Core Viewpoint - The company showed improved quarterly performance in Q2 2025, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 5.77% and a significant increase in net profit due to lower raw milk prices and a favorable comparison base from the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 61.933 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.37%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.200 billion yuan, a decline of 4.39% [1]. - The company's Q2 revenue reached 28.915 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.77% [1]. - Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 44.65% to 2.326 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Product Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues from liquid milk, milk powder and dairy products, and cold drinks of 36.126 billion yuan, 16.578 billion yuan, and 8.229 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -2.06%, +14.26%, and +12.39% [1]. - In Q2 2025, liquid milk revenue decreased by 0.84% to 16.486 billion yuan, but the decline was less severe compared to the previous quarter [1]. - The milk powder and dairy products segment grew by 9.66% to 7.765 billion yuan, driven by favorable demographic factors [1]. Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The company achieved a gross margin of 34.19% in Q2 2025, an increase of 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The sales expense ratio and management expense ratio for Q2 were 19.87% and 3.77%, showing a year-on-year change of -0.69 percentage points and +0.51 percentage points, respectively [2]. - The net profit margin increased by 2.00 percentage points to 7.94% in Q2 2025 [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with expected earnings per share of 1.75 yuan and 1.87 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 16 times and 15 times [2]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the dairy industry, with resilient operations and anticipated marginal improvements in dairy demand due to favorable birth policies [2].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Daodaquan has decreased by 0.61% to 11.38 yuan as of August 4, 2025, with significant trading volume and a notable increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [1] Company Performance - Daodaquan reported a revenue of 2.792 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.16% [1] - The net profit for the same period reached 181 million yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 563.15% [1] - The decline in raw material costs has contributed to the recovery of profitability, and the effectiveness of channel expansion has been significant [1] Shareholder and Market Activity - As of July 31, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 7.72%, indicating an increase in share concentration [1] - On August 4, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 12.508 million yuan, accounting for 0.39% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net inflow of main funds was 41.6043 million yuan, representing 1.28% of the circulating market value [1]

Investment Thesis - The company is expected to benefit from a decline in raw material costs, leading to a significant recovery in profitability, with packaging oil gross margin increasing by 2.28 percentage points to 13.51% and meal gross margin increasing by 3.20 percentage points to 4.65% in 2024 [1][2] - The company plans to expand its distribution channels, with a net increase of 103 distributors to a total of 1,305 in 2024, and online direct sales revenue is projected to grow by 30.22% [1][2] - The company is investing 1 billion yuan to establish a 1 million tons/year edible oil processing project in Weinan, Shaanxi, to capture the consumption upgrade opportunities in the northwest market [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's revenue decreased by 15.12% year-on-year, despite a 3.30% increase in the sales volume of its food processing business, indicating that the revenue decline was primarily due to lower product prices following raw material cost reductions [2] - The company is expected to maintain a favorable gross margin level due to a continued easing of raw material supply and demand in 2025 [2] Product and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on product marketing and market development, optimizing its sales organization, and establishing special teams for recruitment, while also introducing new products such as sesame oil and promoting high-value products like high oleic canola oil and tea oil [2] - The company has five production bases with reasonable capacity utilization, and ongoing projects in Maoming and Changsha are still under construction [2] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.65 yuan, 0.83 yuan, and 1.02 yuan respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 15, 12, and 9 times [3] - The company is given a target price of 16.25 yuan based on a 25 times PE for 2025, with a "buy" rating assigned [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][11][13] Core Views - The company is expected to release reform momentum in 2024, with a projected revenue growth of 9.53% year-on-year, reaching 26.901 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 12.75%, totaling 6.344 billion yuan [1][8] - The recovery in the soy sauce category and strong online channel growth are key drivers, with soy sauce, oyster sauce, and other products showing revenue growth rates of 8.9%, 8.6%, and 16.8% respectively [2][8] - The company is actively returning value to shareholders with a projected dividend of 4.77 billion yuan for 2024, increasing the dividend payout ratio to 75% [3][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 26.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.53%, and a net profit of 6.344 billion yuan, up 12.75% [1][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 6.502 billion yuan, growing 10.03% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.82% increase [1][8] Product Performance - Revenue from soy sauce, oyster sauce, seasoning sauce, and other products reached 13.76 billion, 4.62 billion, 2.67 billion, and 4.09 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 8.9%, 8.6%, 9.9%, and 16.8% [2][8] - Online sales grew significantly by 39.8%, attributed to improved e-commerce operations, while offline sales increased by 8.9% [2][8] Profitability - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 37.0%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points, driven by declining raw material costs [2][9] - The net profit margin improved to 23.6%, up 0.7 percentage points, indicating enhanced profitability [9] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 4.77 billion yuan for 2024, raising the payout ratio to 75% from approximately 65% in 2023 [3][9] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 29.68 billion, 32.44 billion, and 35.15 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 10.3%, 9.3%, and 8.4% respectively [4][11] - Projected net profits for the same period are 7.02 billion, 7.65 billion, and 8.32 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10.6%, 9.1%, and 8.7% [4][11]