地缘政治格局

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黄金飙涨至3468美元!避险情绪爆表,危机多可怕?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 04:52
Group 1: Conflict and Market Impact - The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated, with Israel conducting airstrikes targeting Iranian military leadership and nuclear facilities, leading to a significant drop in the Iranian stock market [1] - The conflict has resulted in continued bombings, with key Iranian energy infrastructure, such as refineries and gas fields, becoming primary targets, which has further heightened tensions [1] - The U.S. stock market futures experienced a decline due to the escalating conflict, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropping by 31 points, a decrease of 0.1% [3] Group 2: Energy Market Reaction - Israeli attacks on Iranian energy facilities have directly contributed to a rise in oil prices, with U.S. oil prices increasing by 2% to $74.50 per barrel and Brent crude oil prices also rising by 2% to $75.77 per barrel [5] - Oil prices surged by 7% at the onset of the conflict, and Iranian lawmakers are considering closing the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy trade, through which approximately 21% of the world's oil is transported [5] - Deutsche Bank's foreign exchange research head predicts that if Iranian oil supply is completely disrupted and the Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil prices could potentially exceed $120 per barrel [5] Group 3: Federal Reserve Meeting - The Federal Reserve is set to hold a meeting to discuss inflation, tariffs, and geopolitical instability, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged [7] - The meeting will also include new forecasts for future interest rates and economic indicators, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to hold a press conference [7] - The anticipation of no rate cuts later this year has put upward pressure on the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield [7]
南非国际问题研究所首席执行官:中国是多边体系重要支柱
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-01 02:02
Group 1 - The relationship between South Africa and China is strong, with both countries sharing many common views on global governance, and China is seen as a crucial pillar in maintaining the multilateral system [1][2] - South Africa and China are deepening their cooperation within the BRICS framework and maintaining coordination on multilateral platforms [1] - South Africa emphasizes the need for reforming existing global governance systems rather than abolishing them, with a strong commitment to the United Nations as a key platform [1] Group 2 - South Africa is focusing on global issues such as climate change, equitable development, and financing accessibility, which are essential for achieving global stability [2] - The rise of global trade protectionism presents new opportunities for South Africa-China economic cooperation, with South Africa aiming to diversify its trade and increase exports to China [2] - South Africa seeks to enhance the value-added of its export products and reduce reliance on primary product exports, aligning with its industrialization strategy and aiming to rebuild manufacturing capacity [2]