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“新首富”泡泡玛特王宁:在下行周期里卖 “情绪” 的人
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-10 10:55
王宁的成功是残酷商业世界里感性的胜利。 6月8日,一则新闻再次让资本兴奋起来,泡泡玛特创始人王宁以203亿美元身家登顶河南首富,超越传统农牧巨头秦英林。 6月9日,其财富排名再度攀升。根据福布斯实时富豪榜6月9日上午的最新数据,王宁目前身家为208亿美元,跻身中国榜第十,全球第101名。 但很快,PC端的视频网站的兴起,让刻光盘变得有些过时,于是2008年初,王宁和团队伙伴发现了了"格子店"这种新兴的零售业态,并开始了创业。 格子店创业让他触及零售本质,小格子汇聚创意商品形成吸引力,却因分租模式导致品控失衡。他渴望打造一个统一采购、品控严格却保持丰富度的新业 态。2010年香港之行,LOG-ON潮流超市(其模式源自日本的Loft,Loft和无印良品出自一家公司)的人气令他豁然开朗——这不就是理想的模型? 回到北京后,他创办了泡泡玛特。 但北京中关村欧美汇购物中心的首店却泼下冷水,泡泡玛特在一众品牌专卖店旁显得犹如同误入宴会的灰姑娘,渐渐地店员因客流稀少开始辞职。 转机在2012年降临。八月的一天,著名天使投资人麦刚找上门来,麦刚和王宁多次交谈,最终决定投资200万元。这笔投资虽不算很多,但绝对算是一 笔"救命 ...
名创优品(MNSO):非交易路演要点:营收目标不变,利润率压力将逐步收窄;买入
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-28 05:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Miniso (MNSO) with a 12-month target price of $23.40 for ADR and HK$46.00 for H-shares, reflecting a potential upside of 27.9% and 33.1% respectively [15][17]. Core Insights - Management reiterated its target for accelerated revenue growth in 2025, aiming for a year-on-year increase of 23% compared to 2024, with a focus on achieving low teens percentage growth in Miniso China sales and approximately 40% growth in overseas business [1][5]. - Despite expected slight declines in gross profit margins this year, management anticipates healthy operating profit growth for the year, with margins expected to narrow sequentially in Q2 and return to positive territory in Q3 [1][5]. - The company plans to close 300-400 underperforming or outdated stores in China, with expectations of stabilizing or slightly decreasing the number of new stores in the second quarter, but anticipates a return to store growth in the latter half of the year [1][11]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - Management expects revenue growth to accelerate in 2025, driven by positive sales and store productivity improvements, with a target of opening 500 to 600 new stores, of which 40% to 45% will be DTC stores [5][16]. - For Top Toy, management anticipates a year-on-year revenue growth of approximately 50% to 60% and plans to add 100 new stores [5]. Profit Margins - Operating profit is projected to recover to positive growth in Q3, with a target operating profit of RMB 3.6 billion to RMB 3.8 billion for the year, compared to RMB 3.2 billion last year [5][16]. - Management noted that while the operating profit margin may experience slight declines due to macroeconomic factors and DTC expansion, the pressure on margins is expected to gradually narrow [1][5][7]. Store Network and Strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing its store network, with plans to close underperforming stores while aiming for a net increase in store count in the latter half of the year [1][11]. - In the U.S. market, Miniso will concentrate on 24 states to achieve better economies of scale and reduce operational costs, while also optimizing its product mix to cater to local consumers [6][10]. Product Mix and Market Adaptation - The product mix includes a focus on toys and lifestyle products, with a strategy to increase local sourcing to mitigate potential tariff risks [10][12]. - Management aims to enhance the contribution of third-party products to diversify the product range while maintaining overall gross margin stability [12].