Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a positive outlook for specific sectors within the mechanical equipment industry, particularly commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics [5][11]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is highlighted as a key area of growth, with China completing 50 launches in 2025, accounting for 54% of total space launches, and a significant increase in commercial satellite deployments [5]. - Humanoid robotics is positioned as a transformative industry, with expectations for public sales of humanoid robots by 2027, indicating a pivotal moment for the sector [5]. - The agricultural machinery sector shows positive trends, with both domestic demand and exports improving, particularly for large tractors [5]. - The report identifies various mechanical sub-sectors with differing performance outlooks, including general machinery under pressure, engineering machinery accelerating upward, and stable growth in railway equipment and gas turbines [5]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Mechanical Equipment Index rose by 2.57% during the week of January 19-23, 2026, ranking 13th among 31 primary industry categories [13]. - Year-to-date, the index has increased by 10.16%, ranking 9th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 1.57% [16]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector remains under pressure, with a PMI of 50.1% in December, marking the first increase above the threshold in eight months [23]. - Forklift sales in December totaled 111,363 units, with domestic sales down by 5.17% and exports up by 7.97% [23]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing upward momentum, with excavator sales reaching 23,095 units in December, a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [32]. Railway Equipment - The railway equipment sector shows steady growth, with fixed asset investment maintaining around 6% growth since 2025 [41]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, with the global new ship price index at 184.65, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.38% [43]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing, with high demand in the Middle East and OPEC+ balancing pressures expected to support oil prices [45]. Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is expected to benefit from improved steel profitability due to declining raw material prices, leading to increased demand [49]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is showing robust growth, with GEV reporting a 39% year-on-year increase in new orders for gas turbines in the first three quarters of 2025 [51].

Investment Rating - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 1.91% during the week of January 12-16, 2026, ranking 5th among 31 primary industry categories [3][13]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 7.40%, ranking 7th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index increased by 2.20% [16]. Core Insights - Emphasis on the potential of SpaceX's chain and 3D printing in rocket technology, with a significant increase in satellite frequency resource applications in China [5][23]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to experience a major upward cycle, with December sales figures exceeding expectations for both domestic and export markets [5][24]. - The AI upgrade potential in CNC systems is highlighted, particularly with the domestic leader Huazhong CNC, which is positioned to leverage AI for performance improvements [5][24]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index's performance during the week and year-to-date is noted, with specific rankings against the CSI 300 Index [3][16]. Core Insights Update - The report discusses the advancements in 3D printing technology in the aerospace sector, the robust demand for engineering machinery, and the growth potential of AI in CNC systems [5][24]. Key Data Tracking - General machinery sector remains under pressure, while engineering machinery shows accelerated growth, and railway equipment maintains steady growth [25][35][45]. - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, while oil service equipment is stabilizing at the bottom [49][51]. Industry Dynamics - The report outlines significant developments in various sectors, including the successful launch of new technologies and projects in the general machinery and robotics fields [60][62][64].

Investment Rating - The report rates the mechanical industry as "Overweight" [5] Core Insights - The mechanical equipment index increased by 5.98% during the week of January 5 to January 9, 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 2.79% [8] - China has submitted applications for 203,000 new satellites covering 14 satellite constellations, indicating a significant expansion in the commercial space sector [5] - The CES 2026 showcased advancements in humanoid robots, with companies like Upward and Boston Dynamics unveiling new models, highlighting the industry's shift towards diversification and automation [5] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Summary - The mechanical equipment sector's performance was ranked 10th among 31 first-level industries, with a weekly increase of 5.98% [8] - The mechanical industry index has risen by 53.09% since the beginning of 2025, compared to a 24.57% increase in the CSI 300 index [10] Key Macro Data - The manufacturing PMI for December 2025 was reported at 50.1%, indicating stable growth in the sector [15] - The production index and order index for December 2025 were 50.8% and 51.7%, respectively, suggesting positive trends in manufacturing activity [21] Sub-industry Data Summary Engineering Machinery Industry - Excavator sales in December 2025 reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2% [36] Machine Tool and Industrial Robot Industry - Industrial robot production in November 2025 was 70,188 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.6% [41] Rail Transit Industry - The cumulative production of EMUs from January to November 2025 was 1,722 units, with November production showing a year-on-year increase of 24.1% [45] Oilfield Equipment Industry - The global active drilling rig count was 1,813 units as of November 2025, with Brent crude oil averaging $63.34 per barrel on January 9, 2026 [53] Semiconductor Equipment Industry - Semiconductor sales in November 2025 reached $75.28 billion, with a month-on-month increase of 3.53% [76] Key Company Earnings Forecast - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Humanoid Robots: Hengli Hydraulic, Changying Precision, and others [5] - Chip Equipment: Keri Technology [5] - Commercial Aerospace: Plit [5] - AI Infrastructure: Ice Wheel Environment, Hanzhong Precision, and others [5] - Engineering Machinery: Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others [5] - Export Chain: Honghua Digital Science, Juxing Technology, and others [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Aijian Securities highlights that Shenkai Co., Ltd. is a key player in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of equipment in China's oil and gas exploration, drilling, and refining sectors, with products covering the entire upstream and downstream value chain of the oil and gas industry [1] Industry Summary - The domestic replacement of marine engineering equipment in China is deepening, and the expansion of overseas AI digital oil service business is expected to enhance the company's main profitability [1] - China's oil and gas production growth rate is faster than the global average, with an accelerated focus on marine and unconventional fields for incremental oil and gas development, driving structural demand for related equipment [1] Company Summary - Shenkai Co., Ltd. is expected to benefit significantly from the accelerated domestic production of marine engineering equipment, along with the gradual ramp-up of digital oil service business in the Middle East, leading to a continuous improvement in overall profitability [1] - The company has been given a "Buy" rating in the initial coverage by Aijian Securities [1]

Summary of Jereh Group's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jereh Group (杰瑞股份) - **Industry**: Oilfield services and gas turbine generation Key Points and Arguments Growth Potential in Gas Turbine Business - The gas turbine generator business is expected to become a significant growth engine for the company, with profit contributions projected to increase from 7% to 12% from 2025 to 2027 [1][2] - The company has signed contracts for two gas turbine generator units, each exceeding $100 million, marking its first orders with AI giants [1] - The company anticipates annual capacity increases of 100-200 MW, with current capacity at over 300 MW [1] Financial Projections and Valuation - The target price has been raised to RMB 90 per share, reflecting an optimistic outlook on the gas turbine and natural gas sectors [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to RMB 30.5 billion, RMB 37 billion, and RMB 45 billion respectively, with a projected ROIC increase to 22.5% [4][28] - The company's stock is currently trading at a PE ratio of 17x for 2027E, significantly lower than the gas turbine sector average of 51x [11][26] Market Dynamics and Demand Drivers - The demand for gas turbines is expected to be driven by the rapid expansion of data centers, with an estimated annual requirement of over 20 GW from 2026 to 2028 [10][15] - The company has established strategic partnerships with key suppliers like Siemens and Baker Hughes, ensuring a stable supply of core components [21][23] - The gas turbine sales price is approximately $1 million per MW, with leasing prices around $30-40 million per MW annually [2][24] Long-term Growth and Diversification - The company is diversifying its offerings, moving from gas turbine sales and leasing to integrated solution provision [2][24] - Jereh's natural gas business is projected to grow significantly, with an expected revenue increase of 80% in 2025 [3][9] - The company is also expanding into offshore engineering equipment, which, while currently a smaller revenue contributor, has potential for significant growth due to global deep-sea oil and gas development [3] Risk Factors and Market Position - Despite a recent stock price increase of over 40% following contract announcements, analysts believe there is still room for valuation growth [14] - The company’s valuation remains attractive compared to its peers, with a projected CAGR of 21% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [14][26] Conclusion - Jereh Group is positioned for substantial growth in the gas turbine and natural gas sectors, supported by strategic partnerships and a strong market demand outlook. The company's financial projections and valuation adjustments reflect a positive long-term growth trajectory, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the oilfield services industry [1][4][14][28]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is characterized by high cost-performance, with profit growth relying on overseas markets while the domestic market is experiencing a reversal of difficulties [1][7] - The forklift market has significant potential, driven by interest rate cuts in Europe and the US, and the maturity of unmanned forklift technology [1][13] - The export chain benefits from US interest rate cuts and the expected recovery of manufacturing in Europe and the US [1][6] Core Companies and Investment Recommendations - **Sany Heavy Industry** and **XCMG** are recommended for their growth potential, with valuations at 16x and just over 10x respectively, and expected growth rates of 30% and 20% [1][7] - **Nuwei Co.** is highlighted for its high cost-performance, rapid order growth, and potential in water and power valve sectors, with a projected profit growth of 40% [1][15] - **Jereh** is noted for its high valuation due to fast order fulfillment in gas turbine business, with a potential market cap between 80 billion and 120 billion [1][14] - In the semiconductor equipment sector, **North Huachuang**, **Zhongwei**, **Weida**, and **Maiwei** are recommended based on expected storage expansion and increased domestic production rates [1][16] Market Trends and Performance - The PCB and lithium battery sectors performed well in 2025, with many stocks achieving multiple-fold increases [1][4] - The engineering machinery market is improving, with notable growth in small excavators driven by specific regional demands [1][10][9] - The export of engineering machinery accounts for 50% of total sales, with significant growth in large excavators, particularly in Africa and the Middle East [1][11] Future Development Trends - The engineering machinery industry is expected to see a shift towards electric machinery, particularly in mining equipment, driven by ESG requirements [1][12] - The forklift market is poised for growth due to the high cost of labor in Europe and the US, with unmanned forklifts expected to gain traction [1][13] - The photovoltaic equipment sector is anticipated to benefit from new technologies and capital expenditure opportunities, particularly for companies like **Maiwei** and **Aotewi** [1][17] Specific Investment Opportunities - The PCB sector presents historical opportunities, especially in the drilling segment, with expected capital expenditure growth of 70%-80% [1][18] - Liquid cooling technology is seen as a promising area in AI applications, with potential for significant growth as server cabinets are deployed [1][19][20] Conclusion - The engineering machinery and related sectors are positioned for growth, driven by overseas demand, technological advancements, and favorable market conditions. Key companies are recommended based on their growth potential and market positioning.

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the engineering machinery export sector is expected to continue its growth due to a potential upturn in overseas demand in 2026, coinciding with a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle, leading to a domestic and international resonance effect [1][2]. Group 1: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is projected to see a full domestic recovery and moderate export recovery by 2025, with an emphasis on improving profit quality [2]. - Key recommendations for engineering machinery companies include SANY Heavy Industry (600031.SH), XCMG (000425.SZ), Zoomlion (000157.SZ), LiuGong (000528.SZ), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) due to their high export profit contributions [2]. Group 2: Industrial Forklifts - The forklift industry is expected to maintain its growth in 2025, driven by domestic renewal demand and automation transformation [2]. - Recommended companies in the forklift sector include Hangcha Group (603298.SH), Zhongli Group (603194.SH), and Anhui Heli (600761.SH) focusing on smart forklifts and automated logistics solutions [2]. Group 3: Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is entering a historic opportunity with a focus on the Middle East, where Chinese investments are concentrated in the energy sector [3]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Jereh Group (002353.SZ) and Neway Valve (603699.SH) due to their low valuations and high growth potential [3]. Group 4: Domestic Demand Improvement - The report anticipates an improvement in domestic demand, particularly in the FA, injection molding, testing, and machine tool industries [4]. - Key recommendations include Maiwei (300751.SZ), Jingcheng Machinery (300316.SZ), Aotewi (688516.SH), and Gaomei (688556.SH) in the photovoltaic equipment sector [4]. Group 5: High-Growth Sectors - The AI-driven sectors such as PCB equipment, liquid cooling industry, and gas turbines are expected to experience significant growth [5]. - Recommended companies in the liquid cooling sector include Hongsheng (603090.SH) and Yinvike (002837.SZ) [5]. - In the PCB equipment sector, key recommendations include Dazhu CNC (301200.SH) and Dingtaike (301377.SH) [5]. - For gas turbines, recommended companies include Jereh Group (002353.SZ) and Yingliu (603308.SH) [5]. Group 6: New Technologies - The mass production of humanoid robots is anticipated, with domestic component manufacturers expected to benefit significantly [6][7]. - Key companies to watch in the humanoid robot sector include Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH), New Coordinates (603040.SH), and Green Harmonic (688017.SH) [7].

Group 1: Equipment Export - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see a full domestic recovery and moderate export recovery in 2025, with a projected revenue growth of 12% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [52] - Key recommended companies for engineering machinery include SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic, which are expected to benefit from both domestic and international demand [3][52] - The oil service equipment sector is poised for significant growth due to historical opportunities in the Middle East and the Belt and Road Initiative, with recommended companies including Jereh and Neway [3] Group 2: Domestic Demand Improvement - The photovoltaic equipment sector is entering a platform integration phase, with significant advancements in perovskite and heterojunction technologies, leading to increased equipment value [3] - The lithium battery equipment sector is expected to benefit from ongoing capacity expansions and solid-state battery technology, with recommended companies including Lead Intelligent and Hanke Technology [4] - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing a recovery driven by domestic substitution and AI-related demand, with key recommendations including Northern Huachuang and Zhongwei [4] Group 3: High-Growth Sectors - The PCB equipment sector is entering a new expansion cycle driven by AI, with high demand for advanced HDI and SLP boards, with recommended companies including Dazhu CNC and Ding Tai High-Tech [5] - The liquid cooling equipment market is growing rapidly as it becomes a standard for AI server cooling, with key recommendations including Hongsheng and a focus on Invec [5] - The gas turbine and diesel generator sectors are expected to see significant growth due to increased electricity demand driven by AI, with recommended companies including Jereh and Yingliu [5] Group 4: New Technologies and Directions - The mass production of humanoid robots is anticipated, with domestic component manufacturers expected to benefit from cost reductions, with recommended companies including Hengli Hydraulic and New Coordinates [5] - The integration of new technologies in the photovoltaic sector is leading to industry transformation, with a focus on innovative solutions [5] Group 5: Performance Analysis - The semiconductor equipment and PCB equipment sectors are leading in revenue growth, with semiconductor equipment benefiting from advanced process expansions and PCB equipment driven by AI server demand [33] - The profit growth in the PCB equipment and general automation sectors is notable, with improvements in product structure and scale effects [33] - The overall machinery sector is experiencing a mild upward trend, with significant performance disparities among sub-sectors [11][20]

Group 1 - The mechanical industry is expected to have significant investment opportunities in the technology innovation sector by 2026, with a focus on new infrastructure and applications driven by technological advancements [4][6] - The export sector faces uncertainties but is anticipated to benefit from structural opportunities as internationalization progresses and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts take effect [4][6] - Domestic demand is expected to stabilize, with potential for stock price rebounds as capacity clears and general enterprises transition to growth sectors [4][6] Group 2 - The AI infrastructure sector is experiencing high capital expenditure and rapid technological iterations, leading to new opportunities in the mechanical development space [4][6] - The demand for PCB and AIDC equipment is expected to continue growing due to overseas capital expenditure exceeding expectations, with a focus on domestic substitution opportunities [4][11] - The human-shaped robot industry is projected to accelerate production by 2026, with domestic companies like Yushu and Zhiyuan expected to go public and enhance their competitive edge [7][8] Group 3 - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a significant increase in export volumes, with excavator exports rising from 34,000 units in 2020 to a peak of 109,000 units in 2022, reflecting a CAGR of 77.5% [19][21] - The internationalization of engineering machinery is expected to drive long-term profitability, with overseas gross margins typically exceeding domestic margins by 5-10 percentage points [19][23] - The fixed asset investment in railways remains high, with a 5.8% year-on-year increase, supporting new vehicle demand [24] Group 4 - The motorcycle sector is expected to capture 15-20% of the global market share for large-displacement motorcycles by 2025, driven by competitive pricing [39] - The oil service equipment sector is benefiting from high demand for natural gas compressors in the Middle East and North Asia, as well as for gas turbines in North America [41] - The general cyclical sector is expected to see a bottoming out of demand, with opportunities arising from structural changes in the market [44] Group 5 - The lithium battery equipment sector is anticipated to experience accelerated capital expenditure growth, driven by independent energy storage projects [55][58] - The solid-state battery technology is expected to create valuation elasticity in the sector, with significant advancements in production processes [58][59] - The photovoltaic equipment sector is focusing on industry recovery and the expansion of semiconductor-related business lines [60]

Market Performance - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 3.91% during the trading days from November 24 to November 28, 2025, ranking 7th among 31 primary industry categories [1] - Year-to-date performance shows the SW Machinery Equipment Index up by 30.48%, ranking 6th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 15.04% [1] Core Insights - The demand for gas turbines is expected to rise due to AI, with significant growth in power consumption from data centers in the U.S., projected to increase from 8.9 GW to 111.3 GW between 2025 and 2028 [2] - The turbine blades, being core components of gas turbines, face a global supply shortage, with 应流股份 positioned as a leading domestic supplier, already supplying blades for Siemens Energy and developing blades for H-class gas turbines [2] - 应流股份 has strengthened its collaboration with Baker Hughes, securing future orders for multiple gas turbine blades, indicating a robust outlook for export orders [2] Company Developments - 优必选 has secured two significant contracts totaling 4.07 billion yuan for humanoid robot projects, with the Walker series orders reaching 1.3 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - The company is expected to see a pivotal year in 2025 for humanoid robot deliveries and commercialization, coinciding with the IPO of 宇树科技 and Tesla's production ramp-up [3] - The 合肥 BEST fusion project has seen over 2 billion yuan in tenders in November alone, indicating an acceleration in fusion project bidding as construction progresses [3] Industry Trends - General machinery is under continuous pressure, while engineering machinery is accelerating upward [3] - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, oil service equipment is stabilizing at the bottom, railway equipment is steadily increasing, and gas turbines are showing stable growth [3]