Core Viewpoint - The recent approval of the H20 chip for sale in China marks a significant shift in U.S. chip policy, reflecting the complex interplay between political interests and commercial benefits in the ongoing U.S.-China tech rivalry [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Changes - In April 2025, the U.S. imposed a ban on the H20 chip, leading to a $5.5 billion inventory write-down for Nvidia and a 6% drop in its stock price [3]. - By July 15, 2025, the policy was reversed, allowing the H20 chip to enter the Chinese market, resulting in a surge in related A-share stocks, with Zhongji Xuchuang rising by 16.58% in a single day [3][5]. Group 2: Strategic Motivations - The reversal of the U.S. policy is driven by three main pressures: technological competition, capital market impacts, and political calculations [5][7]. - The technological gap between U.S. and Chinese chips is narrowing, with Huawei's Ascend 910B chip achieving 148 TFLOPS, only slightly behind the H20's 160 TFLOPS [5]. - The capital impact of the ban led to a $155 billion loss in Nvidia's market value and a 30% drop in ASML's lithography machine orders, prompting the semiconductor industry to lobby the White House [5]. Group 3: Commercial Dynamics - Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, indicated a deal with the U.S. government involving a $500 billion investment in AI data centers over four years in exchange for H20 export approval, highlighting the tension between U.S. efforts to contain China and the need for commercial gains [7]. - The H20 chip's technical limitations, such as only achieving 28% of the FP16 performance of the H100 and using less efficient interconnect technology, suggest a strategic attempt to limit China's technological advancement [8]. Group 4: Market Implications - Despite the H20's limitations, demand in China's medical and educational sectors remains high due to the dominance of the CUDA ecosystem, which 90% of global AI developers rely on [10]. - The dependency on the H20 chip poses long-term risks for China's tech independence, as local alternatives like Huawei's Ascend series and Cambricon's MLU370 are still developing their software ecosystems [10][11]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The U.S. may continue to implement "dynamic controls," allowing the export of older generation products while China must focus on breaking the CUDA monopoly, accelerating chiplet technology commercialization, and building a self-sufficient semiconductor equipment system [11]. - Huang's statement about China accounting for 20% of Nvidia's revenue underscores the ultimate logic of this geopolitical struggle: commercial interests may eventually override political barriers [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between China and the United States over rare earth elements, highlighting China's strategic use of its dominance in this sector to counter U.S. actions, particularly in the technology and defense industries [3][4][8]. Group 1: Rare Earth Supply Chain Dynamics - China's rare earth exports are now subject to a permanent licensing system, complicating U.S. efforts to stockpile and mitigate supply chain issues [3][4]. - The automotive industries in Europe and Japan are facing significant challenges due to rare earth shortages, with companies like Toyota and Honda experiencing urgent inventory crises [3][4]. - U.S. rare earth mining companies are attempting to stockpile resources in anticipation of potential supply disruptions from China [3][4]. Group 2: U.S. Challenges in Rebuilding Supply Chains - The U.S. has struggled to establish a complete rare earth supply chain, with projects like the Round Top in Texas projected to only meet 20% of domestic demand by 2027 [6]. - The ReElement project, aimed at recycling rare earths from electric vehicle batteries, faces high technical and cost barriers, making it an impractical short-term solution [6]. - The U.S. government's attempts to revitalize its rare earth industry through funding and legislation have not yielded significant progress [6]. Group 3: Strategic Implications of the U.S.-China Standoff - The ongoing standoff reflects a complete breakdown of strategic trust between the U.S. and China, with both sides unwilling to make concessions [8]. - The global nature of the rare earth supply chain makes unilateral decoupling unrealistic, as both nations are interdependent [8]. - The article concludes that the rare earth conflict has no clear winners, emphasizing that control over core resources is crucial in the ongoing technological cold war [10].

国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 6月13日消息，近日，NVIDIA CEO黄仁勋表示，由于美国芯片禁令仍具高度不确定性，未来 财测不再涵盖中国市场。 日前， 黄仁勋接受采访时表示，由于美国进一步调整出口规范，NVIDIA专供中国市场的H20 芯片出货受限，未来营收及获利预估值中，来自中国的部分将"全数剔除"。 黄仁勋坦言，他不指望美中新一轮协商会解除相关禁令，所以干脆将中国市场营收排除在财 测之外。 早先，因应美国芯片禁令，NVIDIA推出降规版AI芯片H20，AI运算性能低于标准版H100， 2024上半年开始出货中国市场。 第二步：在公众号里面回复"加群"，按照提示操作即可。 爆料｜投稿｜合作｜社群 有媒体称，美国将部分松绑对中国的芯片出口管制，但NVIDIA最先进AI芯片，不太可能放 行。 值得一提的是，美国商务部长卢特尼克近日重申，美方不会把自家最好的芯片直接给中国， 而是希望以飞机零件、乙烷做为谈判筹码，希望中国移除稀土出口管制。 ***************END*************** 半导体公众号推荐 半导 ...

Core Viewpoint - The CEO of ASML, Peter Wennink, expressed strong dissatisfaction with the U.S. export restrictions, stating that these measures not only harm ASML's business but also push China to become a leader in lithography technology [1][3]. Group 1: Impact of U.S. Export Restrictions - The U.S. export ban has disrupted decades of established supply chains, particularly affecting sectors like AI that rely on global collaboration [4]. - The restrictions are forcing China to accelerate its technological advancements, which could threaten ASML's market position in the future [4][6]. - Wennink criticized the U.S. policy as foolish, highlighting that it inadvertently provides China with an opportunity to enhance its capabilities [4][8]. Group 2: Financial Implications for ASML - ASML reported a revenue of $32.3 billion last year, but its stock price has dropped by 25% over the past year due to geopolitical tensions and export restrictions [6]. - The potential imposition of tariffs by the U.S. has raised production costs for chip manufacturing, making it less attractive for companies to establish operations in the U.S. [6]. Group 3: ASML's Response and Industry Dynamics - ASML has formed lobbying teams in Washington, Brussels, and The Hague to advocate for the protection of the semiconductor industry and to maintain trade relations with China [6]. - Other industry leaders, such as NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang, have echoed similar sentiments, stating that U.S. export controls are fundamentally flawed and could lead to a technological dominance shift towards China [6][8]. Group 4: China's Strategic Approach - In response to U.S. restrictions, China is pursuing a dual strategy of self-research and continued global collaboration in semiconductor technology [8]. - Chinese companies like SMIC and Huawei are investing heavily in lithography technology, showing visible progress despite the challenges [8].

庞德伟发布自己抵京的消息（资料图） 值得一提的是，庞德伟对华这样的态度并不让人意外，因为他是美国总统特朗普的坚定支持者，在他赴京履职之前，特 朗普专门为其举办了一场送别会，足以说明两人的关系有多亲密。庞德伟同样也是商人出身，他主张"全球供应链优 化"的理念，与特朗普的"美国优先"政策如出一辙，显然，从出身到理念，他俨然是的第二个特朗普，因此也就能理解， 他为什么能喊出那样的口号了。当下，正值中美关系敏感的时刻，特朗普刚刚才被中方逼着"认输"，就派出一位对华鹰 派来华副职，目的俨然不单纯。 据北京日报报道，2025年5月16日，外交部部长助理兼礼宾司司长洪磊接受美国新任驻华大使庞德伟递交国书副本。庞德 伟大使于5月15日抵华。 近日，中美之间最引人注意的的互动，就属美国驻华新大使庞德伟的到任就职。到任后第二天，他就正式向中国外交部 官员递交了国书副本。在递交完国书后，庞大使在X上写道：我很期待能在中国代表特朗普总统以及美国人民推进美国的 利益。对于他的到任，我们这边外交部的声明比较简短，就一句话：中国对中美关系的立场一以贯之。我们愿意为庞德 伟大使来华履职提供便利。这句话看得简单，其实里面意味深长，特朗普先生也 ...