（责任编辑：刘畅 ） ETF方面，军工与商业航天板块联袂上攻，永赢基金卫星ETF、富国基金卫星ETF和万家基金航天 航空ETF分别涨6.2%、5.7%和5.62%。军工板块表现亮眼，富国基金军工龙头ETF涨5.41%。 中韩半导体ETF跌3.68%。大金融板块全线回调，保险证券ETF、证券保险ETF易方达分别跌 3.26%、3.25%。 A股今日窄幅震荡，截至收盘，沪指跌0.07%，录得15连阳，深成指跌0.51%，创业板指跌0.82%， 北证50指数涨0.81%，沪深京三市成交额28262亿元，较上日缩量553亿元，三市超3700只个股飘红。板 块题材上，军工装备、商业航天、脑机接口、光伏设备、可控核聚变、AI智能体、房地产、量子科 技、CRO概念股涨幅居前；保险、证券、有色金属、稀土永磁、银行、电池板块表现落后。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

（责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com A股三大指数早盘涨跌不一，截至午盘，沪指涨0.09%，深成指跌0.2%，创业板指跌0.52%，北证50 指数涨0.81%，沪深京三市半日成交额17815亿元，较上日缩量722亿元。全市场超3700只个股上涨。板 块题材上，脑机接口、可控核聚变、军工装备、智谱AI、短剧游戏、商业航天、量子科技、CRO概念 股涨幅居前；证券、保险、稀土永磁、旅游及酒店、零售免税店、电池板块表现落后。 ETF方面，军工与商业航天板块联袂上攻，富国基金军工龙头ETF、富国基金卫星ETF和鹏华基金 国防ETF分别涨4.57%、4.43%和4.22%。央企科技股表现亮眼，南方基金央企科技ETF、银华基金央企 科技引领ETF分别涨3.13%和2.94%。 大金融板块全线回调，保险证券ETF、证券ETF龙头和香港证券ETF易方达均跌2.4%。有色板块下 跌，稀有金属 ...

我在里面提醒过大家，上证指数的日K线图已经8连阳了（今天已经是12连阳）。自从那个男人出手护盘后，市场就触底不断往上走。而今天，2026年第一 个交易日，上证指数重回4000点，沪深两市成交额突破2.5万亿大关，资金跑步进场。稍早之前，杠杆资金悄然入场埋伏，沪深两市融资余额同样突破2.5万 亿大关创下历史新高。险资提高股权投资占比，融资余额不断创新高，指数基金规模大幅膨胀。那么问题来了，现在到底还有谁还没入场呢？ 数据来源：Wind 也可能都已经入场了。 今年元旦，保险公司个险新单普遍实现50%-60%的增长，大超预期。平安、太保、国寿、新华四大险企更是实现了60%以上的增长，股价也都纷纷创新高。 我问Gemini AI，为什么今年保险卖得这么好？Gemini告诉我： ①银行存款利率持续下行，定期存款利率普遍进入"1字头"，保险承接了大量寻求资产保值增值的低风险偏好资金。 ②保险公司主打产品从传统的"增额终身寿险"全面转为"分红险"。分红险采用"较低的保证利率（2%左右）+不确定的浮动分红"收益结构。低利率环境下， 可以有个兜底收益。同时未来投资环境好转，也能享受向上的收益弹性，很是能吸引居民购买。 ③银行自 ...

一、沪深股通前十大成交 | | High | 12月29日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 601899 | 三分头 | 29.05 | | 2 | 688256 | 寒武纪 | 28.35 | | 3 | 601138 | 工业富联 | 16.31 | | 4 | 603986 | 兆易创新 | 16.03 | | 5 | 603993 | 洛阳铝业 | 12.35 | | 6 | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 10.90 | | 7 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 10.58 | | 8 | 601600 | 中国铝业 | 10.18 | | 9 | 688041 | 海光信息 | 8.57 | | 10 | 688270 | 紫電科技 | 7.89 | | | 深度道（ | 12月29日 0 | | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 300274 | 阳光电源 | 33.92 | | 2 | 300308 | 中际旭创 | 28.37 | | 3 | 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock indices showed mixed performance this week, with significant inflows into ETFs, particularly those related to the CSI A500, indicating investor confidence in sectors aligned with China's economic transformation [1][2][10]. Inflows and Market Performance - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 8.69 trillion yuan, with the Shanghai index closing at 3890.45 points, up 0.03%, and the Shenzhen index at 13140.21 points, down 0.89% [2]. - The combined net inflow into stock ETFs and cross-border ETFs was 688.11 billion yuan, with broad-based index ETFs seeing a net inflow of 474 billion yuan [2][5]. Sector-Specific ETF Trends - The CSI A500-related ETFs experienced a net inflow of 326 billion yuan, reflecting strong investor interest in this index as it aligns with the ongoing economic restructuring [5][10]. - Communication, securities, and insurance ETFs attracted significant capital, with net inflows of 12.12 billion yuan, 12.05 billion yuan, and 10.79 billion yuan, respectively [12][15]. Outflows from Specific Sectors - Conversely, military-related ETFs faced substantial outflows, with the military leader ETF and military ETF seeing reductions of 26.84 billion and 7.54 billion shares, respectively, resulting in net outflows of 18.78 billion yuan and 9.35 billion yuan [15][21]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current economic structure adjustment in China is creating opportunities in industries aligned with new productive forces, making the CSI A500 ETFs an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on these trends [10][24].

Group 1 - On December 18, the A-share market showed mixed performance, with stock ETFs experiencing a net inflow of over 12.7 billion yuan [1] - As of December 18, the total scale of 1,280 stock ETFs in the market reached 4.6 trillion yuan, with a net inflow of 12.764 billion yuan calculated based on an increase of 9.406 billion fund shares [2] - Broad-based ETFs led the net inflow, amounting to 9.4 billion yuan, with the CSI A500 Index ETF seeing the highest inflow of 5.293 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - In the past five trading days, the CSI A500 Index ETF recorded a net inflow exceeding 30.8 billion yuan, while the CSI 300 Index ETF saw over 5.9 billion yuan in net inflow [2] - On December 18, 37 ETFs had net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with the top three being E Fund's ChiNext ETF, A500 ETF from Huatai-PineBridge, and Huaxia Fund's A500 ETF, with net inflows of 1.936 billion yuan, 1.854 billion yuan, and 1.62 billion yuan respectively [2] - Leading fund companies continued to attract net inflows, with E Fund's Securities Insurance ETF seeing a net inflow of 507 million yuan, bringing its latest scale to 17.368 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - Industry-themed ETFs, such as those focused on military and gaming sectors, experienced significant net outflows, with the military leader ETF seeing a net outflow of 612 million yuan [4] - E Fund's fund manager Li Shujian believes that A-shares and Hong Kong stocks still hold significant valuation attractiveness compared to similar markets, with the potential for sustained appeal for long-term capital allocation [4] - ICBC Credit Suisse Fund anticipates that the A-share market may exhibit a volatile upward trend and a balanced structure driven by profit recovery, capital allocation, and policy support, recommending investment in core assets of the Chinese economy [4]

Group 1: Overview of Grid Trading Strategy - The grid trading strategy is essentially a high buy low sell trading approach, focusing on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [3][12] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include: selecting on-market targets, stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [3][12] Group 2: Analysis of ETF Grid Strategy Targets - The military industry ETF (512710.SH) is expected to benefit from a new round of military procurement driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan," with China's defense budget for 2025 projected at 1.81 trillion yuan, a 7.2% increase year-on-year [3][13] - The Hang Seng Pharmaceutical ETF (159892.SZ) focuses on innovative drugs, with China's pipeline of 7,041 projects, accounting for 29.5% of the global total, and a year-on-year growth of 15.1%, indicating strong development in the pharmaceutical sector [4][16] - The Hong Kong Automotive ETF (520600.SH) is positioned to benefit from the trends of electrification and globalization in the automotive industry, with domestic sales of new energy vehicles reaching 10.929 million units, a 25.7% increase year-on-year, and exports growing by 90.4% [5][18] - The Gaming ETF (159869.SZ) is supported by the normalization of game license approvals, with 1,624 licenses issued from January to November 2025, and overseas sales of Chinese-developed games reaching $9.501 billion, an 11.07% increase year-on-year [6][21]

踪中证军工龙头指数,主要投资于航空装备、军工 电子、导弹、无人机等军工细分领域的龙头企业, 有望充分受益于新一轮军工采购周期下行业的基本 面改善。 图1: 军工龙头 ETF(512710.SH) 网格策略回测收益曲线, 军工龙头ETF(512710.SH) 资料来源:Wind. 华宝证券研究创新部, THE STE ETF网格策略 ETF网格策略重点关注标的 (1) 军工龙头ETF (512710.SH) "十五五规划"提出"如期实现建军一百年奋 斗目标，高质量推进国防和军队现代化""加快先 进战斗力建设"。据央视新闻报道，我国2025年国 防预算1.81万亿元，同比增长7.2%，创历史新高， 但该预算占我国GDP比重仍低于1.3%，远低于美国 的3.5%和俄罗斯的6.3%。2025年处于"十四五" 收官之年与"十五五"规划衔接之际，在全球地缘 政治形势日趋复杂,与2027年建军百年目标的背景 下，我国国防预算占GDP比重有望进一步提高，国 防科技工业体系也有望进一步发展优化。该ETF跟 行业龙头股,提供了高效分享软件行业在自主可控 与AI技术融合领域中长期成长红利的投资工具。 图3:软件ETF(159852 ...

Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy that focuses on profiting from price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [4][13] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include being exchange-traded, having stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [4][13] - The report highlights key ETFs for grid trading, including the military industry ETF, which is expected to benefit from a new procurement cycle driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and a projected defense budget of 1.81 trillion yuan for 2025, a 7.2% increase [4][14] Group 2 - The gaming ETF is noted for its strong growth potential due to the normalization of game license approvals, with 1,624 licenses issued from January to November 2025, significantly surpassing the previous year's total [5][17] - The software ETF is positioned to capture opportunities from domestic software replacement and AI-driven transformations, supported by policies promoting technological self-reliance and innovation [6][20] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF is expected to enhance commercial monetization through AI integration, as major internet companies are increasingly deploying AI products to improve user engagement and service capabilities [7][23]

Market Strategy - The recent market rebound aligns with previous predictions of a "layout window emerging," but the market has not shown a simultaneous increase in volume and price, indicating that the rebound does not change the overall oscillating pattern [6] - The current tension in Sino-Japanese relations is a major factor restraining risk appetite, suggesting a cautious approach to technology growth sectors, which are more sensitive to risk preferences [6] - The real estate market has been in a downward trend since the policy release last September, with recent price increases in the sector driven by changes in policy expectations and capital inflows, but further confirmation of policy effectiveness is needed to sustain this momentum [6] Sector Strategy - In the technology sector, a cautious approach is recommended due to the difficulty in further upward adjustments in expectations amid declining risk appetite [6] - The cyclical consumer manufacturing sector, characterized by medium risk, is expected to gain market consensus as conditions evolve [6] - The real estate sector requires significant fiscal policy measures, such as mortgage interest subsidies, to boost market confidence and reverse negative expectations [6] Defense Industry - Recent U.S. arms sales to Japan, totaling approximately $82 million, may accelerate China's equipment development in response to increasing uncertainties in the Asia-Pacific region [6] - The geopolitical climate, influenced by Japan's military expansion and U.S. support, is likely to drive growth in China's defense capabilities [6]