（图为2024年度北京商业论坛现场） 2025年度北京商业论坛的主题设置和环节设计，将充分体现对当前市场环境和商业发展趋势的深度洞察，聚焦时尚潮玩、宠物经济、直播电商等热门话题， 邀请北京商业的优秀企业和典型品牌，以及来自政策和产业领域的专家代表，分享创新经验、解答爆款密码、研判消费趋势。 本届论坛由北京市商业联合会和北京商报社联合主办，以"潮尚聚变·新需求与新供给"为主题，产、学、研、媒、政各界嘉宾汇聚一堂，围绕时尚消费和潮 流趋势，为北京商业提质升级和企业品牌突围破圈提供真知灼见。 "十五五"规划建议指出，以新需求引领新供给，以新供给创造新需求。过去一年时尚消费、潮流消费的方兴未艾，正是这一要求的生动实践。"新需求与新 供给""潮尚聚变"成为商业和消费未来发展的关键词和重要维度。 "潮尚"消费作为扩大优质消费品和服务供给、打造消费新场景的切口，希望通过功能创新重塑产品价值，通过情绪与社交创新激活体验经济，通过场景创新 拓展消费场域，通过老字号与老年化商品时尚化打开新的市场空间，实现新需求与新供给的高效匹配。 "潮尚聚变"的本质，是让消费者为认同、热爱与体验买单。对企业而言，把握这一切入口，就意味着抓住了驱 ...

每经AI快讯，信达证券11月13日发布研报称，给予哈尔斯（002615.SZ，最新价：8.51元）"买入"评 级。评级理由主要包括：1）行业：消费逻辑变革，潮流消费赋予保温杯新使命；2）客户基础牢固，海 外产能放量、份额有望持续攀升；3）品牌全方位优化改革，未来目标宏伟。风险提示：需求复苏不及 预期、原材料价格&汇率波动超预期、产能爬坡不及预期、全球贸易摩擦加剧风险、OBM业务发展不 及预期风险。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——"银行直供房，不计成本卖！"有的半价出售，众多刚需还不知道！银行用 过的房很抢手，有人加价100万元抢拍 （记者 王晓波） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company Hars (002615) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the transformation of stainless steel thermal containers from "durable goods" to "consumer goods," driven by emotional branding and differentiated design, with the global market size reaching $12.491 billion in 2021 [2][24] - The report emphasizes the company's strong customer base and the expected increase in market share due to overseas production capacity expansion [3] - The company aims for a comprehensive brand optimization and has set ambitious goals for brand revenue to approach manufacturing by 2028 [4] Summary by Sections 1. Leading Brand in Thermal Containers - The company has evolved from an OEM model to establishing its own brand, creating a second growth curve [8] - The ownership structure is concentrated, with significant shareholding by management, indicating strong confidence in the company's future [16] 2. Accelerating Consumption Logic and Industry Expansion - The consumption scenarios for thermal containers are broadening, leading to market expansion [24] - The global market for stainless steel thermal containers is projected to grow, with China being a major production country [24][34] 3. Overseas Capacity Boosting Market Share - The company has established a solid customer base, with significant revenue from major clients [3] - The brand is undergoing comprehensive reforms, which are expected to contribute significantly to future growth [4] 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 144 million, 298 million, and 385 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27.4X, 13.3X, and 10.3X [4][11]

Group 1: Summer Consumption Trends - The arrival of the summer consumption season has increased foot traffic for various commercial entities and stimulated innovation in business practices, creating engaging summer experiences for consumers in Chengdu [1] - The "Simple is Wonderful" themed event at Chengdu Taikoo Li, presented by Swire Properties and Disney China, combines trendy art with urban culture, offering a unique shopping experience [2][4] Group 2: Themed Activities and Promotions - The "Simple is Wonderful" event features a pop-up café and interactive games, injecting fresh vitality into the shopping district and encouraging consumer exploration [4][6] - The event will run until August 31, with additional promotions for the Qixi Festival and themed running groups planned to enhance consumer engagement [6] Group 3: IP Development and Brand Engagement - CapitaLand's self-created IP "Panda A Le" has been relaunched with an upgraded image, initiating a nationwide series of events titled "Meet A Le, Start Happiness" [7][9] - The upgraded 3D plush version of "Panda A Le" aims to resonate with audiences and enhance emotional connections, reflecting CapitaLand's commitment to panda conservation in China [9][11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Yangpu District in Shanghai is focusing on "trendy consumption" by creating a "two-dimensional brand aggregation area" to leverage local resource advantages and stimulate new potential in the two-dimensional consumption industry [1][2] - The "Shanghai International Animation Month" is a key event under the "Shanghai Summer" international consumption season, themed "Manga City, High Summer," integrating various models such as "culture + technology," "local + international," and "classic + trendy" to attract anime enthusiasts from across the country and globally [1][2] - Yangpu is positioned as a significant area for Shanghai's two-dimensional economy, aiming to establish a comprehensive layout of "festivals, exhibitions, and conferences" and design multiple major activities to ignite market enthusiasm around the Wujiaochang business district and Fuxing Island [1][2] Group 2 - The two-dimensional (anime, games, etc.) consumption sector has become a trend among the younger generation, with Yangpu actively enhancing the two-dimensional industry in Shanghai through IP empowerment and upgrading traditional business districts [2] - Wujiaochang business district is developing a "themed business district + vertical shopping mall + characteristic street" layout to cater to the diverse consumption needs of young consumers, with over 70 brands in the Bailian ZX Creative Park and a first-store ratio exceeding 70% [2] - Major events like the Shanghai International Animation Month and the Shanghai Dimension Tour Festival are leading the way in creating a multi-layered local activity matrix that combines merchant self-marketing, IP enterprise promotion, and joint efforts from government, enterprises, and academia to enrich consumer offerings [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution of the "酷动城" (Cool City) platform, highlighting its transformation from a niche sneaker marketplace to a comprehensive trend-driven e-commerce platform that caters to a wider audience [2][10][18] - It emphasizes the growing importance of authentication services in the sneaker and streetwear market, as consumer demand for verified products increases [9][10][11] - The article also notes the shift in consumer behavior towards more mainstream e-commerce platforms like Taobao, which offer a broader range of products and better user engagement [22][27] Group 1: Evolution of Cool City - Cool City has undergone a significant rebranding and expansion, now featuring a variety of trendy products beyond just sneakers, including apparel and collectibles [2][10] - The platform has successfully integrated authentication services, enhancing consumer trust and engagement [9][10] - The rise of Cool City reflects a broader trend in the e-commerce landscape, where platforms are evolving to meet changing consumer preferences [18][27] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The sneaker resale market in China reached a valuation of over $1 billion in 2019, indicating a robust demand for collectible footwear [6] - The financial attributes of sneakers have led to increased speculation and a need for reliable authentication services, with platforms like "得物" (Dewu) and Cool City competing in this space [6][10] - Consumer preferences are shifting towards platforms that offer a wider selection and better service, with Taobao's integration of payment systems significantly boosting user engagement [22][27] Group 3: Future Trends in E-commerce - The article predicts that the future of trend-driven consumption will increasingly align with traditional e-commerce models, emphasizing the importance of a stable supply chain and user experience [19][27] - As the market matures, platforms that can effectively balance trendiness with reliable service and product availability will likely dominate [19][27] - The concept of "货架电商" (shelf e-commerce) is highlighted as a key trend, allowing brands to engage directly with consumers and build cultural capital [27][28]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of capturing the young consumer market as a key to future business success [1] - The trend of "paying for happiness" is driving new business opportunities, particularly in underexplored market segments [1] - The recent upgrades to Taobao's "Cool City" IP reflect a strategic move to attract young consumers and stimulate growth [3][22] Group 1: Market Trends - There is a noticeable shift towards niche hobbies and activities among young consumers, such as camping, skiing, and unique collectibles [1] - The "Cool City" IP has expanded its categories to include not only sports and outdoor activities but also trendy products appealing to younger demographics [3][22] - Young consumers are increasingly viewing outdoor activities as social currency, with significant annual spending on outdoor sports [24] Group 2: Business Growth - Merchants who joined the upgraded "Cool City" have reported substantial sales growth, with some experiencing a 50% increase in transaction volume shortly after joining [7] - The platform's support, including enhanced visibility and traffic incentives, has led to improved conversion rates and customer engagement for new merchants [9][21] - The "Cool City" initiative is part of a broader strategy by Taobao and Tmall to support quality brands and drive significant growth in the sports and outdoor sectors [11][22] Group 3: Consumer Demographics - The primary consumer base for brands like "Sound Speed Cat" and GRC is predominantly young, with a significant portion aged between 15 and 18 [24][25] - GRC's target demographic spans a wider age range, primarily focusing on middle-class consumers aged 25 to 45 [24] - The characteristics of young consumers include a strong inclination to share their purchases on social media and a preference for products with social and emotional value [24][25] Group 4: Strategic Implications - The upgrades to "Cool City" are seen as a critical strategy for Taobao to enhance its appeal to younger consumers and foster a vibrant online community [22][28] - The initiative aims to create a more diverse product offering, including trendy and unique items that resonate with younger audiences [27][28] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with brands leveraging the "Cool City" platform to differentiate themselves and capture market share [20][21]