Core Viewpoint - The international gold price experienced significant volatility, briefly surpassing the $4000 per ounce mark before retreating, indicating a potential upcoming market shift [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The gold market is influenced by two opposing forces: rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical tensions, which enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Market expectations for a December rate cut have surged to 69%, which would lower the opportunity cost of holding gold and weaken the dollar, thereby increasing gold prices [3]. - Recent U.S. economic data has shown surprising resilience, leading to a "higher for longer" interest rate policy from the Federal Reserve, which keeps real interest rates elevated and constrains gold prices [3]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Demand - Global demand for physical gold reached a record high of 1313 tons in Q3 2025, driven by institutional investors hedging risks and individuals reallocating assets amid inflation concerns [5]. - Central banks continued to purchase gold, with net purchases reaching 634 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, and China's central bank increasing its reserves to a historical high of 2304 tons [5]. - Recent outflows from gold ETFs, totaling $7.5 billion, indicate a shift in institutional strategies, with some investors taking profits while others position for long-term gains [5]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The $4000 mark serves as a critical psychological and technical resistance level, with significant selling pressure observed at this point [7]. - A breakthrough above the $4020-$4030 range could open up further upside potential towards $4100, while failure to maintain above $3950 may lead to a decline towards $3920 [7]. - Current price movements suggest a "triangle consolidation" pattern, indicating a potential for a significant directional breakout [7]. Group 4: Upcoming Indicators - The Federal Reserve's policy direction will be closely monitored, as any hints regarding interest rate adjustments could lead to substantial gold price fluctuations [9]. - U.S. inflation data will be pivotal for the Fed's decisions; a significant drop in inflation could reinforce rate cut expectations, while persistent inflation may reverse market sentiment [9]. - Geopolitical and fiscal risks, including the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and trade tensions, could further impact market dynamics and gold prices [10]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to avoid emotional trading and excessive leverage, opting for a phased investment approach to manage costs effectively [12]. - Maintaining a diversified investment strategy is crucial, with gold representing a reasonable portion of an overall asset allocation [12]. - Recent inflows into Chinese gold ETFs suggest a strategic positioning by investors, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards gold [12].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown strong bullish momentum, closing up for the seventh consecutive week, with expectations of reaching the target range of $3975-$4000 due to sustained buying interest [1][4]. Price Movement - Gold prices opened the week at $3758.15 per ounce, hitting a low of $3756.83 before rebounding strongly, reaching a weekly high of $3896.74, and closing at $3884.53, resulting in a weekly increase of $126.38 or 3.36% [1][3]. Market Influences - The decline in the US dollar index, driven by risks of a government shutdown and expectations of interest rate cuts in October, has contributed to the rebound in gold prices. Despite some downward pressure from profit-taking and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, strong buying interest has supported gold's upward movement [3][6]. Economic Indicators - The upcoming US global supply chain pressure index is expected to be favorable for gold prices. The anticipated impact of the government shutdown on GDP and high probabilities of interest rate cuts in October reinforce a bullish outlook for gold [4][6]. Bullish Sentiment - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 48%, with no signs of slowing down. Factors such as expectations of monetary policy easing, geopolitical risks, and strong inflows into gold ETFs continue to support a bullish market for gold [6][8]. Technical Analysis - The gold price has consistently tested and rebounded from the middle Bollinger Band support, indicating a strong upward trend. The market is expected to continue targeting higher levels, with potential resistance at $3970 or above [8][10]. Trading Strategy - The trading strategy remains bullish, with key support levels identified at $3896 and $3875, and resistance levels at $3930 and $3980. The focus is on entering long positions upon any pullbacks to support levels [10].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, reaching $3750, driven by expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to geopolitical risks [1] - It highlights the importance of monitoring key events such as speeches by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and PCE data, which are expected to influence short-term gold price movements [5] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive, supported by the onset of a global rate-cutting cycle and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, suggesting a solid foundation for a bull market in gold [5] Group 2 - The company, Lingfeng Precious Metals, emphasizes its commitment to providing secure and transparent trading services, holding a top-tier trading license and adhering to strict regulations [1] - The MT4 trading system offered by Lingfeng is noted for its stability, efficiency, and user-friendliness, allowing investors to execute trades with millisecond order execution speeds [2] - Lingfeng's mobile app facilitates easy trading for investors, enabling them to capture opportunities in the gold market regardless of their location, thus simplifying the trading process for both experienced and novice investors [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the gold market has attracted global investor attention, with spot gold reaching a high of $3,790.97 per ounce as of September 23, just shy of the $3,800 mark [1] Group 1: Current Market Characteristics - The gold market is experiencing a strong upward trend driven by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and geopolitical risks [3][4] - Analysts predict that if gold breaks through the $3,800 level, the next target could be in the $3,850-$3,900 range, while a pullback could present buying opportunities in the $3,650-$3,700 range [3] Group 2: Driving Factors Behind Gold's Rise - Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: Following a 25 basis point rate cut in September, the market anticipates two more cuts this year, which supports gold prices. Rising inflation expectations also enhance gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [4] - Geopolitical Risk: Tensions in the Middle East and trade uncertainties are driving safe-haven investments into gold, reinforcing its status as a "safe haven." Analysts suggest that if U.S. Congress negotiations fail, gold prices could rise by an additional $50-$80 [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators show a strong upward trend, with gold prices consistently rising along the upper Bollinger Band. Although the RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, the MACD still indicates strong bullish momentum [4] - The Bollinger Band width has significantly expanded, indicating increased market volatility, and gold is currently in the third phase of an upward trend [4] Group 4: Professional Trading Recommendations - The recommendation is to adopt a buy-on-dips strategy, focusing on the support area around $3,750-$3,740 [4] - Caution is advised as a drop below the $3,690 support level could trigger a medium-term pullback to $3,544 [4] - Strict stop-loss measures are recommended to avoid blind speculation in a one-sided market [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, creating a strong demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices reached a historical high of $3,790.97 per ounce, closing at $3,763.93, reflecting a 0.46% increase [1]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly involving NATO and Russia, have heightened investor demand for gold, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset [2]. - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in October and December, which would lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is a key focus, as it will influence market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's decisions in October [3]. - If the PCE data indicates easing inflation pressures, it would strengthen the case for rate cuts, benefiting gold prices [3]. - Conversely, persistent inflation could undermine market confidence in rate cuts, leading to potential volatility in gold prices [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The current trading strategy emphasizes a bullish outlook on gold, suggesting buying on dips rather than chasing highs, with key support levels at $3,737 and $3,715 [4][6]. - A recent pattern of high volatility indicates potential for a mid-term correction, but as long as key support levels hold, the bullish trend remains intact [6][7]. - The market is advised to focus on the $3,800 resistance level, with strategies in place for both long and short positions based on market movements [8].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is experiencing a strong bullish trend, with prices rebounding and reaching significant targets, while silver prices have also hit a 14-year high, indicating overall strength in precious metals [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 22, gold opened at $3686.98 per ounce, recorded a low of $3683.62, and later surged to a high of $3748.53, closing at $3746.67, marking a daily increase of $59.69 or 1.62% [1]. - The strong performance of gold is attributed to a 90% expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, which has diminished the attractiveness of the US dollar and increased demand for gold as a safe haven [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic data to watch includes the US current account for Q2, preliminary PMI for September, and the Richmond Fed manufacturing index, with expectations leaning towards a positive impact on gold prices [3]. - The market is also anticipating comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which could further influence gold prices depending on whether he signals a dovish or hawkish outlook [3]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The fundamental drivers for gold's bullish trend include expectations of continued monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions, and strong inflows into gold ETFs, with gold prices having risen over 40% this year [5]. - The ongoing global monetary policy easing, weakening of the US dollar credit system, and institutional demand for gold are expected to sustain the bullish trend, with targets potentially reaching $4200 or higher [5][6].