投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 股指期权数据日报 声明 本报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料,国贸期货力求准确可靠，但不对上述信息的准确性及完整性做任何保证。本报告不构 成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符 合其特定状况,据此投资,责任自负。本报告未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以及向第三方传播的行为均构成对国贸期 货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法律责任。期市有风险,入市需谨慎。 II C 国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 国贸期货有限公司 成为一 -流的衍生品综合服务商 投资咨询号: Z0000116 国贸期货研究院 2025/12/29 金融衍生品中心 李泽钜 从业资格号:F0251925 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 行情回顾 指数 收盘价 涨跌幅(%) 成交额(亿元) 成交量(亿) 上证50 1009. 17 3045. 4036 34. 10 0. 41 0. 32 沪深300 4657. 24 4604. 27 175. 40 0. 35 266. 26 中证1000 7605. 5299 4736. ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 股指期权数据日报 国贸期货有限公司 成为一 -流的衍生品综合服务商 行情概况 12月26日，大盘全天放量震荡，沪指盘中两次跳水均被拉回并最终录得8连阳。盘面上，午后商业航天概念再获资金回流，其余 方向则陷入明显的多空分歧震荡，尾盘福建海西再度脉冲。全天短线情绪与涨跌比出现背离，近3400股下跌但近百股涨停。板块方 面,电解液、锂矿、工业金属概念大幅领涨,光刻机、光芯片、OCS概念跌幅居前。 免责 声明 本报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料,国贸期货力求准确可靠，但不对上述信息的准确性及完整性做任何保证。本报告不构 成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要,投资者需自行判断本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符 合其特定状况,据此投资,责任自负。本报告未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以及向第三方传播的行为均构成对国贸期 货的侵权,我司将视情况追究法律责任。期市有风险,入市需谨慎。 II C 国贸期货 世界500强投资企业 投资咨询号: Z0000116 国贸期货研究院 2025/12/29 金融衍生品中心 李泽钜 从业资格号:F0251925 数 ...

对于大盘方面，有参赛高手认为，周一A股回调主要是因外围市场杀跌影响，目前上证指数跌至90日均 线，重点关注能否企稳。 对于板块机会方面，一些参赛高手看好人形机器人、黄金板块的机会。 消息面上，12月12日，美国总统特朗普表示，美国联邦储备委员会前理事凯文·沃什是下一任美联储主 席职位的头号候选人。他说，希望联邦基金利率一年后被降至"1%甚至更低"，以帮助美国财政部降低 美国国债的高额融资成本。他还说，下任美联储主席应该在制定利率政策时咨询他的意见，但不必完全 按照他的意见行事。 参赛福利来了！成功报名掘金大赛，就能获得每日经济新闻App私人订制的"火线快评"6个交易日的免 费阅读权限。此外，每期比赛结束（指周赛）收益率前10名选手将获赠"火线快评"10个交易日使用权 限，两个参赛福利可叠加。"火线快评"是达哥携团队研发的跟市场紧密贴合的产品之一，它包含最新的 热点事件、行业的投资逻辑和相关的公司分析。 在每日经济新闻App私人订制的火线快评中，今年4月以来，提到的英伟达产业链、电子布、稀土、钨 矿、白银等板块，其中工业富联、宏和科技、兴业银锡等走出了涨两倍的行情，中钨高新、盛和资源、 北方稀土等多家公司走出了 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise in the three major indices, indicating positive market sentiment and investor confidence [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.67% - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.49% - The ChiNext Index saw a significant gain of 2.45% [1] Sector Performance - Leading sectors with notable gains included CPO, optical chips, insurance, optical communication, and memory concepts - Conversely, sectors that faced declines included gold jewelry and precious metals [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market showed strong performance in the lithium and rare earth sectors, with significant gains in related stocks and ETFs, indicating a bullish trend in the non-ferrous metals industry [2][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 29, 2025, the market experienced a red plate fluctuation, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the gains, particularly in lithium and rare earth concepts [2]. - The non-ferrous metals ETF (516650) rose by 3.19%, with a weekly cumulative increase of 7.88% and an average daily trading volume exceeding 40 million yuan [2]. - The China Rare Earth stock hit the daily limit, achieving two consecutive boards, while other stocks like Shenghe Resources and Tin Industry shares also saw significant increases of 9.24% and 7.21%, respectively [2]. Group 2: Index and Weighting - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) accounted for 50.84% of the index, including Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, and Luoyang Molybdenum [2]. - The top ten stocks by weight are as follows: Zijin Mining (15.80%), Northern Rare Earth (4.98%), Luoyang Molybdenum (4.68%), Shandong Gold (4.56%), China Aluminum (4.41%), Huayou Cobalt (3.98%), Zhongjin Gold (3.36%), Chifeng Jilong Gold (3.27%), Ganfeng Lithium (3.01%), and Yun Aluminum (2.63%) [4].

Market Performance - A-shares experienced a significant rally on August 13, with all three major indices rising, and the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through the previous high of 3674.40 points, reaching 3683.46 points, marking a 0.48% increase [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11551.37 points, up 1.76%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.62% to 2496.50 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan, reaching 21756 billion yuan, an increase of 270 billion yuan from the previous day [1] Individual Stock Performance - Over 2700 stocks in the market rose, with 124 stocks hitting the daily limit or increasing by over 10%, while only one stock fell by the limit or dropped by over 10% [2] - Notable sectors included the CPO concept, with Guangku Technology hitting the limit at 20% and New Yi Sheng rising over 15%, as well as the industrial gas sector, where Guanggang Gas and Kaimete Gas both hit the limit [2] - The brokerage sector also performed well, with Guosheng Financial Holdings and Great Wall Securities reaching the daily limit [2] Financing and Market Sentiment - The A-share market saw a milestone on August 11, with the financing balance surpassing 2 trillion yuan for the first time since July 2015, indicating a strong market sentiment [2] - As of August 12, the financing balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 20345.33 billion yuan, an increase of 833.5 million yuan from the previous trading day, with the margin financing balance at 20203.65 billion yuan, up 816.5 million yuan [2] - Key sectors attracting leveraged funds included electronics, computers, AI industry chain, pharmaceuticals, electric equipment, machinery, small metals, and automobiles [2] Market Outlook - The recent market rally is attributed to a combination of improved fundamentals and a loose monetary environment, suggesting that the A-share market may continue to experience upward momentum [1][2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - On August 12, the current-month contracts of the four major index futures all rose. The overall trading volume of index futures declined, indicating a decrease in investors' trading enthusiasm. The overall open interest of all four major index futures decreased [1][2]. - The trend strength of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The market is in a situation of global resonance, oscillating with a slight upward bias [6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Index Futures Data Tracking - **IF Series**: The closing price of the underlying CSI 300 was 4143.83, up 0.52%. Among the futures contracts, IF2508 closed at 4144.4, up 0.52%, with a basis of 0.57; IF2509 closed at 4131.2, up 0.51%, with a basis of -12.63; IF2512 closed at 4102, up 0.51%, with a basis of -41.83; IF2603 closed at 4069.6, up 0.51%, with a basis of -74.23. The total trading volume decreased by 1165 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 8595 lots [1][2]. - **IH Series**: The closing price of the underlying SSE 50 was 2807.01, up 0.61%. Among the futures contracts, IH2508 closed at 2809.8, up 0.62%, with a basis of 2.79; IH2509 closed at 2809.6, up 0.61%, with a basis of 2.59; IH2512 closed at 2811.4, up 0.64%, with a basis of 4.39; IH2603 closed at 2811, up 0.64%, with a basis of 3.99. The total trading volume increased by 8277 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 1720 lots [1][2]. - **IC Series**: The closing price of the underlying CSI 500 was 6418.16, up 0.41%. Among the futures contracts, IC2508 closed at 6409.2, up 0.52%, with a basis of -8.96; IC2509 closed at 6342.6, up 0.52%, with a basis of -75.56; IC2512 closed at 6190, up 0.58%, with a basis of -228.16; IC2603 closed at 6051.6, up 0.54%, with a basis of -366.56. The total trading volume decreased by 14462 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 9999 lots [1][2]. - **IM Series**: The closing price of the underlying CSI 1000 was 6963.61, up 0.28%. Among the futures contracts, IM2508 closed at 6954.2, up 0.31%, with a basis of -9.41; IM2509 closed at 6883.6, up 0.31%, with a basis of -80.01; IM2512 closed at 6694.2, up 0.30%, with a basis of -269.41; IM2603 closed at 6512, up 0.30%, with a basis of -451.61. The total trading volume decreased by 38939 lots, and the total open interest decreased by 20490 lots [1][2]. 2. Top 20 Member Open Interest Changes - **IF Contracts**: For IF2508, long positions decreased by 5297 lots, with a net change of -8242 lots; short positions decreased by 5061 lots, with a net change of -7997 lots. For IF2509, long positions decreased by 2979 lots, and short positions decreased by 2507 lots. For IF2512, long positions increased by 344 lots, and short positions decreased by 254 lots. For IF2603, long positions decreased by 310 lots, and short positions decreased by 175 lots [5]. - **IH Contracts**: For IH2508, long positions decreased by 1110 lots, with a net change of -1400 lots; short positions decreased by 1003 lots, with a net change of -1056 lots. For IH2509, long positions increased by 76 lots, and short positions increased by 416 lots. For IH2512, long positions decreased by 366 lots, and short positions decreased by 469 lots. The data for IH2603 was not announced [5]. - **IC Contracts**: For IC2508, long positions decreased by 4194 lots, with a net change of -9005 lots; short positions decreased by 4730 lots, with a net change of -8928 lots. For IC2509, long positions decreased by 2972 lots, and short positions decreased by 2715 lots. For IC2512, long positions decreased by 1306 lots, and short positions decreased by 1069 lots. For IC2603, long positions decreased by 533 lots, and short positions decreased by 414 lots [5]. - **IM Contracts**: For IM2508, long positions decreased by 8911 lots, with a net change of -16351 lots; short positions decreased by 9453 lots, with a net change of -17297 lots. For IM2509, long positions decreased by 5810 lots, and short positions decreased by 6384 lots. For IM2512, long positions decreased by 1630 lots, and short positions decreased by 1460 lots. The data for IM2603 was not announced [5]. 3. Important Drivers - **Policy News**: China and the US issued the Joint Statement of the China-US Stockholm Economic and Trade Talks. Both sides will continue to suspend the implementation of 24% reciprocal tariffs for 90 days. The three departments jointly issued the Implementation Plan for the Fiscal Interest Subsidy Policy for Personal Consumption Loans, and eligible personal consumption loans can enjoy the interest subsidy policy [6]. - **Global Market Conditions**: Inflation data strengthened the expectation of interest rate cuts. The Nasdaq and S&P reached new highs, Ethereum rose 9%, and the Russell small-cap index soared 3%. The 2-year US Treasury yield fell nearly 3 basis points, the US dollar fell 0.47%, gold fluctuated widely around $3350, and crude oil closed lower [6]. - **A-share Market**: The A-share market continued its slow-bull pattern. The STAR 50 led the rise, and the ChiNext Index broke through its previous high. More than 3100 stocks closed lower, and market divergence intensified before reaching new highs [6].

Market Overview - A-shares collectively rose in early trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking above the high since October 8 of last year, reaching the highest point in three years [1] - The Hang Seng Index opened over 1% higher, with major tech stocks experiencing significant gains, including Tencent Music which surged over 13% [1][2] A-shares Performance - As of the report, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37% to 3679.62, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.55% to 11413.73, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.05% to 2434.77 [1][9] - The performance of various indices includes: - CSI 300 Index: up 0.42% to 4161.17 [1] - STAR Market 50 Index: up 0.43% to 2819.02 [1] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.04% to 25230.17, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.21% to 5504.87 [2][3] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index also saw a rise of 0.90% to 8997.18 [3] Bond Market - In the bond market, government bond futures declined, with the 30-year main contract down by 0.02% and the 10-year main contract also down by 0.02% [2][4] Commodity Market - The domestic commodity futures market showed mixed results, with soybean meal rising over 3% while lithium carbonate fell over 2% [4][5] - Key commodity performances include: - Soybean meal: up 3.09% to 3169 [5] - Carbonate lithium: down 2.36% to 83600 [5] Sector Highlights - The aerospace and military sector saw significant gains, with companies like Changcheng Aerospace and Beifang Changlong leading the rise [6][7] - The communication equipment sector also performed well, with Guangku Technology hitting the daily limit up of 20% [8]

Group 1 - CPO concept stocks remain active, with storage and optical chip concepts leading in gains, and the AI ETF (588930) seeing a 0.41% increase and over 27 million yuan in trading volume [1] - The AI ETF has experienced a net inflow of over 17 million yuan in the previous day, marking three consecutive trading days of inflows, totaling over 35 million yuan [1] - The AI ETF closely tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange's AI Index, which selects 30 large-cap companies involved in providing foundational resources, technology, and application support for AI [1] Group 2 - Shanghai's Economic and Information Technology Commission announced measures to expand AI applications, including issuing 600 million yuan in computing power vouchers and 300 million yuan in model vouchers to support AI model applications [2] - First Shanghai Securities expresses strong optimism regarding the sustained high growth in AI-driven computing power demand, indicating a turning point for AI applications domestically and internationally [2] - Guojin Securities notes that AI PCB companies are experiencing strong orders and are ramping up production, with expectations for continued high growth in performance in the second half of the year [2]