Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Petrochemical has successfully developed a carbon-carbon composite material for manufacturing acid-resistant fan impellers, addressing corrosion issues in alkylation units and significantly extending the lifespan of these components [1][2]. Group 1: Technology and Innovation - The new carbon fiber impeller is made from a high-performance carbon-carbon composite material, which is more complex to produce than traditional carbon fiber resin composites [2]. - The lifespan of the carbon fiber impeller is over ten times longer than that of existing materials, providing a cost-effective solution to the corrosion problem faced by alkylation units [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Applications - Shanghai Petrochemical has achieved leading positions in various applications of carbon fiber materials, including oil extraction rods and lightweight components for transportation [3]. - The company is also involved in the construction of the longest onshore wind turbine blades made from carbon fiber composites, set for testing in 2024 [3]. Group 3: Future Developments - A new project for the annual production of 30,000 tons of large tow carbon fiber is underway in Ordos, Inner Mongolia, aimed at establishing Shanghai Petrochemical as a leading carbon fiber company in China [4]. - The company plans to expand its product applications and enhance brand recognition and market share as its carbon fiber production capacity increases [4].

智通财经5月25日电，碳纤维市场今年以来有所回暖，吉林化纤两次提高了碳纤维产品售价，公司相关 负责人表示，3月份至今，公司订单不断增加，生产跟不上，公司行政人员分批下车间协助生产。德州 卡本梵博复合材料有限公司总经理刘光涛同样表示，春节后，公司碳纤维产品订单同比增加15%，产线 工人紧缺。不过，也有多位业内人士表示，今年以来，应用于无人机的部分碳纤维型号需求爆单，但大 部分型号尤其是大丝束碳纤维产品仍然供应过剩，价格仍在寻底，行业整体供过于求的格局没有改变， 相关企业需要开辟更多的应用场景，努力向高端化转型。（智通财经记者 肖良华） 碳纤维市场回暖 业内：部分型号需求爆发 行业整体仍供过于求 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with total revenue of 1.557 billion yuan, down 31.07% year-on-year, and a net loss of 124 million yuan [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company continued to experience revenue decline, achieving 402 million yuan, a decrease of 10.40% year-on-year, with a net loss of 45 million yuan [2][4]. - The carbon fiber industry is facing a temporary supply-demand imbalance, leading to price pressures on the company's products, which has resulted in a contraction of profit margins [4][8]. - The company is accelerating its product structure upgrade and diversifying applications, particularly in high-performance carbon fiber for aerospace, hydrogen storage, and unmanned aerial vehicles [4][8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company’s total revenue is projected to be 1.557 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -31.1%. The net profit is expected to be -124 million yuan, reflecting a -139.1% change [4][9]. - The forecast for 2025 shows a recovery in revenue to 1.944 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 24.8%, and a net profit of 65 million yuan, indicating a significant turnaround [4][9]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 14.25%, down 16.36 percentage points from the previous year, while the net margin is projected at -7.99%, a decrease of 22.06 percentage points [4][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its production capabilities with a new facility in Lianyungang, which will utilize advanced fourth-generation carbon fiber technology, aiming to increase its market share in high-performance applications [4][8]. - The company is focusing on strengthening its product adaptability and deepening customer relationships in sectors such as wind energy, photovoltaic thermal fields, and automotive lightweighting [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][18]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with total revenue of 1.557 billion yuan, down 31.07% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -124 million yuan, marking a shift to a loss [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company continued to experience revenue decline, achieving 402 million yuan, a decrease of 10.40% year-on-year, with a net loss of 45 million yuan [2][4]. - The carbon fiber industry is facing a temporary supply-demand imbalance, leading to price pressures and reduced profitability for the company [4][8]. Financial Summary - The company's total revenue is projected to recover to 1.944 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.8%, and further increase to 3.398 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 37.9% [4][9]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 65 million yuan, and continue to grow to 251 million yuan by 2027 [4][9]. - The company's gross margin is projected to decline to 14.25% in 2024, down 16.36 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of -7.99% [4][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is advancing its product structure upgrade and diversifying applications, particularly in high-performance carbon fiber for aerospace, hydrogen storage, and unmanned aerial vehicles [4][8]. - The construction of a new facility in Lianyungang, with a planned capacity of 31,000 tons, aims to leverage advanced carbon fiber technology and enhance production capabilities [4][8]. - The company is focusing on strengthening its product adaptability and deepening customer relationships in various sectors, including wind energy, photovoltaic thermal fields, and automotive lightweighting [4][8].

Market Overview - The three major indices in China opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.1%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.09%, and the ChiNext down 0.12% [1] - In the US market, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.04% to 5842.01 points, marking the third consecutive day of decline; the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.28% to 18,925.73 points; and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly decreased by 1.35 points to 41,859.09 points [2] Industry Insights - **Computer Industry**: China Galaxy Securities indicates that the computer industry may have shown bottom signals in Q1 2025, with revenue growth maintaining an upward trend and significant acceleration, suggesting a gradual market demand recovery. Cost control measures are becoming effective, and profits are expected to see a strong rebound due to last year's low base effect, particularly in AI computing power and related fields [3] - **Gold and Jewelry Industry**: Guotai Junan Securities reports that the gold and jewelry industry has entered a phase of clearing and upgrading since 2024, with leading companies shifting from store expansion to enhancing single-store efficiency. The collaboration between brand owners and franchisees is promoting high-margin products, and the industry is expected to continue its valuation enhancement logic throughout the year, favoring companies with strong product capabilities and consumer demand capture [4] - **Express Delivery Industry**: Huatai Securities expresses a long-term positive outlook on leading express delivery companies' market share growth, despite the sector being at historical low valuations. The report notes that while the volume growth has slightly slowed since April, leading companies are still focused on market share, and the application of digital tools is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, helping to mitigate the impact of price declines [5] - **Carbon Fiber Industry**: Huaxi Securities highlights that the demand for carbon fiber is expected to be released again due to the material's characteristics. The period from 2019 to 2023 saw a significant increase in China's carbon fiber production capacity, which is projected to reach 135,500 tons by the end of 2024. However, the growth rate has significantly narrowed. The report mentions that new demand from emerging industries, such as wind power and robotics, is likely to drive further demand [6]

建筑材料 行业专题报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 22 日 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 朱芸 SAC：S1350524070001 zhuyun@huayuanstock.com 证券研究报告 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 由单边下行走向结构分化，赛道及龙头α开始显现 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——建材行业 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报综述 投资要点： 风险提示：经济恢复不及预期，化债力度不及预期，房地产政策不及预期 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 | 1. 综述:行业压力仍存,结构性拐点逐步显现…………………………………………………………………………………… 5 | | --- | | 2. 消费建材:行业逐步探底,结构分化开始显现. | | 3. ...

Core Viewpoint - Jilin Chemical Fiber Group has raised the price of wet-process 3K carbon fiber by 10,000 yuan per ton due to increased demand, leading to significant stock price increases for related companies in the carbon fiber sector [2][3]. Price Adjustments - Jilin Chemical Fiber previously adjusted prices for various carbon fiber products in Q1, with significant increases for 3K and other types [2][3]. - The recent price increase is attributed to supply shortages driven by demand from the low-altitude economy and the drone market [3][6]. Market Dynamics - Carbon fiber is recognized for its superior properties, being lighter than steel while having 7-9 times its tensile strength, making it suitable for high-end applications like aerospace and military [3][4]. - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing a dual path of high performance and low cost, with increasing applications in various sectors including aerospace, wind energy, and consumer electronics [5][6]. Supply and Demand Issues - Despite stock price increases, Jilin Chemical Fiber indicated that wet-process 3K carbon fiber contributes a small portion to its total revenue, and the company is facing losses in its carbon fiber business for 2024 [6][7]. - The carbon fiber sector is undergoing a phase of adjustment due to concentrated capacity release, leading to supply-demand imbalances and declining profit margins for companies like Zhongfu Shenying [6][7]. Profitability Trends - Zhongfu Shenying's carbon fiber business has seen a significant decline in gross margins from 47.85% in 2022 to an expected 13.59% in 2024, reflecting broader industry challenges [6][7]. - Other companies like Zhongjian Technology and Guangwei Composite also report decreasing profit margins, indicating a trend across the industry [7]. Cost Reduction Efforts - Companies are actively working to reduce carbon fiber production costs, particularly in the wind energy sector, where high costs remain a barrier to exclusive use of carbon fiber [7].

Group 1: Company Overview and Production Capacity - The company has a total production capacity of approximately 160,000 tons, with 30,000 tons currently under construction [6] - The first phase of the high-performance carbon fiber precursor project is in trial production, expected to enhance capacity and meet market demand [4] - The company operates 20 production lines capable of flexible production to cater to various market needs [4] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The company is the largest independent supplier of carbon fiber precursors in China, holding about 50% of the domestic market share [8] - Future goals include becoming a world-class precursor supplier while expanding into new markets and customer bases [9] - The company emphasizes continuous technological improvement and market exploration to enhance product applications and sales [9] Group 3: Product Development and Innovation - The company plans to balance the development of both small and large tow products in its R&D efforts [5] - The demand for 3K carbon fiber precursors is currently on the rise, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [9] - The company collaborates with universities and downstream enterprises to explore new applications and enhance product offerings [9] Group 4: Cost Management and Investor Relations - The domestic oil agent project is in the construction and testing phase, expected to reduce production costs once mass production begins [7] - The company is committed to protecting investor interests, particularly for small and medium investors, through value management and operational integrity [10] - Future measures will be taken to stabilize the company's stock price based on market conditions [10]

2025 年 5 月 18 日 行业研究 需求持续向好，碳纤维龙头价格上涨 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 64 期（20250515） 要点 吉林化纤上调碳纤维产品价格，碳纤维行业均价已趋稳。根据中国证券报消 息，25 年 Q1，吉林化纤集团调整旗下碳纤维价格，明确自 2025 年 3 月 18 日起，湿法 1K 产品价格不变，3K/6K 产品价格上涨 5000 元/吨， 12K/25K/35K/50K 碳丝产品价格上涨 3000 元/吨，干法 T700 及 T800 级别 12K 碳丝产品价格上涨 3000 元/吨。与此同时，目前碳纤维均价的下跌已初 步趋缓，根据百川盈孚数据，24 年 12 月以来国内碳纤维价格维持在 83.75 元/kg 的水平。碳纤维产品价格下调、毛利水平的下降，致使碳纤维生产企 业的业绩承压，但较年初已有明显改善，截至 25 年 5 月 15 日当周，碳纤维 行业平均毛利润为-0.87 万元/吨，较年初增加 1.21 万元/吨。 碳纤维需求持续向好，风电、体育休闲、航空航天领域需求增速均显著。根 据赛奥碳纤维数据，2024 年全球碳纤维的需求量为 15.61 万吨，同比增长 35.7% ...

【一周一议】 吉林化纤宣布上调湿法 3k 碳纤维价格。5 月 13 日，吉林化纤发布调价通知，受低空经济拉动，无人机需求，出口爆 增，湿法碳纤维良好的易加工性影响，公司旗下的湿法 3k 碳纤维供不应求，即日起各牌号产品每吨分别上涨 10000 元。碳纤维复合材料由于其①质轻且强度高，②耐腐蚀性，③耐高温性，④抗电磁干扰等优异性能，已成为低空经济 飞行器的核心轻量化材料。整体而言，目前碳纤维复合材料约占无人机结构总质量的 60-80%。根据中国低空经济联盟 发布的《低空经济发展趋势报告》预测，到 2030 年我国 eVTOL 市场保有量有望突破 10 万架，根据我们测算，2030 年 我国 eVTOL 行业拉动碳纤维增量约 2.04 万吨（非单年拉动量，10 万架为 2030 年市场保有量）。2024 年我国碳纤维需 求为 6.03 万吨，有望成为碳纤维下一个关键增长极。同时，低空经济增量政策持续出台，如 5 月 13 日，四川公布《支 持低空经济发展的若干政策措施》，省发改委主任代永波表示，四川将每年统筹安排 3 亿元省级资金，专项支持低空 经济发展。 关注"一带一路"进展。本周"一带一路"热点事件不断，1） ...