Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next six months [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q2 performance, with a revenue growth of over 150% and a high dividend payout, showcasing its investment value [1]. - The engineering contracting business is experiencing rapid growth, with substantial contributions from new projects expected to enhance future performance [2]. - The company's profitability has improved, with better cost control and a net profit margin increase [3]. - Long-term growth prospects remain strong, supported by a robust order backlog and new project contributions [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.81%, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 42.54% [1]. - Q2 alone saw revenues of 701 million yuan, reflecting a 38.48% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 69 million yuan, which is a remarkable 156.22% increase [1]. - The company maintained a cash dividend payout ratio of around 100%, with a TTM dividend yield of 4.43% as of August 23 [1]. Business Segments - The engineering segment reported revenues of 409 million yuan and 46 million yuan from contracting and design services, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 483.46% and 89.67% [2]. - In the chemical segment, revenues from various products showed mixed results, with a decline in some areas but an increase in profit margins due to rising prices of certain chemicals [2]. - New business initiatives, particularly in cellulose and its derivatives, generated 9.654 million yuan in revenue, indicating a 47.73% increase year-on-year, with potential for future growth [2]. Profitability and Cost Control - The overall gross margin improved to 19.9%, a year-on-year increase of 0.89 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased to 10.11%, down 1.55 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin reached 9.51%, reflecting a 1.39 percentage point increase year-on-year [3]. - Cash flow from operations showed a net inflow of 22 million yuan, although it was lower than the previous year due to increased bank acceptance bill settlements [3]. Long-term Growth Potential - The company has a strong order backlog, and new projects are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [4]. - Adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 330 million, 430 million, and 550 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17.6, 13.7, and 10.7 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in the first half of the year, driven by regulatory enforcement in the US and Europe, while net profit declined due to increased non-cash share-based payments and rising operational costs [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 6.013 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.3%, while net profit was 492 million yuan, down 28.0% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit was 737 million yuan, a slight decrease of 2.1% year-on-year, aligning with previous forecasts [1] - The gross profit margin for the first half was 37.3%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3] Business Segments - The To B business segment generated revenue of 4.939 billion yuan, up 19.5% year-on-year, with significant growth in Europe and other markets [2] - The To C business segment reported revenue of 1.274 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, with notable performance from the "Lan Zhi" brand in China [2] - The HNB (Heat-not-Burn) business is progressing as planned, with product launches in Serbia and Sendai, Japan, expected to expand further [3] Cost and Expenses - The increase in share-based payments contributed to a rise in management expense ratios, while R&D expense ratios decreased [3] - Distribution and sales expenses rose due to increased marketing efforts for the company's own brands and global expansion [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued recovery in its core vaporization business, supported by improving regulatory frameworks in the US and Europe [1][2] - The introduction of new HNB products is expected to open a second growth curve for the company [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Profit forecasts have been adjusted downward due to the impact of share-based payments, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.007 billion, 1.830 billion, and 2.559 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 27.00 HKD, based on a 71 times PE ratio for 2026 [3]

Core Insights - Meituan's Q1 revenue and adjusted profit exceeded market expectations, with total revenue reaching 86.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18% [1] - The core local business operating profit grew by 39% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations by 10% [1] - The company reported record high annual active users and merchants, indicating strong market presence [1] Financial Performance - Q1 total revenue was 86.6 billion yuan, slightly above market expectations by 1.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit for Q1 was 10.9 billion yuan, a 46% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations by 18% [1] - Core local business revenue increased by 18% year-on-year, with operating profit margin improving by 3 percentage points to 21% [1][2] Business Segments - Delivery, commission, and online marketing revenues grew by 22%, 20%, and 15% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The food delivery segment saw an increase in user order frequency, with daily order volume growth estimated at around 10% [2] - Instant retail and travel segments also showed strong growth, with non-food orders in instant retail increasing over 60% year-on-year [2] Competitive Landscape - Management emphasized commitment to compete effectively, planning to invest 100 billion yuan over the next three years to enhance supply chain and merchant digital transformation [2] - Despite competitive pressures, Meituan's food delivery segment maintained steady growth in daily order volume [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - For Q2, total revenue is expected to grow by 13%, with core local business and new business revenues projected to increase by 10% and 21%, respectively [3] - The company anticipates a 15% year-on-year increase in total revenue for 2025, with adjustments made to core local business profit forecasts [3] - The valuation for core local business is set at 18 times the 2025 operating profit, with a target price adjustment to 177 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 34% from recent closing prices [3]

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's revenue for 2024 is projected at 337.6 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 22%, and a net profit of 35.8 billion RMB, reflecting a significant increase of 158.4% [1]. Revenue Structure - Meituan's revenue is categorized into four types: delivery services, technology service fees (commissions), online marketing (advertising), and other services and sales [3]. - In 2022, the core local business generated 1,607.6 billion RMB, accounting for 73.1% of total revenue, while new businesses contributed 592 billion RMB, or 26.9% [6]. - By 2024, the core local business revenue is expected to reach 2,502.5 billion RMB, maintaining a stable proportion of around 74% [6][9]. Delivery Service Analysis - The delivery service segment has been operating at a loss, with each delivery costing 0.34 RMB more than the revenue generated in the first half of 2024 [1][14]. - In 2023, the delivery service revenue was 821.9 billion RMB, with associated costs of 907.4 billion RMB, resulting in a gross loss of 85.5 billion RMB [15]. - The average loss per delivery has decreased from 0.97 RMB in 2021 to 0.34 RMB in the first half of 2024, indicating improved efficiency [17]. Business Segmentation - The core local business primarily consists of food delivery and in-store/travel services, with food delivery accounting for approximately 70% of the revenue [11]. - The commission revenue from food delivery is estimated to be around 500 billion RMB, with a commission rate of less than 5% [26]. Profitability and Growth Strategies - Meituan's core local business achieved an operating profit of 38.7 billion RMB in 2023, with a profit margin of 18.7%, and is expected to rise to 52.4 billion RMB in 2024, with a margin of 20.9% [29]. - The company aims to offset delivery losses through increased commission and advertising revenues, which combined reached approximately 900 billion RMB in 2023 [28]. New Business Development - New business segments, including Meituan Youxuan and other services, are experiencing growth, with revenue increasing while operating losses are narrowing from 88% in 2021 to 31% in 2023 [34][37]. - The strategy for new businesses focuses on balancing revenue growth with improving profitability, indicating a cautious approach to expansion [33].