaries in major cities and the cost of living [17][18]