Company and Industry Summary Company:耐普矿机 (Nippon Mining & Metals) Key Points - **Client Acquisition**: The company has secured a three-year framework agreement for wear parts with Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi LLC mine, marking a significant achievement in acquiring a top-tier global copper-gold mining client [1] - **Oyu Tolgoi Mine Details**: The Oyu Tolgoi mine is located in Mongolia, with Rio Tinto holding a 66% stake and the Mongolian government holding 34%. The mine has copper reserves of 40.66 million tons and gold reserves of 5.546 million ounces, with potential for further resource expansion [1] - **Production Goals**: The target is to achieve an average annual copper production of 500,000 tons by the year 2036 [1] - **Product Coverage**: The wear parts supplied will cover various components including cylindrical screens, pipelines, hydrocyclones, and slurry pumps, indicating a comprehensive approach to servicing the mining operations [1] - **Market Positioning**: The acquisition of a prestigious client from a European company reinforces the company's market strength and supports the narrative of increasing market share through new product offerings [1] - **Future Prospects**: There is an expectation for continued customer development in the area of mill liners, suggesting ongoing growth opportunities for the company [1]

报告导读： 安全边际充足，政策预期有望驱动估值修复 。 基本短期暂承压，长期集中度提升空间广阔。 短期看，家居行业基本一方面仍受偏弱的竣工数据影响，终端需求相对平淡，同时 2025 年四季度及 2026 年 一季度叠加了同期因国补产生的高基数影响，短期表观的数据暂承压。中期看，积极的因素正在发生，头部家居公司在行业底部不断夯实基本功，持续推进渠 道融合贯通及产品研发创新，增速跑赢行业，实现市占率的提升。长期看，对比其他品类，家具家居集中度明显偏低，地产底部洗牌有望加速未来市占率集中 进程，龙头份额提升空间广阔。 报告来源 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称： 当预期照进现实，winner-take-all；报告日期：2026.02.11 报告作者： 刘佳昆（分析师），登记编号：S0880524040004 毛宇翔（分析师），登记编号：S0880524080013 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Eddie Precision (603638), indicates that its hydraulic components business is expected to see a continuous increase in market share in the coming years, with a current market share of 40% for motor products and 15% for pump and valve products [1] Group 1: Business Composition - The company's hydraulic components business consists of motor products (travel motors and swing motors) accounting for approximately 60% of the business, while pump and valve products together account for about 40% [1] Group 2: Market Share - The current market share for motor products is reported to be 40%, while the market share for pump and valve products is approximately 15% [1] - The company anticipates that its overall market share in hydraulic components will continue to rise in the next few years [1]

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's report indicates that MGM China (02282.HK) exceeded expectations for Q4 2025, with net revenue increasing by 21% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 9.62 billion, surpassing the firm's forecast by 6% [1] Financial Performance - Total gaming revenue reached HKD 10.5 billion, reflecting a 21% year-on-year increase and an 11% quarter-on-quarter increase, exceeding predictions by 3.1% [1] - VIP gaming revenue grew by 40% year-on-year, while mass market revenue increased by 20%, demonstrating strong growth in both segments [1] - Adjusted EBITDA reached HKD 2.75 billion, marking a new quarterly high with a 29% year-on-year increase and a 16% quarter-on-quarter increase, exceeding market expectations by 11% [1] Future Projections - Macquarie has raised its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for MGM China for 2025 to 2027 by 3.1%, 1%, and 0.7% respectively [1] - The target price has been slightly increased by 1% from HKD 21.3 to HKD 21.6, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to upgrade hotel rooms this year, which is expected to enhance its appeal in the high-end market and increase market share [1]

Core Insights - TCL and Sony have signed a memorandum of cooperation to discuss a strategic partnership in the home entertainment sector, aiming to establish a joint venture to take over Sony's home entertainment business [3] - The new company will be 51% owned by TCL and 49% by Sony, focusing on television and home audio equipment, with operations in the global market [3] - TCL has seen a significant increase in television shipments, becoming the second-largest TV brand globally by 2024, with a projected shipment of 31 million units and a market share of 15.7% in 2025 [3] TCL's Growth and Market Position - Since surpassing 20 million TV shipments in 2019, TCL's market share has been steadily increasing, positioning it as a major player in the global television market [3] - By 2027, the combined market share of TCL and Sony is expected to approach 20% [5] - The partnership is anticipated to enhance TCL's supply chain capabilities, particularly in Mini LED and OLED panel production [3][4] Sony's Market Challenges - Sony's television shipments peaked at 21.5 million units in 2010 but are projected to fall below 400,000 units by 2025, resulting in a market share of only 1.9% [4] - The company has shifted its product strategy to focus on the mid-to-high-end market due to increased competition from Chinese brands [4] - Sony's reliance on external suppliers for high-end panels is expected to change with the formation of the joint venture, leading to a more integrated procurement strategy [4][6] Industry Trends - The trend indicates a clear exit of Japanese TV brands from the market, with Chinese brands expected to capture nearly 50% of the market share [5][6] - The joint venture is projected to further solidify the dominance of Chinese brands in the global television market, with a significant shift in market power anticipated [6]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The agricultural sector has shown a slight increase above the CSI 300 index from the beginning of the year to mid-November 2025, ranking 13th among 31 primary industries in the Shenwan classification, an improvement from 2024 [2][20] - The performance of sub-industries is mixed, with animal health and agricultural product processing performing well, while breeding, feed, and planting lag behind [1][3] Key Investment Focus for 2026 - The primary investment focus remains on the pig farming and pet food sectors. The pig farming sector's opportunities arise from changes in production capacity affecting pig price expectations, while the pet food sector benefits from growing market demand and increased market share [1][5] - The expected average price for pigs in 2026 is projected to decline to 13.5 yuan per kilogram due to increased supply pressure and potential fluctuations in prices during January and February [1][7][10] Sub-Industry Performance Pig Farming Sector - The pig farming sector experienced a low-level rebound followed by a plateau in 2025, with an overall index increase of approximately 14.4%. Most listed pig companies turned profitable from Q2 2024 and maintained profitability in Q3 2025, although some may incur losses in Q4 [6] - The market share of listed pig companies reached 26.8%, an increase of 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The forecast for 2026 indicates an annual pig output increase, with the breeding sow capacity expected to decrease by 430,000 heads [6][7] Pet Food Sector - The pet food sector is experiencing a transition towards emotional and anthropomorphic pet ownership, with the market size in China reaching 300 billion yuan, where pet food accounts for 53% [3][11][13] - The growth of domestic mid-to-high-end brands is outpacing that of imported brands, driven by rational consumption [3][13] - The online sales channel for pet food has grown significantly, with projections indicating it will reach 72% market share by 2026 [15] Market Dynamics and Trends - The pet food market is characterized by low concentration, with the top five companies holding only 25.4% market share, indicating significant room for growth for domestic brands [14] - The online sales of domestic brands have increased, with brands like Mai Fu Di showing substantial growth in market share [17] - The export growth of pet food remains a critical performance driver, despite challenges from tariffs [8][11][12] Future Outlook - The agricultural sector is expected to enter a plateau phase after a period of low-level fluctuations, with valuations still at historical lows [20] - The pig farming sector will focus on balancing risks and opportunities, while the pet food sector will need to wait for performance growth to capture new investment opportunities [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.17 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 6.81%, while achieving a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42.33 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 398.8% [2][4] - The strong growth in net profit is attributed to an increase in transaction volume in the brokerage business and a reduction in related operating costs [2][4] - The company’s total Gross Transaction Value (GTV) for the first three quarters reached 196.2 billion yuan, up 5.2% year-over-year, indicating a steady increase in market share across various business segments [3][4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 81.7 billion yuan, down 6.81% year-over-year, primarily due to the accounting treatment of the new product "Xiangyu Preferred" in the asset management business [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 42.33 million yuan, with a significant increase of 398.8% year-over-year, driven by improved transaction volumes and reduced costs [4] Market Position - The company’s GTV for the first three quarters was 196.2 billion yuan, with the brokerage business contributing 156.6 billion yuan (up 5.1% year-over-year), asset management at 13.7 billion yuan (down 3.5%), and new housing at 25.9 billion yuan (up 9.3%) [3] - The brokerage business saw a transaction volume of 54,626 units, an increase of 5.6% year-over-year, while the new housing business recorded a transaction volume of 8,150 units, up 0.4% year-over-year [3] Cost Management and Receivables - The company achieved a gross margin of 9.08%, an increase of 1.72 percentage points year-over-year, due to effective cost control measures [4] - Accounts receivable decreased to 327 million yuan, down 177 million yuan from the beginning of the year, with an accounts receivable turnover period of 13.74 days, a reduction of 1.91 days [4] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 11.91 billion yuan, 12.36 billion yuan, and 12.86 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 970 million yuan, 1.41 billion yuan, and 1.93 billion yuan [4]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform" [6] Core Views - The high-end liquor prices have rebounded, which may temporarily boost market confidence. The current Shenyin Wanguo white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18.66X, which is 3.13% lower than the reasonable level over the past decade. The dividend returns from leading liquor companies are attractive, and consumer spending is expected to gradually recover, suggesting a focus on recovery opportunities in the sector [1][13][19]. Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From September 22 to September 26, the food and beverage sector declined by 2.49%, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.21% and the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.07%. Specific sub-sectors include soft drinks (+0.86%), meat products (-0.02%), beer (-0.77%), snacks (-1.33%), and others [20]. Weekly Updates - **Liquor**: The white liquor sector fell by 3.03%, underperforming the overall food and beverage sector. High-end liquor prices have increased, with Feitian Moutai rising by 90 yuan per bottle over five days. Despite slight pressure on consumption, the price increase may boost market confidence [1][13]. - **Yellow Wine**: Key players like Kuaijishan and Guyuelongshan saw declines of 5.80% and 2.24%, respectively. The sector is entering a verification phase for product distribution and sales [2]. - **Beer**: The beer sector decreased by 0.77%. Notable companies include Qingdao Beer (+0.2%) and Yanjing Beer (+1.7%). Future consumption policies are expected to drive sales recovery [2][14]. - **Soft Drinks**: The soft drink sector showed positive performance, with significant gains from companies like Yangyuan Beverage (+32.49%) and Jinziham (+11.93%). The sector remains attractive due to ongoing trends [3][15]. Investment Recommendations - **White Liquor**: Focus on three main lines: strong beta stocks (e.g., Jiugui Liquor, Shui Jing Fang), recovery concept stocks (e.g., Yingjia Gongjiu), and strong alpha stocks (e.g., Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai) [19]. - **Beer**: Emphasize three main lines: sustained growth stocks (e.g., Dongpeng Beverage, Nongfu Spring), potential performance rebound stocks (e.g., Angel Yeast), and category expansion stocks (e.g., Kuaijishan) [19]. Sector and Individual Stock Performance - The food and beverage sector's dynamic PE ratio is 21.0 times, ranking 22nd among primary industries. The soft drink sector has the highest valuation increase this week, while the health product sector saw the smallest decrease [28]. Key Data Tracking - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas is 3.03 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.50%. The decline in prices has been narrowing since the beginning of the year [18].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The pre-prepared food concept is driving short-term performance in the catering supply sector, with a focus on the upcoming double festival catalysis [5][16] - The overall food and beverage sector experienced a decline of 2.53% from September 15 to September 19, with specific segments like pre-processed foods and soft drinks showing positive performance [23][26] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From September 15 to September 19, the food and beverage sector declined by 2.53%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index fell by 1.30% and 0.44%, respectively [23] - Specific segment performances included: pre-processed foods (+0.32%), soft drinks (+0.07%), and health products (+0.05%), while snacks (-1.28%) and meat products (-3.64%) saw declines [23] Alcoholic Beverages - The liquor sector saw a decline of 2.95%, underperforming compared to the overall food and beverage sector and the CSI 300 [14] - Key brands like Jinhuijiu and Gujinggongjiu experienced significant drops, with the overall consumption environment remaining under pressure [14] - The current PE-TTM for the liquor index is 19X, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade [14] Beer Sector - The beer sector showed a slight increase of 0.03%, with brands like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing Beer performing well [15] - Cumulative beer production from January to August 2025 was 26.83 million kiloliters, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year [15] Investment Recommendations - For the liquor sector, three main investment lines are recommended: strong beta stocks (e.g., Jiugui Jiu, Shui Jing Fang), value recovery stocks (e.g., Yingjia Gongjiu), and strong alpha stocks (e.g., Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai) [22] - In the beer sector, focus on companies with sustained growth potential and those benefiting from cost reductions [22] Key Data Tracking - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas was 3.03 yuan/kg as of September 18, 2025, with no year-on-year change [20] - The production capacity of Daizhou yellow wine increased from 18,000 tons to 130,000 tons over the past three years, with a reported output value of 263 million yuan in the first half of the year, up 14.3% year-on-year [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Lihua Co., as a leading player in the yellow feather chicken breeding industry, is experiencing stable development and increasing market share due to the exit of loss-making breeders following a continuous decline in yellow feather chicken prices from Q3 2024 to July 2025 [1] - The company has improved its cost management, resulting in a significant decrease in the complete cost of chicken, which has fallen below 11 yuan per kilogram in H1 2025 [1] - Starting from mid to late July 2025, the price of yellow chicken has seen a significant increase, continuing into September, which is expected to lead to a turning point in the company's Q3 performance [1] Group 2 - Since 2011, the company has been expanding its pig breeding business, and by 2024, the pig output is expected to exceed 1 million heads, with nearly 1 million pigs being marketed in H1 2025, along with 150,000 piglets [1] - The complete cost of pig production has significantly decreased, reaching 12.8 yuan per kilogram in H1 2025, with a target of 12 yuan per kilogram by the end of 2025 [1] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the company [1]