在当前阶段，市场对英镑保持中性观点，预计汇率将继续维持区间震荡格局，投资者的关注点正转向即 将发布的英国秋季财政预算案及其可能带来的政策信号。展望未来货币政策，报告预计英国央行可能于 今年12月宣布降息，这一时间点早于市场目前的普遍预期。若英国央行提前进入降息周期，将显著削弱 英镑的利率优势，从而对汇率构成下行压力。相对利差一直是支撑英镑的重要因素，一旦收窄，可能使 英镑兑美元面临新的调整风险。 英镑兑美元日线在1.3400支撑位上方稳固企稳，并突破了短期均线压制。MACD快慢线形成金叉，动能 柱转向正值，显示多头力量增强。若汇价有效突破1.3570关口，则有望进一步上探1.3620及1.3680阻力 位；若回落，则初步支撑关注1.3500，其次为1.3440。整体走势偏向震荡偏强。 周四（9月11日）亚盘早盘，英镑兑美元暂报1.3523，跌幅0.04%，昨日收盘报1.3528。Monex Europe的 分析报告指出，本周四即将公布的美国通胀数据，将成为英镑兑美元汇率的下一个关键催化剂。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The British pound is primarily influenced by the US dollar and market risk sentiment, with upcoming US inflation data being a potential catalyst for GBP/USD movements [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Market Influence - The pound's performance is affected by the dollar's movements and overall market risk sentiment, especially in the absence of significant UK data releases [1] Upcoming Events - The US inflation report scheduled for Thursday is anticipated to impact the GBP/USD exchange rate [1] - The UK autumn budget is highlighted as a key domestic catalyst for the pound [1] Future Outlook - Monex Europe suggests that the Bank of England may lower interest rates as early as December, which is sooner than market expectations, potentially diminishing the pound's relative interest rate advantage [1]

Currency Exchange Rates - The British pound has surged, reaching a four-year high against the US dollar at 1.37 and a near ten-year high against the Chinese yuan at 9.86 [2][4] - The latest exchange rates for GBP are: 1 GBP = 1.3722 USD, 1 GBP = 9.8398 CNY, 1 GBP = 1.1720 EUR, and 1 GBP = 197.9812 JPY [6] Economic Developments - A new town will be constructed in West London, providing 25,000 housing units and creating 56,000 jobs [11] - By 2035, it is projected that 1.2 million households will be forced to leave London due to high housing prices, with a 43% increase in families unable to afford living in central London [12][13][14] Government Investments - The UK government is increasing support for the Universal Studios project with a £500 million investment to improve transportation infrastructure [16] - An additional £500 million will be invested in Bedfordshire to enhance surrounding transportation and infrastructure, including £270 million for railway upgrades [15] Political Landscape - A significant shift in voter support is noted, with many working-class voters abandoning the Labour Party in favor of the Reform Party, with current support rates at 27% for the Reform Party and 23% for Labour [19][21] - A recent poll indicates that 29% of voters left Labour due to unmet government promises, while 24% cited insufficient relief from living cost pressures [19] Employment Trends - The number of graduate job openings in the UK has dropped to the lowest level since 2018, decreasing by 33% year-on-year and accounting for 12% of all job vacancies [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - The British pound has reached its highest level since October 2021, increasing by 0.6% to 1.3746 USD [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - Currency Performance - The British pound has seen a significant rise, touching 1.3746 USD, marking the highest point since October 2021 [1] - The latest increase in the pound's value is recorded at 0.6% [1]

金十数据5月26日讯，美元亚盘继续走低，美元指数DXY现跌0.37%至98.73。美元/加元跌至自10月9日 以来的最低点；欧元兑美元EUR/USD涨近0.5%，报1.4156。英镑兑美元GBP/USD日内涨0.4%，续刷 2022年2月以来的最高水平。 美元亚盘续跌 英镑涨至逾三年高位 ...