1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the given report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The price of CBOT soybeans rose this week, influenced by USDA's report of soybean sales to China and the increase in US soybean oil prices. However, the continuous expansion of the year - on - year decline in cumulative US soybean export sales still dragged down the price trend. Meanwhile, the increase in RINs price and US soybean oil price is expected to benefit US soybean crushing. Attention should be paid to the changes in US soybean export demand, US biodiesel policy, and weather conditions in South American soybean - producing areas [6]. - The price of CBOT soybean meal declined slightly this week. The postponement of the EU's "Zero - Deforestation Act" and higher - than - expected US soybean meal export sales limited the decline. The high - level US soybean crushing maintained sufficient supply of soybean meal, which may still suppress the price [11]. - The price of DCE soybean meal rose, supported by the increase in Brazilian soybean import costs due to the rise in Brazilian soybean premium quotes. However, the inventory accumulation of soybean meal in oil mills restricted the price increase. Attention should be paid to the weather in South American soybean - producing areas, domestic soybean procurement, and inventory changes [14]. - The price of CBOT soybean oil increased, driven by the rise in international competing vegetable oil prices and the increase in the use of US soybean oil in biodiesel production in September. Continuous attention should be paid to the changes in US biodiesel policy [18]. - The price of DCE soybean oil rose, affected by the increase in soybean import costs and domestic competing vegetable oil prices. However, the high - level inventory of soybean oil in oil mills suppressed the price to some extent. Attention should be paid to the arrival of imported soybeans, soybean crushing, and inventory changes [22]. 3. Summary According to the Directory I. Market Review 1. Soybeans - As of November 28, the CBOT soybean 01 contract closed at 1137.25 cents per bushel, up 0.95% from the previous week. The price fluctuated upward, affected by soybean sales to China and the increase in US soybean oil prices, but the decline in export sales dragged down the price [6]. 2. Soybean Meal - **External Market**: As of November 28, the CBOT soybean meal 01 contract closed at $318.6 per short ton, down 0.38% from the previous week. The price declined slightly, and the postponement of the EU's act and high - export sales limited the decline [11]. - **Domestic Market**: As of November 28, the DCE soybean meal 01 contract closed at 3044 yuan per ton, up 1.06% from the previous week. The price rose due to the increase in import costs, but inventory accumulation restricted the increase [14]. 3. Soybean Oil - **External Market**: As of November 28, the CBOT soybean oil 01 contract closed at 52.08 cents per pound, up 2.90% from the previous week. The price increase was driven by international competing vegetable oil prices and biodiesel usage [18]. - **Domestic Market**: As of November 28, the DCE soybean oil 01 contract closed at 8244 yuan per ton, up 0.66% from the previous week. The price fluctuated upward, affected by import costs and competing vegetable oil prices, but high inventory suppressed the price [22]. II.产区 Weather 1. Brazilian Soybean - Producing Areas Weather - In the past week (November 21 - 28), rainfall and temperature in southern Brazil were lower than normal. In the next week (November 30 - December 7), rainfall in the central - western region is expected to increase, while rainfall in the south will still be lower than normal, and the temperature will be at a normal level [24][26]. 2. Argentine Soybean - Producing Areas Weather - In the past week (November 21 - 28), there was almost no rain in Argentine soybean - producing areas, and the temperature was normal. In the next week (November 30 - December 7), rainfall is expected to be scarce, with only slightly higher rainfall in some northern areas, and the temperature will be higher than normal [30][32]. III. International Supply and Demand 1. US Soybeans - **Export Inspection & Export Sales**: The weekly export inspection volume of US soybeans decreased month - on - month but met expectations, and the year - on - year decline in cumulative volume continued to expand. As of November 20, 2025, the export inspection volume was 799,042 tons. The cumulative export inspection volume of US soybeans in the current crop year was 10,937,372 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 44.50%. The year - on - year decline in the cumulative export sales of US soybeans in the 25/26 season also expanded [37][38][39]. - **D4 RINs Price**: The RINs price rose this week. As of November 26, 2025, the US D4 RINs price was 106 cents, up 5.5 cents from November 21 [44]. 2. Brazilian Soybeans - **Soybean Yield Forecast**: Different institutions have different forecasts for the 25/26 Brazilian soybean yield, ranging from 1.67683455 billion tons to 1.7876 billion tons [47]. - **Soybean Sowing**: As of November 22, the Brazilian soybean sowing rate was 78.0% (CONAB data), and as of November 20, it was 81% (AgRural data). The sowing progress in different states also varied [47]. - **Export Sales**: Anec lowered the forecast of Brazilian soybean exports in November to 4.4 million tons. As of the third week of November 2025, the cumulative export of Brazilian soybeans was 104.28 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.11% [52]. - **Soybean Premium**: As of the week of November 28, 2025, the Brazilian soybean premium quote increased [55]. - **Soybean Crushing Profit**: The Brazilian soybean crushing profit rose this week. As of November 28, it was $52.07 per ton [57]. 3. Argentine Soybeans - **Soybean Sowing**: As of the week of November 27, 2025, the Argentine soybean sowing progress reached 39% (SAGyP data), and as of November 26, it was 36.0% (Buenos Aires Grain Exchange data) [59][60]. - **Farmer Sales**: The weekly sales of Argentine farmers' 24/25 season soybeans increased month - on - month. As of the week of November 19, 2025, they had sold a certain amount of soybeans in different seasons [62][63]. - **Soybean Crushing Profit**: The Argentine soybean crushing profit slightly recovered this week. As of November 28, it was - $2.99 per ton [69]. IV. Domestic Supply and Demand 1. Soybean Oil Supply and Demand - **China's Imported Soybean Procurement Progress**: McDonald Pelz released the weekly procurement progress of China's imported soybeans on November 25, 2025 [72]. - **Port and Oil Mill Soybean Inventory**: As of November 21, 2025, the national port soybean inventory was 9.425 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 501,000 tons. The oil mill soybean inventory in the 47th week was 7.1499 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 327,200 tons [74]. - **Imported Soybean Arrival and Crushing**: The arrival volume of imported soybeans increased, while the crushing volume and startup rate of oil mills decreased. In the 47th week, the arrival volume of imported soybeans was about 2.0475 million tons, and in the 48th week, the actual crushing volume was 2.2038 million tons [77]. - **Soybean Oil Transaction**: The weekly transaction volume of soybean oil decreased. As of the week of November 28, 2025, the total transaction volume was 75,400 tons [80]. - **Soybean Oil Production and Apparent Consumption**: The production of soybean oil in oil mills decreased, while the apparent consumption increased. In the 48th week, the soybean oil production was 407,700 tons, and in the 47th week, the apparent consumption was 400,500 tons [82]. - **Soybean Oil Inventory**: The commercial inventory of soybean oil in oil mills increased. As of November 21, 2025, the national key - area soybean oil commercial inventory was 1.1799 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 31,400 tons [85]. 2. Soybean Meal Supply and Demand - **Soybean Meal Production and Apparent Consumption**: The production of soybean meal in oil mills decreased, while the apparent consumption increased. As of the week of November 28, 2025, the soybean meal production was 1.741 million tons, and as of November 21, the apparent consumption was 1.6856 million tons [88]. - **Oil Mill Soybean Meal Inventory and Feed Mill Physical Inventory Days**: The soybean meal inventory in oil mills increased. As of November 21, 2025, it was 1.1515 million tons. The physical inventory days of feed mills increased. As of November 28, it was 8.17 days [90]. - **Soybean Meal Transaction and Pick - up**: The weekly transaction volume and pick - up volume of soybean meal decreased. As of the week of November 28, 2025, the transaction volume was 644,000 tons, and the pick - up volume was 940,212 tons [93]. - **Downstream Demand**: The losses of downstream hog - raising and piglet - purchasing for fattening continued to deepen. The hog ex - factory price and hog - grain ratio decreased [95]. - **Soybean Meal Warehouse Receipt Quantity**: As of November 28, the registered quantity of DCE soybean meal warehouse receipts was 0 hands [97]. V. Domestic and International Oil Futures and Spot Prices, and Spread Situations 1. Basis, Calendar Spread, and Variety Spread Situations - **Soybean Oil Basis and Calendar Spread**: The report shows the basis and calendar spread data of soybean oil in different regions and time periods [100][101][103]. - **Soybean Meal Basis and Calendar Spread**: The report shows the basis and calendar spread data of soybean meal in different regions and time periods [106][107]. - **Variety Spread**: The report shows the spread data between soybean oil and palm oil, rapeseed oil, and the ratio data between soybean oil/soybean meal and corn/soybean meal [109][110][111]. 2. FOB Quotes - The report shows the FOB quotes and spreads of soybean oil, Brazilian soybean meal, US soybean meal, and Argentine soybean meal [113][114][116]. 3. CFTC Positioning - The report shows the net long positions of CBOT soybean, soybean oil, and soybean meal managed funds [119][120][121].

Report Information - Report Name: Oil and Oilseed Industry Daily Report - Date: November 18, 2025 - Author: Xu Liang (Z0002220) - Reviewer: Tang Yun (Z0002422) Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. Core Views Palm Oil - International Market: Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures rose, supported by rising Chicago soybean oil and Dalian edible oil markets, as well as a weakening ringgit. However, the market has not escaped the range-bound adjustment above 4,100 ringgit. The increase in palm oil production (4.09%) and decrease in exports (15%-50%) in the first half of the month have dragged down the market. If CBOT soybean oil continues to rise, BMD palm oil may break through 4,200 ringgit and continue to climb; otherwise, it will maintain a narrow range above 4,100 ringgit [3]. - Domestic Market: Dalian palm oil futures opened higher and fluctuated within a narrow range, remaining within the previous trading range. Domestic palm oil lacks price competitiveness (palm oil prices are higher than soybean oil), and port inventories increased by nearly 25,000 tons over the weekend, creating a bearish fundamental outlook. In the short term, the DCE palm oil January contract will continue to fluctuate around 8,700 yuan. If BMD palm oil surpasses 4,200 ringgit and continues to rise, Dalian palm oil will follow suit, with the January contract potentially reaching the daily middle track at around 8,920 yuan. Otherwise, it will maintain a narrow range [3]. Soybean Oil - Domestic soybean oil futures rose slightly, boosted by the previous day's increase in CBOT soybeans and soybean oil due to China's purchase of at least 14 cargoes of US soybeans. However, the increase was limited due to sufficient factory supply and lukewarm downstream demand. The domestic soybean oil fundamentals currently have little impact on the market, and the market remains influenced by international related varieties. In the short term, the market is watching whether China will continue to purchase US soybeans. If CBOT soybeans continue to rise, the January contract of Dalian soybean oil may break through the daily upper track resistance at 8,350 yuan and reach around 8,500 yuan. Otherwise, the January contract will face pressure at the daily upper track, and after a period of consolidation, it may enter a profit-taking phase [4]. Soybean Meal - In the short term, in the absence of weather-related news, the main contract of Dalian soybean meal is expected to fluctuate along the half-year line. On the spot market, the fixed prices of oil mills increased by 10-30 yuan/ton, but traders were cautious about following the price increase due to high inventories and rolling replenishment by end-users. Additionally, news of state reserve sales of imported soybeans and the expectation of US soybean purchases ensuring supply in the first quarter of next year have led the market to adopt a wait-and-see attitude. The spot price of soybean meal is expected to trade in the range of 3,000-3,250 yuan/ton [15]. Summary by Category Oil Price and Spread - Palm Oil: The January contract was priced at 8,708 yuan/ton, up 0.32%; the May contract at 8,822 yuan/ton, up 0.3%; the September contract at 8,692 yuan/ton, up 0.53%. The BMD palm oil main contract was at 4,184 ringgit/ton, up 0.79%. The price of 24-degree palm oil in Guangzhou was 8,650 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan [7]. - Soybean Oil: The January contract was priced at 8,320 yuan/ton, down 0.07%; the May contract at 8,092 yuan/ton, up 0.64%; the September contract at 7,998 yuan/ton, up 0.58%. The CBOT soybean oil main contract was at 51.14 cents/pound, up 1.97%. The spot price of first-grade soybean oil in Shandong was 8,480 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan [11]. - Price Spread: The P 1-5 spread was -116 yuan/ton; the P 5-9 spread was 150 yuan/ton, up 14 yuan; the P 9-1 spread was -34 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan. The Y-P 01 spread was -398 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the Y-P 05 spread was -752 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; the Y-P 09 spread was -684 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan [5]. Oilseed Futures Price and Spread - Futures Price: The January contract of soybean meal was priced at 3,041 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan; the May contract at 2,832 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan; the September contract at 2,947 yuan/ton, up 17 yuan. The January contract of rapeseed meal was priced at 2,431 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan; the May contract at 2,397 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan; the September contract at 2,456 yuan/ton, down 2 yuan. The CBOT yellow soybean was at 1,157.5 cents/bushel, unchanged [16]. - Spread: The M01-05 spread was 229 yuan/ton; the M05-09 spread was -116 yuan/ton; the M09-01 spread was -113 yuan/ton. The RM01-05 spread was 56 yuan/ton; the RM05-09 spread was -65 yuan/ton; the RM09-01 spread was 9 yuan/ton [17][20].

Report Information - Report Title: Cost Drives Soybean Meal Higher, Poor Demand Leads to Decline in Edible Oils - Guoxin Futures Weekly Report on Edible Oils and Oilseeds [2] - Report Date: October 31, 2025 [2] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The price of soybean meal is driven up by cost factors, while the price of edible oils drops due to poor demand [2]. - The export of US soybeans is expected to shift from speculation to actual implementation, and the pace of China's procurement will be a key factor affecting the market [104]. - The inventory of Malaysian palm oil is expected to increase in October, and the B50 policy in Indonesia remains uncertain, putting pressure on the international edible oil market [105]. Summary by Directory Part 1: Protein Meal Market Analysis 1. Market Review - CBOT soybeans rose significantly this week. Positive news about China's potential purchase of US soybeans boosted market sentiment, and the main contract broke through the 1100 - cent per bushel mark [6]. - The domestic soybean meal market also trended higher. Initially, it was under pressure due to supply concerns, but later shifted to cost - driven by the rise of CBOT soybeans. The main contract tried to break through 3000 yuan per ton several times [6]. - The increase in spot prices was less than that of futures. High inventory and weak downstream demand (such as the continuous decline in hog prices) put pressure on the market, and the basis declined significantly [6]. 2. US Market - US Soybean Export - As of October 23, 2025, the weekly US soybean export inspection volume was 1,061,375 tons, in line with expectations. The cumulative export inspection volume this crop year was 6,715,111 tons, lower than the same period last year [11]. 3. South American Weather - The planting progress of soybeans in South America is affected by weather. As of Friday, the soybean planting area in Mato Grosso state in Brazil reached 60.05% of the expected area, higher than last year and the five - year average [24]. - As of October 23, the 2025/26 soybean sowing progress in Brazil reached 36%. Overall, the weather last week was favorable for sowing, but there were abnormal rainfall and high - temperature weather in the central - western region [24]. 4. Domestic Market - Inventory and Profit - Domestic port soybean inventory increased to 811.27 tons this weekend, and the theoretical available days for crushing were 24 days [30]. - Both spot and futures crushing margins were in a loss situation, especially the futures crushing margin loss widened [30]. - The soybean crushing volume of domestic oil mills increased this week, and the soybean meal inventory increased by 12.5 tons to 105.2 tons, a 13.48% increase from last week [34]. 5. Rapeseed Meal - The operating rate of rapeseed processing plants decreased significantly this week, and the weekly crushing volume decreased from 1.2 tons to 0.4 tons [43]. - The inventory of rapeseed meal remained at 0.8 tons, and the contract volume decreased by 0.1 tons to 0.7 tons, a 17.65% decrease from last week [43]. Part 2: Edible Oils Market Analysis 1. Market Review - US soybean oil oscillated downward this week. The rise of US soybean meal led to active closing of the "buy oil, sell meal" arbitrage, and the decline of international crude oil and uncertain demand for soybean oil in the US biofuel industry also put pressure on the price [49]. - Malaysian palm oil fell more significantly. The increase in production and decline in exports, along with the slowdown in demand from major importers like India, led to a continuous decline in prices [49]. - Domestic palm oil led the decline in the edible oil market, while soybean oil declined relatively less and remained in an oscillating range [49]. 2. International Edible Oil Information - From October 1 - 25, 2025, the yield per unit area of Malaysian palm oil increased by 1.63% month - on - month, and the output increased by 2.78% month - on - month [52]. - The export volume of Malaysian palm oil from October 1 - 25 showed different trends according to different institutions' data, with AmSpec reporting a 0.27% month - on - month decrease and SGS reporting a 23.8% increase compared to the same period last month [52]. - The Indonesian Palm Oil Association (GAPKI) said that Indonesia's palm oil production in 2025 is expected to increase by 10% to 56 - 57 million tons [52]. 3. Domestic Edible Oil Inventory - As of the 43rd week of 2025, the total inventory of three major edible oils in China increased by 7.42 tons to 263.10 tons, a 2.90% increase from last week and a 17.39% increase year - on - year [67]. - The inventory of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil all increased, with soybean oil increasing by 6.74 tons to 148.45 tons, a 4.76% increase from last week [67]. 4. Edible Oil Basis and Spread - The basis of different edible oils showed different trends, and the futures spread between different edible oils also changed. For example, the soybean - palm oil spread rebounded significantly this week [81]. Part 3: Market Outlook 1. Technical Analysis - For soybean meal, short - term and medium - term indicators are intertwined, and long - term indicators are bearish. For rapeseed meal, short - term indicators are intertwined, and medium - and long - term indicators are bearish [103]. - For soybean oil, short - term indicators are bearish, and medium - and long - term indicators are intertwined. For palm oil, short - term indicators are bearish, medium - term indicators are intertwined, and long - term indicators are bullish [103]. - For rapeseed oil, short - term indicators are bearish, and medium - and long - term indicators are intertwined [103]. 2. Fundamental Analysis - Protein Meal: In the international market, the export of US soybeans will shift from speculation to actual implementation, and China's procurement pace is crucial. In the domestic market, high inventory, low demand, and losses in crushing margins may limit the upside potential of soybean meal prices [104]. - Edible Oils: In the international market, the expected increase in Malaysian palm oil inventory and the uncertainty of Indonesia's B50 policy will put pressure on the market. In the domestic market, edible oils are following the international trend, and the market is waiting for new positive news [105].

Report Information - Report Date: October 27, 2025 [1] - Author: Xu Liang (Z0002220) - Reviewer: Tang Yun (Z0002422) Core Views Palm Oil - **International Market**: Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are trending weakly due to increased production and slower exports. There is pressure to test the annual line support at 4,350 ringgit. After effective correction and risk release, there is a chance for the futures to stabilize and strengthen, supported by decreased production and inventory and the hype of Indonesia's B50 policy [3]. - **Domestic Market**: Dalian palm oil futures are in a volatile adjustment. There is pressure to test the 9,000 yuan mark for support, with strong support at the annual line of 8,900 yuan. After correction and stabilization, it may follow the trend of Malaysian palm oil. The view of near - term weakness and long - term strength is maintained [3]. Soybean Oil - The short - term trend of CBOT soybeans and soybean oil is strong, so there is a possibility of an increase in Dalian soybean oil. However, due to sufficient domestic supply, weak demand, and the relative weakness of palm oil, the increase is expected to be limited. The 1 - month contract may face resistance at 8,250 yuan on the daily middle - rail, and if it breaks through, it may rise to 8,430 yuan on the upper - rail. If the Sino - US agreement cannot be reached on the 30th, the 1 - month contract will decline due to the bearish domestic fundamentals [4]. Oilseeds - Dalian soybean meal futures are in a narrow range between 2,900 - 2,950 yuan. The market is waiting for the result of Sino - US trade negotiations. The overall market sentiment is still cautious, with a strong wait - and - see atmosphere [17]. Price Information Oil Price Spreads - Various price spreads of palm oil, soybean oil, and other oils are provided, including P 1 - 5, Y - P 01, etc. For example, P 1 - 5 is 18 yuan/ton with a daily change of - 6 yuan/ton [5]. Palm Oil Spot and Futures Prices - Palm oil futures prices such as palm oil 01 are 9,100 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.24%. BMD palm oil futures are at 4,399 ringgit/ton with a decline of 0.52%. Spot prices and basis are also provided [7][8]. Soybean Oil Spot and Futures Prices - Soybean oil 01 futures are at 8,234 yuan/ton with a decline of 0.03%. CBOT soybean oil futures are at 50.29 cents/pound with a decline of 1.12%. Spot prices and basis are also provided [14]. Oilseed Futures Prices - Futures prices of soybean meal and rapeseed meal are provided. For example, soybean meal 01 is at 2,932 yuan with a decline of 1 yuan and a decline rate of 0.03% [18]. Oilseed Price Spreads - Price spreads between soybean meal and rapeseed meal, such as M01 - 05 and RM01 - 05, are provided. For example, M01 - 05 is 141 yuan with a daily change of - 24 yuan [19].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - **Palm Oil**: International market - Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures continue to rise with short - term pressure near previous highs, waiting for Wednesday's MPOB report. Inventory estimates for end - September range from 2.05 to 2.34 million tons. Depending on the report and export data, it will choose a new direction. Domestic market - Dalian palm oil futures had a gap - up opening after the holiday, with a chance to continue rising. It should be watched whether it can break through previous highs. If not, there is a risk of a pull - back and filling the gap. The view of near - term strength and long - term weakness is maintained [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: After the long holiday, traders need to replenish stocks, which boosts the Dalian soybean oil market. However, domestic soybean oil supply is abundant, and imports from October to December are large. Factory inventories are unlikely to decrease rapidly, and some factories are exporting due to potential over - stock. The upside of Dalian soybean oil is limited. The January contract is near the daily middle - rail at 8,310 yuan. If it fails to break through, it may fall; if it breaks through, the upper target is the daily upper - rail at 8,520 yuan, but continuous rise is unlikely [4]. - **Bean Meal**: The Dalian bean meal 01 contract is expected to oscillate between 2,930 - 2,960 yuan, affected by Sino - US trade negotiation expectations and ample supply. Spot prices are in the 2,900 - 3,100 yuan/ton range. After the holiday, oil mills resume production, but feed enterprises' high inventory and slow inventory reduction of oil mills limit the spot price rebound [18]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Oil Price and Spread - **Palm Oil**: Palm oil 01 is at 9,570 yuan/ton with a 3.71% increase; 05 is at 9,360 yuan/ton with a 3.59% increase; 09 is at 8,916 yuan/ton with a 3.29% increase. BMD palm oil is at 4,571 ringgit/ton with a 0.57% increase. The POGO spread is at 513.167 dollars/ton with a decrease of 1.168 dollars/ton [7][8]. - **Soybean Oil**: Soybean oil 01 is at 8,332 yuan/ton with a 0.38% increase; 05 is at 8,074 yuan/ton with a 0.62% increase; 09 is at 8,006 yuan/ton with a 0.56% increase. CBOT soybean oil is at 51.34 cents/pound with a 1.74% increase. The domestic first - grade soybean - 24 - degree palm oil spread is - 820 yuan/ton with a decrease of 140 yuan/ton [14]. - **Inter - month and Inter - variety Spreads**: For palm oil, P 1 - 5 is 192 yuan/ton with an 18 - yuan increase; P 5 - 9 is 404 yuan/ton with a 32 - yuan increase; P 9 - 1 is - 596 yuan/ton with a 50 - yuan decrease. For soybean oil, Y 1 - 5 is 244 yuan/ton with no change; Y 5 - 9 is 68 yuan/ton with no change; Y 9 - 1 is - 312 yuan/ton with no change. Y - P spreads and Y/M, OI/RM spreads are also provided [5]. 3.2. Oilseed Futures Price - **Bean Meal**: Bean meal 01 closes at 2,939 with an 11 - point increase and a 0.38% rise; 05 closes at 2,755 with a 17 - point increase and a 0.62% rise; 09 closes at 2,863 with a 16 - point increase and a 0.56% rise [19]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: Rapeseed meal 01 closes at 2,435 with a 14 - point increase and a 0.58% rise; 05 closes at 2,334 with a 17 - point increase and a 0.73% rise; 09 closes at 2,415 with a 12 - point increase and a 0.5% rise [19]. - **CBOT Yellow Soybean**: Closes at 1,029.75 with no change [19]. - **Offshore RMB**: Closes at 7.1527 with a 0.0096 increase and a 0.13% rise [19]. 3.3. Bean and Rapeseed Meal Spreads - **Bean Meal Spreads**: M01 - 05 is 184 with a 6 - point decrease; M05 - 09 is - 108 with a 1 - point increase; M09 - 01 is - 76 with a 5 - point increase [20][22]. - **Rapeseed Meal Spreads**: RM01 - 05 is 101 with a 3 - point decrease; RM05 - 09 is - 81 with a 5 - point increase; RM09 - 01 is - 20 with a 2 - point decrease [20][22]. - **Spot Spreads**: The spot spread between bean meal and rapeseed meal is 410 with a 10 - point increase; the futures spread is 504 with a 3 - point decrease [22].

Report Summary 1. Core Views - **Palm Oil**: Internationally, the Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are oscillating at a high level, facing resistance at 4,500 ringgit. After a brief adjustment and stabilization, supported by overall bullish fundamentals, the futures may approach 4,500 ringgit. After effectively breaking through and holding above 4,500 ringgit, with potential bullish factors such as limited inventory growth at the end of August and continued export growth in September, there is a chance for an upward trend. Domestically, the Dalian palm oil futures are also in a high - level consolidation. After several unsuccessful attempts to break through 9,500 yuan, it is expected to strengthen further with the support of the rebound in Malaysian palm oil. After breaking through and stabilizing above 9,500 yuan, it may follow the upward trend of Malaysian palm oil and could even hit new highs. A near - term weak and long - term strong view is maintained [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: The expected high yield of US soybeans is weighing on CBOT soybeans and soybean oil, affecting the domestic oil market. Currently, the domestic soybean oil supply is sufficient, but downstream consumption is increasing as traders stock up for the fourth quarter. The short - term trend of Dalian soybean oil is a narrow - range oscillation. The January contract will continue to oscillate around 8,300 yuan. After the adjustment, based on the rise of international vegetable oils and the start of domestic consumption, the price may rise to around 8,500 yuan [4]. - **Bean Meal**: In the spot market, as oil mills in North China and other regions fulfill contracts normally, trading is light at the beginning of the month, and traders' quotes are down 10 - 30 yuan/ton. The impact of this week's imported soybean auction on the spot market is limited. Traders tend to replenish stocks at low prices during the oscillation. Massive trading may not occur until the middle of the month. The short - term spot price will fluctuate between 3,000 - 3,200 yuan/ton [17]. 2. Price Information 2.1 Oil Price Spreads | Spread Type | Price | Daily Change | | --- | --- | --- | | P 1 - 5 | 246 yuan/ton | - 4 | | P 5 - 9 | - 204 yuan/ton | - 8 | | P 9 - 1 | - 42 yuan/ton | 12 | | Y - P 01 | - 1,066 yuan/ton | - 30 | | Y - P 05 | - 1,108 yuan/ton | - 28 | | Y - P 09 | - 958 yuan/ton | - 18 | | Y 1 - 5 | 288 yuan/ton | - 6 | | Y 5 - 9 | - 354 yuan/ton | - 18 | | Y 9 - 1 | 66 yuan/ton | 24 | | OI 1 - 5 | 169 yuan/ton | 3 | | OI 5 - 9 | - 353 yuan/ton | - 58 | | OI 9 - 1 | 184 yuan/ton | 55 | | Y/M 01 | 2.7397 | 0.23% | | Y/M 05 | 2.8712 | 0.32% | | Y/M 09 | 2.8017 | 0.32% | | OI/RM 01 | 3.9064 | 0.16% | | OI/RM 05 | 4.0088 | 0.1% | | OI/RM 09 | 3.8974 | - 0.31% | [5] 2.2 Palm Oil Spot and Futures Prices | Contract | Price | Daily Change (Rate) | | --- | --- | --- | | Palm Oil 01 | 9,368 yuan/ton | - 0.57% | | Palm Oil 05 | 9,148 yuan/ton | - 0.31% | | Palm Oil 09 | 9,346 yuan/ton | - 0.36% | | BMD Palm Oil Main Contract | 4,434 ringgit/ton | - 0.94% | | Guangzhou 24 - degree Palm Oil | 9,300 yuan/ton | - 80 | | Guangzhou 24 - degree Basis | - 42 yuan/ton | 32 | | POGO | 492.819 dollars/ton | - 1.168 | | International Soybean - Palm Oil Spread | - 26.73 dollars/ton | - 12.5 | [7][8] 2.3 Soybean Oil Spot and Futures Prices | Contract | Price | Daily Change (Rate) | | --- | --- | --- | | Soybean Oil 01 | 8,366 yuan/ton | 0.52% | | Soybean Oil 05 | 8,070 yuan/ton | 0.39% | | Soybean Oil 09 | 8,454 yuan/ton | 0.47% | | CBOT Soybean Oil Main Contract | 52.5 cents/pound | 0.77% | | Shandong First - grade Soybean Oil Spot | 8,490 yuan/ton | 70 | | Shandong First - grade Soybean Oil Basis | 64 yuan/ton | - 8 | | BOHO (Weekly) | 56.202 dollars/barrel | - 9.3588 | | Domestic First - grade Soybean Oil - 24 - degree Palm Oil Spread | - 750 yuan/ton | - 70 | [13] 2.4 Oilseed Futures Prices | Contract | Closing Price | Daily Change | Daily Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Bean Meal 01 | 3,066 | 16 | 0.52% | | Bean Meal 05 | 2,821 | 11 | 0.39% | | Bean Meal 09 | 3,020 | 14 | 0.47% | | Rapeseed Meal 01 | 2,521 | 21 | 0.84% | | Rapeseed Meal 05 | 2,406 | 12 | 0.5% | | Rapeseed Meal 09 | 2,562 | 9 | 0.35% | | CBOT Yellow Soybeans | 1,040 | 0 | 0% | | Off - shore RMB | 7.1395 | 0.0036 | 0.05% | [18] 2.5 Bean Meal and Rapeseed Meal Spreads | Spread Type | Price | Daily Change | | --- | --- | --- | | M01 - 05 | 240 | 0 | | M05 - 09 | - 196 | - 6 | | M09 - 01 | - 44 | 6 | | RM01 - 05 | 106 | - 1 | | RM05 - 09 | - 159 | - 25 | | RM09 - 01 | 53 | 26 | | Bean Meal Rizhao Spot | 3,020 | 0 | | Bean Meal Rizhao Basis | - 30 | 4 | | Rapeseed Meal Fujian Spot | 2,508 | - 8 | | Rapeseed Meal Fujian Basis | 8 | 5 | | Bean Meal - Rapeseed Meal Spot Spread | 512 | 8 | | Bean Meal - Rapeseed Meal Futures Spread | 550 | 9 | [19][21]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Palm Oil**: Internationally, Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are expected to continue to rise in the short - term, potentially approaching 4500 ringgit, with a chance of briefly breaking through and reaching 4580 - 4600 ringgit. However, due to potential production growth and export slowdown in the second half of the month, there is a risk of a pull - back. The overall view is near - term strength and long - term weakness. Domestically, Dalian palm oil futures have the potential to continue rising after breaking through 9500 yuan, possibly reaching 10,000 yuan. It is crucial to monitor whether they can effectively stay above 9500 yuan [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: China's decision to impose a 75.8% anti - dumping tariff on Canadian rapeseed from August 15 will increase the demand for other oilseeds and vegetable oils. The USDA monthly report has lowered the forecast for US soybean production and ending stocks, which will boost the prices of CBOT soybeans and soybean oil in the short term, and also support the price of Dalian soybean oil. The continuation of Sino - US tariffs until early November makes the fourth - quarter soybean import volume uncertain. The main January contract may face resistance at 8700 yuan, and if it fails to break through, a technical correction may occur [4]. - **Oilseeds (Bean and Rapeseed Meal)**: The US Department of Agriculture's report unexpectedly lowered the US soybean planting area, reducing the new - season production forecast and benefiting South American soybean exports. The preliminary anti - dumping ruling on Canadian rapeseed has led to a limit - up in rapeseed meal futures, also boosting the price of soybean meal futures. Short - term attention should be paid to whether the main contract of Dalian soybean meal can reach the resistance range of 3180 - 3200 yuan/ton [16]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oil Price Spreads - **Inter - monthly and Inter - variety Spreads of Oils**: The report provides price spreads and their daily changes for various oil contracts, such as P 1 - 5, Y - P 01, etc. For example, P 1 - 5 is 318 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 66 yuan, and Y - P 01 is - 920 yuan/ton with a daily decrease of 122 yuan [5]. 3.2 Palm Oil Spot and Futures Prices - **Palm Oil Futures and Spot Prices**: Palm oil futures prices for different contracts (01, 05, 09) have increased, with the 01 contract at 9490 yuan/ton (up 1%), the 05 contract at 9170 yuan/ton (up 1.01%), and the 09 contract at 9424 yuan/ton (up 0.66%). The BMD palm oil main contract is at 4459 ringgit/ton (up 1.29%). The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangzhou is 9470 yuan/ton, and the basis is - 42 yuan/ton [7]. 3.3 Soybean Oil Spot and Futures Prices - **Soybean Oil Futures and Spot Prices**: Soybean oil futures prices for different contracts (01, 05, 09) have also increased, with the 01 contract at 8576 yuan/ton (up 2.33%), the 05 contract at 8118 yuan/ton (up 1.89%), and the 09 contract at 8592 yuan/ton (up 2.24%). The CBOT soybean oil main contract is at 53.07 cents/pound (up 0.11%). The spot price of first - grade soybean oil in Shandong is 8640 yuan/ton, and the basis is - 6 yuan/ton [13]. 3.4 Oilseed Futures Prices - **Bean and Rapeseed Meal Futures Prices**: Futures prices of bean and rapeseed meal have generally increased. For example, the bean meal 01 contract is at 3163 yuan/ton (up 2.33%), and the rapeseed meal 01 contract is at 2688 yuan/ton (up 4.92%). The price of CBOT yellow soybeans remains unchanged at 1032.25, and the offshore RMB exchange rate is 7.1852 (down 0.12%) [16]. 3.5 Bean and Rapeseed Meal Spreads - **Bean and Rapeseed Meal Price Spreads**: The report provides price spreads and their daily changes for different contracts of bean and rapeseed meal, such as M01 - 05, RM01 - 05, etc. For example, M01 - 05 is 294 yuan with a daily increase of 4 yuan, and RM01 - 05 is 100 yuan with a daily increase of 52 yuan [17].

Report Summary 1. Core Views - **Palm Oil**: Internationally, Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are oscillating between 4,200 - 4,250 ringgit, facing potential downward pressure due to increased production and decreased exports. A break below 4,200 ringgit may open a new downward space towards 4,000 ringgit. Domestically, Dalian palm oil futures are strongly oscillating at high levels between 8,800 - 8,900 yuan. Affected by the potential decline of Malaysian palm oil and rising domestic port inventories, there is downward pressure. Support levels are at around 8,600 and 8,500 yuan. The long - term upward trend remains unchanged, currently in a phased adjustment [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: Market demand has improved recently. Based on export news, the market anticipates a price increase, leading some traders to show purchasing interest. Factory sales exceeded 30,000 tons yesterday. Some regions have relatively low inventory pressure with rising basis quotes, while regions like Guangxi still face inventory issues affecting basis quotes. In the short - term, basis quotes will fluctuate slightly and may rise as domestic demand increases [3]. - **Bean Meal**: China is accelerating the purchase of South American soybeans to ensure Q4 supply. Brazilian premiums are rising, supporting import costs. Near delivery, institutions are accelerating position transfers, with the short - term 09 contract oscillating around 3,000 yuan. Spot prices at oil mills have increased by 10 - 40 yuan/ton. In August, due to Sino - US tariff concerns, terminal point - pricing risk - aversion has increased, improving trading volume. Mid - August may see a peak in oil mill bean meal inventories, and the market is brewing bullish sentiment, with many looking to buy far - month contracts at low prices [16]. 2. Price and Spread Information Oils - **Palm Oil**: Palm oil 01 is at 8,968 yuan/ton with a 0.4% increase; 05 is at 8,772 yuan/ton with a 0.76% increase; 09 is at 8,970 yuan/ton with a 0.27% increase. BMD palm oil主力 is at 4,249 ringgit/ton with a 0.45% increase. The Guangzhou 24 - degree palm oil price is 8,930 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan. The Guangzhou 24 - degree basis is 40 yuan/ton, up 22 yuan [6]. - **Soybean Oil**: Soybean oil 01 is at 8,226 yuan/ton with a 0.03% increase; 05 is at 7,848 yuan/ton with a 0.11% increase; 09 is at 8,274 yuan/ton with a 0.33% increase. CBOT soybean oil主力 is at 54.75 cents/pound, down 2.42%. Shandong first - grade soybean oil spot is at 8,240 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan. The Shandong first - grade soybean oil basis is 18 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan [12]. - **Oil Spreads**: Various oil spreads such as P 1 - 5, P 5 - 9, Y - P 01, etc. are provided, showing different price changes [4]. Oilseeds - **Bean Meal**: Bean meal 01 is at 3,037 with a 0.03% increase; 05 is at 2,738 with a 0.11% increase; 09 is at 3,010 with a 0.33% increase. - **Rapeseed Meal**: Rapeseed meal 01 is at 2,409, down 0.08%; 05 is at 2,375 with a 0.04% increase; 09 is at 2,675, down 0.89%. - **Spreads**: Spreads like M01 - 05, RM01 - 05, etc. are presented with their respective price changes [17][18][20].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Palm Oil**: Internationally, Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are oscillating around 4,200 ringgit, facing downward pressure due to increased production and decreased exports, and are expected to decline towards 4,000 ringgit. In the domestic market, Dalian palm oil futures are in a high - level oscillatory adjustment, likely to weaken and test the 8,500 yuan support level. If it stabilizes above 8,500 yuan, there may be a short - term rebound, but the future trend depends on Malaysian palm oil [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: Many factories are experiencing severe inventory overstock, causing traders to lower basis quotes. However, the basis of forward contracts is supported as there have been no recent US soybean purchases in the domestic market, and the import volume in the fourth quarter is uncertain. Currently, soybean oil has a price advantage among the three major domestic oils, and the basis quotes are expected to rebound after the inventory overstock issue is resolved [4]. - **Soybean Meal**: Despite the pressure on spot supply, high Brazilian premiums and the lag in fourth - quarter ship purchases have led some institutions to turn to far - month contracts. Before the Sino - US negotiations next month, the short - term main contract of Dalian soybean meal faces resistance at the 3,000 yuan integer mark. The spot supply of soybean meal is generally loose due to abundant imported soybeans from May to July and accumulated oil - mill inventories [17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Oil Price and Spread - **Palm Oil Price and Spread**: Palm oil futures prices for different contracts (01, 05, 09) are 8,692 yuan/ton, 8,472 yuan/ton, and 8,708 yuan/ton respectively, with daily changes of - 0.3%, - 0.24%, and - 0.46%. BMD palm oil futures rose 0.96% to 4,186 ringgit/ton. The basis of Guangzhou 24 - degree palm oil is 32 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [8]. - **Soybean Oil Price and Spread**: Soybean oil futures prices for different contracts (01, 05, 09) are 8,000 yuan/ton, 7,654 yuan/ton, and 8,042 yuan/ton respectively, with daily changes of - 0.13%, - 0.07%, and - 0.03%. CBOT soybean oil futures rose 0.76% to 54.36 cents/pound. The basis of Shandong first - grade soybean oil is 88 yuan/ton, up 12 yuan [13]. - **Oil Inter - monthly and Inter - variety Spreads**: Various spreads such as P 1 - 5, Y - P 01, etc. are provided, with different price changes and percentage changes. For example, P 1 - 5 is 226 yuan/ton, up 16 yuan; Y - P 01 is - 758 yuan/ton, down 76 yuan [5]. 3.2. Oilseed Futures Price and Spread - **Oilseed Futures Price**: Futures prices of soybean meal (01, 05, 09) are 3,011, 2,700, and 2,977 respectively, with daily changes of - 4, - 2, and - 1. Futures prices of rapeseed meal (01, 05, 09) are 2,309, 2,300, and 2,653 respectively, with daily changes of - 3, - 1, and - 2. CBOT soybeans closed at 1,002.5, unchanged [18]. - **Soybean Meal and Rapeseed Meal Spread**: Spreads such as M01 - 05, RM01 - 05, etc. are provided, with different price changes. For example, M01 - 05 is 313, down 5; RM01 - 05 is 11, up 13 [19].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - International crude oil prices gap down due to OPEC+ exceeding market expectations with its August production increase plan, affecting biofuel raw materials and causing a decline in CBOT soybean and soybean oil futures. Malaysian palm oil exports increased and production declined in June, with inventory expected to slightly decrease, but the Malaysian palm oil futures are in a weak oscillation due to the weakening of crude oil and external oils and fats. [6][7] - In the domestic market, soybean oil inventory continues to rise, and it is expected to maintain a weak oscillation in the short - term due to the off - season demand and weakened import cost support. The arrival speed of imported palm oil is accelerating, and the domestic price follows the external market with mainly rigid demand. Rapeseed oil is expected to oscillate within a narrow range as the decline in domestic inventory and the uncertainty of subsequent imports still support the price. [7] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Macro and Industry News - As of July 2, the 2024/25 soybean harvest in Argentina reached 100%. The BAGE maintained the soybean production forecast at 50.3 million tons, a 15% increase from the five - year average due to ideal weather conditions during the planting season. [2] - As of July 4, 2025, Brazilian 2024/25 soybean sales reached 69.8% of the expected production, compared with 64% at the beginning of June. The sales progress was lower than 77.5% in the same period last year and the five - year average of 82.1%. [2] - In June, with the concentrated arrival of imported soybeans and strong downstream demand, the domestic major oil mills' soybean crushing volume reached 1.011 billion tons, a record high. It is expected that the oil mills will maintain a high operating rate in July, with a crushing volume of about 950 million tons. [2] - From June 28 to July 4, the actual soybean crushing volume of oil mills was 2.3322 million tons, with an operating rate of 65.56%, 53,500 tons higher than expected. The operating rate of domestic oil mills is expected to rise slightly from July 5 to July 11. [3] Fundamental Data Charts - Not provided Views and Strategies - Internationally, the increase in OPEC+ production in August exceeds market expectations, causing international crude oil prices to gap down, which affects biofuel raw materials and leads to a decline in CBOT soybean and soybean oil futures. The Malaysian palm oil futures are in a weak oscillation. [6][7] - Domestically, soybean oil is expected to maintain a weak oscillation, palm oil prices follow the external market, and rapeseed oil is expected to oscillate within a narrow range. [7]