经济前景担忧
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担忧物价和经济前景 更多美国人走进二手商店
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-12-27 07:43
该公司表示,给母亲送一件从当地二手店淘来、有轻度使用痕迹的毛衣或裤子往常可能显得有些失礼,但在经济前景不确定、物价上涨的背景下,这样的观 念似乎有所改变。传统服装店11月的客流量同比减少逾3%,而二手服装店客流量同比激增12.7%。 美联社-NORC公共事务研究中心12月4日至8日针对1146名美国成年人展开的一项调查显示,居高不下的物价水平让不少美国家庭感到痛苦。87%的调查对象 注意到,过去数月食品杂货价格高于往常。约三分之二的人说,电费和假日礼物花销增加。约半数的人发现近期汽油价格上涨。民调显示,对美国经济形势 感到悲观的人不在少数。68%的调查对象认为美国经济"差",约四成预期明年经济会更糟。 △二手店购买 美国新发布的一项调查显示,在物价上涨和民众对美国经济前景担忧加剧的背景下,不少美国人今年年末消费季选择走进二手商店购物。 调查结果显示,今年下半年,二手商店客流量同比增长至少10%。二手商店客流量通常不会在节假日期间大幅增长,而今年12月15日至21日,二手商店客流 量同比增长近11%;同一时期,百货商店的客流量同比下降13.2%。 调查由美国人工智能定位服务公司(Placer.ai)开展,根据人 ...
担忧物价和经济前景,更多美国人走进二手商店
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 07:25
该公司表示,给母亲送一件从当地二手店淘来、有轻度使用痕迹的毛衣或裤子往常可能显得有些失礼, 但在经济前景不确定、物价上涨的背景下,这样的观念似乎有所改变。传统服装店11月的客流量同比减 少逾3%,而二手服装店客流量同比激增12.7%。 美国新发布的一项调查显示,在物价上涨和民众对美国经济前景担忧加剧的背景下,不少美国人今年圣 诞消费季选择走进二手商店购物。 美联社-NORC公共事务研究中心12月4日至8日针对1146名美国成年人展开的一项调查显示,居高不下 的物价水平让不少美国家庭感到痛苦。87%的调查对象注意到,过去数月食品杂货价格高于往常。约三 分之二的人说,电费和假日礼物花销增加。约半数的人发现近期汽油价格上涨。民调显示,对美国经济 形势感到悲观的人不在少数。68%的调查对象认为美国经济"差",约四成预期明年经济会更糟。 美联社26日援引调查结果报道,今年下半年,二手商店客流量同比增长至少10%。二手商店客流量通常 不会在节假日期间大幅增长,而今年圣诞节前一周、即12月15日至21日,二手商店客流量同比增长近 11%;同一时期,百货商店的客流量同比下降13.2%。 来源:新华社 12月22日,人们行走在 ...
张尧浠:美联储年底降息预期增强、金价等待冲击4200关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 00:05
Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown strong bullish momentum, closing up for the seventh consecutive week, with expectations of reaching the target range of $3975-$4000 due to sustained buying interest [1][4]. Price Movement - Gold prices opened the week at $3758.15 per ounce, hitting a low of $3756.83 before rebounding strongly, reaching a weekly high of $3896.74, and closing at $3884.53, resulting in a weekly increase of $126.38 or 3.36% [1][3]. Market Influences - The decline in the US dollar index, driven by risks of a government shutdown and expectations of interest rate cuts in October, has contributed to the rebound in gold prices. Despite some downward pressure from profit-taking and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, strong buying interest has supported gold's upward movement [3][6]. Economic Indicators - The upcoming US global supply chain pressure index is expected to be favorable for gold prices. The anticipated impact of the government shutdown on GDP and high probabilities of interest rate cuts in October reinforce a bullish outlook for gold [4][6]. Bullish Sentiment - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 48%, with no signs of slowing down. Factors such as expectations of monetary policy easing, geopolitical risks, and strong inflows into gold ETFs continue to support a bullish market for gold [6][8]. Technical Analysis - The gold price has consistently tested and rebounded from the middle Bollinger Band support, indicating a strong upward trend. The market is expected to continue targeting higher levels, with potential resistance at $3970 or above [8][10]. Trading Strategy - The trading strategy remains bullish, with key support levels identified at $3896 and $3875, and resistance levels at $3930 and $3980. The focus is on entering long positions upon any pullbacks to support levels [10].
张尧浠:晚间迎众多重磅数据、金价震荡仍有走强机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 00:30
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing a pullback but remain above key support levels, indicating potential for future strength after a period of adjustment [1][3][5] Market Performance - On April 29, gold opened at $3344.15 per ounce, reached a high of $3348.38, and closed at $3317.09, marking a daily decline of $27.06 or 0.81% [1] - The trading range for the day was between $3299.70 and $3348.38, with a volatility of $48.68 [1] Influencing Factors - The U.S. dollar index showed a slight recovery, applying pressure on gold prices, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield continued to decline, providing some support for gold [3][5] - Geopolitical tensions, including U.S. Secretary of State's comments on Russia-Ukraine negotiations and threats from India towards Pakistan, have heightened risk aversion, benefiting gold prices [3][8] Future Outlook - The market anticipates that upcoming economic data, including U.S. ADP employment figures and GDP growth rates, will be favorable for gold prices [5] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the overall sentiment remains bullish for gold, with expectations of a potential rise towards the $3500 mark [8][10] Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate significant volatility with a range of over $540, yet gold maintains a strong upward trend above key support levels [10] - Weekly charts suggest a risk of further declines, but the overall trend remains supported by upward-moving averages and Bollinger Bands [11][12] Trading Strategy - Current trading strategy suggests monitoring support levels around $3308 and $3290, with resistance at $3328 and $3348 for gold [14]
因经济前景担忧 印尼股市再度暴跌
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-03-24 08:18
Group 1 - The Indonesian stock market has experienced significant declines due to concerns over the economic outlook, with the Jakarta Composite Index dropping as much as 4.7%, marking the largest single-day decline in nearly a week [1] - The Indonesian rupiah weakened by 0.4% against the US dollar, approaching its lowest level since 1998, indicating growing investor anxiety [1] - The government's transfer of ownership of key state-owned enterprises to a new sovereign wealth fund has raised concerns about the concentration of economic decision-making [1] Group 2 - Recent weeks have seen pressure on Indonesia's financial markets, driven by fears that President Prabowo Subianto's populist agenda, including costly welfare programs, may strain national finances and threaten economic activity [2] - The transfer of state-owned enterprises to the sovereign wealth fund continues to unsettle investors, with uncertainty heightened by the government's announcement of the entire management team [2] - On March 18, the benchmark stock index fell by 7.1%, the largest single-day drop since 2011, triggering a trading halt for 30 minutes due to breaching the 5% threshold [2]