黄金储备重估

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黄金储备估值已超万亿,美国何时“用金化债”,相当于9900亿美元的QE?
华尔街见闻· 2025-09-30 10:53
美国黄金储备市值首次突破1万亿美元,这重新点燃了市场关于美国可能重估其黄金储备的猜测。 今年以来,黄金价格累计上涨45%,美国财政部黄金储备估值史上首次突破1万亿美元,重新引发市场对美国财长贝森特可能重估这批贵金属资产的猜测。 (美国黄金储备市值走势) 与多数国家将黄金储备存放于央行不同,美国的黄金由财政部直接持有。美联储则持有与财政部黄金储备价值相对应的黄金证书,并以此为政府提供美元信 贷。 这意味着,若财政部根据当前市价更新其黄金储备的价值,将能向其金库注入约9900亿美元资金,从而大幅减少今年发行新国债的需求。 市场人士认为,虽然此举存在法律疑问且可能被视为非正统做法,但考虑到特朗普政府的激进风格,黄金重估概率正在上升。 简言之, 财政部只需同意按公允价值确认黄金的价值,便可凭空创造出约9900亿美元的资金,用于偿还债务、填补赤字或设立主权财富基金等优先事项。 在市场上,重估黄金储备将被视为一种非常规的政策工具。 美国数十年来未曾重估其黄金储备,主要是为了防范财政部与美联储资产负债表的剧烈波动,并维护财政与货币当局的独立性。 据报道,此举并非没有先例,德国、意大利和南非等国近几十年来都曾做出过重估其黄金 ...
美国黄金储备价值创纪录,首次触及1万亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 03:20
Core Insights - The total value of the U.S. gold reserves has surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, marking a significant milestone in the global financial landscape [3][8] - The market value of U.S. gold reserves is over 90 times its official book value, highlighting a substantial "value gap" [3][6] - The rise in gold prices is driven by multiple factors, including expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increasing geopolitical tensions [5][6] Group 1: Historical Breakthrough - On September 29, 2025, the value of U.S. gold reserves reached $1 trillion as gold prices exceeded $3,824.5 per ounce [3] - The U.S. holds approximately 261.5 million ounces (about 8,133 tons) of gold, which is 2 to 4 times the reserves of Germany, Italy, and France combined [3] - The official book value of these reserves, based on a 1973 Congressional standard of $42.22 per ounce, is just over $11 billion [3] Group 2: Factors Driving Gold Prices - The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has lowered the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset [5] - Geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns have led investors to seek safe-haven assets, contributing to the rise in gold prices [5] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 45%, with predictions of continued upward momentum [5] Group 3: Revaluation Speculations - The significant disparity between the market value and the official book value of U.S. gold reserves has sparked discussions about potential revaluation [6] - If revalued at current market prices, the U.S. Treasury could theoretically gain about $990 billion, which could cover half of the annual budget deficit [6] - Such a revaluation could have profound implications for market liquidity and inflation risks, reflecting the cautious approach of U.S. policymakers [6] Group 4: The Mystery of Fort Knox - Fort Knox, where over half of the U.S. gold reserves are stored, has long been shrouded in mystery, with public interest in the authenticity of the reserves [7] - The gold stored at Fort Knox was transferred there in the 1930s to mitigate risks from potential military threats [7] - The high security and limited access to these storage facilities add to the intrigue surrounding U.S. gold reserves [7] Group 5: Symbolic Significance in Global Finance - The surpassing of the $1 trillion mark in U.S. gold reserves reinforces the importance of gold as a stabilizing force in the financial system [8] - In the context of a potential shift away from the dollar as the primary reserve currency, the value of gold reserves becomes increasingly significant [8] - The management of this $1 trillion "underground wealth" will be a critical factor influencing the global financial landscape [8]
创纪录涨势后,美国黄金储备价值触及1万亿美元
美股IPO· 2025-09-29 23:44
随着金价突破历史新高,美国财政部2.615亿盎司的黄金储备价值已超1万亿美元,但其官方账面价值 仍固定在1973年的每盎司42.22美元(约110亿美元)。若按市价重估,将为美国财政部释放约9900 亿美元资金。在政府面临债务上限约束的背景下,这笔资金无疑颇具诱惑力。 随着金价飙升并刷新历史新高,美国财政部持有的黄金储备市场价值已首次突破1万亿美元大关。 周一,金价一度突破每盎司3824.5美元,今年累计涨幅高达45%,推动了美国这笔全球最大黄金储备 的价值攀升。涨势背后,是投资者在贸易战、地缘政治紧张局势以及对美国潜在政府融资危机的日益 担忧中寻求安全庇护。此外,黄金交易所交易基金(ETF)的持续资金流入和美联储重启降息周期也 为金价上涨提供了强劲动力。 不过, 美国政府资产负债表上的黄金官方价值仍固定在110亿美元出头,这一估值基于国会1973年设 定的每盎司42.22美元价格。 两者之间的巨大差距意味着美国黄金储备的市场价值是账面价值的 90多 倍。 若按当前市价重估黄金储备, 将为美国财政部释放约9900亿美元资金 。今年早些时候,美国财政部 长贝森特的一句即兴评论曾引发市场猜测,认为美国政府可能将其 ...